Universidad Católica (Quito) v Orense SC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ECU-LigaPro · 2627

ECU-LigaPro results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Universidad Católica (Quito)

18:00 UTC

Orense SC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 130h before kick-off

Universidad Católica (Quito) win

69.6%

model 68.0%

Draw

19.7%

model 18.2%

Orense SC win

10.7%

model 13.8%

702011

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (159 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.1%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 9.8%
1-1 8.6%
3-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.0%	Under 2.5	40.0%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Universidad Católica (Quito) 1+	89.2%	Universidad Católica (Quito) 2+	65.1%
Orense SC 1+	58.6%	Orense SC 2+	22.1%

Expected goals 2.22 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Universidad Católica (Quito) over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 39%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 911 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Universidad Católica (Quito) carry the stronger rating, 1602 Elo against 1459.
They have had 10 days' rest to Orense SC's 6.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad Católica (Quito) have an estimated 69.6% win probability, against 19.7% for the draw and 10.7% for Orense SC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.22 for Universidad Católica (Quito) and 0.88 for Orense SC.

Why Universidad Católica (Quito)

Universidad Católica (Quito) carry the stronger rating, 1602 Elo against 1459. They have had 10 days' rest to Orense SC's 6.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Orense SC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Orense SC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad Católica (Quito), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Orense SC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad Católica (Quito): 49% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Orense SC: 44% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Universidad Católica (Quito) are the model's most likely outcome at 69.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.1%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	681814	2.22–0.88	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	721612	2.45–0.89	2-0 11%	65%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to win	68.0%	67.9%	44.4%	1.53×	1.47
Draw	18.2%	19.2%	26.4%	0.73×	5.21
Orense SC to win	13.8%	10.4%	29.4%	0.36×	9.57

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) & not both score	37.1%	37.3%	25.5%	1.46×	2.68
Universidad Católica (Quito) & both teams score	30.9%	32.7%	19.0%	1.72×	3.06
Draw & both teams score	14.0%	12.2%	18.7%	0.65×	8.21
Orense SC & both teams score	7.2%	7.3%	11.6%	0.63×	13.68
Orense SC & not both score	6.6%	7.3%	17.9%	0.41×	13.69
Draw & not both score	4.3%	3.7%	7.9%	0.46×	27.09

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) & over 1.5	57.8%	56.3%	32.2%	1.75×	1.78
Universidad Católica (Quito) & over 2.5	46.8%	46.7%	24.6%	1.90×	2.14
Universidad Católica (Quito) & under 3.5	39.2%	37.6%	33.3%	1.13×	2.66
Universidad Católica (Quito) & over 3.5	28.8%	25.5%	11.3%	2.26×	3.92
Universidad Católica (Quito) & under 2.5	21.2%	21.5%	20.0%	1.08×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	14.0%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.86
Draw & under 2.5	12.8%	12.7%	22.2%	0.57×	7.86
Draw & under 3.5	12.8%	12.7%	22.2%	0.57×	7.86
Universidad Católica (Quito) & under 1.5	10.2%	12.7%	12.4%	1.03×	7.87
Orense SC & under 3.5	10.3%	12.7%	22.2%	0.57×	7.87
Orense SC & over 1.5	9.6%	7.5%	19.0%	0.39×	13.40
Orense SC & over 2.5	7.9%	7.5%	14.6%	0.51×	13.41
Orense SC & under 2.5	5.9%	7.5%	15.0%	0.50×	13.42
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.5%	4.4%	1.68×	13.42
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.5%	4.4%	1.68×	13.42
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.6%	7.9%	0.57×	21.92
Orense SC & under 1.5	4.2%	4.6%	10.5%	0.43×	21.93
Orense SC & over 3.5	3.5%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (1UP)	78.5%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Orense SC (1UP)	31.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (2UP)	68.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Orense SC (2UP)	13.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to win 2nd half	54.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
2nd half drawn	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
Orense SC to win 2nd half	15.6%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (+0.5)	86.2%	88.9%	70.6%	1.26×	1.12
Orense SC (+2.5)	76.1%	78.5%	92.2%	0.85×	1.27
Universidad Católica (Quito) (-0.5)	68.0%	69.0%	44.4%	1.55×	1.45
Orense SC (+1.5)	55.7%	57.1%	80.6%	0.71×	1.75
Universidad Católica (Quito) (-1.5)	44.3%	42.9%	19.4%	2.21×	2.33
Orense SC (+0.5)	32.0%	31.0%	55.6%	0.56×	3.22
Universidad Católica (Quito) (-2.5)	23.9%	21.5%	7.8%	2.77×	4.66
Orense SC (-0.5)	13.8%	11.1%	29.4%	0.38×	9.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC to concede	89.2%	90.0%	74.3%	1.21×	1.11
Orense SC clean sheet	10.8%	10.0%	25.7%	0.39×	10.02

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC to concede in 1st half	61.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Orense SC clean sheet in 1st half	38.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC under 6.5 corners	92.2%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Orense SC under 5.5 corners	85.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Orense SC under 4.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Orense SC over 2.5 corners	61.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Orense SC under 3.5 corners	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Orense SC over 3.5 corners	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Orense SC under 2.5 corners	38.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Orense SC over 4.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Orense SC over 5.5 corners	14.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Orense SC over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.0%	—	—	9.99

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.4%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Orense SC under 2.5 goals	94.0%	92.7%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Orense SC under 1.5 goals	77.9%	75.3%	73.8%	1.02×	1.33
Orense SC over 0.5 goals	58.7%	57.7%	66.7%	0.87×	1.73
Orense SC under 0.5 goals	41.3%	42.3%	33.3%	1.27×	2.37
Orense SC over 1.5 goals	22.1%	24.7%	26.2%	0.94×	4.05
Orense SC over 2.5 goals	6.0%	7.3%	10.4%	0.71×	13.66
Orense SC over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.6%	3.1%	0.84×	37.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Orense SC under 0.5 in 1st half	70.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Orense SC over 0.5 in 1st half	29.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Orense SC over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.0%	—	—	24.96

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (away no bet)	78.9%	79.1%	62.7%	1.26×	1.26
Draw (away no bet)	21.1%	20.9%	37.3%	0.56×	4.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC even goals	58.5%	58.0%	51.6%	1.12×	1.72
Orense SC odd goals	41.5%	42.0%	48.4%	0.87×	2.38

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.0%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.0%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score 2+ in a row	58.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score 3+ in a row	29.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Orense SC to score 2+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Orense SC to score 3+ in a row	2.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.74

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (+3.5)	93.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (+2.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (+1.5)	81.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Orense SC corners (+3.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Orense SC corners (+2.5)	64.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Orense SC corners (+1.5)	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (-1.5)	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (-2.5)	36.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (-3.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Orense SC corners (-1.5)	18.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Orense SC corners (-2.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Orense SC corners (-3.5)	6.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	57.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	27.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	15.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	84.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	77.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	68.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	31.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	15.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	10.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.1%	11.6%	7.8%	1.49×	8.64
1-0	10.2%	11.6%	12.4%	0.93×	8.64
2-1	9.8%	7.3%	10.4%	0.70×	13.74
1-1	8.6%	7.3%	14.4%	0.50×	13.74
3-0	8.2%	7.3%	3.3%	2.19×	13.74
Any other score	7.7%	7.3%	2.4%	3.03×	13.74
3-1	7.2%	7.3%	4.1%	1.79×	13.75
0-0	4.3%	1.8%	7.9%	0.23×	55.40
0-1	4.2%	1.8%	10.5%	0.17×	55.40
1-2	3.9%	1.8%	5.7%	0.31×	55.41
2-2	4.3%	1.8%	3.9%	0.47×	55.40
4-0	4.6%	1.8%	1.7%	1.09×	55.39
4-1	4.0%	1.8%	1.5%	1.22×	55.41
3-2	3.2%	1.8%	2.0%	0.89×	55.43
0-2	1.7%	1.8%	4.6%	0.39×	55.47
2-3	1.3%	1.8%	2.2%	0.81×	55.48
4-2	1.8%	1.8%	0.4%	4.88×	55.46
0-3	0.5%	1.8%	1.8%	0.97×	55.50
0-4	0.1%	1.8%	1.1%	1.62×	55.51
1-3	1.1%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	55.48
1-4	0.3%	1.8%	1.1%	1.62×	55.50
2-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.7%	2.44×	55.50
3-3	0.9%	1.8%	0.7%	2.44×	55.49
3-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.2%	9.75×	55.50
4-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.9%	1.95×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	9.75×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) leading at HT (DNB)	78.8%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Orense SC leading at HT (DNB)	21.2%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw (1X)	86.2%	89.6%	70.6%	1.27×	1.12
Universidad Católica (Quito) or Orense SC (12)	81.8%	80.8%	73.6%	1.10×	1.24
Orense SC or draw (X2)	32.0%	32.1%	55.6%	0.58×	3.12

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw at HT	86.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Universidad Católica (Quito) or Orense SC at HT	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Orense SC or draw at HT	50.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw (1UP)	86.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Orense SC or draw (1UP)	32.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw in 2nd half	84.4%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Universidad Católica (Quito) or Orense SC in 2nd half	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Orense SC or draw in 2nd half	45.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	44.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (DNB)	83.2%	81.5%	60.2%	1.36×	1.23
Orense SC (DNB)	16.8%	18.5%	39.9%	0.46×	5.42

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score first	68.5%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Orense SC to score first	27.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
No goal scored	4.3%	4.1%	—	—	24.69

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.1%	52.9%	49.0%	1.08×	1.89
Not both teams to score	47.9%	47.1%	51.0%	0.92×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.5%	42.3%	34.8%	1.22×	2.36
Not both score & under 2.5	31.4%	34.4%	42.5%	0.81×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	16.5%	17.8%	8.7%	2.05×	5.63
Both score & under 2.5	8.6%	8.7%	14.4%	0.61×	11.45

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.6%	85.5%	89.8%	0.95×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.4%	14.5%	10.2%	1.43×	6.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	11.6%	—	—	8.64
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
A half without a goal	39.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.8%	43.2%	47.0%	0.92×	2.31
4-6 goals	33.8%	31.6%	21.3%	1.49×	3.16
0-1 goals	18.6%	20.8%	30.5%	0.68×	4.82
7+ goals	3.9%	2.0%	1.7%	1.18×	50.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC to score exactly 0	41.3%	41.3%	33.3%	1.24×	2.42
Orense SC to score exactly 1	36.5%	34.6%	40.7%	0.85×	2.89
Orense SC to score exactly 2	16.1%	18.3%	16.1%	1.14×	5.46
Orense SC to score 3+	6.0%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.21

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score 3+	38.3%	36.0%	15.0%	2.41×	2.78
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.1%	24.4%	1.11×	3.70
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score exactly 1	24.1%	23.0%	35.3%	0.65×	4.35
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score exactly 0	10.8%	13.4%	25.7%	0.52×	7.47

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) leading at HT	49.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Draw at HT	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Orense SC leading at HT	13.4%	11.7%	—	—	8.53

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) -1: 1	44.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Universidad Católica (Quito) -1: 2	32.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Universidad Católica (Quito) -1: X	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:1)	44.3%	42.0%	19.4%	2.16×	2.38
Orense SC (0:1)	32.0%	34.5%	55.6%	0.62×	2.90
Draw (0:1)	23.7%	24.4%	25.1%	0.97×	4.09

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC (0:2)	55.7%	57.4%	80.6%	0.71×	1.74
Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:2)	23.9%	21.8%	7.8%	2.81×	4.59
Draw (0:2)	20.3%	21.4%	11.8%	1.81×	4.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC (0:3)	76.1%	75.8%	92.2%	0.82×	1.32
Draw (0:3)	13.1%	12.5%	4.6%	2.70×	8.00
Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:3)	10.8%	12.3%	3.3%	3.71×	8.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC (0:4)	89.2%	86.2%	96.7%	0.89×	1.16
Draw (0:4)	6.7%	7.1%	2.2%	3.20×	14.08
Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:4)	4.2%	1.3%	1.3%	0.98×	79.23

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (1:0)	86.2%	88.2%	70.6%	1.25×	1.13
Draw (1:0)	9.5%	8.6%	18.1%	0.48×	11.58
Orense SC (1:0)	4.2%	3.1%	11.5%	0.27×	32.67

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) (2:0)	95.8%	97.3%	88.5%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.2%	2.7%	7.4%	0.37×	37.02
Orense SC (2:0)	1.0%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.56

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	22.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to concede	58.7%	59.7%	66.7%	0.90×	1.67
Universidad Católica (Quito) clean sheet	41.3%	40.3%	33.3%	1.21×	2.48

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) clean sheet in 1st half	70.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Universidad Católica (Quito) to concede in 1st half	29.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 2.5 corners	80.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 6.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 3.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 5.5 corners	64.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 4.5 corners	50.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 4.5 corners	49.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 5.5 corners	35.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 3.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 6.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 2.5 corners	19.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.9%	74.3%	1.18×	1.14
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 3.5 goals	81.5%	82.4%	94.5%	0.87×	1.21
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 1.5 goals	65.1%	68.7%	39.2%	1.75×	1.46
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 2.5 goals	61.7%	62.6%	85.0%	0.74×	1.60
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 2.5 goals	38.3%	37.4%	15.0%	2.50×	2.67
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 1.5 goals	34.9%	31.3%	60.8%	0.52×	3.19
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 3.5 goals	18.5%	17.6%	5.5%	3.18×	5.68
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	25.7%	0.47×	8.23

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 1.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Universidad Católica (Quito) under 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Universidad Católica (Quito) over 1.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.0%	54.3%	47.4%	1.15×	1.84
Orense SC (home no bet)	43.0%	45.7%	52.6%	0.87×	2.19

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) even goals	50.6%	50.2%	54.2%	0.93×	1.99
Universidad Católica (Quito) odd goals	49.4%	49.8%	45.8%	1.09×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
HT 1-0	25.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
HT 2-0	12.3%	11.2%	—	—	8.93
HT 0-1	9.6%	7.7%	—	—	12.97
HT 1-1	9.1%	7.7%	—	—	12.98
Any other HT score	7.8%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.75
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.90
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.91
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.96

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT / Universidad Católica (Quito) at FT	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT / Universidad Católica (Quito) at FT	20.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.37
Orense SC at HT / Orense SC at FT	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.23
Draw at HT / Orense SC at FT	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.25
Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.34
Orense SC at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.36
Orense SC at HT / Universidad Católica (Quito) at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.38
Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT / Orense SC at FT	1.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.46

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score last	68.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Orense SC to score last	27.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
No goal scored	4.3%	4.1%	—	—	24.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Universidad Católica (Quito) to lead by 1 at any time	78.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.5%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Universidad Católica (Quito) to lead by 2 at any time	50.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Orense SC to lead by 1 at any time	31.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.8%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Universidad Católica (Quito) to lead by 3 at any time	27.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Orense SC to lead by 2 at any time	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
Orense SC to lead by 3 at any time	1.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) most corners	60.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Orense SC most corners	27.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.9%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.9%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.5%	78.8%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	73.6%	66.4%	1.11×	1.36
2-4 goals	61.1%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
1-3 goals	58.1%	58.8%	69.5%	0.85×	1.70
3-6 goals	56.1%	58.7%	41.8%	1.41×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.5%	52.3%	40.1%	1.30×	1.91
2-3 goals	43.8%	43.6%	47.0%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.7%	38.9%	32.9%	1.18×	2.57
1-2 goals	35.7%	38.8%	49.0%	0.79×	2.58
4-6 goals	33.8%	34.1%	21.3%	1.61×	2.93
4-5 goals	28.2%	30.5%	19.6%	1.56×	3.28
5-6 goals	16.4%	18.1%	9.1%	2.00×	5.53
7+ goals	3.9%	2.0%	1.7%	1.23×	48.80

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) never behind	64.5%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Orense SC never behind	17.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.1%	48.4%	1.04×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.9%	51.6%	0.97×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.6%	92.1%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.5%	92.9%	96.7%	0.96×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.4%	80.9%	69.5%	1.16×	1.24
Under 4.5 goals	79.7%	78.3%	89.5%	0.88×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	62.4%	61.5%	77.3%	0.80×	1.63
Over 2.5 goals	60.0%	61.4%	43.3%	1.42×	1.63
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	38.6%	56.7%	0.68×	2.59
Over 3.5 goals	37.6%	38.5%	22.7%	1.69×	2.60
Over 4.5 goals	20.3%	21.7%	10.5%	2.06×	4.61
Under 1.5 goals	18.6%	19.1%	30.5%	0.62×	5.25
Over 5.5 goals	9.5%	7.1%	3.3%	2.13×	14.13
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.4%	7.9%	0.55×	22.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.9%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.4%	88.2%	96.4%	0.91×	1.13
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.4%	76.5%	58.6%	1.30×	1.31
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.5%	76.4%	88.0%	0.87×	1.31
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.5%	53.0%	71.4%	0.74×	1.89
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.5%	47.0%	28.6%	1.64×	2.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.5%	23.6%	12.0%	1.96×	4.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.7%	23.5%	41.4%	0.57×	4.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.6%	11.8%	3.6%	3.30×	8.45
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.1%	2.8%	1.7%	1.65×	35.81

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.8%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC not to score in both halves	87.8%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Universidad Católica (Quito) not to score in both halves	55.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Universidad Católica (Quito) to score in both halves	44.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
Orense SC to score in both halves	12.2%	15.4%	—	—	6.48

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.1%	54.7%	49.0%	1.12×	1.83
Only Universidad Católica (Quito) scores	37.1%	39.9%	25.5%	1.56×	2.51
Only Orense SC scores	6.6%	6.6%	17.9%	0.37×	15.06
Neither team scores	4.3%	3.9%	7.9%	0.49×	25.53

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	21.5%	20.7%	1.04×	4.64
Exactly 2 goals	21.4%	21.5%	26.4%	0.81×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	17.4%	18.6%	12.4%	1.50×	5.39
Exactly 1 goals	14.3%	12.4%	22.7%	0.54×	8.08
Exactly 5 goals	10.8%	12.3%	7.4%	1.67×	8.10
6 or more goals	9.5%	7.6%	3.3%	2.29×	13.11
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.4%	7.9%	0.55×	22.86

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
1 goal in 2nd half	29.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 2nd half	16.5%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC not to win both halves	97.9%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Universidad Católica (Quito) not to win both halves	72.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Universidad Católica (Quito) to win both halves	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Orense SC to win both halves	2.1%	3.3%	—	—	30.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) to win either half	77.4%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Orense SC to win neither half	73.1%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Orense SC to win either half	26.9%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Universidad Católica (Quito) to win neither half	22.7%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orense SC not to win to nil	93.4%	92.4%	82.1%	1.13×	1.08
Universidad Católica (Quito) not to win to nil	62.9%	61.3%	74.5%	0.82×	1.63
Universidad Católica (Quito) to win to nil	37.1%	38.7%	25.5%	1.52×	2.59
Orense SC to win to nil	6.6%	7.6%	17.9%	0.43×	13.12

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (Quito) by 3+	23.9%	23.8%	7.8%	3.06×	4.21
Universidad Católica (Quito) by 1	23.7%	23.8%	25.1%	0.94×	4.21
Universidad Católica (Quito) by 2	20.3%	23.7%	11.8%	2.00×	4.22
Draw	18.2%	17.0%	26.4%	0.64×	5.89
Orense SC by 1	9.5%	7.1%	18.1%	0.39×	14.06
Orense SC by 2	3.2%	2.8%	7.4%	0.38×	35.32
Orense SC by 3+	1.0%	2.8%	4.3%	0.66×	35.64