Universidad de Chile v Unión La Calera — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Universidad de Chile

20:00 UTC

Unión La Calera

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 969h before kick-off

Universidad de Chile win

81.6%

model 77.0%

Draw

10.8%

model 13.6%

Unión La Calera win

7.6%

model 9.3%

82118

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (68 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 14.5%
1-0 13.9%
3-0 11.1%
2-1 8.7%
3-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.4%	Under 2.5	44.6%
BTTS yes	39.4%	BTTS no	60.6%
Universidad de Chile 1+	90.0%	Universidad de Chile 2+	66.9%
Unión La Calera 1+	45.2%	Unión La Calera 2+	12.3%

Expected goals 2.30 – 0.60. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Universidad de Chile (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 2nd half

Over/Under 2HT

81.9% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1325.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad de Chile have an estimated 81.6% win probability, against 10.8% for the draw and 7.6% for Unión La Calera. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.30 for Universidad de Chile and 0.60 for Unión La Calera.

Why Universidad de Chile

Universidad de Chile carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1325. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.8%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Unión La Calera can win

Nothing in the data singles out Unión La Calera.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad de Chile, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Unión La Calera, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad de Chile: 65% possession, 23.0 shots a match, 8.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Unión La Calera: 47% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad de Chile's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universidad de Chile are the model's most likely outcome at 81.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 14.5%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	77149	2.30–0.60	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	731710	1.94–0.51	1-0 18%	44%	33%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to win	73.1%	73.8%	49.0%	1.51×	1.35
Draw	16.7%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.16
Unión La Calera to win	10.2%	13.4%	30.0%	0.45×	7.47

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile & not both score	52.9%	48.4%	26.8%	1.80×	2.07
Universidad de Chile & both teams score	20.2%	21.8%	22.4%	0.97×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	9.5%	8.3%	16.6%	0.50×	11.99
Draw & not both score	7.2%	8.3%	4.9%	1.71×	12.00
Unión La Calera & not both score	7.2%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	12.00
Unión La Calera & both teams score	3.0%	4.9%	13.4%	0.36×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile & over 1.5	54.9%	48.9%	36.1%	1.35×	2.05
Universidad de Chile & under 3.5	53.2%	48.8%	34.1%	1.43×	2.05
Universidad de Chile & over 2.5	38.6%	34.9%	29.3%	1.19×	2.87
Universidad de Chile & under 2.5	34.5%	30.8%	20.0%	1.54×	3.25
Universidad de Chile & over 3.5	19.9%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.55
Universidad de Chile & under 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.63
Unión La Calera & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	23.4%	0.34×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	4.9%	1.62×	12.63
Unión La Calera & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Unión La Calera & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.63
Unión La Calera & over 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	20.0%	0.24×	20.81
Unión La Calera & over 2.5	3.3%	4.8%	16.6%	0.29×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	2.4%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.83
Draw & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.83
Unión La Calera & over 3.5	0.9%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.84

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (1UP)	79.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Unión La Calera (1UP)	21.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (2UP)	73.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Unión La Calera (2UP)	10.2%	13.6%	—	—	7.38

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to win 2nd half	56.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
2nd half drawn	32.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Unión La Calera to win 2nd half	10.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 2nd half	96.2%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 2nd half	3.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (+0.5)	89.8%	88.5%	70.0%	1.26×	1.13
Unión La Calera (+2.5)	77.2%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.27
Universidad de Chile (-0.5)	73.1%	73.7%	49.0%	1.50×	1.36
Unión La Calera (+1.5)	54.9%	52.4%	76.8%	0.68×	1.91
Universidad de Chile (-1.5)	45.1%	47.6%	23.2%	2.05×	2.10
Unión La Calera (+0.5)	26.9%	26.3%	51.0%	0.52×	3.80
Universidad de Chile (-2.5)	22.8%	21.5%	10.5%	2.05×	4.65
Unión La Calera (-0.5)	10.2%	11.5%	30.0%	0.38×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede	85.6%	86.2%	78.5%	1.10×	1.16
Unión La Calera clean sheet	14.4%	13.8%	21.5%	0.64×	7.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 1st half	56.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 1st half	43.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 2nd half	66.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 2nd half	33.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 6.5 corners	88.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Unión La Calera under 5.5 corners	80.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Unión La Calera under 4.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Unión La Calera over 2.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Unión La Calera under 3.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Unión La Calera over 3.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Unión La Calera under 2.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Unión La Calera over 4.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Unión La Calera over 5.5 corners	19.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Unión La Calera over 6.5 corners	11.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 2.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	88.3%	1.10×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 1.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	68.5%	1.35×	1.08
Unión La Calera under 0.5 goals	60.1%	63.2%	31.5%	2.01×	1.58
Unión La Calera over 0.5 goals	39.9%	36.8%	68.5%	0.54×	2.72
Unión La Calera over 1.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	31.5%	0.24×	13.05
Unión La Calera over 2.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	11.7%	0.21×	39.89
Unión La Calera over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 1st half	98.2%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 1st half	81.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 1st half	18.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.72
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 1st half	1.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.41

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera scores equally in both	63.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Unión La Calera scores more in 2nd half	22.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Unión La Calera scores more in 1st half	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (away no bet)	81.4%	82.6%	69.8%	1.18×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	18.6%	17.4%	30.2%	0.58×	5.76

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera even goals	68.1%	65.0%	53.7%	1.21×	1.54
Unión La Calera odd goals	31.9%	35.0%	46.3%	0.76×	2.86

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.8%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.2%	39.8%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Universidad de Chile to score 2+ in a row	53.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Universidad de Chile to score 3+ in a row	25.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Unión La Calera to score 2+ in a row	5.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.31
Unión La Calera to score 3+ in a row	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.56

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile corners (+3.5)	96.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Universidad de Chile corners (+2.5)	93.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Universidad de Chile corners (+1.5)	90.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Universidad de Chile corners (-1.5)	69.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Universidad de Chile corners (-2.5)	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Unión La Calera corners (+3.5)	50.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Universidad de Chile corners (-3.5)	49.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Unión La Calera corners (+2.5)	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Unión La Calera corners (+1.5)	31.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Unión La Calera corners (-1.5)	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Unión La Calera corners (-2.5)	6.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Unión La Calera corners (-3.5)	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.47

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	42.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	66.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	61.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	51.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	48.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	38.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	33.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	18.2%	13.8%	13.2%	1.05×	7.23
2-0	16.3%	13.8%	7.1%	1.95×	7.24
3-0	10.5%	11.5%	3.9%	2.94×	8.72
0-0	7.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.51
1-1	7.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
0-1	5.8%	7.4%	10.2%	0.72×	13.51
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.51
4-0	5.1%	7.4%	2.4%	3.03×	13.51
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-2	2.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.31
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
2-2	2.1%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.31
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.30
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	4.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (2nd half DNB)	84.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Unión La Calera (2nd half DNB)	15.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.80

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile leading at HT (DNB)	84.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Unión La Calera leading at HT (DNB)	15.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw (1X)	89.8%	86.6%	70.0%	1.24×	1.16
Universidad de Chile or Unión La Calera (12)	83.3%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Unión La Calera or draw (X2)	26.9%	26.2%	51.0%	0.51×	3.82

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw at HT	91.1%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Universidad de Chile or Unión La Calera at HT	58.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Unión La Calera or draw at HT	50.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw (1UP)	89.8%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Unión La Calera or draw (1UP)	26.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile or draw in 2nd half	89.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Universidad de Chile or Unión La Calera in 2nd half	67.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Unión La Calera or draw in 2nd half	43.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.9%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (DNB)	87.7%	87.1%	62.0%	1.40×	1.15
Unión La Calera (DNB)	12.3%	12.9%	38.0%	0.34×	7.77

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score first	73.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera to score first	19.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
No goal scored	7.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	67.3%	58.4%	48.0%	1.22×	1.71
Both teams to score	32.7%	41.6%	52.0%	0.80×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.7%	44.3%	38.0%	1.16×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	25.6%	33.3%	42.9%	0.78×	3.01
Not both score & over 2.5	18.6%	21.5%	10.2%	2.10×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	7.1%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.6%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.4%	11.0%	15.4%	0.71×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.9%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.6%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score 1st half only	8.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.69
Both score in both halves	1.8%	4.8%	—	—	20.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	43.4%	1.09×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.3%	30.7%	27.8%	1.11×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.8%	22.9%	26.8%	0.85×	4.36
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to score exactly 0	60.1%	50.2%	31.5%	1.60×	1.99
Unión La Calera to score exactly 1	30.6%	33.8%	37.3%	0.91×	2.96
Unión La Calera to score exactly 2	7.8%	8.5%	20.0%	0.43×	11.70
Unión La Calera to score 3+	1.5%	4.6%	11.7%	0.39×	21.97

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score 3+	30.6%	32.6%	21.0%	1.55×	3.07
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 1	27.9%	26.6%	31.7%	0.84×	3.77
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Universidad de Chile to score exactly 0	14.4%	14.3%	21.5%	0.67×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile leading at HT	49.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	41.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Unión La Calera leading at HT	8.9%	8.9%	—	—	11.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile -1: 1	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Universidad de Chile -1: X	28.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Universidad de Chile -1: 2	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (0:1)	45.1%	46.0%	23.2%	1.99×	2.17
Draw (0:1)	28.0%	27.0%	26.1%	1.04×	3.70
Unión La Calera (0:1)	26.9%	27.0%	51.0%	0.53×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:2)	54.9%	58.4%	76.8%	0.76×	1.71
Universidad de Chile (0:2)	22.8%	20.3%	10.5%	1.93×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	22.3%	20.3%	12.9%	1.57×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:3)	77.2%	80.7%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	13.4%	9.9%	5.4%	1.84×	10.10
Universidad de Chile (0:3)	9.5%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:4)	90.5%	94.5%	94.6%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.2%	4.6%	4.1%	1.11×	21.64
Universidad de Chile (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	1.5%	0.84×	81.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (1:0)	89.8%	86.2%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.4%	6.9%	20.0%	0.35×	14.48
Unión La Calera (1:0)	1.8%	3.2%	10.2%	0.32×	30.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile (2:0)	98.2%	96.8%	89.8%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.83
Unión La Calera (2:0)	0.3%	2.3%	4.1%	0.55×	43.91

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet	60.1%	63.6%	31.5%	2.02×	1.57
Universidad de Chile to concede	39.9%	36.4%	68.5%	0.53×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 1st half	81.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Universidad de Chile to concede in 1st half	18.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile clean sheet in 2nd half	73.7%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
Universidad de Chile to concede in 2nd half	26.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 corners	93.8%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 corners	87.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Universidad de Chile over 4.5 corners	77.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Universidad de Chile over 5.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Universidad de Chile over 6.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Universidad de Chile under 6.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universidad de Chile under 5.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Universidad de Chile under 4.5 corners	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 corners	13.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 corners	6.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 3.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	91.0%	0.96×	1.15
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.3%	78.5%	1.11×	1.15
Universidad de Chile under 2.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	79.0%	0.86×	1.47
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals	57.7%	58.7%	47.1%	1.25×	1.71
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 goals	42.3%	41.3%	52.9%	0.78×	2.42
Universidad de Chile over 2.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	21.0%	1.53×	3.12
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.7%	21.5%	0.59×	7.85
Universidad de Chile over 3.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	9.0%	1.41×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile under 1.5 in 1st half	79.7%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Universidad de Chile over 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Universidad de Chile under 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Universidad de Chile over 1.5 in 1st half	20.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Universidad de Chile scores equally in both	31.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Universidad de Chile scores more in 1st half	27.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	62.0%	60.0%	41.4%	1.45×	1.67
Unión La Calera (home no bet)	38.0%	40.0%	58.6%	0.68×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile even goals	51.0%	50.7%	54.4%	0.93×	1.97
Universidad de Chile odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	45.6%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 2-0	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 0-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 1-1	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
Any other HT score	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 0-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37
HT 1-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	46.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Draw at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	24.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Unión La Calera at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Universidad de Chile at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Unión La Calera at HT / Draw at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Unión La Calera at HT / Universidad de Chile at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Universidad de Chile at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	0.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.02

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile to score last	73.1%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Unión La Calera to score last	19.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
No goal scored	7.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Universidad de Chile to lead by 1 at any time	79.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Universidad de Chile to lead by 2 at any time	49.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universidad de Chile to lead by 3 at any time	24.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Unión La Calera to lead by 1 at any time	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Unión La Calera to lead by 2 at any time	3.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.97
Unión La Calera to lead by 3 at any time	0.4%	1.5%	—	—	64.87

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile most corners	77.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Unión La Calera most corners	15.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	7.1%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.9%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.6%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.7%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.5%	68.8%	70.0%	0.98×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.9%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.6%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.5%	48.4%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.4%	43.4%	1.12×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	50.7%	0.86×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.4%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.1%	35.2%	39.0%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.8%	24.4%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.3%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.9%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.25
7+ goals	1.3%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile never behind	71.4%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Unión La Calera never behind	13.5%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.8%	87.6%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.9%	77.3%	71.0%	1.09×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.7%	66.3%	72.2%	0.92×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	55.8%	58.6%	47.1%	1.25×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	44.2%	41.4%	52.9%	0.78×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.3%	33.7%	27.8%	1.21×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	23.1%	22.7%	29.0%	0.78×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.2%	12.4%	14.1%	0.88×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.9%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.3%	86.7%	83.4%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.7%	72.3%	61.9%	1.17×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.6%	55.8%	65.6%	0.85×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.4%	44.2%	34.4%	1.28×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.3%	27.7%	38.1%	0.73×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.7%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.1%	2.8%	8.6%	0.33×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.3%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to score in both halves	95.2%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Universidad de Chile not to score in both halves	62.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Universidad de Chile to score in both halves	37.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Unión La Calera to score in both halves	4.8%	4.6%	—	—	21.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Universidad de Chile scores	52.9%	53.8%	26.8%	2.01×	1.86
Both teams score	32.7%	33.3%	52.0%	0.64×	3.01
Neither team scores	7.2%	7.1%	4.9%	1.46×	14.01
Only Unión La Calera scores	7.2%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	24.1%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.9%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.2%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.8%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.7%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win both halves	99.1%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Universidad de Chile not to win both halves	72.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Universidad de Chile to win both halves	28.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Unión La Calera to win both halves	0.9%	2.7%	—	—	36.88

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to win neither half	81.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Universidad de Chile to win either half	78.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Universidad de Chile to win neither half	21.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Unión La Calera to win either half	18.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win to nil	92.8%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Universidad de Chile to win to nil	52.9%	53.8%	26.8%	2.01×	1.86
Universidad de Chile not to win to nil	47.1%	46.2%	73.2%	0.63×	2.17
Unión La Calera to win to nil	7.2%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Chile by 1	28.0%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
Universidad de Chile by 3+	22.8%	24.1%	10.5%	2.30×	4.15
Universidad de Chile by 2	22.3%	24.1%	12.9%	1.86×	4.15
Draw	16.7%	17.0%	21.2%	0.80×	5.87
Unión La Calera by 1	8.4%	7.2%	20.0%	0.36×	13.91
Unión La Calera by 2	1.5%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.92
Unión La Calera by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	4.1%	0.65×	36.96