Universidad de Concepción v Universidad Católica — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Universidad de Concepción

20:00 UTC

Universidad Católica

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 969h before kick-off

Universidad de Concepción win

26.7%

model 26.6%

Draw

22.1%

model 20.0%

Universidad Católica win

51.2%

model 53.4%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 11.9%
1-2 9.7%
1-1 9.4%
0-2 8.7%
1-0 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.0%	Under 2.5	46.0%
BTTS yes	53.4%	BTTS no	46.6%
Universidad de Concepción 1+	67.3%	Universidad de Concepción 2+	30.8%
Universidad Católica 1+	82.1%	Universidad Católica 2+	51.4%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.72. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Universidad Católica (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 30%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Universidad Católica not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Universidad Católica carry the stronger rating, 1621 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad Católica have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 26.7% for Universidad de Concepción and 22.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Universidad de Concepción and 1.72 for Universidad Católica.

Why Universidad de Concepción

Nothing in the data singles out Universidad de Concepción.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad Católica can win

Universidad Católica carry the stronger rating, 1621 Elo against 1417.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad de Concepción, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad Católica, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universidad de Concepción: 47% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad Católica: 47% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universidad Católica are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	272053	1.12–1.72	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	211961	0.95–1.87	0-1 13%	53%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win	60.6%	58.1%	30.0%	1.94×	1.72
Universidad de Concepción to win	20.6%	24.5%	49.0%	0.50×	4.09
Draw	18.8%	19.4%	21.2%	0.91×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica & not both score	34.5%	29.6%	16.8%	1.76×	3.37
Universidad Católica & both teams score	26.2%	25.2%	13.4%	1.88×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Universidad de Concepción & not both score	11.3%	13.3%	26.8%	0.49×	7.54
Universidad de Concepción & both teams score	9.3%	8.3%	22.4%	0.37×	11.99
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica & over 1.5	47.7%	45.1%	20.0%	2.25×	2.22
Universidad Católica & under 3.5	39.8%	34.9%	23.4%	1.49×	2.87
Universidad Católica & over 2.5	37.2%	34.9%	16.6%	2.10×	2.87
Universidad Católica & under 2.5	23.4%	21.6%	13.7%	1.58×	4.63
Universidad Católica & over 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	6.8%	3.16×	4.63
Universidad de Concepción & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	34.1%	0.53×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.8%	16.6%	0.77×	7.79
Universidad de Concepción & over 1.5	13.1%	12.8%	36.1%	0.36×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.0%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Universidad Católica & under 1.5	13.0%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Universidad de Concepción & over 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	29.3%	0.44×	7.79
Universidad de Concepción & under 2.5	10.2%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Universidad de Concepción & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.05×	12.63
Universidad de Concepción & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (1UP)	72.2%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Universidad de Concepción (1UP)	37.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (2UP)	60.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Universidad de Concepción (2UP)	20.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win 2nd half	50.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	31.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Universidad de Concepción to win 2nd half	18.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (+2.5)	98.3%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Universidad Católica (+1.5)	93.6%	92.1%	76.8%	1.20×	1.09
Universidad Católica (+0.5)	79.4%	78.5%	51.0%	1.54×	1.27
Universidad Católica (-0.5)	60.6%	62.9%	30.0%	2.10×	1.59
Universidad de Concepción (+0.5)	39.4%	37.1%	70.0%	0.53×	2.70
Universidad de Concepción (-0.5)	20.6%	21.5%	49.0%	0.44×	4.65
Universidad de Concepción (-1.5)	6.4%	7.9%	23.2%	0.34×	12.71
Universidad de Concepción (-2.5)	1.7%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	27.23

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede	61.3%	67.5%	78.5%	0.86×	1.48
Universidad Católica clean sheet	38.7%	32.5%	21.5%	1.51×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 1st half	66.5%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Universidad Católica to concede in 1st half	33.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 2nd half	58.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Universidad Católica to concede in 2nd half	41.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica over 2.5 corners	83.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Universidad Católica under 6.5 corners	71.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universidad Católica over 3.5 corners	70.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Universidad Católica under 5.5 corners	58.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad Católica over 4.5 corners	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Universidad Católica under 4.5 corners	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universidad Católica over 5.5 corners	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universidad Católica under 3.5 corners	30.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Universidad Católica over 6.5 corners	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Universidad Católica under 2.5 corners	16.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 3.5 goals	88.1%	87.8%	97.1%	0.90×	1.14
Universidad Católica over 0.5 goals	84.5%	81.5%	68.5%	1.19×	1.23
Universidad Católica under 2.5 goals	71.3%	71.8%	88.3%	0.81×	1.39
Universidad Católica over 1.5 goals	55.6%	59.4%	31.5%	1.89×	1.68
Universidad Católica under 1.5 goals	44.4%	40.6%	68.5%	0.59×	2.46
Universidad Católica over 2.5 goals	28.7%	28.2%	11.7%	2.41×	3.55
Universidad Católica under 0.5 goals	15.5%	18.5%	31.5%	0.59×	5.41
Universidad Católica over 3.5 goals	11.9%	12.2%	2.9%	4.16×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 1st half	82.8%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 1st half	17.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica scores more in 2nd half	44.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Universidad Católica scores equally in both	31.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Universidad Católica scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (away no bet)	52.3%	51.7%	69.8%	0.74×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	47.7%	48.3%	30.2%	1.60×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica even goals	51.2%	52.6%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Universidad Católica odd goals	48.8%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Universidad Católica to score 2+ in a row	48.2%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Universidad Católica to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Universidad de Concepción to score 2+ in a row	16.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Universidad de Concepción to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica corners (+3.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Universidad de Concepción corners (+3.5)	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Universidad Católica corners (+2.5)	74.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Universidad de Concepción corners (+2.5)	74.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Universidad Católica corners (+1.5)	65.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Universidad de Concepción corners (+1.5)	65.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Universidad de Concepción corners (-1.5)	34.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Universidad Católica corners (-1.5)	34.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Universidad de Concepción corners (-2.5)	25.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Universidad Católica corners (-2.5)	25.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Universidad Católica corners (-3.5)	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Universidad de Concepción corners (-3.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	34.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	34.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	13.0%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.71
0-2	10.4%	11.5%	3.7%	3.14×	8.72
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-3	6.5%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.51
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.51
1-3	6.2%	7.4%	2.2%	3.37×	13.51
2-1	5.0%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.30
0-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.30
1-4	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.30
2-0	2.7%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.31
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.76×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.03×	58.32
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (2nd half DNB)	73.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universidad de Concepción (2nd half DNB)	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica leading at HT (DNB)	68.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Universidad de Concepción leading at HT (DNB)	31.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción or Universidad Católica (12)	81.2%	80.6%	78.8%	1.02×	1.24
Universidad Católica or draw (X2)	79.4%	75.5%	51.0%	1.48×	1.32
Universidad de Concepción or draw (1X)	39.4%	41.9%	70.0%	0.60×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw at HT	81.4%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Universidad de Concepción or draw at HT	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Universidad de Concepción or Universidad Católica at HT	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw (1UP)	79.4%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Universidad de Concepción or draw (1UP)	39.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw in 2nd half	81.6%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Universidad de Concepción or Universidad Católica in 2nd half	68.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Universidad de Concepción or draw in 2nd half	49.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (DNB)	74.6%	71.5%	38.0%	1.88×	1.40
Universidad de Concepción (DNB)	25.4%	28.5%	62.0%	0.46×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score first	63.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Universidad de Concepción to score first	32.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	4.2%	4.4%	—	—	22.79

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.0%	51.3%	52.0%	0.99×	1.95
Not both teams to score	50.0%	48.7%	48.0%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.2%	41.6%	42.9%	0.97×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.8%	38.5%	38.0%	1.01×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	10.2%	1.21×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.3%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.7%	14.4%	15.4%	0.94×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.5%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.5%	26.4%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	5.0%	—	—	20.14

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.7%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.3%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	45.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	42.2%	43.4%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	28.6%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.6%	22.9%	27.8%	0.83×	4.36
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score exactly 1	28.9%	27.5%	37.3%	0.74×	3.64
Universidad Católica to score 3+	28.7%	27.5%	11.7%	2.35×	3.64
Universidad Católica to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	20.0%	1.37×	3.64
Universidad Católica to score exactly 0	15.5%	19.5%	31.5%	0.62×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 0	38.7%	35.6%	21.5%	1.66×	2.81
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.5%	31.7%	1.12×	2.81
Universidad de Concepción to score exactly 2	17.5%	18.8%	26.3%	0.71×	5.32
Universidad de Concepción to score 3+	7.1%	10.3%	21.0%	0.49×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universidad Católica leading at HT	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
Universidad de Concepción leading at HT	18.6%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica -1: 1	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Universidad Católica -1: 2	34.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Universidad Católica -1: X	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:1)	79.4%	73.9%	51.0%	1.45×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	14.3%	13.7%	26.1%	0.53×	7.29
Universidad de Concepción (0:1)	6.4%	9.2%	23.2%	0.40×	10.87

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:2)	93.6%	90.8%	76.8%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	12.9%	0.29×	26.63
Universidad de Concepción (0:2)	1.7%	3.7%	10.5%	0.36×	26.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:3)	98.3%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.08
Universidad de Concepción (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Universidad de Concepción (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.83×	81.96
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	4.1%	0.29×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (1:0)	39.4%	37.8%	70.0%	0.54×	2.65
Universidad Católica (1:0)	34.4%	30.2%	10.2%	2.95×	3.31
Draw (1:0)	26.3%	25.0%	20.0%	1.25×	3.99

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción (2:0)	65.6%	70.7%	89.8%	0.79×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	18.1%	15.9%	6.3%	2.50×	6.30
Universidad Católica (2:0)	16.3%	15.8%	4.1%	3.82×	6.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede	84.5%	81.0%	68.5%	1.18×	1.23
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet	15.5%	19.0%	31.5%	0.60×	5.27

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede in 1st half	52.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 1st half	47.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción to concede in 2nd half	67.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet in 2nd half	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Universidad de Concepción under 6.5 corners	71.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 corners	69.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Universidad de Concepción under 5.5 corners	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Universidad de Concepción over 4.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Universidad de Concepción under 4.5 corners	45.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universidad de Concepción over 5.5 corners	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 corners	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Universidad de Concepción over 6.5 corners	28.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Universidad de Concepción under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.2%	79.0%	1.17×	1.08
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.7%	52.9%	1.47×	1.29
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 goals	61.3%	63.6%	78.5%	0.81×	1.57
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 goals	38.7%	36.4%	21.5%	1.70×	2.75
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 goals	24.6%	22.3%	47.1%	0.47×	4.49
Universidad de Concepción over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	21.0%	0.37×	12.84
Universidad de Concepción over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.8%	—	—	1.05
Universidad de Concepción under 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Universidad de Concepción over 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Universidad de Concepción over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	5.2%	—	—	19.39

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción scores equally in both	47.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Universidad de Concepción scores more in 2nd half	30.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Universidad de Concepción scores more in 1st half	21.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (home no bet)	76.4%	77.8%	58.6%	1.33×	1.29
Draw (home no bet)	23.6%	22.2%	41.4%	0.54×	4.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción even goals	57.5%	55.3%	54.4%	1.02×	1.81
Universidad de Concepción odd goals	42.5%	44.7%	45.6%	0.98×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 0-1	23.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	13.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	8.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-0	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	35.3%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	21.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Universidad Católica at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Universidad de Concepción at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad de Concepción at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score last	63.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Universidad de Concepción to score last	32.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	4.2%	4.4%	—	—	22.79

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Universidad Católica to lead by 1 at any time	72.2%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Universidad Católica to lead by 2 at any time	40.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.55
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 1 at any time	37.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Universidad Católica to lead by 3 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 2 at any time	10.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Universidad de Concepción to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	62.82

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica most corners	44.9%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Universidad de Concepción most corners	44.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.2%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.4%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.9%	72.3%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.7%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.7%	63.3%	66.3%	0.95×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	50.9%	53.1%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.8%	48.4%	45.1%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	43.4%	1.00×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.4%	43.6%	42.4%	1.03×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.0%	39.2%	39.0%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.6%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.5%	24.5%	21.2%	1.15×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.0%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	2.4%	1.05×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica never behind	58.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Universidad de Concepción never behind	23.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.6%	50.9%	44.9%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.4%	49.1%	55.1%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.5%	82.3%	85.9%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	72.2%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	66.3%	71.0%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	52.9%	0.99×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	47.1%	1.01×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	33.7%	29.0%	1.16×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	27.8%	0.82×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.5%	17.7%	14.1%	1.25×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.7%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.7%	81.1%	83.4%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.4%	67.5%	65.6%	1.03×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.0%	55.8%	61.9%	0.90×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.0%	44.2%	38.1%	1.16×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.6%	32.5%	34.4%	0.94×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.3%	18.9%	16.6%	1.14×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.3%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	2.6%	1.09×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Universidad Católica not to score in both halves	64.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Universidad Católica to score in both halves	35.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Universidad de Concepción to score in both halves	14.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.0%	53.8%	52.0%	1.04×	1.86
Only Universidad Católica scores	34.5%	33.3%	16.8%	1.98×	3.00
Only Universidad de Concepción scores	11.3%	11.0%	26.8%	0.41×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.6%	4.9%	0.95×	21.55

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.0%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.5%	15.1%	1.15×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	20.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to win both halves	96.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Universidad Católica not to win both halves	80.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Universidad Católica to win both halves	19.8%	16.7%	—	—	6.00
Universidad de Concepción to win both halves	3.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.89

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win either half	70.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Universidad de Concepción to win neither half	66.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Universidad de Concepción to win either half	33.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Universidad Católica to win neither half	29.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad de Concepción not to win to nil	88.7%	88.1%	73.2%	1.20×	1.14
Universidad Católica not to win to nil	65.5%	69.6%	83.2%	0.84×	1.44
Universidad Católica to win to nil	34.5%	30.4%	16.8%	1.80×	3.30
Universidad de Concepción to win to nil	11.3%	11.9%	26.8%	0.44×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica by 1	26.3%	27.9%	20.0%	1.39×	3.59
Draw	18.8%	17.1%	21.2%	0.80×	5.86
Universidad Católica by 2	18.1%	17.1%	6.3%	2.69×	5.87
Universidad Católica by 3+	16.3%	17.0%	4.1%	4.11×	5.87
Universidad de Concepción by 1	14.3%	11.8%	26.1%	0.45×	8.50
Universidad de Concepción by 2	4.7%	2.7%	12.9%	0.21×	36.82
Universidad de Concepción by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	36.92