UTA Arad v Sepsi OSK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ROU-Liga 1 · 2627

ROU-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

UTA Arad

17:00 UTC

Sepsi OSK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 245h before kick-off

UTA Arad win

46.9%

model 47.0%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.9%

Sepsi OSK win

26.5%

model 25.1%

472727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.4%
1-1 12.8%
0-0 10.7%
0-1 9.6%
2-0 9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.6%	Under 2.5	61.4%
BTTS yes	43.6%	BTTS no	56.4%
UTA Arad 1+	73.8%	UTA Arad 2+	38.7%
Sepsi OSK 1+	59.1%	Sepsi OSK 2+	22.6%

Expected goals 1.34 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

16/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 57%

62.0% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 12572 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

UTA Arad or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

UTA Arad carry the stronger rating, 1508 Elo against 1481.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0266 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Sepsi OSK have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

UTA Arad have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for Sepsi OSK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for UTA Arad and 0.90 for Sepsi OSK.

Why UTA Arad

UTA Arad carry the stronger rating, 1508 Elo against 1481.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. A combined 2.23 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Sepsi OSK can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sepsi OSK.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for UTA Arad, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sepsi OSK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

UTA Arad: 51% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sepsi OSK: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

UTA Arad are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.4%. Confidence 16/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472825	1.34–0.90	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502920	1.27–0.69	1-0 18%	31%	36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad to win	47.0%	48.0%	43.3%	1.11×	2.08
Draw	27.9%	27.1%	28.3%	0.96×	3.69
Sepsi OSK to win	25.1%	27.1%	28.5%	0.95×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad & not both score	30.2%	30.8%	24.0%	1.29×	3.24
UTA Arad & both teams score	16.9%	18.1%	19.6%	0.93×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	18.1%	20.3%	0.89×	5.52
Sepsi OSK & not both score	15.5%	18.1%	17.9%	1.01×	5.52
Draw & not both score	10.7%	12.7%	8.2%	1.55×	7.88
Sepsi OSK & both teams score	9.5%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad & under 3.5	36.8%	36.6%	31.6%	1.16×	2.74
UTA Arad & over 1.5	32.7%	31.8%	31.7%	1.00×	3.15
UTA Arad & over 2.5	23.1%	21.8%	24.7%	0.88×	4.58
UTA Arad & under 2.5	24.0%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.58
Draw & under 2.5	23.5%	21.8%	22.1%	0.99×	4.58
Draw & under 3.5	23.5%	21.8%	22.1%	0.99×	4.58
Sepsi OSK & under 3.5	20.9%	21.8%	23.4%	0.93×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	17.7%	20.3%	0.87×	5.64
Sepsi OSK & over 1.5	15.4%	17.7%	19.8%	0.90×	5.64
UTA Arad & under 1.5	14.4%	12.4%	11.8%	1.05×	8.05
Sepsi OSK & under 2.5	13.9%	12.4%	16.4%	0.76×	8.05
UTA Arad & over 3.5	10.2%	12.4%	12.0%	1.04×	8.06
Draw & under 1.5	10.7%	12.4%	8.2%	1.52×	8.06
Sepsi OSK & over 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	12.4%	1.00×	8.06
Sepsi OSK & under 1.5	9.6%	7.6%	8.9%	0.85×	13.20
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.4%	6.5%	0.68×	22.79
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.4%	6.5%	0.68×	22.79
Sepsi OSK & over 3.5	4.1%	4.4%	5.3%	0.82×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (1UP)	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sepsi OSK (1UP)	39.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (2UP)	47.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Sepsi OSK (2UP)	25.1%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
UTA Arad to win 2nd half	37.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Sepsi OSK to win 2nd half	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Sepsi OSK under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sepsi OSK over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Sepsi OSK over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
UTA Arad over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
UTA Arad under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
UTA Arad over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK (+2.5)	91.9%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Sepsi OSK (+1.5)	77.8%	78.0%	80.8%	0.97×	1.28
UTA Arad (+0.5)	74.9%	73.3%	71.5%	1.03×	1.36
Sepsi OSK (+0.5)	53.0%	51.8%	56.7%	0.91×	1.93
UTA Arad (-0.5)	47.0%	48.2%	43.3%	1.11×	2.07
Sepsi OSK (-0.5)	25.1%	26.7%	28.5%	0.94×	3.75
UTA Arad (-1.5)	22.2%	22.0%	19.2%	1.15×	4.55
UTA Arad (-2.5)	8.1%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK to concede	73.8%	75.6%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
Sepsi OSK clean sheet	26.2%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK clean sheet in 1st half	56.3%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Sepsi OSK to concede in 1st half	43.7%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK to concede in 2nd half	53.4%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Sepsi OSK clean sheet in 2nd half	46.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.3%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Sepsi OSK under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.09
Sepsi OSK under 1.5 goals	77.4%	76.4%	70.9%	1.08×	1.31
Sepsi OSK over 0.5 goals	59.1%	58.9%	68.1%	0.86×	1.70
Sepsi OSK under 0.5 goals	40.9%	41.1%	31.9%	1.29×	2.43
Sepsi OSK over 1.5 goals	22.6%	23.6%	29.1%	0.81×	4.23
Sepsi OSK over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	8.4%	0.94×	12.75
Sepsi OSK over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.7%	2.1%	1.29×	37.15

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK under 1.5 in 1st half	94.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Sepsi OSK under 0.5 in 1st half	69.9%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Sepsi OSK over 0.5 in 1st half	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Sepsi OSK over 1.5 in 1st half	5.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.36

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK scores equally in both	49.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sepsi OSK scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sepsi OSK scores more in 1st half	19.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (away no bet)	62.8%	62.3%	60.5%	1.03×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.2%	37.7%	39.5%	0.95×	2.65

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK even goals	58.4%	56.4%	54.6%	1.03×	1.77
Sepsi OSK odd goals	41.6%	43.6%	45.4%	0.96×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.1%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.9%	9.4%	—	—	10.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.1%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
UTA Arad to score 2+ in a row	32.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Sepsi OSK to score 2+ in a row	16.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.9%	—	—	7.75
UTA Arad to score 3+ in a row	10.9%	12.8%	—	—	7.79
Sepsi OSK to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	3.1%	—	—	31.82

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.4%	11.2%	11.8%	0.95×	8.91
1-1	12.8%	11.2%	14.1%	0.80×	8.91
0-0	10.7%	11.2%	8.2%	1.37×	8.91
0-1	9.6%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.45
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.45
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.45
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.45
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.34
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.34
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.35
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.34
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.35
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.34
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.34
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.51×	58.35
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.34
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.34
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.34
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.35
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.51×	58.35
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.34
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.34
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.51×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.35
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.02×	58.35
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.13×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (2nd half DNB)	61.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Sepsi OSK (2nd half DNB)	38.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad leading at HT (DNB)	64.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Sepsi OSK leading at HT (DNB)	35.7%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad or draw (1X)	74.9%	72.9%	71.5%	1.02×	1.37
UTA Arad or Sepsi OSK (12)	72.1%	72.9%	71.7%	1.02×	1.37
Sepsi OSK or draw (X2)	53.0%	52.0%	56.7%	0.92×	1.92

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad or draw at HT	81.4%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Sepsi OSK or draw at HT	66.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
UTA Arad or Sepsi OSK at HT	52.2%	53.9%	—	—	1.86

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad or draw (1UP)	74.9%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Sepsi OSK or draw (1UP)	53.0%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad or draw in 2nd half	76.8%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Sepsi OSK or draw in 2nd half	62.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
UTA Arad or Sepsi OSK in 2nd half	60.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.5%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Neither half drawn	31.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (DNB)	65.2%	67.2%	60.3%	1.11×	1.49
Sepsi OSK (DNB)	34.8%	32.8%	39.7%	0.83×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad to score first	53.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sepsi OSK to score first	35.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goal scored	10.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.4%	55.3%	49.6%	1.12×	1.81
Both teams to score	43.6%	44.7%	50.4%	0.89×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.6%	45.1%	43.0%	1.05×	2.22
Both score & over 2.5	30.8%	34.0%	36.5%	0.93×	2.94
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	11.9%	14.1%	0.85×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.8%	8.4%	6.8%	1.23×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.3%	89.9%	88.6%	1.01×	1.11
Both teams to score 2+	8.7%	10.1%	11.4%	0.89×	9.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	19.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	11.8%	—	—	8.44
Both score in both halves	2.9%	4.8%	—	—	20.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.8%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.2%	15.4%	—	—	6.51

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.9%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	46.5%	48.3%	0.96×	2.15
0-1 goals	34.7%	31.2%	28.5%	1.09×	3.21
4-6 goals	17.9%	19.1%	22.6%	0.84×	5.24
7+ goals	0.8%	2.0%	1.0%	2.11×	49.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK to score exactly 0	40.9%	39.4%	31.9%	1.23×	2.54
Sepsi OSK to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	39.2%	0.92×	2.78
Sepsi OSK to score exactly 2	16.4%	18.2%	20.9%	0.87×	5.49
Sepsi OSK to score 3+	6.2%	8.6%	8.4%	1.03×	11.64

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad to score exactly 1	35.1%	36.6%	34.4%	1.06×	2.73
UTA Arad to score exactly 0	26.2%	26.4%	25.9%	1.02×	3.78
UTA Arad to score exactly 2	23.5%	22.9%	23.6%	0.97×	4.38
UTA Arad to score 3+	15.2%	18.1%	16.5%	1.10×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
UTA Arad leading at HT	33.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Sepsi OSK leading at HT	18.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad -1: 2	53.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
UTA Arad -1: X	24.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
UTA Arad -1: 1	22.2%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK (0:1)	53.0%	51.7%	56.7%	0.91×	1.93
Draw (0:1)	24.9%	23.6%	24.3%	0.97×	4.24
UTA Arad (0:1)	22.2%	23.6%	19.2%	1.23×	4.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK (0:2)	77.8%	79.1%	80.8%	0.98×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.0%	11.4%	12.0%	0.95×	8.80
UTA Arad (0:2)	8.1%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK (0:3)	91.9%	92.5%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.7%	6.5%	4.4%	1.48×	15.41
UTA Arad (0:3)	2.4%	2.6%	3.2%	0.79×	39.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK (0:4)	97.6%	97.7%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.4%	2.7%	0.53×	70.71
UTA Arad (0:4)	0.6%	1.4%	0.8%	1.86×	70.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (1:0)	74.9%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.6%	17.3%	16.5%	1.05×	5.77
Sepsi OSK (1:0)	8.4%	7.5%	12.2%	0.61×	13.39

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad (2:0)	91.6%	92.9%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.6%	9.5%	0.70×	15.12
Sepsi OSK (2:0)	2.1%	2.8%	2.9%	0.98×	35.92

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad to concede	59.1%	59.9%	68.1%	0.88×	1.67
UTA Arad clean sheet	40.9%	40.1%	31.9%	1.26×	2.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad clean sheet in 1st half	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
UTA Arad to concede in 1st half	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad clean sheet in 2nd half	58.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
UTA Arad to concede in 2nd half	41.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad under 3.5 goals	95.3%	96.6%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
UTA Arad under 2.5 goals	84.8%	82.3%	83.5%	0.99×	1.22
UTA Arad over 0.5 goals	73.8%	73.1%	74.1%	0.99×	1.37
UTA Arad under 1.5 goals	61.3%	62.4%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
UTA Arad over 1.5 goals	38.7%	37.6%	39.9%	0.94×	2.66
UTA Arad under 0.5 goals	26.2%	26.9%	25.9%	1.04×	3.71
UTA Arad over 2.5 goals	15.2%	17.7%	16.5%	1.07×	5.66
UTA Arad over 3.5 goals	4.7%	3.4%	5.1%	0.66×	29.37

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
UTA Arad under 0.5 in 1st half	56.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
UTA Arad over 0.5 in 1st half	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
UTA Arad over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	12.3%	—	—	8.15

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad scores equally in both	39.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
UTA Arad scores more in 2nd half	36.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
UTA Arad scores more in 1st half	24.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.7%	52.0%	49.8%	1.04×	1.92
Sepsi OSK (home no bet)	47.3%	48.0%	50.2%	0.96×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad even goals	53.4%	50.9%	53.2%	0.96×	1.96
UTA Arad odd goals	46.6%	49.1%	46.8%	1.05×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
HT 1-0	22.6%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 0-1	14.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	8.1%	8.0%	—	—	12.54
HT 2-0	6.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.55
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.47
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.48
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.52
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.5%	—	—	40.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad at HT / UTA Arad at FT	27.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Draw at HT / UTA Arad at FT	17.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Sepsi OSK at HT / Sepsi OSK at FT	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Draw at HT / Sepsi OSK at FT	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
UTA Arad at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Sepsi OSK at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.6%	—	—	27.52
Sepsi OSK at HT / UTA Arad at FT	1.9%	3.6%	—	—	27.58
UTA Arad at HT / Sepsi OSK at FT	1.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.60

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad to score last	53.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Sepsi OSK to score last	35.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	10.7%	7.0%	—	—	14.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
UTA Arad to lead by 1 at any time	59.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Sepsi OSK to lead by 1 at any time	39.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
UTA Arad to lead by 2 at any time	27.0%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
Sepsi OSK to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
UTA Arad to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.42
Sepsi OSK to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.19

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.1%	88.4%	0.99×	1.15
1-4 goals	81.7%	82.1%	81.7%	1.00×	1.22
1-3 goals	70.6%	72.2%	68.6%	1.05×	1.39
2-6 goals	64.5%	62.7%	70.7%	0.89×	1.60
2-5 goals	62.7%	62.7%	68.1%	0.92×	1.60
2-4 goals	57.7%	58.9%	61.4%	0.96×	1.70
1-2 goals	50.7%	52.9%	48.9%	1.08×	1.89
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	48.3%	0.98×	2.11
3-6 goals	37.8%	39.0%	42.4%	0.92×	2.56
3-5 goals	36.0%	39.0%	39.7%	0.98×	2.56
3-4 goals	31.0%	34.7%	33.1%	1.05×	2.88
4-6 goals	17.9%	18.9%	22.6%	0.83×	5.30
4-5 goals	16.1%	18.9%	20.0%	0.94×	5.30
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	9.5%	0.94×	11.22
7+ goals	0.8%	2.3%	1.0%	2.38×	44.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTA Arad never behind	49.4%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Sepsi OSK never behind	29.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.5%	50.1%	52.5%	0.95×	2.00
Odd number of goals	49.5%	49.9%	47.5%	1.05×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	96.0%	96.4%	1.00×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.3%	87.8%	91.8%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.3%	81.6%	76.6%	1.07×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	65.3%	67.7%	71.5%	0.95×	1.48
Under 2.5 goals	61.4%	62.0%	56.8%	1.09×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	38.6%	38.0%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 1.5 goals	34.7%	32.3%	28.5%	1.13×	3.09
Over 3.5 goals	18.7%	18.4%	23.4%	0.79×	5.44
Under 0.5 goals	10.7%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	10.3%	0.75×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.0%	3.6%	1.10×	25.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.3%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.3%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.4%	92.0%	88.2%	1.04×	1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.6%	76.0%	70.9%	1.07×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.7%	52.0%	60.2%	0.86×	1.92
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.3%	48.0%	39.8%	1.21×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.4%	24.0%	29.1%	0.83×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.6%	8.0%	11.8%	0.68×	12.51
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.7%	3.9%	0.70×	36.70
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.7%	1.0%	2.79×	36.72

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.0%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.34

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.7%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.3%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK not to score in both halves	87.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
UTA Arad not to score in both halves	76.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
UTA Arad to score in both halves	23.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Sepsi OSK to score in both halves	12.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.6%	45.6%	50.4%	0.91×	2.19
Only UTA Arad scores	30.2%	31.4%	24.0%	1.31×	3.18
Only Sepsi OSK scores	15.5%	16.9%	17.9%	0.94×	5.93
Neither team scores	10.7%	11.2%	8.2%	1.37×	8.94

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	25.0%	28.5%	0.88×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	24.0%	22.3%	20.5%	1.08×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.6%	20.0%	0.88×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.3%	13.3%	0.92×	8.15
Exactly 0 goals	10.7%	12.3%	8.2%	1.50×	8.15
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	4.0%	6.8%	0.59×	24.72
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.0%	3.6%	1.12×	24.74

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.34

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.3%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goals in 2nd half	27.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK not to win both halves	95.7%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
UTA Arad not to win both halves	87.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
UTA Arad to win both halves	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Sepsi OSK to win both halves	4.3%	2.7%	—	—	36.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK to win neither half	62.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
UTA Arad to win either half	58.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
UTA Arad to win neither half	41.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Sepsi OSK to win either half	37.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sepsi OSK not to win to nil	84.5%	83.0%	82.1%	1.01×	1.21
UTA Arad not to win to nil	69.8%	69.5%	76.0%	0.91×	1.44
UTA Arad to win to nil	30.2%	30.5%	24.0%	1.27×	3.28
Sepsi OSK to win to nil	15.5%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.9%	27.3%	28.3%	0.96×	3.66
UTA Arad by 1	24.9%	23.4%	24.3%	0.96×	4.27
Sepsi OSK by 1	16.6%	17.2%	16.5%	1.04×	5.80
UTA Arad by 2	14.0%	11.8%	12.0%	0.99×	8.44
UTA Arad by 3+	8.1%	7.3%	7.4%	0.98×	13.77
Sepsi OSK by 2	6.3%	7.3%	9.5%	0.76×	13.77
Sepsi OSK by 3+	2.1%	3.0%	2.9%	1.05×	33.47