Universidad de Concepción v O'Higgins — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627
CHI-Primera Division
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-1 12.6%
- 1-0 10.7%
- 1-1 10.3%
- 1-2 8.9%
- 0-2 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.5% | Under 2.5 | 51.5% |
| BTTS yes | 50.6% | BTTS no | 49.4% |
| Universidad de Concepción 1+ | 69.2% | Universidad de Concepción 2+ | 32.9% |
| O'Higgins 1+ | 76.2% | O'Higgins 2+ | 42.1% |
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- O'Higgins carry the stronger rating, 1473 Elo against 1417.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
O'Higgins have an estimated 48.1% win probability, against 29.3% for Universidad de Concepción and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Universidad de Concepción and 1.44 for O'Higgins.
Why Universidad de Concepción
Nothing in the data singles out Universidad de Concepción.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.
Why O'Higgins can win
O'Higgins carry the stronger rating, 1473 Elo against 1417.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Universidad de Concepción, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for O'Higgins, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Universidad de Concepción: 47% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. O'Higgins: 52% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
O'Higgins are the model's most likely outcome at 48.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.18–1.44 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.00–1.32 | 0-1 15% | 41% | 44% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins to win | 46.1% | 47.4% | 30.0% | 1.58× | 2.11 |
| Universidad de Concepción to win | 30.5% | 30.4% | 49.0% | 0.62× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 23.4% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 1.15× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins & not both score | 29.1% | 25.2% | 16.8% | 1.50× | 3.97 |
| Universidad de Concepción & not both score | 19.1% | 18.0% | 26.8% | 0.67× | 5.56 |
| O'Higgins & both teams score | 17.1% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 1.34× | 5.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 15.8% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 1.08× | 5.57 |
| Universidad de Concepción & both teams score | 11.5% | 13.3% | 22.4% | 0.59× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.71× | 12.00 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins & under 3.5 | 36.0% | 34.9% | 23.4% | 1.49× | 2.87 |
| O'Higgins & over 1.5 | 31.0% | 30.7% | 20.0% | 1.54× | 3.25 |
| Universidad de Concepción & under 3.5 | 25.1% | 26.1% | 34.1% | 0.76× | 3.84 |
| O'Higgins & under 2.5 | 23.6% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 1.58× | 4.63 |
| O'Higgins & over 2.5 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 1.30× | 4.63 |
| Universidad de Concepción & over 1.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 36.1% | 0.50× | 5.55 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 1.30× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 1.30× | 5.56 |
| Universidad de Concepción & under 2.5 | 16.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 0.90× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 1.09× | 5.56 |
| O'Higgins & under 1.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 1.76× | 5.56 |
| Universidad de Concepción & over 2.5 | 13.6% | 12.8% | 29.3% | 0.44× | 7.79 |
| Universidad de Concepción & under 1.5 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 0.97× | 7.79 |
| O'Higgins & over 3.5 | 10.2% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 1.88× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.62× | 12.63 |
| Universidad de Concepción & over 3.5 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 0.52× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 0.64× | 20.81 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 0.64× | 20.81 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (1UP) | 58.8% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Universidad de Concepción (1UP) | 44.9% | 38.8% | — | — | 2.58 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (2UP) | 46.1% | 50.0% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Universidad de Concepción (2UP) | 30.5% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins to win 2nd half | 38.2% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| 2nd half drawn | 37.0% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Universidad de Concepción to win 2nd half | 24.8% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.09 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins under 1.5 in 2nd half | 81.1% | 84.0% | — | — | 1.19 |
| O'Higgins over 0.5 in 2nd half | 54.8% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
| O'Higgins under 0.5 in 2nd half | 45.2% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.11 |
| O'Higgins over 1.5 in 2nd half | 18.9% | 16.0% | — | — | 6.27 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 2nd half | 88.7% | 88.9% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 2nd half | 56.4% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 2nd half | 43.6% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 2nd half | 11.3% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.03 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (+2.5) | 97.1% | 96.3% | 89.5% | 1.08× | 1.04 |
| O'Higgins (+1.5) | 89.6% | 88.5% | 76.8% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| O'Higgins (+0.5) | 69.5% | 68.7% | 51.0% | 1.35× | 1.46 |
| Universidad de Concepción (+0.5) | 53.9% | 52.4% | 70.0% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| O'Higgins (-0.5) | 46.1% | 47.6% | 30.0% | 1.59× | 2.10 |
| Universidad de Concepción (-0.5) | 30.5% | 31.3% | 49.0% | 0.64× | 3.19 |
| Universidad de Concepción (-1.5) | 10.4% | 11.5% | 23.2% | 0.50× | 8.68 |
| Universidad de Concepción (-2.5) | 2.9% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 0.35× | 27.15 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins to concede | 63.4% | 67.6% | 78.5% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| O'Higgins clean sheet | 36.6% | 32.4% | 21.5% | 1.51× | 3.09 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins clean sheet in 1st half | 64.9% | 64.7% | — | — | 1.55 |
| O'Higgins to concede in 1st half | 35.1% | 35.3% | — | — | 2.84 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins clean sheet in 2nd half | 56.4% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| O'Higgins to concede in 2nd half | 43.6% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins over 2.5 corners | 85.7% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| O'Higgins over 3.5 corners | 73.5% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| O'Higgins under 6.5 corners | 66.8% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| O'Higgins over 4.5 corners | 59.5% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| O'Higgins under 5.5 corners | 54.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| O'Higgins over 5.5 corners | 45.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| O'Higgins under 4.5 corners | 40.5% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| O'Higgins over 6.5 corners | 33.2% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| O'Higgins under 3.5 corners | 26.5% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.53 |
| O'Higgins under 2.5 corners | 14.3% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.77 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins under 3.5 goals | 95.5% | 97.5% | 97.1% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| O'Higgins under 2.5 goals | 85.2% | 87.8% | 88.3% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| O'Higgins over 0.5 goals | 73.4% | 71.8% | 68.5% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| O'Higgins under 1.5 goals | 61.9% | 63.2% | 68.5% | 0.92× | 1.58 |
| O'Higgins over 1.5 goals | 38.1% | 36.8% | 31.5% | 1.17× | 2.72 |
| O'Higgins under 0.5 goals | 26.6% | 28.2% | 31.5% | 0.90× | 3.55 |
| O'Higgins over 2.5 goals | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 1.04× | 8.19 |
| O'Higgins over 3.5 goals | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.86× | 39.74 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.1% | 93.8% | — | — | 1.07 |
| O'Higgins under 0.5 in 1st half | 58.9% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| O'Higgins over 0.5 in 1st half | 41.1% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| O'Higgins over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.9% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.25 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins scores equally in both | 39.1% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.68 |
| O'Higgins scores more in 2nd half | 38.6% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.68 |
| O'Higgins scores more in 1st half | 22.4% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción (away no bet) | 56.7% | 57.3% | 69.8% | 0.82× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 43.4% | 42.7% | 30.2% | 1.41× | 2.34 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins even goals | 53.5% | 52.6% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| O'Higgins odd goals | 46.5% | 47.4% | 46.3% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 90.1% | 91.1% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 9.9% | 8.9% | — | — | 11.28 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 53.6% | 51.1% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 46.4% | 48.9% | — | — | 2.04 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 47.7% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.17 |
| O'Higgins to score 2+ in a row | 31.6% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score 2+ in a row | 20.2% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.14 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 14.9% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.18 |
| O'Higgins to score 3+ in a row | 10.2% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.27 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score 3+ in a row | 4.8% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.05 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción corners (+3.5) | 81.0% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| O'Higgins corners (+3.5) | 80.4% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Universidad de Concepción corners (+2.5) | 73.7% | 70.8% | — | — | 1.41 |
| O'Higgins corners (+2.5) | 73.0% | 70.8% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Universidad de Concepción corners (+1.5) | 65.1% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| O'Higgins corners (+1.5) | 64.2% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Universidad de Concepción corners (-1.5) | 35.8% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.62 |
| O'Higgins corners (-1.5) | 34.9% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Universidad de Concepción corners (-2.5) | 27.0% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.42 |
| O'Higgins corners (-2.5) | 26.3% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Universidad de Concepción corners (-3.5) | 19.6% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
| O'Higgins corners (-3.5) | 19.0% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 43.1% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
| 0-8 corners | 28.3% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 80.2% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 71.7% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 65.7% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 62.3% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 57.0% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 52.5% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 47.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 43.1% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 37.7% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 34.3% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 28.3% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 19.8% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.17 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 1.35× | 7.24 |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 0.87× | 8.71 |
| 1-1 | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 1.24× | 8.72 |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.02× | 13.51 |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.01× | 13.51 |
| 0-0 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.52× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 0.69× | 13.51 |
| 2-0 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 0.24× | 58.29 |
| 0-3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.30 |
| 0-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.34× | 58.31 |
| 1-3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.78× | 58.30 |
| 1-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.34× | 58.31 |
| 2-2 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 0.28× | 58.29 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.78× | 58.31 |
| 2-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.32 |
| 3-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 58.31 |
| 3-1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.31 |
| 3-2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.88× | 58.31 |
| 3-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.32 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.70× | 58.32 |
| 4-1 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.32 |
| 4-2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.32 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.03× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.31 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (2nd half DNB) | 60.6% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Universidad de Concepción (2nd half DNB) | 39.4% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins leading at HT (DNB) | 56.2% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Universidad de Concepción leading at HT (DNB) | 43.8% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.24 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción or O'Higgins (12) | 76.6% | 75.5% | 78.8% | 0.96× | 1.32 |
| O'Higgins or draw (X2) | 69.5% | 69.6% | 51.0% | 1.37× | 1.44 |
| Universidad de Concepción or draw (1X) | 53.9% | 52.6% | 70.0% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins or draw at HT | 76.7% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Universidad de Concepción or draw at HT | 70.1% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Universidad de Concepción or O'Higgins at HT | 53.2% | 48.6% | — | — | 2.06 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins or draw (1UP) | 69.5% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Universidad de Concepción or draw (1UP) | 53.9% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins or draw in 2nd half | 75.2% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Universidad de Concepción or O'Higgins in 2nd half | 63.0% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Universidad de Concepción or draw in 2nd half | 61.8% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 68.8% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Neither half drawn | 31.2% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.16 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (DNB) | 60.2% | 62.6% | 38.0% | 1.65× | 1.60 |
| Universidad de Concepción (DNB) | 39.8% | 37.4% | 62.0% | 0.60× | 2.68 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins to score first | 52.5% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score first | 39.9% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 7.6% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.20 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 55.7% | 55.0% | 48.0% | 1.14× | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 44.3% | 45.0% | 52.0% | 0.87× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 48.1% | 44.3% | 38.0% | 1.16× | 2.26 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 33.5% | 34.6% | 42.9% | 0.81× | 2.89 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 1.33× | 8.09 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 0.81× | 12.07 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.9% | 85.6% | 84.6% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 0.93× | 6.96 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 76.9% | 75.1% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 23.1% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.01 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 66.3% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 19.7% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.63 |
| Both score 1st half only | 10.6% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.35 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.4% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.46 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 86.0% | 84.7% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 14.0% | 15.3% | — | — | 6.55 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 55.1% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| A goal in each half | 44.9% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 44.7% | 42.2% | 43.4% | 0.97× | 2.37 |
| 0-1 goals | 34.7% | 30.8% | 27.8% | 1.11× | 3.25 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.6% | 20.3% | 26.8% | 0.75× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.75× | 54.46 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins to score exactly 1 | 35.2% | 35.9% | 37.3% | 0.96× | 2.79 |
| O'Higgins to score exactly 0 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 31.5% | 0.87× | 3.64 |
| O'Higgins to score exactly 2 | 23.3% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 1.11× | 4.49 |
| O'Higgins to score 3+ | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 1.10× | 7.75 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 35.5% | 31.7% | 1.12× | 2.81 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 0 | 36.6% | 35.5% | 21.5% | 1.66× | 2.81 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 2 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 26.3% | 0.71× | 5.32 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score 3+ | 8.1% | 10.4% | 21.0% | 0.49× | 9.66 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 46.8% | 51.4% | — | — | 1.95 |
| O'Higgins leading at HT | 29.9% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
| Universidad de Concepción leading at HT | 23.3% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins -1: 1 | 53.9% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.92 |
| O'Higgins -1: X | 25.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| O'Higgins -1: 2 | 20.3% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (0:1) | 69.5% | 65.3% | 51.0% | 1.28× | 1.53 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.1% | 24.2% | 26.1% | 0.93× | 4.13 |
| Universidad de Concepción (0:1) | 10.4% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 0.59× | 7.31 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (0:2) | 89.6% | 87.1% | 76.8% | 1.13× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 0.59× | 13.06 |
| Universidad de Concepción (0:2) | 2.9% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 0.36× | 26.73 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (0:3) | 97.1% | 96.6% | 89.5% | 1.08× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 42.04 |
| Universidad de Concepción (0:3) | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 42.11 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (0:4) | 99.3% | 98.1% | 94.6% | 1.04× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 0.29× | 81.91 |
| Universidad de Concepción (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.83× | 81.96 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción (1:0) | 53.9% | 54.1% | 70.0% | 0.77× | 1.85 |
| Draw (1:0) | 25.8% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 1.25× | 4.00 |
| O'Higgins (1:0) | 20.3% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 2.12× | 4.62 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción (2:0) | 79.7% | 80.5% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.62× | 9.71 |
| O'Higgins (2:0) | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.54× | 15.66 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.0% | 48.6% | — | — | 2.06 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.8% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Halves equal | 24.2% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción to concede | 73.4% | 73.0% | 68.5% | 1.07× | 1.37 |
| Universidad de Concepción clean sheet | 26.6% | 27.0% | 31.5% | 0.86× | 3.71 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 1st half | 58.9% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Universidad de Concepción to concede in 1st half | 41.1% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción to concede in 2nd half | 54.8% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 2nd half | 45.2% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 corners | 86.0% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 corners | 74.0% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 6.5 corners | 66.2% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 4.5 corners | 60.1% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 5.5 corners | 53.8% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 5.5 corners | 46.2% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 4.5 corners | 39.9% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 6.5 corners | 33.8% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 corners | 26.0% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 corners | 14.0% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 96.4% | 91.0% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 goals | 91.9% | 92.2% | 79.0% | 1.17× | 1.09 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 goals | 73.4% | 74.2% | 52.9% | 1.40× | 1.35 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 goals | 63.4% | 63.6% | 78.5% | 0.81× | 1.57 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 goals | 36.6% | 36.4% | 21.5% | 1.70× | 2.75 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 goals | 26.6% | 25.8% | 47.1% | 0.55× | 3.88 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 goals | 8.1% | 7.8% | 21.0% | 0.37× | 12.83 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 3.6% | 9.0% | 0.40× | 27.60 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.0% | 94.8% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 1st half | 64.9% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 1st half | 35.1% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
| Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.0% | 5.2% | — | — | 19.21 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción scores equally in both | 46.3% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Universidad de Concepción scores more in 2nd half | 31.6% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.02 |
| Universidad de Concepción scores more in 1st half | 22.1% | 21.0% | — | — | 4.77 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins (home no bet) | 66.4% | 64.1% | 58.6% | 1.09× | 1.56 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 33.6% | 35.9% | 41.4% | 0.87× | 2.79 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción even goals | 56.7% | 55.3% | 54.4% | 1.02× | 1.81 |
| Universidad de Concepción odd goals | 43.3% | 44.7% | 45.6% | 0.98× | 2.24 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 37.9% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.58 |
| HT 0-1 | 20.6% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.11 |
| HT 1-0 | 16.9% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.39 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.4% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.53 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.4% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.58 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.19 |
| Any other HT score | 2.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.25 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.3% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.27 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.9% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.30 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.39 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins at HT / O'Higgins at FT | 24.6% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Draw at HT / O'Higgins at FT | 19.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Universidad de Concepción at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT | 16.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT | 12.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Universidad de Concepción at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| O'Higgins at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| Universidad de Concepción at HT / O'Higgins at FT | 2.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.95 |
| O'Higgins at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT | 1.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.99 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins to score last | 52.4% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score last | 40.0% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| No goal scored | 7.6% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.20 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.4% | 92.5% | — | — | 1.08 |
| O'Higgins to lead by 1 at any time | 58.8% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Universidad de Concepción to lead by 1 at any time | 44.9% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 40.0% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| O'Higgins to lead by 2 at any time | 25.4% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Universidad de Concepción to lead by 2 at any time | 14.6% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 12.7% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.43 |
| O'Higgins to lead by 3 at any time | 8.8% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.98 |
| Universidad de Concepción to lead by 3 at any time | 3.9% | 1.6% | — | — | 61.53 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción most corners | 45.4% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| O'Higgins most corners | 44.6% | 43.6% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 10.0% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.97 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 89.3% | 87.4% | 87.3% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 83.7% | 83.4% | 81.2% | 1.03× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 71.8% | 72.3% | 66.3% | 1.09× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 64.4% | 63.3% | 70.0% | 0.90× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 62.2% | 63.3% | 64.4% | 0.98× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 56.7% | 59.1% | 58.3% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 51.3% | 53.1% | 42.4% | 1.25× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 44.7% | 43.6% | 43.4% | 1.00× | 2.29 |
| 3-6 goals | 40.1% | 43.6% | 50.7% | 0.86× | 2.29 |
| 3-5 goals | 38.0% | 39.2% | 45.1% | 0.87× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 32.4% | 35.2% | 39.0% | 0.90× | 2.84 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.6% | 18.8% | 26.8% | 0.70× | 5.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 17.5% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 0.89× | 5.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.74× | 11.26 |
| 7+ goals | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.05× | 39.23 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins never behind | 47.6% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Universidad de Concepción never behind | 33.7% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 46.1% | 50.9% | 44.9% | 1.13× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 53.9% | 49.1% | 55.1% | 0.89× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.6% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.4% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.8% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.2% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.9% | 95.4% | 92.0% | 1.04× | 1.05 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.3% | 95.1% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91.3% | 92.3% | 85.9% | 1.07× | 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79.4% | 77.3% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.4% | 66.3% | 72.2% | 0.92× | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.9% | 58.6% | 47.1% | 1.25× | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.1% | 41.4% | 52.9% | 0.78× | 2.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34.7% | 33.7% | 27.8% | 1.21× | 2.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.6% | 22.7% | 29.0% | 0.78× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8.7% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 0.55× | 12.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.59× | 12.93 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 0.57× | 21.82 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.0% | 97.2% | 97.4% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.7% | 97.2% | 91.4% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 90.1% | 92.4% | 83.4% | 1.11× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 74.1% | 72.4% | 61.9% | 1.17× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 54.3% | 51.9% | 65.6% | 0.79× | 1.93 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 45.7% | 48.1% | 34.4% | 1.40× | 2.08 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 25.9% | 27.6% | 38.1% | 0.72× | 3.62 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 9.9% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 0.46× | 13.17 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.3% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.33× | 35.60 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.09× | 35.66 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.7% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.4% | 78.0% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 62.1% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 37.9% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.6% | 22.0% | — | — | 4.54 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 7.3% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.93 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 84.2% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 75.2% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 61.1% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 38.9% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 24.8% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.88 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 15.8% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción not to score in both halves | 84.7% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| O'Higgins not to score in both halves | 77.5% | 78.4% | — | — | 1.28 |
| O'Higgins to score in both halves | 22.5% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.64 |
| Universidad de Concepción to score in both halves | 15.3% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 44.3% | 46.6% | 52.0% | 0.90× | 2.15 |
| Only O'Higgins scores | 29.1% | 26.1% | 16.8% | 1.55× | 3.83 |
| Only Universidad de Concepción scores | 19.1% | 16.0% | 26.8% | 0.60× | 6.23 |
| Neither team scores | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.46× | 14.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 1 goals | 27.1% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 1.07× | 4.02 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.2% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 1.16× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.5% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 0.93× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 11.9% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 0.80× | 8.26 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.56× | 13.14 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 1.20× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 0.56× | 22.35 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No goals in 1st half | 37.9% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| 1 goal in 1st half | 37.5% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 17.3% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.38 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 7.3% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.93 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 38.9% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.50 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 36.3% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 24.8% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción not to win both halves | 94.5% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| O'Higgins not to win both halves | 88.9% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| O'Higgins to win both halves | 11.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.34 |
| Universidad de Concepción to win both halves | 5.5% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.26 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción to win neither half | 57.4% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
| O'Higgins to win either half | 57.1% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
| O'Higgins to win neither half | 42.9% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Universidad de Concepción to win either half | 42.6% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepción not to win to nil | 80.9% | 83.1% | 73.2% | 1.14× | 1.20 |
| O'Higgins not to win to nil | 70.9% | 75.3% | 83.2% | 0.90× | 1.33 |
| O'Higgins to win to nil | 29.1% | 24.7% | 16.8% | 1.47× | 4.04 |
| Universidad de Concepción to win to nil | 19.1% | 16.9% | 26.8% | 0.63× | 5.91 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins by 1 | 25.8% | 27.9% | 20.0% | 1.39× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 23.4% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 1.14× | 4.15 |
| Universidad de Concepción by 1 | 20.1% | 24.1% | 26.1% | 0.92× | 4.15 |
| O'Higgins by 2 | 13.0% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 1.85× | 8.50 |
| Universidad de Concepción by 2 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 0.56× | 13.91 |
| O'Higgins by 3+ | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.73× | 13.91 |
| Universidad de Concepción by 3+ | 2.9% | 2.7% | 10.5% | 0.26× | 36.88 |