Udinese v AC Milan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Udinese

19:45 UTC

AC Milan

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 33h before kick-off

Udinese win

23.2%

model 24.0%

Draw

23.2%

model 22.6%

AC Milan win

53.6%

model 53.3%

232354

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.8%
0-1 8.8%
0-2 8.3%
2-1 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.8%	Under 2.5	41.2%
BTTS yes	58.6%	BTTS no	41.4%
Udinese 1+	69.4%	Udinese 2+	33.1%
AC Milan 1+	84.5%	AC Milan 2+	55.7%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

99/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

AC Milan over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 35%

58.1% fair odds 1.72

strong signal · 830 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

AC Milan not to win both halves

Win both halves · usually 91%

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

AC Milan carry the stronger rating, 1671 Elo against 1459.
AC Milan have created 1.98 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Away from home AC Milan average 1.48 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

AC Milan have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 23.2% for Udinese and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Udinese and 1.87 for AC Milan.

Why Udinese

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while AC Milan have allowed 1.59. At home Udinese average 1.13 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why AC Milan can win

AC Milan carry the stronger rating, 1671 Elo against 1459. AC Milan have created 1.98 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. Away from home AC Milan average 1.48 xG a match.

Key players

Udinese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Keinan Davis (0.40), Nicolo Zaniolo (0.33), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (0.24). AC Milan's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Gonçalo Ramos (0.55), Christian Pulisic (0.43), Rafael Leão (0.43).

Availability

1 of Udinese's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Udinese's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of AC Milan's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of AC Milan's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Udinese: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.32 xG a match from set pieces. AC Milan: 60% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.59 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

AC Milan are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 99/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Udinese are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLDWLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 11.3 xG conceded 18 from 21.1 xG

AC Milan are conceding fewer than expected — 2.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWLWWDDWDW last 10 scored 19 from 19.8 xG conceded 13 from 15.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242353	1.18–1.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	242352	1.12–1.76	1-1 11%	55%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to win	46.6%	47.4%	33.6%	1.41×	2.11
Udinese to win	29.4%	27.9%	40.1%	0.70×	3.58
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	26.4%	0.93×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan & both teams score	24.2%	21.8%	13.2%	1.65×	4.58
AC Milan & not both score	22.4%	21.8%	20.5%	1.06×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Udinese & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.57
Udinese & not both score	13.5%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.53
Draw & not both score	5.1%	8.3%	7.9%	1.05×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan & over 1.5	38.0%	34.9%	24.6%	1.42×	2.87
AC Milan & over 2.5	30.7%	30.8%	18.1%	1.70×	3.25
AC Milan & under 3.5	29.3%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.84
Udinese & over 1.5	22.8%	21.6%	30.0%	0.72×	4.63
Udinese & under 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	29.5%	0.61×	5.56
Udinese & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
AC Milan & over 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	7.4%	2.42×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
AC Milan & under 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Udinese & under 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.79
Udinese & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
AC Milan & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Udinese & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	7.9%	1.00×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (1UP)	63.0%	62.9%	50.4%	1.25×	1.59
Udinese (1UP)	48.3%	43.9%	55.3%	0.79×	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (2UP)	46.6%	50.0%	36.1%	1.38×	2.00
Udinese (2UP)	29.4%	25.3%	41.9%	0.60×	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to win 2nd half	45.9%	45.7%	30.1%	1.52×	2.19
2nd half drawn	31.7%	34.3%	35.1%	0.98×	2.91
Udinese to win 2nd half	22.4%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	70.2%	85.0%	0.83×	1.42
AC Milan over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	70.1%	50.1%	1.40×	1.43
AC Milan under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	29.9%	49.9%	0.60×	3.34
AC Milan over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	29.8%	15.0%	1.98×	3.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	82.6%	81.4%	1.02×	1.21
Udinese under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	55.0%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Udinese over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	45.0%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22
Udinese over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	17.4%	18.6%	0.93×	5.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
AC Milan (+1.5)	87.5%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
AC Milan (+0.5)	70.6%	73.6%	59.9%	1.23×	1.36
Udinese (+0.5)	53.4%	52.4%	66.4%	0.79×	1.91
AC Milan (-0.5)	46.6%	47.6%	33.6%	1.42×	2.10
Udinese (-0.5)	29.4%	26.4%	40.1%	0.66×	3.79
Udinese (-1.5)	12.5%	11.5%	17.5%	0.66×	8.67
Udinese (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to concede	72.4%	76.7%	71.7%	1.07×	1.30
AC Milan clean sheet	27.6%	23.3%	28.3%	0.82×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	50.8%	57.9%	0.88×	1.97
AC Milan to concede in 1st half	45.4%	49.2%	42.1%	1.17×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan clean sheet in 2nd half	50.4%	54.8%	46.2%	1.19×	1.83
AC Milan to concede in 2nd half	49.6%	45.2%	53.8%	0.84×	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan under 6.5 corners	82.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
AC Milan over 2.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
AC Milan under 5.5 corners	72.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
AC Milan under 4.5 corners	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
AC Milan over 3.5 corners	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
AC Milan under 3.5 corners	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
AC Milan over 4.5 corners	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
AC Milan over 5.5 corners	27.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
AC Milan under 2.5 corners	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
AC Milan over 6.5 corners	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan under 3.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
AC Milan over 0.5 goals	81.4%	81.5%	69.6%	1.17×	1.23
AC Milan under 2.5 goals	76.2%	76.2%	88.1%	0.87×	1.31
AC Milan over 1.5 goals	50.1%	53.5%	35.1%	1.53×	1.87
AC Milan under 1.5 goals	49.9%	46.5%	64.9%	0.72×	2.15
AC Milan over 2.5 goals	23.8%	23.8%	11.9%	2.00×	4.21
AC Milan under 0.5 goals	18.6%	18.5%	30.4%	0.61×	5.39
AC Milan over 3.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	2.9%	2.66×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.2%	89.9%	0.99×	1.12
AC Milan under 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	61.9%	58.8%	1.05×	1.62
AC Milan over 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	38.1%	41.2%	0.92×	2.63
AC Milan over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.8%	10.1%	1.07×	9.30

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan scores more in 2nd half	49.3%	48.0%	32.9%	1.46×	2.09
AC Milan scores equally in both	32.3%	33.4%	43.3%	0.77×	2.99
AC Milan scores more in 1st half	18.4%	17.8%	23.9%	0.75×	5.62

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (away no bet)	55.1%	57.3%	60.3%	0.95×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.9%	42.7%	39.7%	1.07×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan even goals	51.7%	52.6%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90
AC Milan odd goals	48.3%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.5%	82.9%	87.3%	0.95×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.1%	12.7%	1.34×	5.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.8%	68.5%	60.3%	1.14×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.2%	31.5%	39.7%	0.79×	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.2%	59.9%	53.4%	1.12×	1.67
AC Milan to score 2+ in a row	40.8%	38.6%	27.7%	1.39×	2.59
Udinese to score 2+ in a row	27.2%	25.2%	31.8%	0.79×	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.6%	17.9%	1.10×	5.10
AC Milan to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	16.2%	7.9%	2.05×	6.17
Udinese to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	5.6%	10.1%	0.55×	17.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan corners (+3.5)	84.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Udinese corners (+3.5)	83.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
AC Milan corners (+2.5)	77.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Udinese corners (+2.5)	76.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
AC Milan corners (+1.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Udinese corners (+1.5)	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
AC Milan corners (-1.5)	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Udinese corners (-1.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
AC Milan corners (-2.5)	23.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Udinese corners (-2.5)	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
AC Milan corners (-3.5)	16.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Udinese corners (-3.5)	15.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	35.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	13.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.1%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.72
0-1	8.6%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
1-2	9.3%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.50
0-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.51
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
0-0	5.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.51
1-3	5.2%	7.4%	2.0%	3.63×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
0-3	4.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.79×	58.31
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.31
2-0	4.3%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.31
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.32
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (2nd half DNB)	67.2%	67.0%	46.3%	1.45×	1.49
Udinese (2nd half DNB)	32.8%	33.0%	53.7%	0.62×	3.03

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese leading at HT (DNB)	52.4%	55.9%	51.2%	1.09×	1.79
AC Milan leading at HT (DNB)	47.6%	44.1%	48.8%	0.90×	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese or AC Milan (12)	76.1%	75.5%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
AC Milan or draw (X2)	70.6%	72.1%	59.9%	1.20×	1.39
Udinese or draw (1X)	53.4%	52.6%	66.4%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese or draw at HT	72.7%	74.9%	72.9%	1.03×	1.34
AC Milan or draw at HT	70.0%	67.2%	71.5%	0.94×	1.49
Udinese or AC Milan at HT	57.3%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan or draw (1UP)	70.6%	79.5%	65.4%	1.22×	1.26
Udinese or draw (1UP)	53.4%	58.7%	71.7%	0.82×	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan or draw in 2nd half	77.6%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Udinese or AC Milan in 2nd half	68.3%	65.7%	64.9%	1.01×	1.52
Udinese or draw in 2nd half	54.1%	54.3%	69.9%	0.78×	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.9%	61.4%	63.5%	0.97×	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.1%	38.6%	36.5%	1.06×	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (DNB)	61.3%	62.7%	45.6%	1.37×	1.60
Udinese (DNB)	38.7%	37.3%	54.4%	0.69×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to score first	53.7%	53.4%	43.6%	1.23×	1.87
Udinese to score first	41.2%	41.6%	48.6%	0.86×	2.40
No goal scored	5.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.9%	55.0%	49.2%	1.12×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.1%	45.0%	50.8%	0.89×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.8%	44.3%	37.5%	1.18×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.9%	34.5%	40.1%	0.86×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.5%	82.6%	86.4%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.5%	17.4%	13.6%	1.28×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.6%	67.4%	74.8%	0.90×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.4%	32.6%	25.2%	1.29×	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.6%	54.8%	62.7%	0.87×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	27.1%	20.4%	1.33×	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.8%	12.2%	0.88×	9.30
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	4.9%	1.38×	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.5%	83.2%	83.0%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.5%	16.8%	17.0%	0.99×	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.5%	57.3%	52.8%	1.08×	1.75
A half without a goal	42.5%	42.7%	47.2%	0.91×	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.0%	47.2%	48.4%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.4%	30.7%	23.9%	1.29×	3.26
0-1 goals	20.4%	22.9%	27.0%	0.85×	4.37
7+ goals	3.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.92×	54.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to score exactly 1	31.3%	33.8%	34.7%	0.98×	2.96
AC Milan to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.4%	23.3%	1.17×	3.66
AC Milan to score 3+	23.8%	22.3%	11.9%	1.88×	4.48
AC Milan to score exactly 0	18.6%	19.6%	30.4%	0.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Udinese to score exactly 0	27.6%	26.5%	28.3%	0.94×	3.77
Udinese to score exactly 2	22.9%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.29
Udinese to score 3+	14.0%	14.3%	15.1%	0.95×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.7%	42.9%	44.5%	0.96×	2.33
Udinese leading at HT	30.0%	32.8%	28.5%	1.15×	3.05
AC Milan leading at HT	27.3%	25.1%	27.1%	0.92×	3.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan -1: 1	53.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
AC Milan -1: 2	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
AC Milan -1: X	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (0:1)	70.6%	71.0%	59.9%	1.19×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.9%	17.8%	22.7%	0.79×	5.61
Udinese (0:1)	12.5%	13.7%	17.5%	0.78×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (0:2)	87.5%	87.1%	82.5%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	13.03
Udinese (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.62

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.08
Udinese (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	82.00
Udinese (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (1:0)	53.4%	54.0%	66.4%	0.81×	1.85
AC Milan (1:0)	24.6%	21.7%	14.4%	1.51×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	22.0%	21.7%	19.3%	1.12×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (2:0)	75.4%	80.4%	85.6%	0.94×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	14.1%	10.3%	8.6%	1.19×	9.70
AC Milan (2:0)	10.5%	10.3%	5.9%	1.75×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.3%	50.4%	46.2%	1.09×	1.99
1st half highest scoring	24.6%	24.5%	27.0%	0.91×	4.08
Halves equal	23.1%	24.5%	26.9%	0.91×	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede	81.4%	80.8%	69.6%	1.16×	1.24
Udinese clean sheet	18.6%	19.2%	30.4%	0.63×	5.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese clean sheet in 1st half	57.1%	61.9%	58.8%	1.05×	1.62
Udinese to concede in 1st half	42.9%	38.1%	41.2%	0.92×	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede in 2nd half	67.4%	67.0%	50.1%	1.34×	1.49
Udinese clean sheet in 2nd half	32.6%	33.0%	49.9%	0.66×	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 6.5 corners	82.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Udinese under 5.5 corners	73.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Udinese over 2.5 corners	72.0%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Udinese under 4.5 corners	60.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Udinese over 3.5 corners	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Udinese under 3.5 corners	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Udinese over 4.5 corners	39.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Udinese under 2.5 corners	28.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Udinese over 5.5 corners	26.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Udinese over 6.5 corners	17.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Udinese under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.3%	84.9%	1.03×	1.15
Udinese over 0.5 goals	72.4%	74.2%	71.7%	1.04×	1.35
Udinese under 1.5 goals	63.1%	63.6%	60.3%	1.06×	1.57
Udinese over 1.5 goals	36.9%	36.4%	39.7%	0.92×	2.75
Udinese under 0.5 goals	27.6%	25.8%	28.3%	0.91×	3.88
Udinese over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.8%	15.1%	0.84×	7.84
Udinese over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	4.7%	0.78×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	90.3%	89.3%	1.01×	1.11
Udinese under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	50.6%	57.9%	0.87×	1.98
Udinese over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	49.4%	42.1%	1.17×	2.02
Udinese over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	9.7%	10.7%	0.91×	10.26

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese scores equally in both	40.2%	42.2%	41.7%	1.01×	2.37
Udinese scores more in 2nd half	32.4%	33.2%	36.3%	0.91×	3.02
Udinese scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.7%	22.2%	1.25×	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan (home no bet)	66.1%	64.1%	56.0%	1.14×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	33.9%	35.9%	44.0%	0.82×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese even goals	53.8%	50.7%	56.2%	0.90×	1.97
Udinese odd goals	46.2%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	33.1%	33.7%	0.98×	3.02
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.7%	18.5%	1.01×	5.36
HT 0-1	17.5%	18.6%	18.1%	1.03×	5.37
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	10.3%	1.06×	9.13
HT 2-0	5.7%	6.9%	5.8%	1.20×	14.50
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.98
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.02
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.09
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.10
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	0.7%	3.29×	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan at HT / AC Milan at FT	22.3%	21.6%	19.1%	1.13×	4.62
Draw at HT / AC Milan at FT	19.6%	16.8%	12.8%	1.31×	5.96
Udinese at HT / Udinese at FT	18.5%	16.8%	22.1%	0.76×	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.5%	12.7%	16.1%	0.79×	7.90
Draw at HT / Udinese at FT	9.6%	6.0%	15.8%	0.38×	16.55
Udinese at HT / Draw at FT	6.8%	6.0%	4.7%	1.28×	16.63
Udinese at HT / AC Milan at FT	4.7%	3.5%	1.9%	1.82×	28.62
AC Milan at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	5.9%	0.59×	28.66
AC Milan at HT / Udinese at FT	1.4%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to score last	53.7%	52.2%	44.1%	1.19×	1.92
Udinese to score last	41.2%	40.0%	48.1%	0.83×	2.50
No goal scored	5.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.9%	92.7%	92.1%	1.01×	1.08
AC Milan to lead by 1 at any time	63.0%	61.4%	50.4%	1.22×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.2%	50.8%	43.7%	1.16×	1.97
Udinese to lead by 1 at any time	48.3%	44.6%	55.3%	0.81×	2.25
AC Milan to lead by 2 at any time	31.8%	29.8%	20.2%	1.48×	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.0%	15.0%	15.1%	0.99×	6.68
Udinese to lead by 2 at any time	18.7%	15.0%	24.0%	0.62×	6.69
AC Milan to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.5%	6.5%	1.62×	9.55
Udinese to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	6.7%	8.8%	0.76×	14.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan most corners	44.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Udinese most corners	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.9%	78.7%	80.7%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.4%	78.7%	72.1%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.3%	63.3%	67.5%	0.94×	1.58
3-6 goals	53.8%	53.2%	47.3%	1.12×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.9%	48.5%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.0%	48.5%	48.4%	1.00×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.0%	39.2%	36.7%	1.07×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.9%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.4%	35.2%	23.9%	1.47×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.5%	30.2%	21.8%	1.38×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.8%	14.8%	10.7%	1.39×	6.75
7+ goals	3.2%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.08

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan never behind	46.6%	56.6%	44.7%	1.27×	1.77
Udinese never behind	31.9%	36.2%	49.6%	0.73×	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.6%	56.5%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	50.7%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	49.3%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.1%	82.3%	88.5%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.6%	77.3%	73.0%	1.06×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	65.4%	66.3%	75.3%	0.88×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	57.0%	58.6%	48.1%	1.22×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	43.0%	41.4%	51.9%	0.80×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	34.6%	33.7%	24.7%	1.36×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	20.4%	22.7%	27.0%	0.84×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.9%	17.7%	11.5%	1.54×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	3.0%	2.58×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	7.9%	0.97×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.7%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.0%	92.4%	96.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.5%	75.9%	86.7%	0.88×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.7%	72.4%	64.1%	1.13×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.4%	55.8%	67.7%	0.82×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.6%	44.2%	32.3%	1.37×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.3%	27.6%	35.9%	0.77×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.5%	24.1%	13.3%	1.82×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.0%	7.6%	3.3%	2.32×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.3%	2.8%	1.0%	2.87×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.2%	91.2%	0.98×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.6%	66.3%	1.04×	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.6%	70.1%	0.98×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.4%	29.9%	1.05×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.4%	33.7%	0.93×	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	10.8%	8.8%	1.23×	9.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	83.3%	78.6%	1.06×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.6%	82.4%	0.94×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.8%	53.0%	43.1%	1.23×	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.2%	47.0%	56.9%	0.83×	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.4%	17.6%	1.27×	4.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	16.7%	21.4%	0.78×	5.98

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to score in both halves	77.5%	78.5%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
AC Milan not to score in both halves	71.1%	73.8%	78.4%	0.94×	1.36
AC Milan to score in both halves	28.9%	26.2%	21.6%	1.21×	3.82
Udinese to score in both halves	22.5%	21.5%	24.3%	0.89×	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.9%	58.7%	49.2%	1.19×	1.71
Only AC Milan scores	22.4%	22.2%	20.5%	1.08×	4.49
Only Udinese scores	13.5%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.06
Neither team scores	5.1%	7.1%	7.9%	0.90×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.6%	22.6%	25.0%	0.90×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.5%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.6%	17.5%	13.3%	1.31×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.2%	17.5%	19.2%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.9%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.13
6 or more goals	8.1%	7.6%	3.0%	2.54×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.1%	7.6%	7.9%	0.96×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	36.5%	1.02×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.8%	33.7%	1.06×	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.2%	21.4%	21.2%	1.01×	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.3%	10.7%	8.8%	1.22×	9.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.8%	51.2%	43.1%	1.19×	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	29.3%	35.7%	0.82×	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	16.5%	16.4%	21.4%	0.77×	6.10

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win both halves	93.3%	94.1%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
AC Milan not to win both halves	87.5%	88.0%	91.1%	0.97×	1.14
AC Milan to win both halves	12.5%	12.0%	8.9%	1.36×	8.30
Udinese to win both halves	6.7%	5.9%	10.1%	0.58×	17.03

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AC Milan to win either half	60.6%	65.0%	48.4%	1.34×	1.54
Udinese to win neither half	54.3%	54.3%	46.7%	1.16×	1.84
Udinese to win either half	45.7%	45.7%	53.3%	0.86×	2.19
AC Milan to win neither half	39.4%	35.0%	51.6%	0.68×	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win to nil	86.5%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
AC Milan not to win to nil	77.6%	78.1%	79.5%	0.98×	1.28
AC Milan to win to nil	22.4%	21.9%	20.5%	1.07×	4.57
Udinese to win to nil	13.5%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.15
AC Milan by 1	22.0%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
Udinese by 1	16.9%	17.0%	22.7%	0.75×	5.87
AC Milan by 2	14.1%	11.8%	8.6%	1.36×	8.50
AC Milan by 3+	10.5%	11.8%	5.9%	2.00×	8.51
Udinese by 2	8.3%	7.2%	10.0%	0.72×	13.90
Udinese by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.77