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Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 27 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Union Berlin
1–1
1.86 – 1.54 xG
Eintracht Frankfurt
Shots
13 – 17
On target
4 – 5
Shots in box
10 – 11
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 1.59
Goals − xG
-0.86 – -0.80
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.62.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Mario Götze 13' — goalBenedict Hollerbach 65' — goal
Union Berlin 1.86 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.80 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Omar Marmoush 3' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Omar Marmoush 3' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Arthur Theate 4' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Tom Rothe 5' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Arthur Theate 13' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Ellyes Skhiri 13' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, From Corner)Mario Götze 13' — Goal (0.91 xG, From Corner)Robin Koch 13' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Christopher Trimmel 15' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tom Rothe 15' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Yorbe Vertessen 16' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Yorbe Vertessen 28' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Tom Rothe 34' — Missed Shot (0.47 xG, Open Play)Aljoscha Kemlein 38' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Hugo Ekitike 44' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Tuta 44' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Tuta 45' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Tom Rothe 46' — Missed Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Ansgar Knauff 48' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Ellyes Skhiri 48' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe 48' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Christopher Trimmel 49' — Shot On Post (0.01 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 58' — Saved Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 65' — Goal (0.43 xG, Open Play)Omar Marmoush 69' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Diogo Leite 70' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Igor Matanovic 71' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Yorbe Vertessen 79' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tuta 84' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe 87' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)
Union Berlin attacking right Eintracht Frankfurt attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Eintracht Frankfurt Omar Marmoush 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Arthur Theate
3' Eintracht Frankfurt Omar Marmoush 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Hugo Larsson
4' Eintracht Frankfurt Arthur Theate 0.09 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
5' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
13' Eintracht Frankfurt Arthur Theate 0.09 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot —
13' Eintracht Frankfurt Ellyes Skhiri 0.13 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
13' Eintracht Frankfurt Mario Götze 0.91 From Corner Right Foot Goal —
13' Eintracht Frankfurt Robin Koch 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Omar Marmoush
15' Union Berlin Christopher Trimmel 0.02 Open Play — Blocked Shot Benedict Hollerbach
15' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.06 From Corner — Blocked Shot Christopher Trimmel
16' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
28' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
34' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.47 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yorbe Vertessen
38' Union Berlin Aljoscha Kemlein 0.05 From Corner — Missed Shot Christopher Trimmel
44' Eintracht Frankfurt Hugo Ekitike 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Robin Koch
44' Eintracht Frankfurt Tuta 0.06 From Corner — Saved Shot Omar Marmoush
45' Eintracht Frankfurt Tuta 0.09 From Corner — Saved Shot Omar Marmoush
46' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Yorbe Vertessen
48' Eintracht Frankfurt Ansgar Knauff 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mario Götze
48' Eintracht Frankfurt Ellyes Skhiri 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
48' Eintracht Frankfurt Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Omar Marmoush
49' Union Berlin Christopher Trimmel 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post —
58' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.28 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Danilho Doekhi
65' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.43 Open Play Left Foot Goal Robert Skov
69' Eintracht Frankfurt Omar Marmoush 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot —
70' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.08 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot —
71' Eintracht Frankfurt Igor Matanovic 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ansgar Knauff
79' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Christopher Trimmel
84' Eintracht Frankfurt Tuta 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot —
87' Eintracht Frankfurt Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe 0.05 Set Piece — Missed Shot Farès Chaïbi

Players

Eintracht Frankfurt

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Tuta DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.16 0.00 0.05
Ellyes Skhiri MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.15 0.00 0.12
Robin Koch DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.03 0.08
Hugo Larsson MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.08
Kevin Trapp GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Ansgar Knauff DML 86 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.02 0.07
Omar Marmoush FW 85 0 0 3 4 0.16 0.24 0.10
Arthur Theate DC 80 0 0 2 1 0.18 0.06 0.12
Mario Götze MC 69 1 0 1 1 0.91 0.06 0.06
Hugo Ekitike FW 69 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe Sub 53 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.03
Rasmus Kristensen DMR 37 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Igor Matanovic Sub 21 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Farès Chaïbi Sub 21 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.02
Nathaniel Brown Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aurèle Amenda Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.32
Christopher Trimmel DMR 90 0 0 2 3 0.03 0.16 0.83
Rani Khedira MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.62
Kevin Vogt DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.80
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.28
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.28 0.32
Yorbe Vertessen FWL 88 0 0 3 2 0.07 0.78 0.83
Benedict Hollerbach FW 80 1 0 2 1 0.70 0.02 0.72
Tom Rothe DML 69 0 0 4 0 0.93 0.00 1.15
Aljoscha Kemlein MC 69 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 1.05
Woo-Yeong Jeong FWR 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.75
Andras Schafer Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Jordan Siebatcheu Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Robert Skov Sub 21 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.43 0.47
Tim Skarke Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
László Bénes Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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