US Avellino v Sudtirol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

US Avellino

20:00 UTC

Sudtirol

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 969h before kick-off

US Avellino win

46.9%

model 45.1%

Draw

26.6%

model 29.8%

Sudtirol win

26.5%

model 25.1%

472726

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.1%
1-0 11.1%
0-0 10.4%
2-1 9.0%
2-0 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.6%	Under 2.5	56.4%
BTTS yes	49.5%	BTTS no	50.5%
US Avellino 1+	75.8%	US Avellino 2+	41.5%
Sudtirol 1+	63.3%	Sudtirol 2+	26.5%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

48/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sudtirol not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

US Avellino carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1414.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

US Avellino have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.5% for Sudtirol. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for US Avellino and 1.00 for Sudtirol.

Why US Avellino

US Avellino carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1414.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Sudtirol can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sudtirol.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for US Avellino, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sudtirol, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

US Avellino: 54% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sudtirol: 47% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

US Avellino are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.1%. Confidence 48/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	453025	1.42–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	453124	1.36–0.94	1-1 14%	40%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to win	45.1%	47.3%	42.7%	1.11×	2.11
Draw	30.6%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29
Sudtirol to win	24.4%	24.5%	25.5%	0.96×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino & not both score	27.5%	25.2%	23.9%	1.05×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
US Avellino & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Sudtirol & not both score	14.1%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Sudtirol & both teams score	10.3%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino & under 3.5	34.3%	30.8%	31.9%	0.96×	3.25
US Avellino & over 1.5	33.0%	30.8%	31.8%	0.97×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	25.8%	26.0%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.8%	26.0%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
US Avellino & over 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
US Avellino & under 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Sudtirol & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Sudtirol & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
US Avellino & under 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Sudtirol & over 2.5	12.1%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Sudtirol & under 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	10.6%	1.21×	7.79
US Avellino & over 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	11.0%	1.17×	7.79
Sudtirol & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81
Sudtirol & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.7%	0.84×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (1UP)	58.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Sudtirol (1UP)	40.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (2UP)	45.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Sudtirol (2UP)	24.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
US Avellino to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Sudtirol to win 2nd half	23.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.0%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Sudtirol under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Sudtirol over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sudtirol over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.0%	12.8%	—	—	7.82

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
US Avellino over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
US Avellino under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
US Avellino over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol (+2.5)	91.8%	92.1%	93.3%	0.99×	1.09
Sudtirol (+1.5)	77.9%	78.5%	80.3%	0.98×	1.27
US Avellino (+0.5)	75.6%	78.5%	74.5%	1.05×	1.27
Sudtirol (+0.5)	54.9%	52.4%	57.3%	0.92×	1.91
US Avellino (-0.5)	45.1%	47.6%	42.7%	1.11×	2.10
Sudtirol (-0.5)	24.4%	21.5%	25.5%	0.84×	4.65
US Avellino (-1.5)	22.1%	21.5%	19.7%	1.09×	4.65
US Avellino (-2.5)	8.2%	7.9%	6.7%	1.17×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol to concede	74.4%	76.7%	77.7%	0.99×	1.30
Sudtirol clean sheet	25.6%	23.3%	22.3%	1.05×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol clean sheet in 1st half	55.7%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Sudtirol to concede in 1st half	44.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol to concede in 2nd half	54.0%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Sudtirol clean sheet in 2nd half	46.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol under 6.5 corners	86.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Sudtirol under 5.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sudtirol over 2.5 corners	70.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sudtirol under 4.5 corners	64.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sudtirol over 3.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Sudtirol under 3.5 corners	48.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sudtirol over 4.5 corners	35.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Sudtirol under 2.5 corners	30.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sudtirol over 5.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Sudtirol over 6.5 corners	13.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Sudtirol under 2.5 goals	93.0%	92.4%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Sudtirol under 1.5 goals	75.7%	76.2%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
Sudtirol over 0.5 goals	61.0%	63.2%	67.1%	0.94×	1.58
Sudtirol under 0.5 goals	39.0%	36.8%	32.9%	1.12×	2.72
Sudtirol over 1.5 goals	24.3%	23.8%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
Sudtirol over 2.5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	9.2%	0.83×	13.08
Sudtirol over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol under 1.5 in 1st half	94.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Sudtirol under 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Sudtirol over 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Sudtirol over 1.5 in 1st half	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol scores equally in both	47.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Sudtirol scores more in 2nd half	32.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sudtirol scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (away no bet)	59.6%	57.4%	57.3%	1.00×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.4%	42.6%	42.7%	1.00×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol even goals	57.6%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
Sudtirol odd goals	42.4%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	8.8%	—	—	11.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.1%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
US Avellino to score 2+ in a row	33.2%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Sudtirol to score 2+ in a row	18.2%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
US Avellino to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Sudtirol to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.49

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino corners (+3.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
US Avellino corners (+2.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sudtirol corners (+3.5)	80.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
US Avellino corners (+1.5)	73.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sudtirol corners (+2.5)	72.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sudtirol corners (+1.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
US Avellino corners (-1.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
US Avellino corners (-2.5)	27.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sudtirol corners (-1.5)	26.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
US Avellino corners (-3.5)	19.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Sudtirol corners (-2.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Sudtirol corners (-3.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	25.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.3%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
1-0	12.1%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.71
0-0	11.5%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.29
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.29×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (2nd half DNB)	60.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Sudtirol (2nd half DNB)	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino leading at HT (DNB)	63.6%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Sudtirol leading at HT (DNB)	36.4%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino or draw (1X)	75.6%	75.5%	74.5%	1.01×	1.32
US Avellino or Sudtirol (12)	69.4%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Sudtirol or draw (X2)	54.9%	52.7%	57.3%	0.92×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino or draw at HT	80.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Sudtirol or draw at HT	66.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
US Avellino or Sudtirol at HT	52.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino or draw (1UP)	75.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Sudtirol or draw (1UP)	54.9%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino or draw in 2nd half	76.5%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Sudtirol or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
US Avellino or Sudtirol in 2nd half	60.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (DNB)	64.9%	62.7%	62.6%	1.00×	1.59
Sudtirol (DNB)	35.1%	37.3%	37.4%	1.00×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to score first	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Sudtirol to score first	36.1%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	11.5%	9.6%	—	—	10.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.1%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.9%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.2%	44.3%	37.9%	1.17×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.6%	34.6%	39.4%	0.88×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.3%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.4%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.6%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.73
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.50

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.8%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.2%	15.2%	—	—	6.56

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.5%	30.7%	26.8%	1.15×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.2%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.94
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol to score exactly 0	39.0%	35.9%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
Sudtirol to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Sudtirol to score exactly 2	17.3%	19.5%	21.5%	0.91×	5.12
Sudtirol to score 3+	7.0%	8.5%	9.2%	0.93×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to score exactly 1	34.9%	32.6%	35.9%	0.91×	3.07
US Avellino to score exactly 0	25.6%	26.5%	22.3%	1.19×	3.77
US Avellino to score exactly 2	23.8%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
US Avellino to score 3+	15.8%	18.8%	16.2%	1.16×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.6%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
US Avellino leading at HT	33.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Sudtirol leading at HT	19.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino -1: 2	54.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
US Avellino -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
US Avellino -1: 1	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol (0:1)	54.9%	51.3%	57.3%	0.90×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13
US Avellino (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	19.7%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol (0:2)	77.9%	79.4%	80.3%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.09
US Avellino (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	6.7%	1.14×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol (0:3)	91.8%	92.7%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.8%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.27
US Avellino (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.70
US Avellino (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.83

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (1:0)	75.6%	78.5%	74.5%	1.05×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.3%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.85
Sudtirol (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	10.0%	0.69×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (2:0)	91.0%	94.0%	90.0%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.6%	6.4%	6.5%	0.99×	15.67
Sudtirol (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	29.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to concede	61.0%	63.6%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57
US Avellino clean sheet	39.0%	36.4%	32.9%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino clean sheet in 1st half	68.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
US Avellino to concede in 1st half	31.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino clean sheet in 2nd half	56.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
US Avellino to concede in 2nd half	43.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 6.5 corners	79.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
US Avellino over 2.5 corners	77.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
US Avellino under 5.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
US Avellino over 3.5 corners	61.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
US Avellino under 4.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
US Avellino over 4.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
US Avellino under 3.5 corners	38.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
US Avellino over 5.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
US Avellino under 2.5 corners	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
US Avellino over 6.5 corners	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 3.5 goals	95.0%	96.4%	95.9%	1.00×	1.04
US Avellino under 2.5 goals	84.2%	82.2%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
US Avellino over 0.5 goals	74.4%	74.2%	77.7%	0.96×	1.35
US Avellino under 1.5 goals	60.5%	63.6%	58.0%	1.10×	1.57
US Avellino over 1.5 goals	39.5%	36.4%	42.0%	0.87×	2.75
US Avellino under 0.5 goals	25.6%	25.8%	22.3%	1.16×	3.88
US Avellino over 2.5 goals	15.8%	17.8%	16.2%	1.10×	5.62
US Avellino over 3.5 goals	5.0%	3.6%	4.1%	0.89×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 1.5 in 1st half	88.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
US Avellino under 0.5 in 1st half	55.7%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
US Avellino over 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
US Avellino over 1.5 in 1st half	11.7%	9.8%	—	—	10.22

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino scores equally in both	38.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
US Avellino scores more in 2nd half	36.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
US Avellino scores more in 1st half	24.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.6%	56.3%	55.5%	1.01×	1.78
Sudtirol (home no bet)	44.4%	43.7%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino even goals	53.3%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
US Avellino odd goals	46.7%	49.2%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	22.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	8.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino at HT / US Avellino at FT	26.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / US Avellino at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Sudtirol at HT / Sudtirol at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Sudtirol at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
US Avellino at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Sudtirol at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Sudtirol at HT / US Avellino at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
US Avellino at HT / Sudtirol at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to score last	52.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Sudtirol to score last	36.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	11.5%	9.0%	—	—	11.10

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.5%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
US Avellino to lead by 1 at any time	58.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sudtirol to lead by 1 at any time	40.4%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
US Avellino to lead by 2 at any time	27.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Sudtirol to lead by 2 at any time	13.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
US Avellino to lead by 3 at any time	9.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Sudtirol to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino most corners	50.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Sudtirol most corners	37.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	12.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	82.1%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.4%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.6%	68.8%	72.0%	0.96×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.5%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.1%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	48.0%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.5%	39.2%	44.0%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.1%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.2%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.1%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.26
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino never behind	48.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Sudtirol never behind	29.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.9%	77.3%	75.2%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.5%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.5%	58.7%	52.4%	1.12×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.5%	41.4%	47.6%	0.87×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.5%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.1%	22.7%	24.8%	0.92×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.5%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.7%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.3%	55.8%	64.0%	0.87×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.7%	44.2%	36.0%	1.23×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.3%	27.6%	32.1%	0.86×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.5%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.92

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol not to score in both halves	86.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
US Avellino not to score in both halves	76.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
US Avellino to score in both halves	24.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Sudtirol to score in both halves	13.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.9%	50.7%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Only US Avellino scores	27.5%	26.1%	23.9%	1.09×	3.84
Only Sudtirol scores	14.1%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.06
Neither team scores	11.5%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.0%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	11.7%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	7.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.92

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	26.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol not to win both halves	95.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
US Avellino not to win both halves	87.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
US Avellino to win both halves	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Sudtirol to win both halves	4.7%	2.8%	—	—	35.31

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol to win neither half	62.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
US Avellino to win either half	57.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
US Avellino to win neither half	42.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Sudtirol to win either half	38.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sudtirol not to win to nil	85.9%	88.1%	86.7%	1.02×	1.14
US Avellino not to win to nil	72.5%	75.3%	76.1%	0.99×	1.33
US Avellino to win to nil	27.5%	24.7%	23.9%	1.03×	4.05
Sudtirol to win to nil	14.1%	11.9%	13.3%	0.89×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.6%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
US Avellino by 1	22.9%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
Sudtirol by 1	15.3%	17.0%	15.7%	1.09×	5.87
US Avellino by 2	13.9%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.50
US Avellino by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.91
Sudtirol by 2	6.6%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.91
Sudtirol by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.90