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Udinese v Genoa — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

0–2
0.16 – 1.72 xG
Shots
5 – 14
On target
2 – 3
Shots in box
1 – 7
xG per shot
0.03 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.26
Goals − xG
-0.16 – +0.28
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Andrea Pinamonti 12' — goal
Udinese 0.16 xGGenoa 1.72 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Andrea Pinamonti 5' — Saved Shot (0.17 xG, Direct Freekick)Andrea Pinamonti 8' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 12' — Goal (0.61 xG, Open Play)Milan Badelj 12' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Morten Frendrup 21' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Morten Thorsby 25' — Blocked Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Jordan Zemura 30' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 35' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Fabio Miretti 36' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 45' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 50' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alessandro Zanoli 59' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 65' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Lautaro Giannetti 66' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Johan Vásquez 71' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 73' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Junior Messias 85' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Mario Balotelli 87' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Mario Balotelli 92' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)
Udinese attacking right Genoa attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.17 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
8' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot Alessandro Zanoli
12' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.61 Open Play Right Foot Goal
12' Genoa Milan Badelj 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alessandro Zanoli
21' Genoa Morten Frendrup 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alessandro Zanoli
25' Genoa Morten Thorsby 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
30' Udinese Jordan Zemura 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lautaro Giannetti
35' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Morten Thorsby
36' Genoa Fabio Miretti 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alessandro Zanoli
45' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Keinan Davis
50' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alessandro Zanoli
59' Genoa Alessandro Zanoli 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Morten Thorsby
65' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Enzo Ebosse
66' Udinese Lautaro Giannetti 0.00 Open Play Left Foot Own Goal
71' Genoa Johan Vásquez 0.03 Set Piece Missed Shot Aarón Martín
73' Udinese Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jordan Zemura
85' Genoa Junior Messias 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Morten Thorsby
87' Genoa Mario Balotelli 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Aarón Martín
92' Genoa Mario Balotelli 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot

Players

Genoa

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Morten Thorsby MC 90 0 0 1 3 0.44 0.18 0.73
Morten Frendrup MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.23
Johan Vásquez DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.07
Aarón Martín DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.05 0.15
Stefano Sabelli DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Nicola Leali GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Mattia Bani DC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Alessandro Zanoli MR 79 0 0 1 5 0.03 0.23 0.26
Andrea Pinamonti FW 72 1 0 5 0 0.88 0.00 0.71
Fabio Miretti ML 72 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.14
Milan Badelj DMC 72 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.16
Junior Messias Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.11
Vitinha Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Patrizio Masini Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mario Balotelli Sub 11 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.11
Alessandro Vogliacco Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Udinese

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jordan Zemura DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.10
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp ML 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Keinan Davis FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.09
Jesper Karlström MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Maduka Okoye GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Lautaro Giannetti DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.05
Florian Thauvin MR 78 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.16
Sandi Lovric MC 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Lorenzo Lucca FW 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Kingsley Ehizibue DR 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Enzo Ebosse Sub 41 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Thomas Thiesson Kristensen Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arthur Atta Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iker Bravo Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Souleymane Isaak Touré DC 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rui Modesto Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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