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Universidad de Chile v Cobresal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Universidad de Chile win
64.6%
model 69.1%
Draw
17.7%
model 15.6%
Cobresal win
17.7%
model 15.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 10.8%
  2. 2-0 10.6%
  3. 2-1 9.8%
  4. 3-0 8.0%
  5. 3-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.561.8% Under 2.538.2%
BTTS yes52.6% BTTS no47.4%
Universidad de Chile 1+89.6% Universidad de Chile 2+66.1%
Cobresal 1+60.3% Cobresal 2+23.7%

Expected goals 2.27 – 0.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
86/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Universidad de Chile (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 49%
68.8% fair odds 1.45
strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Cobresal not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1417.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad de Chile have an estimated 64.6% win probability, against 17.7% for the draw and 17.7% for Cobresal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.27 for Universidad de Chile and 0.93 for Cobresal.

Why Universidad de Chile

Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.7%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Cobresal can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cobresal.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cobresal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cobresal: 41% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad de Chile's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universidad de Chile are the model's most likely outcome at 64.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 10.8%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.27–0.93 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.08–0.82 1-0 13% 55% 47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to win 68.1% 64.8% 49.0% 1.32× 1.54
Draw 16.6% 19.4% 21.2% 0.91× 5.16
Cobresal to win 15.3% 19.4% 30.0% 0.65× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile & not both score 40.1% 40.0% 26.8% 1.49× 2.50
Universidad de Chile & both teams score 28.1% 25.2% 22.4% 1.12× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 12.7% 13.3% 16.6% 0.80× 7.54
Cobresal & not both score 8.6% 8.3% 16.8% 0.50× 12.00
Cobresal & both teams score 6.7% 8.3% 13.4% 0.62× 12.00
Draw & not both score 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 1.00× 20.50
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile & over 1.5 55.1% 54.8% 36.1% 1.52× 1.83
Universidad de Chile & over 2.5 43.2% 40.3% 29.3% 1.38× 2.48
Universidad de Chile & under 3.5 42.9% 40.3% 34.1% 1.18× 2.48
Universidad de Chile & over 3.5 25.2% 26.1% 15.1% 1.72× 3.84
Universidad de Chile & under 2.5 24.9% 21.6% 20.0% 1.08× 4.63
Universidad de Chile & under 1.5 13.0% 12.8% 13.2% 0.97× 7.79
Draw & over 1.5 12.7% 12.8% 16.6% 0.77× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 11.7% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 11.7% 12.8% 13.9% 0.92× 7.79
Cobresal & under 3.5 12.3% 12.8% 23.4% 0.55× 7.79
Cobresal & over 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 20.0% 0.40× 12.63
Cobresal & over 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 16.6% 0.48× 12.63
Cobresal & under 2.5 7.9% 7.9% 13.7% 0.58× 12.63
Cobresal & under 1.5 6.1% 7.9% 10.2% 0.77× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 4.9% 4.8% 7.6% 0.64× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.9% 4.8% 7.6% 0.64× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 0.98× 20.82
Cobresal & over 3.5 3.0% 4.8% 6.8% 0.70× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (1UP) 77.7% 78.5% — — 1.27
Cobresal (1UP) 31.2% 32.7% — — 3.06
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (2UP) 68.1% 68.2% — — 1.47
Cobresal (2UP) 15.3% 16.7% — — 5.97
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to win 2nd half 53.9% 52.2% — — 1.92
2nd half drawn 30.2% 34.0% — — 2.95
Cobresal to win 2nd half 15.9% 17.7% — — 5.64
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 2nd half 91.2% 91.6% — — 1.09
Cobresal under 0.5 in 2nd half 61.1% 60.2% — — 1.66
Cobresal over 0.5 in 2nd half 38.9% 39.8% — — 2.51
Cobresal over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.8% 8.4% — — 11.92
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 2nd half 69.5% 70.9% — — 1.41
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 2nd half 66.8% 70.7% — — 1.41
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 2nd half 33.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 2nd half 30.5% 29.1% — — 3.43
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (+0.5) 84.7% 82.6% 70.0% 1.18× 1.21
Cobresal (+2.5) 78.1% 78.5% 89.5% 0.88× 1.27
Universidad de Chile (-0.5) 68.1% 68.7% 49.0% 1.40× 1.46
Cobresal (+1.5) 57.9% 57.1% 76.8% 0.74× 1.75
Universidad de Chile (-1.5) 42.1% 42.9% 23.2% 1.85× 2.33
Cobresal (+0.5) 31.9% 31.3% 51.0% 0.61× 3.19
Universidad de Chile (-2.5) 21.9% 21.5% 10.5% 2.05× 4.65
Cobresal (-0.5) 15.3% 17.4% 30.0% 0.58× 5.74
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede 87.5% 86.3% 78.5% 1.10× 1.16
Cobresal clean sheet 12.5% 13.7% 21.5% 0.64× 7.29
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede in 1st half 59.1% 56.6% — — 1.77
Cobresal clean sheet in 1st half 40.9% 43.4% — — 2.30
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to concede in 2nd half 69.5% 65.9% — — 1.52
Cobresal clean sheet in 2nd half 30.5% 34.1% — — 2.93
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 6.5 corners 91.5% 89.9% — — 1.11
Cobresal under 5.5 corners 84.4% 81.4% — — 1.23
Cobresal under 4.5 corners 73.3% 71.6% — — 1.40
Cobresal over 2.5 corners 61.6% 61.7% — — 1.62
Cobresal under 3.5 corners 57.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Cobresal over 3.5 corners 42.5% 42.8% — — 2.34
Cobresal under 2.5 corners 38.4% 38.3% — — 2.61
Cobresal over 4.5 corners 26.7% 28.4% — — 3.53
Cobresal over 5.5 corners 15.6% 18.6% — — 5.38
Cobresal over 6.5 corners 8.5% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 3.5 goals 99.0% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Cobresal under 2.5 goals 94.9% 92.4% 88.3% 1.05× 1.08
Cobresal under 1.5 goals 80.1% 81.5% 68.5% 1.19× 1.23
Cobresal over 0.5 goals 56.0% 59.4% 68.5% 0.87× 1.68
Cobresal under 0.5 goals 44.0% 40.6% 31.5% 1.29× 2.46
Cobresal over 1.5 goals 19.9% 18.5% 31.5% 0.59× 5.40
Cobresal over 2.5 goals 5.1% 7.6% 11.7% 0.65× 13.09
Cobresal over 3.5 goals 1.0% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.92
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 1st half 95.6% 96.0% — — 1.04
Cobresal under 0.5 in 1st half 72.0% 67.9% — — 1.47
Cobresal over 0.5 in 1st half 28.0% 32.1% — — 3.12
Cobresal over 1.5 in 1st half 4.4% 4.0% — — 25.04
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal scores equally in both 51.4% 51.0% — — 1.96
Cobresal scores more in 2nd half 30.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
Cobresal scores more in 1st half 18.5% 18.1% — — 5.52
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (away no bet) 80.4% 82.5% 69.8% 1.18× 1.21
Draw (away no bet) 19.6% 17.5% 30.2% 0.58× 5.73
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal even goals 59.7% 56.9% 53.7% 1.06× 1.76
Cobresal odd goals 40.3% 43.1% 46.3% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.7% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.3% 16.8% — — 5.94
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.5% 67.8% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.5% 32.2% — — 3.11
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 62.9% 60.0% — — 1.67
Universidad de Chile to score 2+ in a row 55.0% 51.0% — — 1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row 28.7% 25.0% — — 4.00
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ in a row 26.7% 24.9% — — 4.01
Cobresal to score 2+ in a row 12.8% 12.2% — — 8.22
Cobresal to score 3+ in a row 2.3% 2.5% — — 39.57
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile corners (+3.5) 97.7% 95.7% — — 1.04
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5) 95.9% 95.7% — — 1.05
Universidad de Chile corners (+1.5) 92.9% 89.6% — — 1.12
Universidad de Chile corners (-1.5) 75.1% 74.8% — — 1.34
Universidad de Chile corners (-2.5) 66.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Universidad de Chile corners (-3.5) 56.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
Cobresal corners (+3.5) 43.1% 42.8% — — 2.33
Cobresal corners (+2.5) 33.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Cobresal corners (+1.5) 24.9% 25.2% — — 3.97
Cobresal corners (-1.5) 7.1% 10.4% — — 9.60
Cobresal corners (-2.5) 4.1% 4.3% — — 23.46
Cobresal corners (-3.5) 2.3% 4.3% — — 23.51
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 44.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
0-8 corners 28.1% 31.2% — — 3.21
9-11 corners 27.8% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 80.2% 80.7% — — 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 71.9% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 64.5% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 62.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 55.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 53.3% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 10.5 corners 46.7% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 11.5 corners 44.1% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 9.5 corners 37.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 35.5% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 28.1% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 19.8% 19.3% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 13.0% 11.5% 13.2% 0.87× 8.71
2-0 11.9% 11.5% 7.1% 1.62× 8.71
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 10.7% 0.69× 13.51
1-1 7.8% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
3-0 8.2% 7.4% 3.9% 1.90× 13.51
3-1 6.8% 7.4% 4.6% 1.60× 13.51
0-1 6.1% 7.4% 10.2% 0.72× 13.51
Any other score 6.2% 7.4% 3.4% 2.17× 13.51
0-0 3.9% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.30
0-2 1.9% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.31
0-3 0.5% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.32
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
1-2 3.9% 1.7% 7.3% 0.23× 58.30
1-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
1-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
2-2 4.0% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.30
2-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.88× 58.30
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-0 4.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.30
4-1 3.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.30
4-2 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.03× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (2nd half DNB) 77.2% 79.6% — — 1.26
Cobresal (2nd half DNB) 22.8% 20.4% — — 4.91
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile leading at HT (DNB) 78.3% 75.5% — — 1.33
Cobresal leading at HT (DNB) 21.7% 24.5% — — 4.07
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw (1X) 84.7% 80.6% 70.0% 1.15× 1.24
Universidad de Chile or Cobresal (12) 83.4% 80.6% 78.8% 1.02× 1.24
Cobresal or draw (X2) 31.9% 35.2% 51.0% 0.69× 2.84
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw at HT 86.6% 88.2% — — 1.13
Universidad de Chile or Cobresal at HT 61.8% 60.9% — — 1.64
Cobresal or draw at HT 51.6% 48.5% — — 2.06
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw (1UP) 84.7% 89.0% — — 1.12
Cobresal or draw (1UP) 31.9% 39.1% — — 2.56
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw in 2nd half 84.1% 82.3% — — 1.22
Universidad de Chile or Cobresal in 2nd half 69.8% 66.1% — — 1.51
Cobresal or draw in 2nd half 46.1% 47.8% — — 2.09
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.6% 58.9% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 41.4% 41.1% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (DNB) 81.6% 80.3% 62.0% 1.30× 1.25
Cobresal (DNB) 18.4% 19.7% 38.0% 0.52× 5.09
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to score first 68.9% 69.4% — — 1.44
Cobresal to score first 27.2% 27.8% — — 3.59
No goal scored 3.9% 4.4% — — 22.84
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 52.5% 51.3% 48.0% 1.07× 1.95
Both teams to score 47.5% 48.7% 52.0% 0.94× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 39.7% 38.5% 42.9% 0.90× 2.60
Not both score & under 2.5 36.7% 38.4% 38.0% 1.01× 2.60
Not both score & over 2.5 15.8% 21.5% 10.2% 2.10× 4.66
Both score & under 2.5 7.8% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.7% 85.6% 84.6% 1.01× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.3% 14.4% 15.4% 0.94× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.5% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.5% 26.3% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.7% 65.8% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.0% 21.2% — — 4.71
Both score 1st half only 11.8% 10.7% — — 9.33
Both score in both halves 4.5% 4.9% — — 20.24
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.7% 83.5% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.3% 16.5% — — 6.06
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.7% 57.0% — — 1.75
A half without a goal 43.3% 43.0% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.9% 42.2% 43.4% 0.97× 2.37
4-6 goals 30.2% 30.7% 26.8% 1.14× 3.26
0-1 goals 23.0% 22.9% 27.8% 0.82× 4.36
7+ goals 2.9% 1.8% 2.4% 0.76× 54.27
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal to score exactly 0 44.0% 37.4% 31.5% 1.19× 2.68
Cobresal to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.9% 37.3% 0.96× 2.79
Cobresal to score exactly 2 14.9% 12.9% 20.0% 0.65× 7.75
Cobresal to score 3+ 5.1% 8.5% 11.7% 0.73× 11.73
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ 34.5% 32.6% 21.0% 1.55× 3.07
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.6% 26.3% 1.01× 3.77
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 1 26.0% 26.6% 31.7% 0.84× 3.77
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 0 12.5% 14.3% 21.5% 0.67× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile leading at HT 48.4% 51.5% — — 1.94
Draw at HT 38.2% 39.1% — — 2.56
Cobresal leading at HT 13.4% 11.8% — — 8.47
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile -1: 1 42.1% 42.8% — — 2.34
Universidad de Chile -1: 2 31.9% 30.1% — — 3.33
Universidad de Chile -1: X 26.0% 26.5% — — 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:1) 42.1% 42.6% 23.2% 1.84× 2.35
Cobresal (0:1) 31.9% 30.1% 51.0% 0.59× 3.32
Draw (0:1) 26.0% 27.0% 26.1% 1.03× 3.70
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (0:2) 57.9% 63.2% 76.8% 0.82× 1.58
Universidad de Chile (0:2) 21.9% 20.3% 10.5% 1.93× 4.94
Draw (0:2) 20.3% 20.2% 12.9% 1.57× 4.94
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (0:3) 78.1% 80.7% 89.5% 0.90× 1.24
Draw (0:3) 12.4% 9.9% 5.4% 1.84× 10.12
Universidad de Chile (0:3) 9.4% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal (0:4) 90.6% 94.5% 94.6% 1.00× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 6.0% 4.6% 4.1% 1.11× 21.66
Universidad de Chile (0:4) 3.4% 1.2% 1.5% 0.84× 81.59
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (1:0) 84.7% 81.5% 70.0% 1.16× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 11.2% 12.7% 20.0% 0.63× 7.88
Cobresal (1:0) 4.1% 3.3% 10.2% 0.32× 30.49
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile (2:0) 95.9% 96.8% 89.8% 1.08× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 3.2% 2.3% 6.3% 0.36× 43.73
Cobresal (2:0) 0.9% 2.3% 4.1% 0.55× 43.87
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.4% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 28.9% 26.3% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.7% 24.5% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to concede 56.0% 60.6% 68.5% 0.88× 1.65
Universidad de Chile clean sheet 44.0% 39.4% 31.5% 1.25× 2.54
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 1st half 72.0% 66.8% — — 1.50
Universidad de Chile to concede in 1st half 28.0% 33.2% — — 3.02
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 2nd half 61.1% 59.7% — — 1.68
Universidad de Chile to concede in 2nd half 38.9% 40.3% — — 2.48
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 corners 95.0% 89.3% — — 1.12
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 corners 89.2% 86.2% — — 1.16
Universidad de Chile over 4.5 corners 81.1% 81.0% — — 1.24
Universidad de Chile over 5.5 corners 71.1% 71.9% — — 1.39
Universidad de Chile over 6.5 corners 60.2% 62.3% — — 1.61
Universidad de Chile under 6.5 corners 39.8% 37.7% — — 2.65
Universidad de Chile under 5.5 corners 28.9% 28.1% — — 3.56
Universidad de Chile under 4.5 corners 18.9% 19.0% — — 5.26
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 corners 10.8% 13.8% — — 7.26
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 corners 5.0% 10.7% — — 9.31
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 goals 87.5% 87.3% 78.5% 1.11× 1.15
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 goals 84.2% 82.2% 91.0% 0.90× 1.22
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 goals 65.5% 67.9% 79.0% 0.86× 1.47
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals 61.6% 63.6% 47.1% 1.35× 1.57
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 goals 38.4% 36.4% 52.9% 0.69× 2.75
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 goals 34.5% 32.1% 21.0% 1.53× 3.12
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 goals 15.8% 17.8% 9.0% 1.97× 5.62
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 goals 12.5% 12.7% 21.5% 0.59× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 1st half 77.4% 76.5% — — 1.31
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 1st half 59.1% 56.4% — — 1.77
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 1st half 40.9% 43.6% — — 2.29
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 1st half 22.6% 23.5% — — 4.25
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile scores more in 2nd half 42.6% 41.7% — — 2.40
Universidad de Chile scores equally in both 29.7% 27.9% — — 3.58
Universidad de Chile scores more in 1st half 27.7% 27.9% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 52.0% 51.4% 41.4% 1.24× 1.94
Cobresal (home no bet) 48.0% 48.6% 58.6% 0.83× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile even goals 50.8% 50.7% 54.4% 0.93× 1.97
Universidad de Chile odd goals 49.2% 49.3% 45.6% 1.08× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.1% 28.5% — — 3.51
HT 1-0 26.6% 28.4% — — 3.52
HT 2-0 11.8% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 0-1 9.9% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 1-1 8.4% 6.9% — — 14.53
Any other HT score 6.6% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 2-1 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT 0-2 1.6% 2.4% — — 42.32
HT 1-2 1.4% 2.4% — — 42.33
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.38
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT 43.7% 41.0% — — 2.44
Draw at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT 21.6% 21.6% — — 4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 9.7% 6.1% — — 16.42
Cobresal at HT / Cobresal at FT 7.4% 6.1% — — 16.48
Draw at HT / Cobresal at FT 6.9% 6.1% — — 16.50
Universidad de Chile at HT / Draw at FT 3.7% 3.5% — — 28.90
Cobresal at HT / Draw at FT 3.2% 3.5% — — 28.92
Cobresal at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.93
Universidad de Chile at HT / Cobresal at FT 1.0% 3.4% — — 29.00
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to score last 68.5% 70.4% — — 1.42
Cobresal to score last 27.5% 27.3% — — 3.67
No goal scored 3.9% 4.4% — — 22.84
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.1% 95.6% — — 1.05
Universidad de Chile to lead by 1 at any time 77.7% 78.1% — — 1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 55.4% 54.8% — — 1.82
Universidad de Chile to lead by 2 at any time 48.2% 44.3% — — 2.26
Cobresal to lead by 1 at any time 31.2% 29.7% — — 3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 26.2% 25.2% — — 3.96
Universidad de Chile to lead by 3 at any time 24.6% 19.6% — — 5.11
Cobresal to lead by 2 at any time 7.5% 6.7% — — 15.04
Cobresal to lead by 3 at any time 1.5% 1.6% — — 63.79
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile most corners 82.6% 81.4% — — 1.23
Cobresal most corners 11.4% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corners level 6.0% 8.3% — — 12.00
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 88.7% 87.4% 87.3% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.2% 78.7% 81.2% 0.97× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.2% 72.3% 70.0% 1.03× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.6% 68.8% 64.4% 1.07× 1.45
1-3 goals 63.0% 63.3% 66.3% 0.95× 1.58
2-4 goals 60.2% 63.3% 58.3% 1.09× 1.58
3-6 goals 52.6% 53.2% 50.7% 1.05× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.1% 48.4% 45.1% 1.07× 2.06
2-3 goals 43.9% 43.6% 43.4% 1.00× 2.29
1-2 goals 40.6% 43.6% 42.4% 1.03× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.6% 39.2% 39.0% 1.00× 2.55
4-6 goals 30.2% 35.2% 26.8% 1.31× 2.84
4-5 goals 25.7% 30.2% 21.2% 1.42× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.0% 14.8% 12.0% 1.24× 6.75
7+ goals 2.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.05× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile never behind 64.9% 68.6% — — 1.46
Cobresal never behind 18.4% 18.4% — — 5.44
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 47.0% 50.9% 44.9% 1.13× 1.97
Odd number of goals 53.0% 49.1% 55.1% 0.89× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.8% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.2% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.7% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.3% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.1% 95.4% 95.1% 1.00× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 92.6% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 83.1% 82.3% 85.9% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 77.0% 77.3% 72.2% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 66.9% 66.3% 71.0% 0.93× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 55.5% 58.6% 52.9% 1.11× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 44.5% 41.4% 47.1% 0.88× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 33.1% 33.7% 29.0% 1.16× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 23.0% 22.7% 27.8% 0.82× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 16.9% 17.7% 14.1% 1.25× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 0.96× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 3.9% 4.6% 4.9% 0.94× 21.81
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.0% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.8% 92.4% 91.4% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.9% 75.9% 83.4% 0.91× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.7% 72.3% 65.6% 1.10× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 57.3% 55.8% 61.9% 0.90× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 42.7% 44.2% 38.1% 1.16× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.3% 27.7% 34.4% 0.80× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.1% 24.1% 16.6% 1.45× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.2% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 1.09× 35.61
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.4% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.9% 71.3% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.7% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.3% 31.4% — — 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.1% 28.7% — — 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.6% 11.0% — — 9.13
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.9% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 76.3% 79.5% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 50.5% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.7% 20.5% — — 4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.1% 17.1% — — 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal not to score in both halves 89.1% 85.7% — — 1.17
Universidad de Chile not to score in both halves 58.9% 58.2% — — 1.72
Universidad de Chile to score in both halves 41.1% 41.8% — — 2.39
Cobresal to score in both halves 10.9% 14.3% — — 7.01
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.5% 50.7% 52.0% 0.98× 1.97
Only Universidad de Chile scores 40.1% 46.5% 26.8% 1.73× 2.15
Only Cobresal scores 8.6% 7.1% 16.8% 0.42× 13.99
Neither team scores 3.9% 4.6% 4.9% 0.95× 21.56
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.5% 22.6% 19.5% 1.16× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 19.1% 17.5% 23.2% 0.75× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 16.2% 17.5% 15.1% 1.15× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.4% 7.6% 6.3% 1.20× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.4% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 0.92× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.5% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 29.1% 28.7% — — 3.49
2 goals in 1st half 21.8% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 12.6% 10.9% — — 9.21
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.5% 44.9% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 32.4% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 18.1% 16.8% — — 5.95
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal not to win both halves 98.0% 97.3% — — 1.03
Universidad de Chile not to win both halves 74.3% 74.0% — — 1.35
Universidad de Chile to win both halves 25.7% 26.0% — — 3.85
Cobresal to win both halves 2.0% 2.7% — — 36.40
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile to win either half 76.6% 79.6% — — 1.26
Cobresal to win neither half 72.7% 73.1% — — 1.37
Cobresal to win either half 27.3% 26.9% — — 3.71
Universidad de Chile to win neither half 23.4% 20.4% — — 4.90
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cobresal not to win to nil 91.4% 92.1% 83.2% 1.11× 1.09
Universidad de Chile not to win to nil 59.9% 59.2% 73.2% 0.81× 1.69
Universidad de Chile to win to nil 40.1% 40.8% 26.8% 1.52× 2.45
Cobresal to win to nil 8.6% 7.9% 16.8% 0.47× 12.63
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Universidad de Chile by 1 26.0% 27.9% 26.1% 1.07× 3.59
Universidad de Chile by 3+ 21.9% 24.1% 10.5% 2.30× 4.15
Universidad de Chile by 2 20.3% 24.1% 12.9% 1.86× 4.15
Draw 16.6% 17.0% 21.2% 0.80× 5.87
Cobresal by 1 11.2% 11.8% 20.0% 0.59× 8.51
Cobresal by 2 3.2% 2.7% 6.3% 0.43× 36.87
Cobresal by 3+ 0.9% 2.7% 4.1% 0.65× 36.94
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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