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Union Berlin v RasenBallsport Leipzig — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 1 February 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Union Berlin
0–0
1.75 – 0.24 xG
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Shots
21 – 6
On target
5 – 2
Shots in box
7 – 3
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.02 – 0.07
Goals − xG
-1.75 – -0.24
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.52.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Union Berlin 1.75 xGRasenBallsport Leipzig 0.24 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Benedict Hollerbach 11' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 12' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Josip Juranovic 17' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Robert Skov 17' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ivan Prtajin 22' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 23' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Janik Haberer 24' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 28' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Robert Skov 39' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)László Bénes 41' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ivan Prtajin 47' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 49' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Benedict Hollerbach 52' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)László Bénes 53' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Janik Haberer 54' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Antonio Nusa 55' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ivan Prtajin 55' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Janik Haberer 61' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)László Bénes 62' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Rani Khedira 65' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 66' — Saved Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 80' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yussuf Poulsen 81' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Woo-Yeong Jeong 82' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Woo-Yeong Jeong 83' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jérôme Roussillon 88' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jordan Siebatcheu 94' — Blocked Shot (0.64 xG, Open Play)
Union Berlin attacking right RasenBallsport Leipzig attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
11' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tim Skarke
12' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
17' Union Berlin Josip Juranovic 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
17' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Rani Khedira
22' Union Berlin Ivan Prtajin 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tim Skarke
23' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Josip Juranovic
24' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Benedict Hollerbach
28' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Loïs Openda
39' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
41' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ivan Prtajin
47' Union Berlin Ivan Prtajin 0.06 Open Play — Saved Shot László Bénes
49' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.06 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Willi Orban
52' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
53' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Robert Skov
54' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tim Skarke
55' RasenBallsport Leipzig Antonio Nusa 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Xavi Simons
55' Union Berlin Ivan Prtajin 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Josip Juranovic
61' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot László Bénes
62' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Robert Skov
65' Union Berlin Rani Khedira 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
66' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Tim Skarke
80' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
81' RasenBallsport Leipzig Yussuf Poulsen 0.03 Open Play — Saved Shot Lukas Klostermann
82' Union Berlin Woo-Yeong Jeong 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Benedict Hollerbach
83' Union Berlin Woo-Yeong Jeong 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot László Bénes
88' Union Berlin Jérôme Roussillon 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benedict Hollerbach
94' Union Berlin Jordan Siebatcheu 0.64 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —

Players

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Benedict Hollerbach FWL 90 0 0 4 3 0.45 0.11 0.57
László Bénes MC 90 0 0 3 3 0.11 0.18 0.44
Rani Khedira MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.02 0.10
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Robert Skov DL 85 0 0 2 2 0.08 0.05 0.25
Janik Haberer MC 78 0 0 3 0 0.12 0.00 0.26
Ivan Prtajin FW 73 0 0 3 1 0.15 0.05 0.21
Josip Juranovic DR 72 0 0 1 2 0.01 0.05 0.25
Tim Skarke FWR 72 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.51 0.61
Woo-Yeong Jeong Sub 18 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.13
Christopher Trimmel Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Jordan Siebatcheu Sub 17 0 0 1 0 0.64 0.00 0.64
Lucas Tousart Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Jérôme Roussillon Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06

RasenBallsport Leipzig

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Benjamin Sesko FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.10
Xavi Simons AMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.08 0.12
Péter Gulácsi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
David Raum ML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Lukas Klostermann DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.11
Willi Orban DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.03
Christoph Baumgartner MC 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Nicolas Seiwald MC 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bote Baku MR 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
El Chadaille Bitshiabu DC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Loïs Openda FW 47 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Antonio Nusa Sub 43 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Amadou Haidara Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Castello Lukeba Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Kampl Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yussuf Poulsen Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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