Universidad de Chile v Everton de Viña del Mar — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 25 October 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627
CHI-Primera Division
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 14.7%
- 2-0 10.0%
- 1-1 9.9%
- 0-1 9.6%
- 2-1 9.4%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 46.2% | Under 2.5 | 53.8% |
| BTTS yes | 46.4% | BTTS no | 53.6% |
| Universidad de Chile 1+ | 79.4% | Universidad de Chile 2+ | 46.9% |
| Everton de Viña del Mar 1+ | 61.0% | Everton de Viña del Mar 2+ | 24.3% |
Expected goals 1.58 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Universidad de Chile have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.1% for Everton and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Universidad de Chile and 0.94 for Everton.
Why Universidad de Chile
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.
Why Everton de Viña del Mar can win
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Key players
Everton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (0.32), Thierno Barry (0.31), Iliman Ndiaye (0.29).
Availability
No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Everton: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.34 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Universidad de Chile are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.46–0.88 | 1-0 16% | 41% | 43% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.