UTC v Deportivo Garcilaso — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

UTC

18:00 UTC

Deportivo Garcilaso

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 127h before kick-off

UTC win

26.4%

model 25.7%

Draw

26.4%

model 25.4%

Deportivo Garcilaso win

47.1%

model 48.9%

262647

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 13.2%
1-1 12.0%
0-2 9.3%
1-2 9.1%
1-0 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.2%	Under 2.5	55.8%
BTTS yes	47.5%	BTTS no	52.5%
UTC 1+	62.4%	UTC 2+	25.7%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1+	76.9%	Deportivo Garcilaso 2+	43.1%

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 34%

67.0% fair odds 1.49

strong signal · 332 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

UTC not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1319.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Garcilaso have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.4% for UTC and 26.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for UTC and 1.47 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Why UTC

Nothing in the data singles out UTC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Garcilaso can win

Deportivo Garcilaso carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1319. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for UTC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Garcilaso, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

UTC: 48% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 21.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Garcilaso: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262549	0.98–1.47	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	232651	0.83–1.41	0-1 16%	39%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win	51.2%	51.5%	25.4%	2.03×	1.94
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.58
UTC to win	22.5%	24.5%	49.8%	0.49×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & not both score	33.6%	29.6%	12.3%	2.40×	3.38
Deportivo Garcilaso & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
UTC & not both score	14.3%	13.3%	26.4%	0.50×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	7.8%	1.70×	7.54
UTC & both teams score	8.3%	8.3%	23.6%	0.35×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 3.5	39.9%	34.9%	19.4%	1.80×	2.87
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 1.5	35.6%	34.9%	17.4%	2.01×	2.87
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 2.5	26.2%	26.0%	11.1%	2.36×	3.84
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 2.5	25.0%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
UTC & under 3.5	19.2%	18.0%	33.7%	0.53×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	8.2%	2.21×	5.56
UTC & over 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	38.0%	0.34×	7.79
UTC & under 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 3.5	11.2%	12.8%	6.2%	2.08×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	7.8%	1.65×	7.79
UTC & under 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
UTC & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	30.8%	0.26×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82
UTC & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	16.3%	0.29×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1UP)	62.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
UTC (1UP)	36.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2UP)	51.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
UTC (2UP)	22.5%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win 2nd half	42.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	38.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
UTC to win 2nd half	19.5%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
UTC under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
UTC over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
UTC over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.1%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (+2.5)	98.4%	96.3%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Deportivo Garcilaso (+1.5)	93.1%	92.1%	75.4%	1.22×	1.09
Deportivo Garcilaso (+0.5)	77.5%	78.5%	50.2%	1.56×	1.27
Deportivo Garcilaso (-0.5)	51.2%	52.4%	25.4%	2.07×	1.91
UTC (+0.5)	48.8%	47.6%	74.6%	0.64×	2.10
UTC (-0.5)	22.5%	21.5%	49.8%	0.43×	4.65
UTC (-1.5)	6.9%	7.9%	24.6%	0.32×	12.71
UTC (-2.5)	1.6%	3.7%	11.4%	0.32×	27.23

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede	56.2%	62.4%	80.1%	0.78×	1.60
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	43.8%	37.6%	19.9%	1.89×	2.66

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 1st half	70.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 1st half	29.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 2nd half	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 2nd half	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 6.5 corners	90.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Garcilaso under 5.5 corners	83.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Deportivo Garcilaso under 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 corners	62.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 corners	37.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportivo Garcilaso over 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Deportivo Garcilaso over 5.5 corners	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Deportivo Garcilaso over 6.5 corners	9.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	92.0%	0.89×	1.23
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	65.9%	1.16×	1.31
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 goals	58.9%	59.4%	71.6%	0.83×	1.68
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 goals	41.1%	40.6%	28.4%	1.43×	2.47
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	34.1%	0.70×	4.21
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	8.0%	2.32×	5.41
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	2.5%	3.01×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso scores more in 2nd half	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Deportivo Garcilaso scores equally in both	37.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Deportivo Garcilaso scores more in 1st half	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.9%	51.7%	33.4%	1.55×	1.93
UTC (away no bet)	46.1%	48.3%	66.6%	0.73×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso even goals	53.0%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Deportivo Garcilaso odd goals	47.0%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.1%	91.4%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.9%	8.6%	—	—	11.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.9%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.7%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2+ in a row	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
UTC to score 2+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
UTC to score 3+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	39.18

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC corners (+3.5)	94.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
UTC corners (+2.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
UTC corners (+1.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+3.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+2.5)	56.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
UTC corners (-1.5)	54.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+1.5)	45.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
UTC corners (-2.5)	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
UTC corners (-3.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-1.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-2.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-3.5)	5.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	15.6%	13.8%	8.2%	1.69×	7.24
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-2	10.6%	11.5%	3.1%	3.73×	8.72
0-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.72
1-0	9.4%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-1	5.1%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-3	5.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.29
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-0	3.7%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.30
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	1.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	1.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.31
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2nd half DNB)	68.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
UTC (2nd half DNB)	31.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT (DNB)	63.8%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
UTC leading at HT (DNB)	36.2%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (X2)	77.5%	75.5%	50.2%	1.51×	1.32
UTC or Deportivo Garcilaso (12)	73.7%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
UTC or draw (1X)	48.8%	48.5%	74.6%	0.65×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw at HT	81.2%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
UTC or draw at HT	66.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
UTC or Deportivo Garcilaso at HT	51.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1UP)	77.5%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
UTC or draw (1UP)	48.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw in 2nd half	80.5%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
UTC or Deportivo Garcilaso in 2nd half	61.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
UTC or draw in 2nd half	57.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)	69.4%	67.5%	33.7%	2.00×	1.48
UTC (DNB)	30.6%	32.5%	66.3%	0.49×	3.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first	56.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
UTC to score first	33.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	10.2%	9.3%	—	—	10.79

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.0%	55.0%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	42.0%	45.0%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.4%	44.3%	37.7%	1.18×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.0%	33.3%	42.8%	0.78×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.8%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.2%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.8%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.2%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score 1st half only	10.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.61

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.2%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.65

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	43.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.2%	35.0%	27.5%	1.27×	2.86
4-6 goals	17.9%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 0	24.5%	22.3%	34.1%	0.65×	4.49
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+	16.8%	19.5%	8.0%	2.45×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
UTC to score exactly 0	43.8%	35.2%	19.9%	1.77×	2.84
UTC to score exactly 2	14.9%	14.3%	25.0%	0.57×	6.98
UTC to score 3+	5.1%	10.3%	22.5%	0.46×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT	33.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
UTC leading at HT	18.8%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 1	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: X	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 2	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:1)	77.5%	73.8%	50.2%	1.47×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	15.6%	17.8%	25.4%	0.70×	5.62
UTC (0:1)	6.9%	9.2%	24.6%	0.37×	10.85

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:2)	93.1%	90.8%	75.4%	1.20×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.3%	7.6%	13.4%	0.57×	13.08
UTC (0:2)	1.6%	3.7%	11.4%	0.33×	26.81

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:3)	98.4%	96.6%	88.6%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.08
UTC (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
UTC (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.90
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (1:0)	48.8%	49.2%	74.6%	0.66×	2.03
Draw (1:0)	26.2%	25.0%	17.9%	1.40×	3.99
Deportivo Garcilaso (1:0)	24.9%	21.7%	7.6%	2.85×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (2:0)	75.1%	80.3%	92.4%	0.87×	1.25
Draw (2:0)	15.4%	15.8%	5.6%	2.82×	6.32
Deportivo Garcilaso (2:0)	9.6%	6.4%	2.2%	2.94×	15.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to concede	75.5%	76.0%	65.9%	1.15×	1.32
UTC clean sheet	24.5%	24.0%	34.1%	0.70×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
UTC to concede in 1st half	43.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to concede in 2nd half	57.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
UTC clean sheet in 2nd half	43.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC over 2.5 corners	85.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
UTC over 3.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
UTC under 6.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
UTC over 4.5 corners	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
UTC under 5.5 corners	55.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
UTC over 5.5 corners	44.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
UTC under 4.5 corners	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
UTC over 6.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
UTC under 3.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
UTC under 2.5 corners	14.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 3.5 goals	99.0%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
UTC under 2.5 goals	94.9%	92.2%	77.5%	1.19×	1.08
UTC under 1.5 goals	79.9%	77.8%	52.7%	1.48×	1.29
UTC over 0.5 goals	56.2%	58.6%	80.1%	0.73×	1.71
UTC under 0.5 goals	43.8%	41.4%	19.9%	2.08×	2.42
UTC over 1.5 goals	20.1%	22.2%	47.3%	0.47×	4.50
UTC over 2.5 goals	5.1%	7.8%	22.5%	0.35×	12.86
UTC over 3.5 goals	1.0%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
UTC under 0.5 in 1st half	70.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
UTC over 0.5 in 1st half	29.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
UTC over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	3.6%	—	—	27.68

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC scores equally in both	51.4%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
UTC scores more in 2nd half	28.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
UTC scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (home no bet)	66.0%	64.1%	50.4%	1.27×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	34.0%	35.9%	49.6%	0.72×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC even goals	59.6%	55.3%	50.5%	1.09×	1.81
UTC odd goals	40.4%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 0-1	22.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	14.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 0-2	6.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-0	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	28.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	20.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
UTC at HT / UTC at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / UTC at FT	9.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
UTC at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
UTC at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / UTC at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score last	56.5%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
UTC to score last	33.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	10.2%	8.7%	—	—	11.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.8%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 1 at any time	62.7%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
UTC to lead by 1 at any time	36.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 2 at any time	29.7%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
UTC to lead by 2 at any time	10.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
UTC to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	1.6%	—	—	63.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC most corners	65.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Garcilaso most corners	24.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.1%	72.3%	63.9%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.0%	63.3%	70.8%	0.89×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.2%	63.3%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.2%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.2%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.8%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.0%	39.2%	46.2%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.0%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.9%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.1%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.8%	1.41×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso never behind	52.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
UTC never behind	27.0%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	85.7%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.8%	87.6%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	71.6%	1.15×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.8%	61.7%	72.5%	0.85×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	61.4%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.6%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.2%	38.3%	27.5%	1.39×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	28.4%	0.62×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.2%	12.4%	7.8%	1.59×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	14.3%	0.54×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.4%	92.4%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.6%	75.9%	63.1%	1.20×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.3%	51.9%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.7%	48.1%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.4%	24.1%	36.9%	0.65×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.6%	7.6%	16.7%	0.46×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.4%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC not to score in both halves	88.8%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Garcilaso not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Deportivo Garcilaso to score in both halves	24.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
UTC to score in both halves	11.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	42.0%	46.6%	53.8%	0.87×	2.15
Only Deportivo Garcilaso scores	33.6%	33.3%	12.3%	2.70×	3.00
Only UTC scores	14.3%	11.0%	26.4%	0.42×	9.06
Neither team scores	10.2%	11.0%	7.8%	1.41×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.9%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.2%	12.1%	7.8%	1.55×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	4.5%	9.2%	0.48×	22.32
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	26.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win both halves	86.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Deportivo Garcilaso to win both halves	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
UTC to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.72

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to win neither half	65.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Deportivo Garcilaso to win either half	61.4%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Deportivo Garcilaso to win neither half	38.6%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
UTC to win either half	34.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC not to win to nil	85.7%	88.1%	73.6%	1.20×	1.14
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win to nil	66.4%	69.7%	87.7%	0.79×	1.44
Deportivo Garcilaso to win to nil	33.6%	30.3%	12.3%	2.46×	3.30
UTC to win to nil	14.3%	11.9%	26.4%	0.45×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.3%	27.9%	25.0%	1.11×	3.59
Deportivo Garcilaso by 1	26.2%	27.9%	17.9%	1.55×	3.59
UTC by 1	15.6%	17.0%	25.4%	0.67×	5.87
Deportivo Garcilaso by 2	15.4%	17.0%	5.6%	3.03×	5.87
Deportivo Garcilaso by 3+	9.6%	7.2%	2.2%	3.31×	13.90
UTC by 2	5.3%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.92
UTC by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.92