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Union Berlin v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 December 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Union Berlin
1–1
3.01 – 1.24 xG
Bochum
Shots
22 – 13
On target
4 – 3
Shots in box
17 – 11
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.08 – 0.09
Goals − xG
-2.03 – -0.25
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.72.53.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Ibrahima Sissoko 22' — goalBenedict Hollerbach 32' — goal
Union Berlin 3.03 xGBochum 1.25 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Tim Skarke 0' — Missed Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Ivan Ordets 2' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Moritz Broschinski 10' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 15' — Missed Shot (0.57 xG, From Corner)Danilho Doekhi 15' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Benedict Hollerbach 16' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 17' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Robert Skov 18' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 22' — Goal (0.31 xG, Open Play)Tim Skarke 23' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Rani Khedira 26' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 28' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Andras Schafer 30' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 32' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 34' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 40' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 45' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Robert Skov 47' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Danilho Doekhi 48' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Tom Rothe 48' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Diogo Leite 53' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Danilho Doekhi 57' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Andras Schafer 64' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Tim Oermann 66' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Robert Skov 68' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Bernardo 76' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 76' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Jakov Medic 77' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 78' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 81' — Blocked Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 83' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Yorbe Vertessen 83' — Missed Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Jordan Siebatcheu 85' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, From Corner)Yorbe Vertessen 89' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 90' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Union Berlin attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Union Berlin Tim Skarke 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Woo-Yeong Jeong
2' Bochum Ivan Ordets 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
10' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Matús Bero
15' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.57 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Danilho Doekhi
15' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.03 From Corner — Missed Shot Robert Skov
16' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tim Skarke
17' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
18' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Woo-Yeong Jeong
22' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.31 Open Play — Goal Felix Passlack
23' Union Berlin Tim Skarke 0.02 Open Play — Saved Shot Woo-Yeong Jeong
26' Union Berlin Rani Khedira 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tim Skarke
28' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Moritz Broschinski
30' Union Berlin Andras Schafer 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Danilho Doekhi
32' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Goal Robert Skov
34' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
40' Bochum Matús Bero 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
45' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Andras Schafer
47' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Woo-Yeong Jeong
48' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benedict Hollerbach
48' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Andras Schafer
53' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.04 From Corner — Missed Shot Robert Skov
57' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
64' Union Berlin Andras Schafer 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
66' Bochum Tim Oermann 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Felix Passlack
68' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
76' Bochum Bernardo 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
76' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
77' Bochum Jakov Medic 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
78' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jordan Siebatcheu
81' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.33 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tim Oermann
83' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot —
83' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Robert Skov
85' Union Berlin Jordan Siebatcheu 0.42 From Corner — Missed Shot Robert Skov
89' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Diogo Leite
90' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.02 Open Play — Missed Shot László Bénes

Players

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Benedict Hollerbach AMC 90 1 0 6 1 1.30 0.08 0.86
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 3 2 0.20 0.59 0.66
Robert Skov DMR 90 0 1 3 5 0.15 0.93 0.82
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.04 0.54
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.49
Kevin Vogt DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.14
Tom Rothe DML 84 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Rani Khedira MC 84 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.40
Andras Schafer MC 72 0 0 2 2 0.04 0.53 0.68
Woo-Yeong Jeong AMC 72 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.45 0.56
Tim Skarke FW 60 0 0 2 2 0.37 0.11 1.10
Jordan Siebatcheu Sub 30 0 0 1 1 0.42 0.10 0.10
Aljoscha Kemlein Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.44
László Bénes Sub 18 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Yorbe Vertessen Sub 6 0 0 2 0 0.38 0.00 0.38
Janik Haberer Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Moritz Broschinski FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.50 0.10 0.60
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 90 1 0 4 0 0.39 0.00 0.70
Felix Passlack DMR 90 0 1 1 2 0.10 0.33 0.74
Bernardo DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.16
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.33
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.03 0.07
Tim Oermann DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.33 0.33
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximilian Wittek DML 78 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.00
Anthony Losilla Sub 54 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gerrit Holtmann AMC 36 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jakov Medic Sub 12 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Koji Miyoshi AMC 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dani de Wit Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Philipp Hofmann Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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