Troyes v Lens — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Troyes

1–3

1.47 – 1.85 xG

Lens

Shots

13 – 13

On target

5 – 3

Shots in box

7 – 9

xG per shot

0.11 – 0.14

Set-piece xG

0.33 – 0.20

Goals − xG

-0.47 – +1.15

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 17 Oct, 10:59 · 8h before kick-off

Troyes win

29.2%

model 30.9%

Draw

22.6%

model 22.9%

Lens win

48.2%

model 46.3%

292348

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.1%
2-1 7.3%
0-1 7.1%
2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.8%	Under 2.5	37.2%
BTTS yes	63.7%	BTTS no	36.3%
Troyes 1+	76.2%	Troyes 2+	42.1%
Lens 1+	83.5%	Lens 2+	53.8%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

83%

★ Best pick

Lens (2nd half DNB)

DNB 2nd half · usually 39%

68.3% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lens not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 84%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Lens carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1533.
Away from home Lens average 1.97 xG a match.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.83).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Lens have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for Troyes and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Troyes and 1.80 for Lens.

Why Troyes

Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Lens were missing 1.22 expected goal involvements a match against 0.37.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Lens can win

Lens carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1533. Away from home Lens average 1.97 xG a match.

Key players

Troyes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Jeremy Le Douaron (0.36), Renaud Ripart (0.24), Antoine Mille (0.21). Lens's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Florian Thauvin (0.62), Adrien Thomasson (0.41), Wesley Said (0.41).

Availability

1 of Troyes's top three contributors did not start their last match. 2 of Lens's top three contributors did not start their last match. Lens had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.40 expected goal involvements a match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Troyes: 38% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.31 xG a match from set pieces. Lens: 50% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.33 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-17 14:51 · team_stats 2026-10-17 06:03 · availability 2026-10-17 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Lens are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Troyes are finishing below their chances — 3.9 goals fewer than expected across 7 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.4 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DWLLLLL last 7 scored 5 from 8.9 xG conceded 16 from 13.7 xG

Lens are finishing below their chances — 2.6 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WLWWLLDLWW last 10 scored 19 from 21.6 xG conceded 13 from 13.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	312346	1.44–1.80	0%	0%	0%	Away ✓
dc-xg	191863	1.31–2.48	1-2 9%	73%	67%	Away ✓
dc-xg-oos	191863	1.31–2.48	1-2 9%	73%	67%	Away ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to win	50.8%	51.5%	31.0%	1.66×	1.94
Troyes to win	25.5%	27.9%	46.4%	0.60×	3.58
Draw	23.7%	24.5%	22.8%	1.07×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens & not both score	25.9%	25.1%	15.7%	1.60×	3.98
Lens & both teams score	24.9%	21.8%	15.4%	1.42×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Troyes & both teams score	13.3%	13.3%	22.8%	0.58×	7.53
Troyes & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	23.8%	0.56×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	6.4%	1.29×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens & over 1.5	41.1%	40.2%	24.9%	1.62×	2.49
Lens & over 2.5	32.8%	30.8%	19.3%	1.59×	3.25
Lens & under 3.5	32.4%	30.7%	20.4%	1.51×	3.25
Troyes & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	36.4%	0.49×	5.56
Troyes & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	29.6%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Lens & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	11.8%	1.52×	5.56
Lens & over 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	10.8%	1.67×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Troyes & over 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	28.9%	0.62×	5.56
Troyes & under 2.5	10.2%	12.8%	17.7%	0.73×	7.79
Lens & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.62
Troyes & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	16.9%	0.47×	12.62
Troyes & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	6.7%	1.18×	12.62
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	6.7%	1.18×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.62

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (1UP)	65.8%	70.0%	48.4%	1.45×	1.43
Troyes (1UP)	44.0%	38.8%	59.1%	0.66×	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (2UP)	50.8%	55.1%	33.3%	1.66×	1.81
Troyes (2UP)	25.5%	25.2%	48.4%	0.52×	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to win 2nd half	50.3%	51.1%	26.5%	1.93×	1.96
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.1%	31.6%	1.08×	2.93
Troyes to win 2nd half	15.8%	18.1%	42.1%	0.43×	5.52

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.4%	75.6%	82.9%	0.91×	1.32
Lens over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.3%	69.9%	50.0%	1.40×	1.43
Lens under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.7%	30.1%	50.0%	0.60×	3.32
Lens over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.6%	24.4%	17.1%	1.43×	4.11

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.3%	94.0%	75.3%	1.25×	1.06
Troyes under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	63.0%	37.7%	1.67×	1.59
Troyes over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	37.0%	62.3%	0.59×	2.71
Troyes over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.7%	6.0%	24.7%	0.24×	16.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (+2.5)	96.9%	96.3%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Lens (+1.5)	90.0%	88.5%	75.2%	1.18×	1.13
Lens (+0.5)	74.5%	73.7%	53.6%	1.37×	1.36
Lens (-0.5)	50.8%	52.4%	31.0%	1.69×	1.91
Troyes (+0.5)	49.2%	47.6%	69.0%	0.69×	2.10
Troyes (-0.5)	25.5%	26.3%	46.4%	0.57×	3.80
Troyes (-1.5)	10.0%	11.5%	24.9%	0.46×	8.67
Troyes (-2.5)	3.1%	3.7%	10.0%	0.37×	27.06

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to concede	68.6%	72.4%	78.0%	0.93×	1.38
Lens clean sheet	31.4%	27.6%	22.0%	1.25×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to concede in 1st half	50.4%	50.9%	48.1%	1.06×	1.96
Lens clean sheet in 1st half	49.6%	49.1%	51.9%	0.94×	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens clean sheet in 2nd half	63.4%	61.3%	37.7%	1.62×	1.63
Lens to concede in 2nd half	36.6%	38.7%	62.3%	0.62×	2.58

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens under 6.5 corners	80.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Lens over 2.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Lens under 5.5 corners	70.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Lens under 4.5 corners	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Lens over 3.5 corners	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Lens under 3.5 corners	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Lens over 4.5 corners	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Lens over 5.5 corners	29.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Lens under 2.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Lens over 6.5 corners	19.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens under 3.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Lens over 0.5 goals	82.3%	81.4%	69.9%	1.17×	1.23
Lens under 2.5 goals	74.9%	71.9%	85.2%	0.84×	1.39
Lens over 1.5 goals	51.6%	53.6%	36.4%	1.47×	1.87
Lens under 1.5 goals	48.4%	46.4%	63.6%	0.73×	2.15
Lens over 2.5 goals	25.1%	28.1%	14.8%	1.90×	3.56
Lens under 0.5 goals	17.7%	18.6%	30.1%	0.62×	5.39
Lens over 3.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	13.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens under 1.5 in 1st half	85.4%	89.0%	87.7%	1.01×	1.12
Lens under 0.5 in 1st half	51.1%	55.4%	58.4%	0.95×	1.80
Lens over 0.5 in 1st half	48.9%	44.6%	41.6%	1.07×	2.24
Lens over 1.5 in 1st half	14.6%	11.0%	12.3%	0.90×	9.10

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens scores more in 2nd half	44.3%	43.7%	34.0%	1.28×	2.29
Lens scores equally in both	32.8%	33.5%	41.5%	0.81×	2.99
Lens scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.7%	24.7%	0.88×	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (away no bet)	51.8%	51.7%	67.1%	0.77×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	48.2%	48.3%	32.9%	1.47×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens even goals	51.6%	52.6%	56.3%	0.94×	1.90
Lens odd goals	48.4%	47.4%	43.7%	1.08×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.2%	82.7%	82.8%	1.00×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.8%	17.3%	17.2%	1.00×	5.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.8%	68.4%	65.7%	1.04×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.2%	31.6%	34.3%	0.92×	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.3%	55.3%	60.4%	0.92×	1.81
Lens to score 2+ in a row	43.0%	38.7%	27.6%	1.40×	2.58
Troyes to score 2+ in a row	23.2%	19.7%	39.0%	0.51×	5.07
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.6%	19.7%	22.2%	0.89×	5.07
Lens to score 3+ in a row	17.0%	16.3%	8.8%	1.84×	6.14
Troyes to score 3+ in a row	5.9%	5.6%	13.9%	0.40×	17.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes corners (+3.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Troyes corners (+2.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Lens corners (+3.5)	78.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Troyes corners (+1.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Lens corners (+2.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Lens corners (+1.5)	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Troyes corners (-1.5)	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Troyes corners (-2.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Lens corners (-1.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Troyes corners (-3.5)	21.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Lens corners (-2.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Lens corners (-3.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	56.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	26.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.73
0-1	9.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
1-2	9.7%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.50
0-2	8.3%	7.4%	5.7%	1.30×	13.50
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.50
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.50
1-3	5.6%	7.4%	3.3%	2.25×	13.50
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	5.2%	1.41×	13.50
0-3	4.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.29
0-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
1-4	2.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-0	3.7%	1.7%	7.6%	0.22×	58.30
2-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.31
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.31
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.31
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.32
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.32
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.73×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.73×	58.32
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (2nd half DNB)	76.1%	79.4%	38.6%	2.06×	1.26
Troyes (2nd half DNB)	23.9%	20.6%	61.4%	0.34×	4.86

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes leading at HT (DNB)	51.5%	54.8%	54.4%	1.01×	1.82
Lens leading at HT (DNB)	48.5%	45.2%	45.6%	0.99×	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes or Lens (12)	76.3%	75.5%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Lens or draw (X2)	74.5%	72.1%	53.6%	1.35×	1.39
Troyes or draw (1X)	49.2%	48.5%	69.0%	0.70×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes or draw at HT	70.3%	75.0%	71.9%	1.04×	1.33
Lens or draw at HT	68.5%	66.9%	66.5%	1.01×	1.50
Troyes or Lens at HT	61.3%	61.3%	61.5%	1.00×	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens or draw (1UP)	74.5%	79.7%	61.3%	1.30×	1.25
Troyes or draw (1UP)	49.2%	53.0%	73.2%	0.72×	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens or draw in 2nd half	84.2%	81.9%	57.9%	1.41×	1.22
Troyes or Lens in 2nd half	66.0%	65.9%	68.4%	0.96×	1.52
Troyes or draw in 2nd half	49.7%	48.9%	73.5%	0.67×	2.04

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.5%	58.7%	57.2%	1.03×	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.5%	41.3%	42.8%	0.96×	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (DNB)	66.6%	67.3%	40.0%	1.68×	1.49
Troyes (DNB)	33.4%	32.7%	60.0%	0.54×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to score first	56.6%	62.5%	43.3%	1.44×	1.60
Troyes to score first	37.8%	32.6%	50.4%	0.65×	3.07
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	6.4%	1.16×	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.4%	55.0%	54.3%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.6%	45.0%	45.7%	0.98×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.3%	44.4%	44.6%	0.99×	2.25
Not both score & under 2.5	33.7%	34.5%	35.6%	0.97×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	9.9%	1.25×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	10.2%	0.82×	12.04

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.4%	82.6%	84.6%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.6%	17.4%	15.4%	1.13×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.1%	74.7%	69.5%	1.07×	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.9%	25.3%	30.5%	0.83×	3.95

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.3%	59.9%	57.3%	1.04×	1.67
Both score 1st half only	18.8%	15.2%	12.3%	1.24×	6.59
Both score 2nd half only	18.0%	15.1%	24.4%	0.62×	6.61
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	6.3%	1.08×	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.3%	81.1%	81.6%	0.99×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	18.9%	18.4%	1.03×	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.2%	57.1%	59.4%	0.96×	1.75
A half without a goal	41.8%	42.9%	40.6%	1.06×	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	43.4%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.0%	26.6%	30.8%	0.86×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.7%	22.9%	22.6%	1.01×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	3.4%	0.53×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to score exactly 1	30.7%	33.8%	33.7%	1.00×	2.96
Lens to score exactly 2	26.5%	27.4%	21.7%	1.26×	3.65
Lens to score 3+	25.1%	27.4%	14.8%	1.85×	3.65
Lens to score exactly 0	17.7%	19.6%	30.1%	0.65×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	31.4%	1.13×	2.81
Troyes to score exactly 0	31.4%	32.5%	22.0%	1.48×	3.08
Troyes to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.3%	24.1%	0.97×	4.29
Troyes to score 3+	11.1%	14.3%	22.8%	0.63×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.7%	38.7%	38.5%	1.01×	2.58
Troyes leading at HT	31.5%	33.1%	33.5%	0.99×	3.02
Lens leading at HT	29.7%	25.0%	28.1%	0.89×	4.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens -1: 1	49.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Lens -1: 2	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Lens -1: X	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (0:1)	74.5%	71.1%	53.6%	1.33×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.5%	17.8%	21.7%	0.82×	5.62
Troyes (0:1)	10.0%	13.7%	24.9%	0.55×	7.32

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (0:2)	90.0%	87.1%	75.2%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	15.0%	0.51×	13.02
Troyes (0:2)	3.1%	3.8%	10.0%	0.37×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (0:3)	96.9%	96.6%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	6.0%	0.40×	42.13
Troyes (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	4.2%	0.57×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	95.8%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.8%	0.43×	82.17
Troyes (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	82.22

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (1:0)	49.2%	49.2%	69.0%	0.71×	2.03
Lens (1:0)	27.7%	25.0%	16.3%	1.53×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	23.1%	21.7%	14.8%	1.46×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes (2:0)	72.3%	76.5%	83.7%	0.91×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.5%	15.7%	9.6%	1.64×	6.38
Lens (2:0)	12.2%	10.3%	6.9%	1.49×	9.72

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.8%	45.5%	47.9%	0.95×	2.20
1st half highest scoring	34.5%	30.9%	26.2%	1.18×	3.24
Halves equal	24.8%	24.3%	26.0%	0.93×	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to concede	82.3%	80.9%	69.9%	1.16×	1.24
Troyes clean sheet	17.7%	19.1%	30.1%	0.64×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes clean sheet in 1st half	51.1%	55.4%	58.4%	0.95×	1.80
Troyes to concede in 1st half	48.9%	44.6%	41.6%	1.07×	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes to concede in 2nd half	65.3%	67.0%	50.0%	1.34×	1.49
Troyes clean sheet in 2nd half	34.7%	33.0%	50.0%	0.66×	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes over 2.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Troyes under 6.5 corners	74.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Troyes over 3.5 corners	64.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Troyes under 5.5 corners	63.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Troyes under 4.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Troyes over 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Troyes over 5.5 corners	36.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Troyes under 3.5 corners	35.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Troyes over 6.5 corners	26.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Troyes under 2.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	91.6%	1.05×	1.04
Troyes under 2.5 goals	88.9%	87.3%	77.2%	1.13×	1.15
Troyes over 0.5 goals	68.6%	68.0%	78.0%	0.87×	1.47
Troyes under 1.5 goals	67.8%	67.9%	53.3%	1.27×	1.47
Troyes over 1.5 goals	32.2%	32.1%	46.7%	0.69×	3.12
Troyes under 0.5 goals	31.4%	32.0%	22.0%	1.46×	3.12
Troyes over 2.5 goals	11.1%	12.7%	22.8%	0.56×	7.86
Troyes over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	8.4%	0.43×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes under 1.5 in 1st half	84.4%	84.0%	87.1%	0.96×	1.19
Troyes over 0.5 in 1st half	50.4%	50.8%	48.1%	1.06×	1.97
Troyes under 0.5 in 1st half	49.6%	49.2%	51.9%	0.95×	2.03
Troyes over 1.5 in 1st half	15.6%	16.0%	12.9%	1.24×	6.26

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes scores equally in both	42.3%	41.8%	36.8%	1.14×	2.39
Troyes scores more in 1st half	36.7%	37.8%	22.5%	1.68×	2.65
Troyes scores more in 2nd half	21.0%	21.0%	40.9%	0.51×	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens (home no bet)	68.2%	64.2%	57.7%	1.11×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.8%	35.8%	42.3%	0.85×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes even goals	54.9%	50.7%	51.9%	0.98×	1.97
Troyes odd goals	45.1%	49.3%	48.1%	1.03×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.3%	28.2%	28.7%	0.98×	3.55
HT 1-0	17.8%	18.6%	21.6%	0.87×	5.36
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.6%	16.6%	1.12×	5.37
HT 1-1	11.9%	10.9%	9.3%	1.17×	9.19
Any other HT score	6.4%	6.9%	4.6%	1.49×	14.42
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	6.9%	1.01×	14.42
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	5.2%	1.32×	14.43
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	41.95
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	4.3%	0.55×	41.96
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	0.7%	3.17×	42.13

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens at HT / Lens at FT	26.1%	27.2%	18.7%	1.45×	3.68
Draw at HT / Lens at FT	19.5%	16.8%	10.9%	1.54×	5.96
Troyes at HT / Troyes at FT	18.7%	16.8%	28.0%	0.60×	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.2%	12.7%	12.9%	0.99×	7.88
Troyes at HT / Draw at FT	7.7%	6.0%	4.2%	1.43×	16.65
Draw at HT / Troyes at FT	6.1%	6.0%	15.0%	0.40×	16.70
Troyes at HT / Lens at FT	5.2%	6.0%	1.6%	3.63×	16.73
Lens at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.73
Lens at HT / Troyes at FT	0.7%	3.5%	3.7%	0.93×	28.81

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to score last	56.6%	56.1%	40.6%	1.38×	1.78
Troyes to score last	37.8%	38.9%	53.1%	0.73×	2.57
No goal scored	5.6%	7.5%	6.4%	1.16×	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.6%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Lens to lead by 1 at any time	65.8%	69.4%	48.4%	1.43×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.8%	44.5%	51.6%	0.86×	2.25
Troyes to lead by 1 at any time	44.0%	39.1%	59.1%	0.66×	2.56
Lens to lead by 2 at any time	34.6%	29.9%	21.3%	1.41×	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.2%	15.1%	19.8%	0.76×	6.64
Troyes to lead by 2 at any time	15.5%	15.0%	30.4%	0.49×	6.67
Lens to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	10.5%	8.1%	1.29×	9.54
Troyes to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	11.8%	0.14×	59.90

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes most corners	50.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Lens most corners	39.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	85.3%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.8%	78.7%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.5%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.1%	72.4%	69.2%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.3%	60.6%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.7%	63.3%	59.6%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.3%	53.2%	51.3%	1.04×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.8%	48.5%	46.4%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.5%	43.4%	1.12×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.3%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	37.9%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.0%	30.3%	30.8%	0.98×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	25.9%	1.17×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.8%	14.8%	13.6%	1.09×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	3.4%	0.74×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens never behind	50.4%	62.7%	40.9%	1.53×	1.60
Troyes never behind	28.6%	30.0%	51.6%	0.58×	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	47.6%	1.07×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	52.4%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.7%	51.8%	1.00×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.3%	48.2%	1.00×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.9%	50.2%	1.04×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.1%	49.9%	0.96×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.4%	82.3%	83.1%	0.99×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.2%	66.3%	65.9%	1.01×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.1%	58.6%	54.6%	1.07×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.9%	41.4%	45.4%	0.91×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.8%	33.7%	34.1%	0.99×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	22.6%	1.00×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.6%	17.7%	16.9%	1.05×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	8.4%	0.92×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	6.4%	1.20×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.0%	92.4%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.2%	81.1%	79.6%	1.02×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.8%	72.4%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.8%	55.8%	57.1%	0.98×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.2%	44.2%	42.9%	1.03×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.2%	27.6%	29.3%	0.94×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.8%	18.9%	20.4%	0.93×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.0%	7.6%	9.2%	0.83×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	3.6%	0.77×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.0%	85.8%	87.6%	0.98×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.7%	71.8%	71.3%	1.01×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.1%	63.1%	66.6%	0.95×	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.9%	36.9%	33.4%	1.11×	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.3%	28.2%	28.7%	0.98×	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.0%	14.3%	12.4%	1.15×	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	83.1%	75.6%	1.10×	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.5%	81.7%	0.97×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	55.4%	50.4%	1.10×	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	44.6%	49.6%	0.90×	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.5%	18.3%	1.12×	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	16.9%	24.4%	0.69×	5.92

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes not to score in both halves	81.5%	84.1%	67.7%	1.24×	1.19
Lens not to score in both halves	68.1%	69.8%	78.3%	0.89×	1.43
Lens to score in both halves	31.9%	30.2%	21.7%	1.39×	3.31
Troyes to score in both halves	18.5%	15.9%	32.3%	0.49×	6.30

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.4%	58.7%	54.3%	1.08×	1.70
Only Lens scores	25.9%	26.0%	15.7%	1.65×	3.85
Only Troyes scores	12.2%	11.0%	23.8%	0.46×	9.08
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.1%	6.4%	1.11×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.7%	1.09×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.1%	17.5%	16.3%	1.07×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.5%	17.4%	1.01×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	8.7%	0.88×	13.11
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	8.4%	0.91×	13.12
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	6.4%	1.18×	13.12

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.7%	38.0%	0.94×	2.80
No goals in 1st half	25.3%	28.4%	28.7%	0.99×	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	23.9%	21.5%	21.1%	1.02×	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	16.0%	15.6%	12.4%	1.25×	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.7%	44.4%	49.6%	0.90×	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	33.8%	32.3%	1.04×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	22.6%	18.3%	1.24×	4.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes not to win both halves	95.0%	97.1%	83.4%	1.16×	1.03
Lens not to win both halves	85.1%	87.9%	91.0%	0.97×	1.14
Lens to win both halves	14.9%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.27
Troyes to win both halves	5.0%	2.9%	16.6%	0.17×	34.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lens to win either half	65.1%	67.7%	45.7%	1.48×	1.48
Troyes to win neither half	57.7%	59.1%	41.0%	1.44×	1.69
Troyes to win either half	42.3%	40.9%	59.0%	0.69×	2.44
Lens to win neither half	34.9%	32.3%	54.3%	0.59×	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troyes not to win to nil	87.8%	88.1%	76.2%	1.16×	1.14
Lens not to win to nil	74.1%	75.4%	84.3%	0.89×	1.33
Lens to win to nil	25.9%	24.6%	15.7%	1.57×	4.06
Troyes to win to nil	12.2%	11.9%	23.8%	0.50×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.7%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.14
Lens by 1	23.1%	24.1%	14.8%	1.63×	4.15
Lens by 2	15.5%	17.0%	9.6%	1.78×	5.87
Troyes by 1	15.5%	17.0%	21.7%	0.78×	5.87
Lens by 3+	12.2%	11.7%	6.9%	1.71×	8.51
Troyes by 2	6.9%	7.2%	15.0%	0.48×	13.90
Troyes by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	10.0%	0.27×	36.74

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Troyes 1.47 xGLens 1.85 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Troyes attacking right Lens attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
0'	Troyes	Dermane Karim	0.02	From Corner	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
7'	Troyes	Timothee Nkada	0.01	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Antoine Mille
12'	Lens	Jean-Clair Todibo	0.04	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Florian Thauvin
12'	Lens	Ruben Aguilar	0.04	From Corner	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Jean-Clair Todibo
12'	Troyes	Adrien Monfray	0.00	From Corner	Right Foot	Own Goal	—
17'	Lens	Andrija Bulatovic	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Florian Sotoca
25'	Troyes	Antoine Mille	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	—
26'	Troyes	Timothee Nkada	0.54	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	—
30'	Lens	Michal Skóras	0.06	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
30'	Lens	Odsonne Edouard	0.06	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Florian Thauvin
35'	Lens	Odsonne Edouard	0.14	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	Florian Thauvin
38'	Lens	Andrija Bulatovic	0.06	Open Play	Left Foot	Shot On Post	Odsonne Edouard
39'	Lens	Ruben Aguilar	0.02	From Corner	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
45'	Troyes	Renaud Ripart	0.07	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Timothee Nkada
45'	Troyes	Timothee Nkada	0.11	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Michel Diaz
46'	Lens	Odsonne Edouard	0.60	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Florian Thauvin
46'	Troyes	Dermane Karim	0.01	From Corner	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
48'	Troyes	Paolo Gozzi Iweru	0.03	Set Piece	—	Saved Shot	Antoine Mille
49'	Troyes	Timothee Nkada	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Renaud Ripart
50'	Troyes	Renaud Ripart	0.30	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Dermane Karim
53'	Troyes	Renaud Ripart	0.26	From Corner	—	Saved Shot	Merwan Ifnaoui
54'	Lens	Ruben Aguilar	0.64	Open Play	—	Goal	Florian Thauvin
63'	Lens	Ruben Aguilar	0.09	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Florian Thauvin
70'	Lens	Andrija Bulatovic	0.03	Direct Freekick	Right Foot	Saved Shot	—
74'	Troyes	Lucas Maronnier	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Antoine Mille
92'	Lens	Mezian Soares	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Franjo Ivanovic

Players

Lens

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Andrija Bulatovic MC	90	0	0	3	0	0.11	0.00	1.32
Michal Skóras DML	90	0	0	1	0	0.06	0.00	0.20
Pierre Ganiou DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.20
Florian Sotoca AMC	90	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.93
Kyllian Antonio DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.06
Robin Risser GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.18
Ruben Aguilar DMR	77	1	0	4	0	0.79	0.00	0.79
Odsonne Edouard FW	72	1	0	3	1	0.80	0.06	0.79
Yacine Titraoui MC	72	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.31
Florian Thauvin AMC	72	0	2	0	6	0.00	1.57	1.48
Jean-Clair Todibo DC	65	0	0	1	1	0.04	0.04	0.00
Samson Baidoo Sub	25	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mezian Soares Sub	18	0	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	0.04
Amadou Haidara Sub	18	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Franjo Ivanovic Sub	18	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.04	0.04
Saud Abdulhamid Sub	13	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Troyes

Player	Min	G	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Renaud Ripart FW	90	0	3	1	0.63	0.05	0.55
Dermane Karim MC	90	0	2	1	0.04	0.30	0.50
Antoine Mille MC	90	0	1	3	0.04	0.07	0.24
Adrien Monfray DC	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.11
Patrick Beach GK	90	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Michel Diaz DC	90	0	0	1	0.00	0.11	0.19
Merwan Ifnaoui FWR	90	0	0	1	0.00	0.26	0.11
Lucas Maronnier DR	84	0	1	0	0.02	0.00	0.02
Mouhamed Diop MC	84	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.11
Paolo Gozzi Iweru DL	69	0	1	0	0.03	0.00	0.11
Timothee Nkada FWL	65	1	4	1	0.72	0.07	0.80
Kandet Diawara Sub	25	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.02
Noah Donkor Sub	21	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.02
Jeremy Le Douaron Sub	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Iron Gomis Sub	6	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Troyes v Lens — Prediction, Odds & Stats

AI prediction

Top 5 scorelines

Goals

Footing

Positive factors

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The price

Why Troyes

Why the draw is live

Why Lens can win

Key players

Availability

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

What the chances say

What the model said

All markets

Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

Lens

Troyes

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