Universidad de Concepción v Ñublense — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Universidad de Concepción

20:00 UTC

Ñublense

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 633h before kick-off

Universidad de Concepción win

30.9%

model 33.2%

Draw

23.8%

model 23.4%

Ñublense win

45.3%

model 43.4%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 14.4%
1-0 12.4%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 8.4%
0-2 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.7%	Under 2.5	58.3%
BTTS yes	45.3%	BTTS no	54.7%
Universidad de Concepción 1+	65.7%	Universidad de Concepción 2+	29.0%
Ñublense 1+	72.2%	Ñublense 2+	36.6%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 53%

72.9% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1226 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 2nd half

Over/Under 2HT

82.0% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Ñublense carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Ñublense have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Universidad de Concepción and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for Universidad de Concepción and 1.28 for Ñublense.

Why Universidad de Concepción

Nothing in the data singles out Universidad de Concepción.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. A combined 2.35 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.07 to 1.28. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Ñublense can win

Ñublense carry the stronger rating, 1504 Elo against 1417.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad de Concepción, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Ñublense, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad de Concepción: 47% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Ñublense: 51% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Ñublense are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 14.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332343	1.07–1.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	302545	0.90–1.20	0-1 17%	35%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to win	45.2%	47.3%	30.0%	1.58×	2.11
Universidad de Concepción to win	29.8%	27.9%	49.0%	0.57×	3.58
Draw	25.1%	27.9%	21.2%	1.31×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense & not both score	30.7%	29.6%	16.8%	1.76×	3.38
Universidad de Concepción & not both score	20.1%	21.8%	26.8%	0.81×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	15.0%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Ñublense & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	4.9%	2.72×	7.54
Universidad de Concepción & both teams score	9.7%	8.3%	22.4%	0.37×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense & under 3.5	37.3%	34.9%	23.4%	1.49×	2.87
Ñublense & over 1.5	28.2%	26.1%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
Universidad de Concepción & under 3.5	25.6%	26.1%	34.1%	0.76×	3.84
Ñublense & under 2.5	25.8%	26.1%	13.7%	1.91×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	13.9%	1.55×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.1%	21.6%	13.9%	1.55×	4.63
Ñublense & over 2.5	19.4%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.55
Universidad de Concepción & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Universidad de Concepción & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	36.1%	0.50×	5.56
Ñublense & under 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	10.2%	1.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.0%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.56
Universidad de Concepción & under 1.5	13.3%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Universidad de Concepción & over 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	29.3%	0.44×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	4.9%	2.63×	7.79
Ñublense & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Universidad de Concepción & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	7.6%	0.64×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (1UP)	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Universidad de Concepción (1UP)	42.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (2UP)	45.2%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Universidad de Concepción (2UP)	29.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Ñublense to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Universidad de Concepción to win 2nd half	23.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Ñublense over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Ñublense under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Ñublense over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.6%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.4%	6.3%	—	—	15.75

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Ñublense (+1.5)	90.6%	92.1%	76.8%	1.20×	1.09
Ñublense (+0.5)	70.2%	73.6%	51.0%	1.44×	1.36
Universidad de Concepción (+0.5)	54.8%	52.4%	70.0%	0.75×	1.91
Ñublense (-0.5)	45.2%	47.6%	30.0%	1.59×	2.10
Universidad de Concepción (-0.5)	29.8%	26.4%	49.0%	0.54×	3.79
Universidad de Concepción (-1.5)	9.4%	7.9%	23.2%	0.34×	12.68
Universidad de Concepción (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	27.18

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to concede	59.2%	62.5%	78.5%	0.80×	1.60
Ñublense clean sheet	40.8%	37.5%	21.5%	1.75×	2.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense clean sheet in 1st half	68.0%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Ñublense to concede in 1st half	32.0%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense clean sheet in 2nd half	60.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Ñublense to concede in 2nd half	40.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense under 6.5 corners	78.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Ñublense over 2.5 corners	77.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Ñublense under 5.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Ñublense over 3.5 corners	62.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Ñublense under 4.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Ñublense over 4.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Ñublense under 3.5 corners	37.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Ñublense over 5.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Ñublense under 2.5 corners	22.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Ñublense over 6.5 corners	21.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Ñublense under 2.5 goals	88.0%	87.8%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Ñublense over 0.5 goals	69.8%	68.0%	68.5%	0.99×	1.47
Ñublense under 1.5 goals	66.3%	68.0%	68.5%	0.99×	1.47
Ñublense over 1.5 goals	33.7%	32.0%	31.5%	1.02×	3.13
Ñublense under 0.5 goals	30.2%	32.0%	31.5%	1.02×	3.13
Ñublense over 2.5 goals	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	1.04×	8.20
Ñublense over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Ñublense under 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Ñublense over 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Ñublense over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.39

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense scores equally in both	41.5%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Ñublense scores more in 2nd half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Ñublense scores more in 1st half	21.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (away no bet)	54.3%	51.7%	69.8%	0.74×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.7%	48.3%	30.2%	1.60×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense even goals	54.6%	52.7%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Ñublense odd goals	45.4%	47.3%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.5%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.5%	8.3%	—	—	12.01

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	47.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Ñublense to score 2+ in a row	28.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Universidad de Concepción to score 2+ in a row	17.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Ñublense to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.10
Universidad de Concepción to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.62

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción corners (+3.5)	84.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Ñublense corners (+3.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Universidad de Concepción corners (+2.5)	77.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Ñublense corners (+2.5)	74.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Universidad de Concepción corners (+1.5)	67.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Ñublense corners (+1.5)	64.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Universidad de Concepción corners (-1.5)	35.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Ñublense corners (-1.5)	32.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Universidad de Concepción corners (-2.5)	25.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Ñublense corners (-2.5)	22.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universidad de Concepción corners (-3.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Ñublense corners (-3.5)	15.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	45.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	33.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	17.0%	13.8%	10.2%	1.35×	7.23
1-0	13.3%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.71
1-1	11.0%	11.5%	9.3%	1.24×	8.72
0-0	10.1%	11.5%	4.9%	2.35×	8.72
0-2	8.8%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-1	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
2-0	5.0%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
1-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
3-0	1.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	1.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (2nd half DNB)	60.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Universidad de Concepción (2nd half DNB)	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense leading at HT (DNB)	56.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Universidad de Concepción leading at HT (DNB)	43.5%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción or Ñublense (12)	74.9%	72.1%	78.8%	0.92×	1.39
Ñublense or draw (X2)	70.2%	72.1%	51.0%	1.41×	1.39
Universidad de Concepción or draw (1X)	54.8%	52.7%	70.0%	0.75×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense or draw at HT	78.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Universidad de Concepción or draw at HT	71.5%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Universidad de Concepción or Ñublense at HT	50.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense or draw (1UP)	70.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Universidad de Concepción or draw (1UP)	54.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense or draw in 2nd half	76.3%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Universidad de Concepción or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Universidad de Concepción or Ñublense in 2nd half	60.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.7%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.3%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (DNB)	60.3%	62.6%	38.0%	1.65×	1.60
Universidad de Concepción (DNB)	39.7%	37.4%	62.0%	0.60×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to score first	51.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Universidad de Concepción to score first	38.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.1%	9.2%	—	—	10.83

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.9%	56.6%	48.0%	1.18×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.1%	43.4%	52.0%	0.84×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.1%	47.3%	38.0%	1.24×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	28.1%	33.3%	42.9%	0.78×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	11.0%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.8%	8.3%	10.2%	0.81×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.4%	89.0%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.6%	11.0%	15.4%	0.72×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.2%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.64
Both score in both halves	2.5%	4.8%	—	—	20.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.2%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	11.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
A goal in each half	39.9%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.6%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	40.3%	42.2%	27.8%	1.52×	2.37
4-6 goals	15.5%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	37.3%	0.96×	2.79
Ñublense to score exactly 0	30.2%	33.8%	31.5%	1.07×	2.96
Ñublense to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.3%	20.0%	1.11×	4.49
Ñublense to score 3+	12.0%	12.9%	11.7%	1.10×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 0	40.8%	35.1%	21.5%	1.63×	2.85
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 2	16.4%	18.8%	26.3%	0.71×	5.32
Universidad de Concepción to score 3+	6.2%	10.3%	21.0%	0.49×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Ñublense leading at HT	28.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Universidad de Concepción leading at HT	22.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense -1: 1	54.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Ñublense -1: X	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Ñublense -1: 2	18.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (0:1)	70.2%	70.9%	51.0%	1.39×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.13
Universidad de Concepción (0:1)	9.4%	9.3%	23.2%	0.40×	10.79

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (0:2)	90.6%	90.7%	76.8%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	12.9%	0.59×	13.06
Universidad de Concepción (0:2)	2.4%	3.7%	10.5%	0.36×	26.76

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.06
Universidad de Concepción (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.92
Universidad de Concepción (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (1:0)	54.8%	54.2%	70.0%	0.77×	1.85
Draw (1:0)	26.4%	25.0%	20.0%	1.25×	3.99
Ñublense (1:0)	18.7%	17.1%	10.2%	1.67×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (2:0)	81.3%	84.6%	89.8%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.5%	10.3%	6.3%	1.62×	9.72
Ñublense (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	4.1%	1.54×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede	69.8%	66.7%	68.5%	0.97×	1.50
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet	30.2%	33.3%	31.5%	1.06×	3.01

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 1st half	61.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Universidad de Concepción to concede in 1st half	38.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede in 2nd half	51.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 2nd half	48.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 corners	79.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Universidad de Concepción under 6.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Universidad de Concepción under 5.5 corners	65.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Universidad de Concepción under 4.5 corners	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Universidad de Concepción over 4.5 corners	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Universidad de Concepción over 5.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Universidad de Concepción over 6.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 corners	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 goals	98.7%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	79.0%	1.17×	1.08
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 goals	77.4%	77.8%	52.9%	1.47×	1.29
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 goals	59.2%	58.7%	78.5%	0.75×	1.70
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 goals	40.8%	41.3%	21.5%	1.93×	2.42
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 goals	22.6%	22.2%	47.1%	0.47×	4.50
Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	21.0%	0.37×	12.85
Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 goals	1.3%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.63

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 1st half	68.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 1st half	32.0%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	5.1%	—	—	19.57

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción scores equally in both	49.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Universidad de Concepción scores more in 2nd half	29.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
Universidad de Concepción scores more in 1st half	21.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense (home no bet)	64.3%	60.1%	58.6%	1.03×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.7%	39.9%	41.4%	0.96×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción even goals	58.3%	55.3%	54.4%	1.02×	1.81
Universidad de Concepción odd goals	41.7%	44.7%	45.6%	0.98×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
HT 0-1	20.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-0	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense at HT / Ñublense at FT	23.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Ñublense at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Ñublense at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Ñublense at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Ñublense at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense to score last	51.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Universidad de Concepción to score last	38.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	10.1%	8.6%	—	—	11.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.9%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Ñublense to lead by 1 at any time	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 1 at any time	42.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.9%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Ñublense to lead by 2 at any time	23.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 2 at any time	12.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Ñublense to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.04
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.23

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción most corners	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Ñublense most corners	42.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.8%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	73.9%	72.3%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.1%	59.1%	70.0%	0.84×	1.69
2-5 goals	57.7%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	55.0%	59.1%	42.4%	1.39×	1.69
2-4 goals	53.5%	53.2%	58.3%	0.91×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.6%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
3-6 goals	34.3%	35.2%	50.7%	0.69×	2.84
3-5 goals	32.9%	35.2%	45.1%	0.78×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.7%	30.2%	39.0%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	15.5%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.0%	14.8%	21.2%	0.70×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.6%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.28
7+ goals	0.6%	2.5%	2.4%	1.04×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense never behind	47.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Universidad de Concepción never behind	33.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.3%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.7%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.0%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	85.9%	1.07×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.9%	87.6%	95.1%	0.92×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	71.0%	1.16×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	65.1%	66.3%	47.1%	1.41×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.7%	58.7%	72.2%	0.81×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	40.3%	41.3%	27.8%	1.49×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	34.9%	33.7%	52.9%	0.64×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	29.0%	0.61×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.1%	12.4%	4.9%	2.54×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	14.1%	0.55×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.0%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.9%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.2%	92.4%	83.4%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.2%	81.1%	61.9%	1.31×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.6%	51.9%	34.4%	1.51×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.4%	48.1%	65.6%	0.73×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.8%	18.9%	38.1%	0.50×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.8%	7.6%	16.6%	0.46×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.1%	2.8%	8.6%	0.33×	35.63
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.8%	2.6%	1.08×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.3%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.7%	35.3%	—	—	2.84
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to score in both halves	87.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Ñublense not to score in both halves	80.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Ñublense to score in both halves	19.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Universidad de Concepción to score in both halves	12.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	39.1%	39.9%	52.0%	0.77×	2.51
Only Ñublense scores	30.7%	33.3%	16.8%	1.98×	3.01
Only Universidad de Concepción scores	20.1%	22.2%	26.8%	0.83×	4.50
Neither team scores	10.1%	11.0%	4.9%	2.26×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	30.2%	25.3%	23.2%	1.09×	3.95
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	18.9%	17.5%	24.1%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	10.1%	12.1%	4.9%	2.48×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	9.9%	7.6%	15.1%	0.50×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.34
6 or more goals	2.0%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 1st half	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	37.5%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	28.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to win both halves	95.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Ñublense not to win both halves	89.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Ñublense to win both halves	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Universidad de Concepción to win both halves	5.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.21

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to win neither half	59.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Ñublense to win either half	55.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Ñublense to win neither half	44.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Universidad de Concepción to win either half	40.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to win to nil	79.9%	78.2%	73.2%	1.07×	1.28
Ñublense not to win to nil	69.3%	69.7%	83.2%	0.84×	1.43
Ñublense to win to nil	30.7%	30.3%	16.8%	1.80×	3.30
Universidad de Concepción to win to nil	20.1%	21.8%	26.8%	0.81×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ñublense by 1	26.4%	27.9%	20.0%	1.39×	3.59
Draw	25.1%	27.9%	21.2%	1.31×	3.59
Universidad de Concepción by 1	20.4%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Ñublense by 2	12.5%	11.8%	6.3%	1.85×	8.51
Universidad de Concepción by 2	7.0%	7.2%	12.9%	0.56×	13.91
Ñublense by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	4.1%	1.73×	13.91
Universidad de Concepción by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.90