Universidad Católica v Universidad de Chile — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Universidad Católica

20:00 UTC

Universidad de Chile

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Universidad Católica win

36.4%

model 38.7%

Draw

21.9%

model 20.9%

Universidad de Chile win

41.6%

model 40.4%

362242

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 10.1%
1-0 9.9%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.2%	Under 2.5	44.8%
BTTS yes	56.4%	BTTS no	43.6%
Universidad Católica 1+	76.0%	Universidad Católica 2+	41.7%
Universidad de Chile 1+	76.9%	Universidad de Chile 2+	43.0%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Universidad de Chile (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 51%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Universidad de Chile (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad de Chile have an estimated 41.6% win probability, against 36.4% for Universidad Católica and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Universidad Católica and 1.46 for Universidad de Chile.

Why Universidad Católica

Nothing in the data singles out Universidad Católica.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.43 to 1.46. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad de Chile can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad Católica, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad Católica: 47% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universidad de Chile are the model's most likely outcome at 41.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 10.1%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392140	1.43–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	452134	1.50–1.25	1-0 12%	52%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win	45.0%	47.3%	49.0%	0.97×	2.11
Universidad de Chile to win	33.7%	30.4%	30.0%	1.01×	3.29
Draw	21.3%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica & not both score	24.3%	21.8%	26.8%	0.81×	4.59
Universidad Católica & both teams score	20.7%	21.8%	22.4%	0.97×	4.59
Universidad de Chile & not both score	18.0%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	16.9%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Universidad de Chile & both teams score	15.7%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica & over 1.5	33.3%	30.8%	36.1%	0.85×	3.25
Universidad Católica & under 3.5	31.4%	30.7%	34.1%	0.90×	3.25
Universidad Católica & over 2.5	26.1%	26.1%	29.3%	0.89×	3.84
Universidad de Chile & under 3.5	24.6%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Universidad de Chile & over 1.5	23.6%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
Universidad Católica & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.55
Universidad de Chile & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Universidad de Chile & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.4%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Universidad Católica & over 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Universidad Católica & under 1.5	11.7%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Universidad de Chile & under 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Universidad de Chile & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (1UP)	60.1%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Universidad de Chile (1UP)	50.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (2UP)	45.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Universidad de Chile (2UP)	33.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win 2nd half	36.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	33.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Universidad de Chile to win 2nd half	30.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (+2.5)	91.8%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Universidad de Chile (+1.5)	78.9%	78.5%	76.8%	1.02×	1.27
Universidad Católica (+0.5)	66.3%	68.7%	70.0%	0.98×	1.46
Universidad de Chile (+0.5)	55.0%	52.4%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Universidad Católica (-0.5)	45.0%	47.6%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
Universidad de Chile (-0.5)	33.7%	31.3%	30.0%	1.04×	3.19
Universidad Católica (-1.5)	21.1%	21.5%	23.2%	0.93×	4.65
Universidad Católica (-2.5)	8.2%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to concede	77.6%	78.8%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
Universidad de Chile clean sheet	22.4%	21.2%	21.5%	0.99×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 1st half	52.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Universidad de Chile to concede in 1st half	47.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Universidad de Chile under 6.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad de Chile under 5.5 corners	61.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Universidad de Chile over 4.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Universidad de Chile under 4.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Universidad de Chile over 5.5 corners	38.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad de Chile over 6.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 corners	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 goals	86.9%	87.8%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.8%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 goals	64.6%	63.2%	68.5%	0.92×	1.58
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals	35.4%	36.8%	31.5%	1.17×	2.72
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.2%	31.5%	0.90×	3.55
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 goals	13.1%	12.2%	11.7%	1.04×	8.20
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.78

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile scores equally in both	40.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Universidad de Chile scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Universidad de Chile scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (away no bet)	67.9%	66.4%	69.8%	0.95×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.1%	33.6%	30.2%	1.11×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile even goals	54.1%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Universidad de Chile odd goals	45.9%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.0%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Universidad Católica to score 2+ in a row	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Universidad de Chile to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Universidad Católica to score 3+ in a row	12.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.17

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile corners (+3.5)	85.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Universidad Católica corners (+3.5)	80.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Universidad Católica corners (+2.5)	71.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Universidad de Chile corners (+1.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Universidad Católica corners (+1.5)	61.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Universidad de Chile corners (-1.5)	38.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Universidad Católica corners (-1.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Universidad de Chile corners (-2.5)	28.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Universidad Católica corners (-2.5)	20.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universidad de Chile corners (-3.5)	20.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universidad Católica corners (-3.5)	14.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.7%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.71
0-1	10.1%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.72
1-1	10.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	5.0%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.29
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.29
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (2nd half DNB)	54.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Universidad de Chile (2nd half DNB)	45.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica leading at HT (DNB)	58.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Universidad de Chile leading at HT (DNB)	41.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or Universidad de Chile (12)	78.7%	75.5%	78.8%	0.96×	1.32
Universidad Católica or draw (1X)	66.3%	69.6%	70.0%	0.99×	1.44
Universidad de Chile or draw (X2)	55.0%	52.7%	51.0%	1.03×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw at HT	75.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Universidad de Chile or draw at HT	66.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Universidad Católica or Universidad de Chile at HT	57.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw (1UP)	66.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Universidad de Chile or draw (1UP)	55.0%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Universidad Católica or Universidad de Chile in 2nd half	66.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Universidad de Chile or draw in 2nd half	64.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (DNB)	57.2%	58.1%	62.0%	0.94×	1.72
Universidad de Chile (DNB)	42.8%	41.9%	38.0%	1.10×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score first	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Universidad de Chile to score first	43.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.76

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.3%	51.3%	52.0%	0.99×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.7%	48.7%	48.0%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.3%	41.6%	42.9%	0.97×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	38.4%	38.5%	38.0%	1.01×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	8.3%	9.3%	0.90×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.4%	82.7%	84.6%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.6%	17.3%	15.4%	1.13×	5.77

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.5%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.83

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	46.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	27.3%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	26.1%	26.6%	27.8%	0.96×	3.76
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.79
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.5%	31.5%	0.87×	3.64
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 2	22.3%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Universidad de Chile to score 3+	13.1%	12.9%	11.7%	1.10×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score exactly 1	33.5%	32.6%	31.7%	1.03×	3.07
Universidad Católica to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Universidad Católica to score exactly 0	22.4%	23.3%	21.5%	1.09×	4.29
Universidad Católica to score 3+	19.0%	18.8%	21.0%	0.90×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universidad Católica leading at HT	33.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Universidad de Chile leading at HT	24.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica -1: 2	55.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Universidad Católica -1: X	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Universidad Católica -1: 1	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:1)	55.0%	51.3%	51.0%	1.01×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	23.9%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Universidad Católica (0:1)	21.1%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:2)	78.9%	79.4%	76.8%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.9%	11.0%	12.9%	0.85×	9.10
Universidad Católica (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:3)	91.8%	92.7%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.27
Universidad Católica (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.76
Universidad Católica (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (1:0)	66.3%	70.1%	70.0%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	20.3%	21.7%	20.0%	1.08×	4.62
Universidad de Chile (1:0)	13.4%	12.7%	10.2%	1.24×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (2:0)	86.6%	88.5%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.4%	6.3%	1.01×	15.64
Universidad de Chile (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede	71.3%	73.0%	68.5%	1.06×	1.37
Universidad Católica clean sheet	28.7%	27.0%	31.5%	0.86×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Universidad Católica to concede in 1st half	39.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede in 2nd half	52.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 2nd half	47.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 6.5 corners	79.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Universidad Católica over 2.5 corners	77.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Universidad Católica under 5.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Universidad Católica over 3.5 corners	61.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Universidad Católica under 4.5 corners	54.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Universidad Católica over 4.5 corners	45.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Universidad Católica under 3.5 corners	38.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Universidad Católica over 5.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Universidad Católica under 2.5 corners	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Universidad Católica over 6.5 corners	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.2%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Universidad Católica under 2.5 goals	81.0%	82.2%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
Universidad Católica over 0.5 goals	77.6%	77.8%	78.5%	0.99×	1.29
Universidad Católica under 1.5 goals	56.0%	58.6%	52.9%	1.11×	1.71
Universidad Católica over 1.5 goals	44.0%	41.4%	47.1%	0.88×	2.42
Universidad Católica under 0.5 goals	22.4%	22.2%	21.5%	1.04×	4.50
Universidad Católica over 2.5 goals	19.0%	17.8%	21.0%	0.85×	5.61
Universidad Católica over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.8%	9.0%	0.86×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Universidad Católica scores equally in both	36.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Universidad Católica scores more in 1st half	25.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (home no bet)	61.2%	60.0%	58.6%	1.02×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.8%	40.0%	41.4%	0.97×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica even goals	52.5%	50.8%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Universidad Católica odd goals	47.5%	49.2%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	16.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	26.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Universidad Católica at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Universidad de Chile at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score last	52.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Universidad de Chile to score last	43.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.76

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Universidad Católica to lead by 1 at any time	60.1%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Universidad de Chile to lead by 1 at any time	50.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Universidad Católica to lead by 2 at any time	27.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Universidad de Chile to lead by 2 at any time	19.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Universidad Católica to lead by 3 at any time	10.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Universidad de Chile to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile most corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Universidad Católica most corners	39.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.6%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.7%	72.3%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.9%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.1%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.5%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	49.5%	48.5%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.6%	48.4%	45.1%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.9%	43.6%	42.4%	1.03×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.3%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.3%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.5%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.1%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.76
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica never behind	45.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Universidad de Chile never behind	35.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.2%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.8%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.7%	87.6%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.9%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	70.5%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.7%	52.5%	52.9%	0.99×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	48.3%	47.5%	47.1%	1.01×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.5%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	26.1%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	14.3%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.1%	81.1%	83.4%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.4%	67.5%	65.6%	1.03×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.1%	61.9%	61.9%	1.00×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.9%	38.1%	38.1%	1.00×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.6%	32.5%	34.4%	0.94×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.9%	18.9%	16.6%	1.14×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile not to score in both halves	79.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Universidad Católica not to score in both halves	72.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Universidad Católica to score in both halves	27.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Universidad de Chile to score in both halves	20.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.3%	53.8%	52.0%	1.04×	1.86
Only Universidad Católica scores	24.3%	22.3%	26.8%	0.83×	4.49
Only Universidad de Chile scores	18.0%	16.0%	16.8%	0.95×	6.23
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.54

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.2%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	21.7%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.0%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	20.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile not to win both halves	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Universidad Católica not to win both halves	88.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Universidad Católica to win both halves	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Universidad de Chile to win both halves	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win either half	57.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Universidad de Chile to win neither half	52.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Universidad de Chile to win either half	47.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Universidad Católica to win neither half	42.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile not to win to nil	82.0%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
Universidad Católica not to win to nil	75.7%	78.1%	73.2%	1.07×	1.28
Universidad Católica to win to nil	24.3%	21.9%	26.8%	0.82×	4.57
Universidad de Chile to win to nil	18.0%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica by 1	23.9%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Draw	21.3%	24.1%	21.2%	1.14×	4.15
Universidad de Chile by 1	20.3%	24.1%	20.0%	1.21×	4.15
Universidad Católica by 2	12.9%	11.8%	12.9%	0.91×	8.50
Universidad de Chile by 2	8.9%	7.2%	6.3%	1.13×	13.90
Universidad Católica by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.91
Universidad de Chile by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.83