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Urawa Red Diamonds v Kawasaki Frontale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Urawa Red Diamonds win
45.3%
model 43.7%
Draw
23.8%
model 23.0%
Kawasaki Frontale win
30.9%
model 33.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.4%
  2. 2-1 9.0%
  3. 1-2 7.7%
  4. 1-0 7.6%
  5. 0-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.560.7% Under 2.539.3%
BTTS yes62.1% BTTS no37.9%
Urawa Red Diamonds 1+81.5% Urawa Red Diamonds 2+50.4%
Kawasaki Frontale 1+76.4% Kawasaki Frontale 2+42.4%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
3-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 44%
58.5% fair odds 1.71
strong signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 75%
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Urawa Red Diamonds.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Urawa Red Diamonds have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Kawasaki Frontale and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.69 for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.45 for Kawasaki Frontale.

Why Urawa Red Diamonds

Nothing in the data singles out Urawa Red Diamonds.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.69 to 1.45. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kawasaki Frontale can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kawasaki Frontale.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Urawa Red Diamonds, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kawasaki Frontale, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Urawa Red Diamonds: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kawasaki Frontale: 48% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Urawa Red Diamonds are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.69–1.45 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.71–1.44 1-1 10% 61% 62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 44.4% 43.0% 43.0% 1.00× 2.33
Kawasaki Frontale to win 32.7% 30.4% 31.1% 0.98× 3.29
Draw 22.9% 24.5% 26.1% 0.94× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds & both teams score 24.7% 21.8% 18.1% 1.20× 4.58
Urawa Red Diamonds & not both score 19.6% 18.0% 25.0% 0.72× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 18.9% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.56
Kawasaki Frontale & both teams score 18.7% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.56
Kawasaki Frontale & not both score 14.0% 13.3% 17.8% 0.75× 7.54
Draw & not both score 4.0% 4.9% 7.0% 0.69× 20.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 1.5 36.8% 34.9% 30.3% 1.15× 2.87
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 2.5 30.6% 30.7% 23.1% 1.33× 3.25
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 3.5 26.4% 26.1% 33.1% 0.79× 3.84
Kawasaki Frontale & over 1.5 26.3% 26.1% 21.3% 1.23× 3.84
Kawasaki Frontale & over 2.5 21.9% 21.6% 17.8% 1.21× 4.63
Kawasaki Frontale & under 3.5 20.5% 21.6% 23.4% 0.92× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 18.9% 18.0% 19.2% 0.94× 5.56
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 3.5 18.0% 18.0% 10.0% 1.80× 5.56
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 14.3% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 14.3% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Kawasaki Frontale & over 3.5 12.2% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.79
Kawasaki Frontale & under 2.5 10.8% 12.8% 13.4% 0.96× 7.79
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 1.5 7.5% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 8.6% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.6% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Kawasaki Frontale & under 1.5 6.4% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.0% 4.8% 7.0% 0.68× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (1UP) 62.0% 62.8% — — 1.59
Kawasaki Frontale (1UP) 52.1% 52.5% — — 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2UP) 44.4% 47.3% — — 2.12
Kawasaki Frontale (2UP) 32.7% 30.4% — — 3.29
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 2nd half 36.9% 36.2% — — 2.76
2nd half drawn 32.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Kawasaki Frontale to win 2nd half 30.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 2nd half 78.5% 79.3% — — 1.26
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 2nd half 57.9% 54.4% — — 1.84
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 2nd half 42.1% 45.6% — — 2.19
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 2nd half 21.5% 20.7% — — 4.82
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 in 2nd half 74.4% 74.4% — — 1.34
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.4% 62.9% — — 1.59
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.6% 37.1% — — 2.69
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 in 2nd half 25.6% 25.6% — — 3.91
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (+2.5) 90.1% 92.1% 93.8% 0.98× 1.09
Kawasaki Frontale (+1.5) 76.8% 78.5% 81.9% 0.96× 1.27
Urawa Red Diamonds (+0.5) 67.3% 68.7% 68.9% 1.00× 1.46
Kawasaki Frontale (+0.5) 55.6% 57.0% 57.0% 1.00× 1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds (-0.5) 44.4% 43.0% 43.0% 1.00× 2.33
Kawasaki Frontale (-0.5) 32.7% 31.3% 31.1% 1.01× 3.19
Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) 23.2% 21.5% 18.1% 1.19× 4.65
Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) 9.9% 7.9% 6.3% 1.26× 12.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede 82.0% 81.5% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet 18.0% 18.5% 24.7% 0.75× 5.41
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 1st half 52.1% 50.5% — — 1.98
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 1st half 47.9% 49.5% — — 2.02
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 2nd half 62.4% 61.3% — — 1.63
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 2nd half 37.6% 38.7% — — 2.59
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 corners 81.5% 81.4% — — 1.23
Kawasaki Frontale under 6.5 corners 76.5% 76.0% — — 1.32
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 corners 66.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Kawasaki Frontale under 5.5 corners 64.4% 61.8% — — 1.62
Kawasaki Frontale over 4.5 corners 50.5% 53.1% — — 1.89
Kawasaki Frontale under 4.5 corners 49.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Kawasaki Frontale over 5.5 corners 35.6% 38.2% — — 2.62
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 corners 33.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Kawasaki Frontale over 6.5 corners 23.5% 24.0% — — 4.18
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 corners 18.5% 18.6% — — 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 goals 94.1% 92.4% 95.9% 0.96× 1.08
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 goals 82.3% 81.5% 87.8% 0.93× 1.23
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 goals 76.4% 76.2% 68.1% 1.12× 1.31
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 goals 57.7% 59.4% 68.3% 0.87× 1.68
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 goals 42.3% 40.6% 31.7% 1.28× 2.47
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 goals 23.6% 23.8% 31.9% 0.75× 4.21
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 goals 17.7% 18.5% 12.2% 1.52× 5.40
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 goals 5.9% 7.6% 4.1% 1.88× 13.08
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 1st half 88.6% 89.5% — — 1.12
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 1st half 56.2% 61.9% — — 1.61
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 1st half 43.8% 38.1% — — 2.63
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 1st half 11.4% 10.5% — — 9.49
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 2nd half 40.0% 43.4% — — 2.30
Kawasaki Frontale scores equally in both 37.0% 37.5% — — 2.67
Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 1st half 23.0% 21.8% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (away no bet) 65.9% 66.3% 62.2% 1.07× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 34.1% 33.7% 37.8% 0.89× 2.97
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale even goals 52.8% 52.6% 54.2% 0.97× 1.90
Kawasaki Frontale odd goals 47.2% 47.4% 45.8% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 79.2% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 20.8% 18.7% — — 5.35
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 71.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 28.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 63.1% 60.0% — — 1.67
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 2+ in a row 40.9% 38.6% — — 2.59
Kawasaki Frontale to score 2+ in a row 31.6% 29.0% — — 3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row 24.5% 19.7% — — 5.09
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+ in a row 15.3% 16.2% — — 6.19
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ in a row 9.7% 5.6% — — 17.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+3.5) 84.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+3.5) 83.4% 79.8% — — 1.25
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+2.5) 76.7% 74.8% — — 1.34
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+2.5) 75.6% 74.8% — — 1.34
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+1.5) 67.2% 65.9% — — 1.52
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+1.5) 66.0% 65.9% — — 1.52
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-1.5) 34.0% 34.1% — — 2.93
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-1.5) 32.8% 34.1% — — 2.93
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-2.5) 24.4% 25.2% — — 3.97
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-2.5) 23.3% 25.2% — — 3.97
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-3.5) 16.6% 20.2% — — 4.95
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-3.5) 15.7% 20.2% — — 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 39.8% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 31.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
12+ corners 29.0% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.9% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.0% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 71.1% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 10.5 corners 61.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 60.2% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 50.9% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 49.1% 46.9% — — 2.13
Under 8.5 corners 39.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 38.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 29.0% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 28.9% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.1% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.3% 11.5% 13.4% 0.85× 8.72
2-1 9.0% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.51
1-0 7.5% 7.4% 12.8% 0.58× 13.51
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 1.03× 13.51
2-2 6.5% 7.4% 5.2% 1.44× 13.51
0-1 6.4% 7.4% 10.0% 0.74× 13.51
2-0 6.3% 7.4% 7.3% 1.01× 13.51
3-1 5.2% 7.4% 3.0% 2.49× 13.51
0-0 4.0% 1.7% 7.0% 0.24× 58.30
0-2 4.4% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.29
0-3 2.1% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.31
0-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.31
1-3 3.6% 1.7% 2.3% 0.73× 58.30
1-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.20× 58.31
2-3 3.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 58.30
2-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 58.31
3-0 3.6% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.30
3-2 3.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.30
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.20× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.6% 2.74× 58.32
4-0 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 1.37× 58.31
4-1 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.66× 58.31
4-2 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.10× 58.31
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.3% 5.49× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.49× 58.32
Any other score 4.6% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.29
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2nd half DNB) 54.5% 53.7% — — 1.86
Kawasaki Frontale (2nd half DNB) 45.5% 46.3% — — 2.16
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT (DNB) 58.1% 56.4% — — 1.77
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT (DNB) 41.9% 43.6% — — 2.29
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or Kawasaki Frontale (12) 77.1% 75.5% 73.9% 1.02× 1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (1X) 67.3% 69.6% 68.9% 1.01× 1.44
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (X2) 55.6% 57.0% 57.0% 1.00× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw at HT 74.7% 74.8% — — 1.34
Kawasaki Frontale or draw at HT 64.8% 61.0% — — 1.64
Urawa Red Diamonds or Kawasaki Frontale at HT 60.5% 60.9% — — 1.64
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (1UP) 67.3% 76.3% — — 1.31
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1UP) 55.6% 62.8% — — 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw in 2nd half 69.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
Urawa Red Diamonds or Kawasaki Frontale in 2nd half 67.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Kawasaki Frontale or draw in 2nd half 63.1% 63.8% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.2% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 40.8% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (DNB) 57.6% 58.1% 58.0% 1.00× 1.72
Kawasaki Frontale (DNB) 42.4% 41.9% 42.0% 1.00× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score first 52.1% 53.4% — — 1.87
Kawasaki Frontale to score first 43.9% 41.7% — — 2.40
No goal scored 4.0% 4.3% — — 23.05
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 62.4% 56.6% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Not both teams to score 37.6% 43.4% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.1% 47.2% 37.2% 1.27× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 28.6% 33.3% 40.2% 0.83× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 10.3% 12.4% 13.4% 0.92× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.0% 8.3% 9.5% 0.87× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.4% 79.7% 86.3% 0.92× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 21.6% 20.3% 13.8% 1.47× 4.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 64.0% 66.0% — — 1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.0% 34.0% — — 2.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 49.4% 53.3% — — 1.88
Both score 2nd half only 27.8% 27.2% — — 3.67
Both score 1st half only 14.6% 10.8% — — 9.25
Both score in both halves 8.3% 6.8% — — 14.62
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.2% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 22.8% 18.9% — — 5.30
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 61.4% 59.6% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 38.6% 40.4% — — 2.47
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.3% 42.2% 47.2% 0.89× 2.37
4-6 goals 34.6% 30.8% 20.9% 1.47× 3.25
0-1 goals 17.9% 20.2% 29.5% 0.68× 4.95
7+ goals 4.2% 1.8% 2.7% 0.70× 54.11
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 1 34.1% 33.8% 36.6% 0.93× 2.96
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 2 24.6% 22.3% 19.7% 1.13× 4.48
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 0 23.6% 22.3% 31.9% 0.70× 4.49
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ 17.7% 19.6% 12.2% 1.61× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 1 30.9% 32.6% 36.3% 0.90× 3.07
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 2 26.5% 26.5% 24.5% 1.08× 3.77
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+ 24.6% 23.3% 14.8% 1.57× 4.29
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 0 18.0% 18.8% 24.7% 0.76× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 39.5% 39.1% — — 2.56
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT 35.2% 39.0% — — 2.56
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT 25.3% 25.2% — — 3.97
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: 2 55.6% 56.7% — — 1.76
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: 1 23.2% 23.5% — — 4.25
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: X 21.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:1) 55.6% 55.8% 57.0% 0.98× 1.79
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:1) 23.2% 24.2% 18.1% 1.34× 4.13
Draw (0:1) 21.1% 24.2% 25.0% 0.97× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:2) 76.8% 79.4% 81.9% 0.97× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 13.3% 11.0% 12.0% 0.91× 9.10
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:2) 9.9% 7.7% 6.3% 1.23× 13.02
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:3) 90.1% 92.7% 93.8% 0.99× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 6.4% 5.8% 4.2% 1.37× 17.24
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:3) 3.5% 2.4% 2.2% 1.09× 42.07
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:4) 96.5% 98.1% 97.8% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.5% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 81.90
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 1.30× 82.05
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (1:0) 67.3% 70.1% 68.9% 1.02× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 17.8% 17.1% 19.4% 0.88× 5.85
Kawasaki Frontale (1:0) 14.9% 12.7% 11.9% 1.07× 7.86
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2:0) 85.1% 88.5% 88.1% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.4% 6.4% 6.1% 1.05× 15.65
Kawasaki Frontale (2:0) 5.5% 6.4% 5.9% 1.07× 15.69
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
1st half highest scoring 27.5% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 22.4% 24.4% — — 4.11
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede 76.4% 76.0% 68.1% 1.12× 1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet 23.6% 24.0% 31.9% 0.75× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet in 1st half 56.2% 61.9% — — 1.61
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede in 1st half 43.8% 38.1% — — 2.63
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede in 2nd half 57.9% 54.7% — — 1.83
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet in 2nd half 42.1% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 corners 82.1% 81.0% — — 1.24
Urawa Red Diamonds under 6.5 corners 75.7% 76.5% — — 1.31
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 corners 67.4% 66.7% — — 1.50
Urawa Red Diamonds under 5.5 corners 63.5% 62.3% — — 1.61
Urawa Red Diamonds over 4.5 corners 51.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
Urawa Red Diamonds under 4.5 corners 48.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Urawa Red Diamonds over 5.5 corners 36.5% 37.7% — — 2.65
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 corners 32.6% 33.3% — — 3.01
Urawa Red Diamonds over 6.5 corners 24.3% 23.5% — — 4.26
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 corners 17.9% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 goals 90.5% 92.2% 94.8% 0.97× 1.08
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 goals 82.0% 82.2% 75.3% 1.09× 1.22
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 goals 75.4% 77.7% 85.2% 0.91× 1.29
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 goals 51.1% 53.2% 39.2% 1.36× 1.88
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 goals 48.9% 46.8% 60.8% 0.77× 2.14
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 goals 24.6% 22.3% 14.8% 1.50× 4.49
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 goals 18.0% 17.8% 24.7% 0.72× 5.63
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 goals 9.5% 7.8% 5.2% 1.51× 12.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 in 1st half 83.1% 83.8% — — 1.19
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 in 1st half 52.1% 50.3% — — 1.99
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 in 1st half 47.9% 49.7% — — 2.01
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 in 1st half 16.9% 16.2% — — 6.19
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds scores more in 2nd half 39.9% 37.9% — — 2.64
Urawa Red Diamonds scores equally in both 33.5% 33.2% — — 3.01
Urawa Red Diamonds scores more in 1st half 26.6% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (home no bet) 58.8% 56.4% 54.4% 1.04× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 41.2% 43.6% 45.6% 0.95× 2.30
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds even goals 51.6% 50.7% 52.7% 0.96× 1.97
Urawa Red Diamonds odd goals 48.4% 49.3% 47.3% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 26.8% 28.4% — — 3.52
HT 1-0 19.9% 18.5% — — 5.39
HT 0-1 15.5% 18.5% — — 5.42
HT 1-1 11.4% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 2-0 7.3% 6.9% — — 14.46
Any other HT score 5.9% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 0-2 4.5% 2.4% — — 41.92
HT 2-1 4.2% 2.4% — — 41.93
HT 1-2 3.3% 2.4% — — 41.99
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.13
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT 26.8% 27.2% — — 3.67
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT 17.6% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT 14.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.5% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT 12.3% 12.6% — — 7.91
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.1% — — 16.49
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Draw at FT 4.9% 3.5% — — 28.79
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.87
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.87
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score last 52.1% 52.0% — — 1.92
Kawasaki Frontale to score last 43.9% 40.2% — — 2.49
No goal scored 4.0% 4.3% — — 23.05
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.0% 95.6% — — 1.05
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 1 at any time 62.0% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 52.5% 50.8% — — 1.97
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 1 at any time 52.1% 50.8% — — 1.97
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 2 at any time 31.0% 29.7% — — 3.36
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 2 at any time 21.9% 19.5% — — 5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 20.3% 19.5% — — 5.12
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 3 at any time 12.7% 10.5% — — 9.51
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 3 at any time 7.6% 6.7% — — 14.95
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds most corners 45.0% 43.5% — — 2.30
Kawasaki Frontale most corners 43.6% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.4% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.9% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.9% 78.7% 68.0% 1.16× 1.27
1-4 goals 74.8% 72.4% 81.7% 0.89× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.0% 72.3% 65.0% 1.11× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.9% 63.3% 59.2% 1.07× 1.58
1-3 goals 57.2% 59.1% 69.7% 0.85× 1.69
3-6 goals 56.9% 59.1% 44.1% 1.34× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.0% 53.2% 41.1% 1.29× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.3% 43.6% 47.2% 0.92× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.9% 39.2% 35.3% 1.11× 2.55
1-2 goals 34.9% 35.2% 46.6% 0.76× 2.84
4-6 goals 34.6% 35.2% 20.9% 1.68× 2.84
4-5 goals 28.7% 30.2% 18.0% 1.68× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.0% 18.8% 8.9% 2.11× 5.31
7+ goals 4.2% 2.6% 2.7% 0.96× 39.07
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds never behind 43.8% 48.7% — — 2.06
Kawasaki Frontale never behind 34.0% 36.3% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.6% 50.9% 46.7% 1.09× 1.96
Odd number of goals 50.4% 49.1% 53.3% 0.92× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.5% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.5% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.1% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.9% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.0% 95.4% 93.0% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 90.0% 87.6% 94.4% 0.93× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 82.1% 82.3% 70.5% 1.17× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 78.9% 77.3% 88.6% 0.87× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 61.2% 61.7% 76.6% 0.81× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 61.1% 61.7% 46.6% 1.33× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 38.9% 38.3% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 38.8% 38.3% 23.4% 1.63× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 21.2% 22.7% 11.4% 1.99× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 17.9% 17.7% 29.5% 0.60× 5.66
Over 5.5 goals 10.0% 12.4% 5.6% 2.20× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 4.0% 4.6% 7.0% 0.65× 21.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.6% 97.2% 97.3% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.7% 86.7% 94.0% 0.92× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 77.3% 75.9% 61.2% 1.24× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 74.3% 72.4% 87.0% 0.83× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 50.1% 51.9% 69.5% 0.75× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.9% 48.1% 30.5% 1.58× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 25.7% 27.6% 13.0% 2.13× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 22.7% 24.1% 38.8% 0.62× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.3% 13.3% 6.0% 2.22× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.03× 35.54
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.4% 88.9% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.2% 71.4% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 62.2% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 37.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 26.8% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.6% 11.1% — — 9.05
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.2% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.9% 77.5% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 54.9% 53.4% — — 1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 45.1% 46.6% — — 2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.1% 22.5% — — 4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.8% 17.0% — — 5.88
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale not to score in both halves 74.6% 74.0% — — 1.35
Urawa Red Diamonds not to score in both halves 67.5% 70.1% — — 1.43
Urawa Red Diamonds to score in both halves 32.5% 29.9% — — 3.34
Kawasaki Frontale to score in both halves 25.4% 26.0% — — 3.85
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 62.4% 60.2% 50.5% 1.19× 1.66
Only Urawa Red Diamonds scores 19.6% 16.0% 25.0% 0.64× 6.23
Only Kawasaki Frontale scores 14.0% 11.0% 17.8% 0.62× 9.06
Neither team scores 4.0% 4.6% 7.0% 0.66× 21.62
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 23.3% 0.97× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.0% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.6% 17.5% 12.2% 1.43× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 13.9% 12.1% 22.7% 0.54× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 11.1% 12.1% 5.9% 2.04× 8.25
6 or more goals 10.0% 12.1% 5.6% 2.15× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 4.0% 4.5% 7.0% 0.64× 22.36
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.4% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 26.8% 28.5% — — 3.51
2 goals in 1st half 23.2% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 14.6% 11.0% — — 9.13
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 54.9% 51.6% — — 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 29.4% 29.5% — — 3.40
No goals in 2nd half 15.8% 16.6% — — 6.02
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale not to win both halves 92.2% 94.1% — — 1.06
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win both halves 87.1% 88.0% — — 1.14
Urawa Red Diamonds to win both halves 12.9% 12.0% — — 8.30
Kawasaki Frontale to win both halves 7.8% 5.9% — — 17.03
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win either half 59.2% 59.2% — — 1.69
Kawasaki Frontale to win neither half 51.6% 54.2% — — 1.84
Kawasaki Frontale to win either half 48.4% 45.8% — — 2.19
Urawa Red Diamonds to win neither half 40.8% 40.8% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kawasaki Frontale not to win to nil 86.0% 88.1% 82.2% 1.07× 1.14
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win to nil 80.4% 83.1% 75.0% 1.11× 1.20
Urawa Red Diamonds to win to nil 19.6% 16.9% 25.0% 0.68× 5.91
Kawasaki Frontale to win to nil 14.0% 11.9% 17.8% 0.67× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 22.9% 24.1% 26.1% 0.92× 4.15
Urawa Red Diamonds by 1 21.1% 24.1% 25.0% 0.96× 4.15
Kawasaki Frontale by 1 17.8% 17.0% 19.4% 0.88× 5.87
Urawa Red Diamonds by 2 13.3% 11.8% 12.0% 0.98× 8.51
Urawa Red Diamonds by 3+ 9.9% 7.2% 6.3% 1.15× 13.89
Kawasaki Frontale by 2 9.4% 7.2% 6.1% 1.18× 13.90
Kawasaki Frontale by 3+ 5.5% 7.2% 5.9% 1.21× 13.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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