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Udinese v Torino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–2
1.24 – 0.60 xG
Shots
10 – 12
On target
3 – 6
Shots in box
7 – 8
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.97 – 0.21
Goals − xG
+0.74 – +1.39
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Souleymane Isaak Touré 40' — goalLorenzo Lucca 48' — goalChe Adams 52' — goalSamuele Ricci 63' — goal
Udinese 1.26 xGTorino 0.61 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Marcus Pedersen 4' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 10' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Ehizibue 10' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 16' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 18' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Yann Karamoh 20' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 26' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Yann Karamoh 36' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Jaka Bijol 40' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Souleymane Isaak Touré 40' — Goal (0.55 xG, From Corner)Samuele Ricci 46' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 48' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 48' — Goal (0.32 xG, From Corner)Che Adams 52' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Che Adams 52' — Goal (0.14 xG, From Corner)Samuele Ricci 56' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jordan Zemura 58' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Samuele Ricci 63' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Saúl Coco 68' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 69' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Valentino Lazaro 85' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alexis Sánchez 92' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Udinese attacking right Torino attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Torino Marcus Pedersen 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gvidas Gineitis
10' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nikola Vlasic
10' Udinese Kingsley Ehizibue 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Sandi Lovric
16' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gvidas Gineitis
18' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Christian Kabasele
20' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Gvidas Gineitis
26' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Sandi Lovric
36' Torino Yann Karamoh 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Borna Sosa
40' Udinese Jaka Bijol 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Florian Thauvin
40' Udinese Souleymane Isaak Touré 0.55 From Corner Left Foot Goal
46' Torino Samuele Ricci 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Yann Karamoh
48' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
48' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.32 From Corner Goal Florian Thauvin
52' Torino Che Adams 0.08 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
52' Torino Che Adams 0.14 From Corner Right Foot Goal
56' Torino Samuele Ricci 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Nikola Vlasic
58' Udinese Jordan Zemura 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
63' Torino Samuele Ricci 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Goal Che Adams
68' Torino Saúl Coco 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mergim Vojvoda
69' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florian Thauvin
85' Torino Valentino Lazaro 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Che Adams
92' Udinese Alexis Sánchez 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Torino

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yann Karamoh FW 90 0 0 4 1 0.22 0.01 0.26
Che Adams FW 90 1 1 2 2 0.21 0.10 0.10
Samuele Ricci MC 90 1 0 3 0 0.10 0.00 0.14
Saúl Coco DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.06
Mergim Vojvoda DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.14
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Guillermo Maripán DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Nikola Vlasic MC 86 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.06 0.22
Borna Sosa DML 86 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.17
Marcus Pedersen DMR 49 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.15
Gvidas Gineitis MC 49 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.15 0.22
Valentino Lazaro Sub 41 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.03
Ivan Ilic Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Ali Dembélé Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Karol Linetty Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Antonio Sanabria Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Udinese

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Lorenzo Lucca FW 90 1 0 2 0 0.35 0.00 0.14
Kingsley Ehizibue DMR 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Jaka Bijol DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.14
Jesper Karlström MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Christian Kabasele DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Razvan Sava GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Florian Thauvin FW 83 0 1 3 3 0.16 0.39 0.18
Souleymane Isaak Touré DC 75 1 0 1 0 0.55 0.00 0.03
Sandi Lovric MC 75 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.11 0.10
Jordan Zemura DML 74 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.03
Hassane Kamara Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arthur Atta Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
James Abankwah Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alexis Sánchez Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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