Universitario v Deportivo Moquegua — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Universitario

20:00 UTC

Deportivo Moquegua

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 273h before kick-off

Universitario win

69.8%

model 68.5%

Draw

19.3%

model 19.3%

Deportivo Moquegua win

10.9%

model 12.2%

701911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.1%
2-0 13.6%
2-1 9.3%
3-0 9.1%
1-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.0%	Under 2.5	50.0%
BTTS yes	42.4%	BTTS no	57.6%
Universitario 1+	86.3%	Universitario 2+	59.1%
Deportivo Moquegua 1+	49.6%	Deportivo Moquegua 2+	15.1%

Expected goals 1.99 – 0.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Universitario (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 50%

68.8% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Universitario leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time

84.0% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 70 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1647 Elo against 1446.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universitario have an estimated 69.8% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 10.9% for Deportivo Moquegua. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.99 for Universitario and 0.69 for Deportivo Moquegua.

Why Universitario

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1647 Elo against 1446. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Moquegua can win

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universitario, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Moquegua, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universitario: 47% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Moquegua: 41% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Universitario are the model's most likely outcome at 69.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.1%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	691912	1.99–0.69	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	711910	1.97–0.58	1-0 16%	47%	38%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win	70.8%	73.7%	49.8%	1.48×	1.36
Draw	18.9%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.15
Deportivo Moquegua to win	10.3%	13.4%	25.4%	0.53×	7.47

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario & not both score	48.5%	43.2%	26.4%	1.63×	2.32
Universitario & both teams score	22.3%	21.8%	23.6%	0.93×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	11.5%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.5%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.00
Deportivo Moquegua & not both score	6.5%	8.3%	12.3%	0.68×	12.01
Deportivo Moquegua & both teams score	3.8%	4.9%	13.2%	0.37×	20.51

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario & over 1.5	55.0%	54.8%	38.0%	1.44×	1.83
Universitario & under 3.5	49.6%	45.1%	33.7%	1.34×	2.22
Universitario & over 2.5	39.9%	34.9%	30.8%	1.13×	2.87
Universitario & under 2.5	30.9%	30.7%	19.2%	1.60×	3.25
Universitario & over 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	16.3%	1.33×	4.63
Universitario & under 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	12.0%	1.51×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Deportivo Moquegua & under 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	19.4%	0.41×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63
Deportivo Moquegua & under 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	11.1%	0.72×	12.63
Deportivo Moquegua & over 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	17.4%	0.46×	12.63
Deportivo Moquegua & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.81
Deportivo Moquegua & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	14.5%	0.33×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Deportivo Moquegua & over 3.5	1.3%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (1UP)	78.3%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Deportivo Moquegua (1UP)	23.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2UP)	70.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Moquegua (2UP)	10.3%	13.6%	—	—	7.37

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win 2nd half	55.8%	61.2%	—	—	1.64
2nd half drawn	32.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Deportivo Moquegua to win 2nd half	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.50

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Universitario over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Universitario under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Universitario over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (+0.5)	89.7%	88.5%	74.6%	1.19×	1.13
Deportivo Moquegua (+2.5)	77.4%	78.5%	88.6%	0.89×	1.27
Universitario (-0.5)	70.8%	73.6%	49.8%	1.48×	1.36
Deportivo Moquegua (+1.5)	55.6%	57.0%	75.4%	0.76×	1.75
Universitario (-1.5)	44.4%	43.0%	24.6%	1.74×	2.33
Deportivo Moquegua (+0.5)	29.2%	26.4%	50.2%	0.53×	3.80
Universitario (-2.5)	22.6%	21.5%	11.4%	1.88×	4.65
Deportivo Moquegua (-0.5)	10.3%	11.5%	25.4%	0.45×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede	86.1%	86.2%	80.1%	1.08×	1.16
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet	13.9%	13.8%	19.9%	0.69×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 1st half	57.1%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 1st half	42.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 2nd half	67.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 2nd half	32.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 6.5 corners	98.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Deportivo Moquegua under 5.5 corners	95.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Deportivo Moquegua under 4.5 corners	89.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 corners	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 corners	60.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 corners	39.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 corners	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Deportivo Moquegua over 4.5 corners	10.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Deportivo Moquegua over 5.5 corners	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.05
Deportivo Moquegua over 6.5 corners	1.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.21

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 goals	99.7%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 goals	88.5%	87.8%	71.6%	1.23×	1.14
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 goals	56.0%	59.4%	34.1%	1.74×	1.68
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 goals	44.0%	40.6%	65.9%	0.62×	2.46
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 goals	11.5%	12.2%	28.4%	0.43×	8.21
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	8.0%	0.31×	39.86
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 goals	0.3%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 1st half	97.7%	96.3%	—	—	1.04
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 1st half	79.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 1st half	20.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.07
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 1st half	2.3%	3.7%	—	—	26.91

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua scores equally in both	60.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Deportivo Moquegua scores more in 2nd half	24.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Deportivo Moquegua scores more in 1st half	15.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (away no bet)	78.9%	73.6%	66.6%	1.10×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	21.1%	26.4%	33.4%	0.79×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua even goals	65.7%	64.8%	56.9%	1.14×	1.54
Deportivo Moquegua odd goals	34.3%	35.2%	43.1%	0.82×	2.84

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.7%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.3%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Universitario to score 2+ in a row	53.8%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Universitario to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Deportivo Moquegua to score 2+ in a row	7.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.19
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ in a row	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.39

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario corners (+3.5)	99.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Universitario corners (+2.5)	97.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Universitario corners (+1.5)	95.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Universitario corners (-1.5)	77.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Universitario corners (-2.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Universitario corners (-3.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+3.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+2.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+1.5)	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-1.5)	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.45
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-2.5)	2.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.52
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-3.5)	1.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	61.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	38.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.7%	13.8%	12.0%	1.16×	7.24
2-0	15.2%	13.8%	7.4%	1.86×	7.24
1-1	8.6%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
3-0	10.0%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
0-0	7.5%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
Any other score	5.0%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.29
4-0	4.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.29
0-2	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	2.6%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	2.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2nd half DNB)	82.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Deportivo Moquegua (2nd half DNB)	17.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario leading at HT (DNB)	83.4%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT (DNB)	16.6%	14.7%	—	—	6.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw (1X)	89.7%	86.6%	74.6%	1.16×	1.16
Universitario or Deportivo Moquegua (12)	81.1%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (X2)	29.2%	26.3%	50.2%	0.53×	3.80

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw at HT	90.2%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Universitario or Deportivo Moquegua at HT	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Moquegua or draw at HT	50.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw (1UP)	89.7%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1UP)	29.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw in 2nd half	88.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Universitario or Deportivo Moquegua in 2nd half	67.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Moquegua or draw in 2nd half	44.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (DNB)	87.3%	87.1%	66.3%	1.31×	1.15
Deportivo Moquegua (DNB)	12.7%	12.9%	33.7%	0.38×	7.76

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score first	71.5%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Moquegua to score first	21.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
No goal scored	7.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	62.5%	56.6%	46.2%	1.23×	1.77
Both teams to score	37.5%	43.4%	53.8%	0.81×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.5%	41.6%	37.7%	1.10×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	28.9%	33.3%	42.8%	0.78×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	17.9%	21.5%	8.7%	2.47×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.2%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.8%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.3%	72.2%	—	—	1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.64
Both score in both halves	2.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.2%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	11.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.1%	26.6%	27.5%	0.97×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.8%	22.9%	26.8%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 0	56.0%	51.7%	34.1%	1.52×	1.93
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 1	32.5%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 2	9.4%	8.6%	20.7%	0.41×	11.68
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+	2.1%	4.6%	8.0%	0.57×	21.93

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score 3+	31.5%	32.6%	22.5%	1.45×	3.07
Universitario to score exactly 1	27.5%	26.6%	33.0%	0.81×	3.77
Universitario to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Universitario to score exactly 0	13.9%	14.3%	19.9%	0.72×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario leading at HT	49.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT	9.8%	9.2%	—	—	10.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario -1: 1	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Universitario -1: 2	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Universitario -1: X	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:1)	44.4%	42.7%	24.6%	1.73×	2.35
Deportivo Moquegua (0:1)	29.2%	27.0%	50.2%	0.54×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	26.4%	27.0%	25.4%	1.06×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:2)	55.6%	63.0%	75.4%	0.84×	1.59
Universitario (0:2)	22.6%	20.3%	11.4%	1.78×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	21.8%	20.3%	13.4%	1.51×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:3)	77.4%	80.7%	88.6%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	13.1%	9.9%	7.6%	1.30×	10.11
Universitario (0:3)	9.5%	5.8%	4.0%	1.46×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:4)	90.5%	94.5%	96.0%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.1%	4.6%	2.5%	1.82×	21.64
Universitario (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (1:0)	89.7%	86.2%	74.6%	1.16×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.0%	6.9%	17.9%	0.38×	14.49
Deportivo Moquegua (1:0)	2.3%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.77

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2:0)	97.7%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.81
Deportivo Moquegua (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.90

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet	56.0%	60.6%	34.1%	1.78×	1.65
Universitario to concede	44.0%	39.4%	65.9%	0.60×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 1st half	79.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Universitario to concede in 1st half	20.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 2nd half	70.6%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Universitario to concede in 2nd half	29.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.63

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario over 2.5 corners	91.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Universitario over 3.5 corners	82.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Universitario over 4.5 corners	70.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Universitario over 5.5 corners	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Universitario under 6.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Universitario over 6.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Universitario under 5.5 corners	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universitario under 4.5 corners	29.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Universitario under 3.5 corners	17.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Universitario under 2.5 corners	9.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 3.5 goals	86.3%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Universitario over 0.5 goals	86.1%	87.3%	80.1%	1.09×	1.15
Universitario under 2.5 goals	68.5%	67.9%	77.5%	0.88×	1.47
Universitario over 1.5 goals	58.6%	58.7%	47.3%	1.24×	1.71
Universitario under 1.5 goals	41.4%	41.3%	52.7%	0.78×	2.42
Universitario over 2.5 goals	31.5%	32.1%	22.5%	1.43×	3.12
Universitario under 0.5 goals	13.9%	12.7%	19.9%	0.64×	7.85
Universitario over 3.5 goals	13.7%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 1st half	79.2%	76.7%	—	—	1.31
Universitario over 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Universitario under 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Universitario over 1.5 in 1st half	20.8%	23.3%	—	—	4.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario scores more in 2nd half	41.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Universitario scores equally in both	30.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Universitario scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.8%	60.1%	49.6%	1.21×	1.67
Deportivo Moquegua (home no bet)	35.2%	39.9%	50.4%	0.79×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario even goals	51.0%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Universitario odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.9%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	28.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 2-0	12.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 1-1	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 1-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario at HT / Universitario at FT	45.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
Draw at HT / Universitario at FT	23.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Universitario at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Universitario at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Universitario at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	0.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.02

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score last	71.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Deportivo Moquegua to score last	21.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
No goal scored	7.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Universitario to lead by 1 at any time	78.3%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.97
Universitario to lead by 2 at any time	48.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universitario to lead by 3 at any time	24.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 1 at any time	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 2 at any time	4.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.19
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 3 at any time	0.6%	1.5%	—	—	64.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario most corners	85.4%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Deportivo Moquegua most corners	8.5%	8.3%	—	—	11.99
Corners level	6.1%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.4%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.4%	68.8%	67.4%	1.02×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.2%	68.8%	63.9%	1.08×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.7%	48.4%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.3%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
3-5 goals	42.4%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.3%	39.2%	37.1%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.8%	24.5%	26.8%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.8%	24.4%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.0%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.24
7+ goals	1.5%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario never behind	69.3%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
Deportivo Moquegua never behind	14.2%	12.5%	—	—	8.02

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.5%	87.6%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.7%	72.5%	71.6%	1.01×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.9%	72.5%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.1%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.9%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.1%	27.5%	27.5%	1.00×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.3%	27.5%	28.4%	0.97×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	14.3%	0.87×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.1%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.6%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.7%	67.5%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.5%	61.9%	65.1%	0.95×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.5%	38.1%	34.9%	1.09×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.3%	32.5%	36.9%	0.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.4%	13.3%	16.7%	0.80×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.9%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.7%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.3%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.9%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves	93.9%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Universitario not to score in both halves	61.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Universitario to score in both halves	38.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Deportivo Moquegua to score in both halves	6.1%	9.1%	—	—	11.02

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Universitario scores	48.5%	50.7%	26.4%	1.92×	1.97
Both teams score	37.5%	39.9%	53.8%	0.74×	2.51
Neither team scores	7.5%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.00
Only Deportivo Moquegua scores	6.5%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.0%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.6%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.8%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.5%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to win both halves	98.9%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Universitario not to win both halves	72.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Universitario to win both halves	27.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Deportivo Moquegua to win both halves	1.1%	2.7%	—	—	36.78

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to win neither half	79.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Universitario to win either half	77.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Universitario to win neither half	22.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Deportivo Moquegua to win either half	20.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to win to nil	93.5%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Universitario not to win to nil	51.5%	53.7%	73.6%	0.73×	1.86
Universitario to win to nil	48.5%	46.3%	26.4%	1.75×	2.16
Deportivo Moquegua to win to nil	6.5%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario by 1	26.4%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Universitario by 3+	22.6%	24.1%	11.4%	2.11×	4.15
Universitario by 2	21.8%	24.1%	13.4%	1.80×	4.15
Draw	18.9%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.86
Deportivo Moquegua by 1	8.0%	7.2%	17.9%	0.40×	13.91
Deportivo Moquegua by 2	1.9%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.91
Deportivo Moquegua by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	36.96