Udinese v Roma — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Udinese

14:00 UTC

Roma

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 243h before kick-off

Udinese win

17.7%

model 15.2%

Draw

17.9%

model 18.9%

Roma win

64.4%

model 65.9%

181864

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 10.0%
1-2 9.8%
0-1 9.0%
1-1 8.8%
0-3 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.4%	Under 2.5	37.6%
BTTS yes	55.8%	BTTS no	44.2%
Udinese 1+	62.4%	Udinese 2+	25.7%
Roma 1+	89.4%	Roma 2+	65.5%

Expected goals 0.98 – 2.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

91/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

91%

★ Best pick

Roma (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Udinese not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 76%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Roma carry the stronger rating, 1755 Elo against 1459.
Roma have created 2.66 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Roma average 2.84 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Roma have an estimated 64.4% win probability, against 17.9% for the draw and 17.7% for Udinese. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Udinese and 2.24 for Roma.

Why Udinese

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while Roma have allowed 0.99. At home Udinese average 1.13 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Roma were missing 1.98 expected goal involvements a match against 0.84.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.9%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Roma can win

Roma carry the stronger rating, 1755 Elo against 1459. Roma have created 2.66 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five. Away from home Roma average 2.84 xG a match.

Key players

Udinese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Keinan Davis (0.40), Nicolo Zaniolo (0.33), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (0.24). Roma's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Donyell Malen (0.81), Paulo Dybala (0.60), Artem Dovbyk (0.30).

Availability

1 of Udinese's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Udinese's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Roma's top three contributors did not start their last match. 64% of Roma's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Udinese: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.32 xG a match from set pieces. Roma: 53% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.22 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Roma are the model's most likely outcome at 64.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 10.0%. Confidence 91/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Udinese are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLDWLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 11.3 xG conceded 18 from 21.1 xG

Roma are finishing below their chances — 3.6 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWWWWWWDDW last 10 scored 23 from 26.6 xG conceded 5 from 9.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	151966	0.98–2.24	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	212357	1.01–1.83	1-1 11%	54%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to win	55.4%	54.0%	33.7%	1.60×	1.85
Udinese to win	22.3%	24.4%	40.0%	0.61×	4.09
Draw	22.3%	24.4%	26.4%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma & both teams score	27.8%	25.2%	13.2%	1.90×	3.97
Roma & not both score	27.6%	25.2%	20.6%	1.23×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	18.6%	0.96×	5.57
Udinese & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	17.5%	0.76×	7.54
Udinese & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.9%	4.9%	7.9%	0.61×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma & over 1.5	46.1%	45.0%	24.6%	1.83×	2.22
Roma & over 2.5	37.3%	34.9%	18.1%	1.92×	2.87
Roma & under 3.5	33.4%	30.8%	26.3%	1.17×	3.25
Roma & over 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	7.5%	2.90×	4.63
Roma & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Udinese & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	29.9%	0.60×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Udinese & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	29.6%	0.61×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Udinese & over 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	23.3%	0.55×	7.79
Roma & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Udinese & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.63
Udinese & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	6.9%	1.16×	12.63
Udinese & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	7.9%	0.61×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (1UP)	69.7%	70.3%	50.5%	1.39×	1.42
Udinese (1UP)	41.3%	38.4%	55.3%	0.69×	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (2UP)	55.4%	54.9%	36.2%	1.52×	1.82
Udinese (2UP)	22.3%	23.4%	41.8%	0.56×	4.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to win 2nd half	41.4%	41.8%	30.2%	1.39×	2.39
2nd half drawn	32.9%	34.3%	35.0%	0.98×	2.91
Udinese to win 2nd half	25.7%	25.7%	35.0%	0.73×	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	75.3%	85.1%	0.89×	1.33
Roma over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.9%	60.1%	50.0%	1.20×	1.66
Roma under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.1%	39.9%	50.0%	0.80×	2.51
Roma over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	24.7%	14.9%	1.66×	4.05

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.3%	82.5%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Udinese over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.82
Udinese under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23
Udinese over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.7%	17.5%	18.5%	0.94×	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Roma (+1.5)	91.5%	92.1%	82.5%	1.12×	1.09
Roma (+0.5)	77.7%	78.5%	60.0%	1.31×	1.27
Roma (-0.5)	55.4%	57.0%	33.7%	1.69×	1.75
Udinese (+0.5)	44.6%	43.0%	66.3%	0.65×	2.33
Udinese (-0.5)	22.3%	21.5%	40.0%	0.54×	4.65
Udinese (-1.5)	8.5%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.68
Udinese (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.14

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to concede	67.5%	72.3%	71.6%	1.01×	1.38
Roma clean sheet	32.5%	27.7%	28.4%	0.98×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma clean sheet in 1st half	67.5%	70.5%	57.9%	1.22×	1.42
Roma to concede in 1st half	32.5%	29.5%	42.1%	0.70×	3.39

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to concede in 2nd half	51.9%	54.8%	53.7%	1.02×	1.82
Roma clean sheet in 2nd half	48.1%	45.2%	46.3%	0.98×	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma over 2.5 corners	79.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Roma under 6.5 corners	73.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Roma over 3.5 corners	65.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Roma under 5.5 corners	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Roma over 4.5 corners	50.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Roma under 4.5 corners	49.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Roma over 5.5 corners	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Roma under 3.5 corners	34.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Roma over 6.5 corners	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Roma under 2.5 corners	20.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 3.5 goals	87.5%	87.8%	97.1%	0.90×	1.14
Roma over 0.5 goals	85.0%	81.5%	69.6%	1.17×	1.23
Roma under 2.5 goals	70.5%	71.9%	88.1%	0.82×	1.39
Roma over 1.5 goals	56.5%	59.4%	35.0%	1.70×	1.68
Roma under 1.5 goals	43.5%	40.6%	65.0%	0.62×	2.46
Roma over 2.5 goals	29.5%	28.1%	11.9%	2.37×	3.55
Roma under 0.5 goals	15.0%	18.5%	30.4%	0.61×	5.40
Roma over 3.5 goals	12.5%	12.2%	2.9%	4.23×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma under 1.5 in 1st half	78.1%	75.8%	89.9%	0.84×	1.32
Roma over 0.5 in 1st half	58.4%	62.0%	41.2%	1.50×	1.61
Roma under 0.5 in 1st half	41.6%	38.0%	58.8%	0.65×	2.63
Roma over 1.5 in 1st half	21.9%	24.2%	10.1%	2.39×	4.14

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.3%	32.8%	1.14×	2.68
Roma scores equally in both	31.8%	33.6%	43.4%	0.77×	2.98
Roma scores more in 1st half	30.4%	33.6%	23.9%	1.40×	2.98

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.0%	51.7%	39.8%	1.30×	1.94
Udinese (away no bet)	50.0%	48.3%	60.2%	0.80×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma even goals	51.1%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90
Roma odd goals	48.9%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.1%	82.7%	87.3%	0.95×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.3%	12.7%	1.36×	5.77

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.6%	68.6%	60.2%	1.14×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.4%	31.4%	39.8%	0.79×	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.2%	60.1%	53.4%	1.13×	1.66
Roma to score 2+ in a row	47.9%	46.2%	27.8%	1.66×	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.4%	25.2%	17.9%	1.40×	3.98
Udinese to score 2+ in a row	21.6%	19.6%	31.7%	0.62×	5.10
Roma to score 3+ in a row	20.5%	19.6%	7.9%	2.47×	5.11
Udinese to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	10.1%	0.55×	18.13

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma corners (+3.5)	90.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Roma corners (+2.5)	84.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Roma corners (+1.5)	77.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Udinese corners (+3.5)	74.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Udinese corners (+2.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Udinese corners (+1.5)	54.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Roma corners (-1.5)	45.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Roma corners (-2.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Roma corners (-3.5)	25.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Udinese corners (-1.5)	22.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Udinese corners (-2.5)	15.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Udinese corners (-3.5)	9.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	38.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.72
0-1	9.2%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.50
0-2	8.8%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.50
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-3	5.5%	7.4%	3.5%	2.12×	13.51
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.51
1-3	6.2%	7.4%	2.0%	3.62×	13.51
2-1	5.9%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
0-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.9%	0.22×	58.29
Any other score	4.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.29
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.78×	58.30
1-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.30
2-0	3.1%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.30
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
2-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.31
3-0	1.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.32
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.13×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (2nd half DNB)	61.7%	62.5%	46.3%	1.35×	1.60
Udinese (2nd half DNB)	38.3%	37.5%	53.7%	0.70×	2.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma leading at HT (DNB)	74.3%	74.2%	48.9%	1.52×	1.35
Udinese leading at HT (DNB)	25.7%	25.8%	51.1%	0.51×	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma or draw (X2)	77.7%	75.6%	60.0%	1.26×	1.32
Udinese or Roma (12)	77.7%	75.6%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Udinese or draw (1X)	44.6%	46.0%	66.3%	0.69×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma or draw at HT	84.2%	84.4%	71.6%	1.18×	1.19
Udinese or Roma at HT	61.4%	61.6%	55.4%	1.11×	1.62
Udinese or draw at HT	54.4%	48.0%	72.8%	0.66×	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma or draw (1UP)	77.7%	84.1%	65.5%	1.28×	1.19
Udinese or draw (1UP)	44.6%	52.8%	71.6%	0.74×	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma or draw in 2nd half	74.3%	74.3%	65.0%	1.14×	1.35
Udinese or Roma in 2nd half	67.1%	65.7%	65.0%	1.01×	1.52
Udinese or draw in 2nd half	58.6%	58.2%	69.8%	0.83×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.8%	58.5%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Neither half drawn	41.2%	41.5%	36.5%	1.14×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (DNB)	71.3%	71.5%	45.7%	1.56×	1.40
Udinese (DNB)	28.7%	28.5%	54.3%	0.53×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to score first	59.7%	62.3%	43.6%	1.43×	1.61
Udinese to score first	35.4%	32.7%	48.6%	0.67×	3.06
No goal scored	4.9%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.16

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.4%	55.0%	49.2%	1.12×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.6%	45.0%	50.8%	0.89×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.0%	44.3%	37.4%	1.19×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.4%	34.5%	40.1%	0.86×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	10.8%	1.14×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.5%	82.6%	86.5%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.5%	17.4%	13.5%	1.29×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.8%	67.3%	74.9%	0.90×	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.2%	32.7%	25.1%	1.30×	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.1%	54.9%	62.7%	0.88×	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	27.4%	20.3%	1.35×	3.65
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	12.3%	0.87×	9.36
Both score in both halves	6.3%	6.8%	4.9%	1.38×	14.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	83.2%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	16.8%	17.1%	0.99×	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.4%	57.5%	52.8%	1.09×	1.74
A half without a goal	40.6%	42.5%	47.2%	0.90×	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.7%	42.1%	48.4%	0.87×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.3%	30.7%	23.8%	1.29×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.6%	20.3%	27.0%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	3.4%	1.8%	1.0%	1.92×	54.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to score 3+	29.5%	27.4%	11.9%	2.30×	3.65
Roma to score exactly 1	28.5%	27.4%	34.7%	0.79×	3.65
Roma to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	23.2%	1.18×	3.65
Roma to score exactly 0	15.0%	19.6%	30.4%	0.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Udinese to score exactly 0	32.5%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.07
Udinese to score exactly 2	20.5%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.29
Udinese to score 3+	10.5%	14.3%	15.0%	0.95×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma leading at HT	45.6%	52.0%	27.2%	1.92×	1.92
Draw at HT	38.6%	38.4%	44.6%	0.86×	2.60
Udinese leading at HT	15.8%	15.6%	28.4%	0.55×	6.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma -1: 1	44.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Roma -1: 2	32.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Roma -1: X	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:1)	77.7%	73.8%	60.0%	1.23×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	13.8%	13.7%	22.6%	0.61×	7.28
Udinese (0:1)	8.5%	9.3%	17.5%	0.53×	10.80

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:2)	91.5%	90.7%	82.5%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.0%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	13.05
Udinese (0:2)	2.5%	3.7%	7.7%	0.49×	26.72

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.11
Udinese (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	82.05
Udinese (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (1:0)	44.6%	43.5%	66.3%	0.66×	2.30
Roma (1:0)	32.1%	30.1%	14.4%	2.08×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	23.3%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (2:0)	67.9%	70.9%	85.6%	0.83×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	16.9%	15.8%	8.7%	1.83×	6.33
Roma (2:0)	15.1%	15.8%	5.9%	2.68×	6.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.8%	46.2%	1.06×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	27.0%	0.97×	3.81
Halves equal	23.5%	24.4%	26.9%	0.90×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede	85.0%	81.0%	69.6%	1.16×	1.24
Udinese clean sheet	15.0%	19.0%	30.4%	0.63×	5.25

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede in 1st half	58.4%	62.0%	41.2%	1.50×	1.61
Udinese clean sheet in 1st half	41.6%	38.0%	58.8%	0.65×	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede in 2nd half	63.9%	59.9%	50.0%	1.20×	1.67
Udinese clean sheet in 2nd half	36.1%	40.1%	50.0%	0.80×	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 6.5 corners	87.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Udinese under 5.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Udinese under 4.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Udinese over 2.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Udinese under 3.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Udinese over 3.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Udinese under 2.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Udinese over 4.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Udinese over 5.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Udinese over 6.5 corners	12.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Udinese under 2.5 goals	89.5%	87.3%	85.0%	1.03×	1.15
Udinese under 1.5 goals	69.0%	68.0%	60.3%	1.13×	1.47
Udinese over 0.5 goals	67.5%	68.0%	71.6%	0.95×	1.47
Udinese under 0.5 goals	32.5%	32.0%	28.4%	1.13×	3.12
Udinese over 1.5 goals	31.0%	32.0%	39.7%	0.81×	3.12
Udinese over 2.5 goals	10.5%	12.7%	15.0%	0.85×	7.86
Udinese over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 1st half	94.0%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Udinese under 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.8%	57.9%	1.19×	1.45
Udinese over 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.2%	42.1%	0.74×	3.21
Udinese over 1.5 in 1st half	6.0%	5.1%	10.7%	0.48×	19.56

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese scores equally in both	42.5%	42.1%	41.7%	1.01×	2.38
Udinese scores more in 2nd half	39.7%	38.0%	36.2%	1.05×	2.64
Udinese scores more in 1st half	17.8%	15.4%	22.2%	0.69×	6.48

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma (home no bet)	71.3%	66.8%	56.0%	1.19×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	28.7%	33.2%	44.0%	0.76×	3.01

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese even goals	55.3%	55.2%	56.3%	0.98×	1.81
Udinese odd goals	44.7%	44.8%	43.8%	1.02×	2.23

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.1%	28.0%	33.8%	0.83×	3.57
HT 0-1	24.6%	24.5%	18.1%	1.35×	4.09
HT 1-0	11.0%	11.0%	18.4%	0.60×	9.09
HT 0-2	10.8%	11.0%	5.4%	2.03×	9.09
HT 1-1	9.7%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.45
Any other HT score	6.6%	6.9%	3.4%	2.05×	14.50
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.00
HT 2-0	2.2%	2.4%	5.8%	0.41×	42.14
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.15
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	0.7%	3.28×	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma at HT / Roma at FT	37.1%	41.7%	19.1%	2.18×	2.40
Draw at HT / Roma at FT	16.0%	16.7%	12.9%	1.30×	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.6%	16.1%	0.79×	7.91
Udinese at HT / Udinese at FT	10.0%	6.0%	22.0%	0.27×	16.54
Draw at HT / Udinese at FT	9.9%	6.0%	15.9%	0.38×	16.55
Roma at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	5.9%	1.02×	16.66
Udinese at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.63
Roma at HT / Udinese at FT	2.4%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.68
Udinese at HT / Roma at FT	2.2%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to score last	59.7%	56.6%	44.0%	1.29×	1.77
Udinese to score last	35.4%	38.5%	48.2%	0.80×	2.60
No goal scored	4.9%	4.3%	7.9%	0.54×	23.16

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.1%	95.6%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Roma to lead by 1 at any time	69.7%	69.5%	50.5%	1.38×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.8%	50.9%	43.6%	1.17×	1.97
Udinese to lead by 1 at any time	41.3%	39.1%	55.3%	0.71×	2.56
Roma to lead by 2 at any time	39.3%	34.7%	20.2%	1.72×	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	15.1%	1.30×	5.09
Roma to lead by 3 at any time	18.1%	15.0%	6.5%	2.30×	6.69
Udinese to lead by 2 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	23.9%	0.44×	9.54
Udinese to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	8.8%	0.19×	61.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma most corners	56.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Udinese most corners	32.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.0%	78.7%	72.1%	1.09×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.3%	78.7%	80.8%	0.97×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	61.7%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.1%	67.5%	0.87×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.7%	53.2%	47.2%	1.13×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.6%	48.5%	45.2%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.7%	43.6%	48.4%	0.90×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	36.8%	1.07×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.3%	35.2%	23.8%	1.48×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.2%	30.2%	21.8%	1.39×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.4%	18.8%	10.6%	1.78×	5.31
7+ goals	3.4%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma never behind	53.8%	62.6%	44.7%	1.40×	1.60
Udinese never behind	25.5%	29.9%	49.5%	0.60×	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.7%	56.6%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.3%	43.4%	1.11×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.9%	50.6%	1.03×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.1%	49.4%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.2%	82.3%	88.6%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.4%	82.3%	73.0%	1.13×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.3%	61.7%	75.4%	0.82×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.2%	58.6%	48.1%	1.22×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.8%	41.4%	51.9%	0.80×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.7%	38.3%	24.6%	1.55×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.6%	17.7%	27.0%	0.66×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	18.8%	17.7%	11.4%	1.55×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	3.0%	2.57×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.4%	92.4%	96.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.3%	75.9%	86.8%	0.87×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.8%	72.4%	64.0%	1.13×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.9%	51.9%	67.8%	0.77×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.1%	48.1%	32.2%	1.49×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.2%	27.6%	36.0%	0.77×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.7%	24.1%	13.2%	1.83×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.6%	7.6%	3.3%	2.32×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	1.0%	2.87×	35.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.4%	89.1%	91.2%	0.98×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.9%	71.8%	66.2%	1.08×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.7%	63.3%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.3%	36.7%	29.9%	1.23×	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	28.2%	33.8%	0.83×	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.6%	10.9%	8.8%	1.24×	9.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	83.2%	78.6%	1.06×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	77.5%	82.5%	0.94×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	53.2%	43.0%	1.24×	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	46.8%	57.0%	0.82×	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	22.5%	17.5%	1.28×	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	16.8%	21.4%	0.79×	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to score in both halves	83.1%	84.4%	75.8%	1.11×	1.19
Roma not to score in both halves	62.7%	63.6%	78.4%	0.81×	1.57
Roma to score in both halves	37.3%	36.4%	21.6%	1.68×	2.75
Udinese to score in both halves	16.9%	15.6%	24.2%	0.65×	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.4%	58.6%	49.2%	1.19×	1.71
Only Roma scores	27.6%	26.0%	20.6%	1.27×	3.84
Only Udinese scores	10.1%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.9%	4.6%	7.9%	0.58×	21.64

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.6%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	22.2%	22.6%	25.0%	0.90×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.5%	13.3%	1.31×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.7%	12.1%	19.2%	0.63×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.6%	7.6%	3.0%	2.53×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.9%	4.5%	7.9%	0.56×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.4%	36.4%	1.03×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.1%	28.3%	33.8%	0.84×	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	22.7%	21.5%	21.3%	1.01×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	13.6%	10.8%	8.8%	1.23×	9.29

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.2%	51.4%	43.0%	1.19×	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.4%	33.8%	35.7%	0.95×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.4%	16.5%	21.4%	0.77×	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	89.9%	1.08×	1.03
Roma not to win both halves	81.1%	83.8%	91.1%	0.92×	1.19
Roma to win both halves	18.9%	16.2%	8.9%	1.82×	6.17
Udinese to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	10.1%	0.28×	35.11

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma to win either half	68.1%	67.8%	48.4%	1.40×	1.48
Udinese to win neither half	62.6%	65.1%	46.8%	1.39×	1.54
Udinese to win either half	37.4%	34.9%	53.2%	0.66×	2.87
Roma to win neither half	31.9%	32.2%	51.6%	0.62×	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win to nil	89.9%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
Roma not to win to nil	72.4%	75.3%	79.4%	0.95×	1.33
Roma to win to nil	27.6%	24.7%	20.6%	1.20×	4.05
Udinese to win to nil	10.1%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roma by 1	23.3%	24.1%	19.4%	1.25×	4.15
Draw	22.3%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.15
Roma by 2	16.9%	17.0%	8.7%	1.97×	5.87
Roma by 3+	15.1%	17.0%	5.9%	2.89×	5.87
Udinese by 1	13.8%	11.8%	22.6%	0.52×	8.51
Udinese by 2	6.0%	7.2%	10.0%	0.72×	13.91
Udinese by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.82