Unión (Santa Fe) v Instituto (Córdoba) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Unión (Santa Fe)

20:15

Instituto (Córdoba)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 16h before kick-off

Unión (Santa Fe) win

44.4%

model 40.9%

Draw

27.8%

model 29.2%

Instituto (Córdoba) win

27.8%

model 29.9%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.6%
1-0 12.5%
0-0 10.8%
0-1 10.2%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.5%	Under 2.5	60.5%
BTTS yes	45.9%	BTTS no	54.1%
Unión (Santa Fe) 1+	71.2%	Unión (Santa Fe) 2+	35.3%
Instituto (Córdoba) 1+	64.0%	Instituto (Córdoba) 2+	27.2%

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 61%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Instituto (Córdoba) (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 83%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
They have had 10 days' rest to Instituto (Córdoba)'s 7.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Unión (Santa Fe) have an estimated 44.4% win probability, against 27.8% for Instituto (Córdoba) and 27.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Unión (Santa Fe) and 1.02 for Instituto (Córdoba).

Why Unión (Santa Fe)

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. They have had 10 days' rest to Instituto (Córdoba)'s 7.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. A combined 2.27 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.24 to 1.02. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Instituto (Córdoba) can win

Instituto (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1508. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Unión (Santa Fe), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Instituto (Córdoba), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Unión (Santa Fe): 51% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Instituto (Córdoba): 48% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Unión (Santa Fe) are the model's most likely outcome at 44.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412930	1.24–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412930	1.26–1.03	1-1 14%	40%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to win	41.2%	43.0%	41.7%	1.03×	2.33
Instituto (Córdoba) to win	29.8%	27.9%	27.8%	1.01×	3.59
Draw	29.0%	27.9%	30.6%	0.91×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) & not both score	25.2%	25.2%	27.8%	0.91×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Instituto (Córdoba) & not both score	17.8%	17.9%	17.2%	1.04×	5.58
Unión (Santa Fe) & both teams score	16.0%	17.9%	14.1%	1.27×	5.58
Instituto (Córdoba) & both teams score	12.0%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) & under 3.5	32.1%	30.9%	34.9%	0.89×	3.24
Unión (Santa Fe) & over 1.5	28.8%	26.0%	27.6%	0.94×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.0%	21.7%	28.1%	0.77×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	24.0%	21.7%	28.1%	0.77×	4.62
Instituto (Córdoba) & under 3.5	24.0%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Unión (Santa Fe) & over 2.5	20.8%	21.7%	18.2%	1.19×	4.62
Unión (Santa Fe) & under 2.5	20.4%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Instituto (Córdoba) & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Instituto (Córdoba) & under 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.56
Instituto (Córdoba) & over 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	13.2%	0.98×	7.77
Unión (Santa Fe) & under 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	14.2%	0.90×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	10.5%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Instituto (Córdoba) & under 1.5	10.0%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Unión (Santa Fe) & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.69
Instituto (Córdoba) & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	4.2%	1.86×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (1UP)	55.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Instituto (Córdoba) (1UP)	45.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (2UP)	41.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Instituto (Córdoba) (2UP)	29.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.6%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Unión (Santa Fe) to win 2nd half	33.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Instituto (Córdoba) to win 2nd half	27.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (+2.5)	93.6%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Instituto (Córdoba) (+1.5)	81.4%	82.4%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Unión (Santa Fe) (+0.5)	70.2%	73.7%	72.2%	1.02×	1.36
Instituto (Córdoba) (+0.5)	58.8%	57.0%	58.3%	0.98×	1.75
Unión (Santa Fe) (-0.5)	41.2%	43.0%	41.7%	1.03×	2.33
Instituto (Córdoba) (-0.5)	29.8%	26.3%	27.8%	0.95×	3.80
Unión (Santa Fe) (-1.5)	18.6%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.68
Unión (Santa Fe) (-2.5)	6.4%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to concede	71.6%	76.4%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet	28.4%	23.6%	31.9%	0.74×	4.24

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Instituto (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half	41.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners	83.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Instituto (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners	74.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Instituto (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Instituto (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Instituto (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Instituto (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Instituto (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Instituto (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners	27.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Instituto (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Instituto (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners	16.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Instituto (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Instituto (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals	72.5%	72.0%	78.2%	0.92×	1.39
Instituto (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals	64.3%	63.0%	57.6%	1.09×	1.59
Instituto (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals	35.7%	37.0%	42.4%	0.87×	2.70
Instituto (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals	27.5%	28.0%	21.8%	1.29×	3.57
Instituto (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	6.7%	1.15×	13.03
Instituto (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	1.1%	2.14×	40.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Instituto (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Instituto (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Instituto (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.29

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (away no bet)	58.7%	57.5%	57.7%	1.00×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.3%	42.5%	42.3%	1.00×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) even goals	56.4%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Instituto (Córdoba) odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.5%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.5%	7.8%	—	—	12.74

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.1%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.7%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Unión (Santa Fe) to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Instituto (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Unión (Santa Fe) to score 3+ in a row	9.1%	5.7%	—	—	17.56
Instituto (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.86

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+2.5)	82.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (+3.5)	77.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+1.5)	74.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (+2.5)	68.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (+1.5)	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-1.5)	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-2.5)	31.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (-1.5)	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-3.5)	22.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (-2.5)	17.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Instituto (Córdoba) corners (-3.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	25.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	33.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	25.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	18.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
1-0	12.4%	11.5%	14.2%	0.81×	8.73
0-0	10.5%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
0-1	10.0%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.47
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.48
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.48
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.48
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.48
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.48
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) leading at HT (DNB)	58.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Instituto (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB)	41.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) or Instituto (Córdoba) (12)	71.0%	72.1%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw (1X)	70.2%	72.1%	72.2%	1.00×	1.39
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw (X2)	58.8%	57.0%	58.3%	0.98×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw at HT	78.3%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw at HT	69.4%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Unión (Santa Fe) or Instituto (Córdoba) at HT	52.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw (1UP)	70.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw (1UP)	58.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) or draw in 2nd half	72.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Instituto (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half	66.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Unión (Santa Fe) or Instituto (Córdoba) in 2nd half	60.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.0%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (DNB)	58.0%	58.3%	60.1%	0.97×	1.72
Instituto (Córdoba) (DNB)	42.0%	41.7%	39.9%	1.04×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to score first	49.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Instituto (Córdoba) to score first	40.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	10.5%	9.6%	—	—	10.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.6%	51.4%	59.5%	0.86×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.4%	48.6%	40.5%	1.20×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.4%	44.3%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.9%	34.3%	27.2%	1.26×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.2%	8.4%	6.8%	1.24×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.1%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.9%	10.9%	5.8%	1.87×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Both score 2nd half only	20.4%	20.7%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.3%	5.0%	—	—	20.04

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.2%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	33.0%	30.8%	39.1%	0.79×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.9%	20.2%	13.3%	1.52×	4.95
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Instituto (Córdoba) to score exactly 0	35.7%	36.0%	42.4%	0.85×	2.78
Instituto (Córdoba) to score exactly 2	18.9%	19.6%	15.3%	1.28×	5.11
Instituto (Córdoba) to score 3+	8.6%	8.5%	6.7%	1.27×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 0	28.4%	26.5%	31.9%	0.83×	3.77
Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 2	22.5%	23.2%	21.8%	1.07×	4.30
Unión (Santa Fe) to score 3+	13.4%	14.3%	10.0%	1.44×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Unión (Santa Fe) leading at HT	30.6%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
Instituto (Córdoba) leading at HT	21.7%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) -1: 2	58.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Unión (Santa Fe) -1: X	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Unión (Santa Fe) -1: 1	18.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:1)	58.8%	55.8%	58.3%	0.96×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:1)	18.6%	17.8%	17.5%	1.01×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:2)	81.4%	82.8%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.12
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:3)	93.6%	92.6%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.06
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.52
Unión (Santa Fe) (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.64

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (1:0)	70.2%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.4%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.87
Instituto (Córdoba) (1:0)	11.4%	12.8%	9.2%	1.40×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) (2:0)	88.6%	88.4%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.1%	6.5%	6.3%	1.02×	15.48
Instituto (Córdoba) (2:0)	3.3%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.16

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to concede	64.3%	63.4%	57.6%	1.10×	1.58
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet	35.7%	36.6%	42.4%	0.86×	2.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Unión (Santa Fe) to concede in 1st half	33.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) over 2.5 corners	82.9%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Unión (Santa Fe) under 6.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Unión (Santa Fe) over 3.5 corners	69.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Unión (Santa Fe) under 5.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Unión (Santa Fe) over 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Unión (Santa Fe) under 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Unión (Santa Fe) over 5.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Unión (Santa Fe) under 3.5 corners	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Unión (Santa Fe) over 6.5 corners	26.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Unión (Santa Fe) under 2.5 corners	17.1%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) under 3.5 goals	96.1%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Unión (Santa Fe) under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.3%	90.0%	0.97×	1.15
Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	68.1%	1.09×	1.35
Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.5%	68.3%	0.93×	1.58
Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 goals	35.9%	36.5%	31.7%	1.15×	2.74
Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	31.9%	0.81×	3.87
Unión (Santa Fe) over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.7%	10.0%	1.28×	7.85
Unión (Santa Fe) over 3.5 goals	3.9%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.44

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.86

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) (home no bet)	50.7%	51.6%	47.5%	1.09×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.3%	48.4%	52.5%	0.92×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) even goals	54.0%	50.6%	55.7%	0.91×	1.97
Unión (Santa Fe) odd goals	46.0%	49.4%	44.3%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 0-1	15.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 0-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT	23.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Instituto (Córdoba) at HT / Instituto (Córdoba) at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Instituto (Córdoba) at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Instituto (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Instituto (Córdoba) at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Instituto (Córdoba) at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) to score last	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Instituto (Córdoba) to score last	40.2%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goal scored	10.5%	9.0%	—	—	11.13

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.5%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 1 at any time	55.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Instituto (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time	45.2%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 2 at any time	23.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Instituto (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time	15.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.04
Instituto (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.7%	—	—	60.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) most corners	53.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Instituto (Córdoba) most corners	35.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.6%	69.0%	71.7%	0.96×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.1%	68.9%	60.6%	1.14×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.1%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.8%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.4%	48.7%	51.5%	0.95×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.2%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.2%	39.2%	33.5%	1.17×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.2%	39.1%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.9%	35.4%	28.7%	1.23×	2.83
4-6 goals	18.9%	18.6%	13.3%	1.40×	5.37
4-5 goals	16.9%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.3%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.45
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión (Santa Fe) never behind	44.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Instituto (Córdoba) never behind	34.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.1%	95.5%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.5%	87.7%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.2%	82.4%	86.4%	0.95×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	67.0%	66.2%	60.9%	1.09×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.9%	58.9%	66.2%	0.89×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	40.1%	41.1%	33.8%	1.22×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	33.0%	33.8%	39.1%	0.86×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	19.8%	17.6%	13.6%	1.29×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	10.5%	12.3%	14.8%	0.83×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	2.9%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.7%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.1%	75.9%	82.9%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.9%	51.8%	46.4%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.1%	48.2%	53.6%	0.90×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.9%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.3%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.2%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Unión (Santa Fe) not to score in both halves	78.6%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Unión (Santa Fe) to score in both halves	21.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Instituto (Córdoba) to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.4%	50.5%	40.5%	1.25×	1.98
Only Unión (Santa Fe) scores	25.2%	26.1%	27.8%	0.94×	3.83
Only Instituto (Córdoba) scores	17.8%	16.1%	17.2%	0.94×	6.22
Neither team scores	10.5%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.9%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	11.6%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	10.5%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	4.4%	1.75×	13.09
6 or more goals	2.9%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.7%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	26.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) not to win both halves	94.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Unión (Santa Fe) not to win both halves	89.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Unión (Santa Fe) to win both halves	10.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Instituto (Córdoba) to win both halves	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) to win neither half	57.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Unión (Santa Fe) to win either half	53.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Unión (Santa Fe) to win neither half	46.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Instituto (Córdoba) to win either half	42.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Instituto (Córdoba) not to win to nil	82.2%	83.0%	82.8%	1.00×	1.21
Unión (Santa Fe) not to win to nil	74.8%	75.3%	72.2%	1.04×	1.33
Unión (Santa Fe) to win to nil	25.2%	24.7%	27.8%	0.89×	4.05
Instituto (Córdoba) to win to nil	17.8%	17.0%	17.2%	0.99×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.0%	27.9%	30.6%	0.91×	3.59
Unión (Santa Fe) by 1	22.7%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Instituto (Córdoba) by 1	18.4%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.91
Unión (Santa Fe) by 2	12.1%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.48
Instituto (Córdoba) by 2	8.1%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.78
Unión (Santa Fe) by 3+	6.4%	7.3%	5.0%	1.44×	13.79
Instituto (Córdoba) by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.98