UTC v Juan Pablo II — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

UTC

16:00

Juan Pablo II

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 108h before kick-off

UTC win

42.6%

model 40.8%

Draw

20.7%

model 23.5%

Juan Pablo II win

36.7%

model 35.7%

432137

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 7.7%
0-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.9%	Under 2.5	41.1%
BTTS yes	61.0%	BTTS no	39.0%
UTC 1+	79.5%	UTC 2+	47.1%
Juan Pablo II 1+	77.0%	Juan Pablo II 2+	43.2%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 73%

81.0% fair odds 1.24

moderate signal · 1462 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

UTC (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 92%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out UTC.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

UTC have an estimated 42.6% win probability, against 36.7% for Juan Pablo II and 20.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for UTC and 1.47 for Juan Pablo II.

Why UTC

Nothing in the data singles out UTC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.59 to 1.47. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Juan Pablo II can win

Juan Pablo II carry the stronger rating, 1425 Elo against 1335.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for UTC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

UTC: 49% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Juan Pablo II: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

UTC are the model's most likely outcome at 42.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412436	1.59–1.47	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	442333	1.67–1.42	1-1 11%	60%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to win	44.0%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.32
Juan Pablo II to win	32.8%	30.4%	25.1%	1.21×	3.29
Draw	23.2%	24.5%	25.1%	0.97×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC & both teams score	24.0%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
UTC & not both score	19.9%	17.9%	26.5%	0.68×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Juan Pablo II & both teams score	18.4%	17.9%	13.1%	1.37×	5.58
Juan Pablo II & not both score	14.4%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	7.8%	0.62×	20.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC & over 1.5	36.1%	34.9%	38.2%	0.91×	2.87
UTC & over 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
UTC & under 3.5	26.8%	26.0%	33.8%	0.77×	3.84
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5	26.1%	26.0%	17.3%	1.51×	3.84
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5	21.6%	21.7%	14.4%	1.51×	4.62
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5	21.0%	21.7%	19.1%	1.13×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
UTC & over 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.9%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.77
UTC & under 2.5	14.2%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5	11.8%	12.9%	6.2%	2.08×	7.77
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5	11.2%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77
UTC & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (1UP)	61.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Juan Pablo II (1UP)	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (2UP)	44.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Juan Pablo II (2UP)	32.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to win 2nd half	36.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	32.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half	30.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (+2.5)	90.4%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Juan Pablo II (+1.5)	77.3%	78.4%	75.3%	1.04×	1.28
UTC (+0.5)	67.2%	68.7%	74.9%	0.92×	1.46
Juan Pablo II (+0.5)	56.0%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.76
UTC (-0.5)	44.0%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.33
Juan Pablo II (-0.5)	32.8%	31.3%	25.1%	1.25×	3.20
UTC (-1.5)	22.7%	21.6%	24.7%	0.87×	4.64
UTC (-2.5)	9.6%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede	81.2%	81.3%	80.2%	1.01×	1.23
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	18.8%	18.7%	19.8%	0.94×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half	48.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half	51.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners	86.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners	77.6%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners	69.5%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners	64.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners	35.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners	30.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners	22.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners	13.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals	83.0%	81.4%	92.0%	0.88×	1.23
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals	75.7%	76.2%	65.8%	1.16×	1.31
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals	58.6%	59.5%	71.6%	0.83×	1.68
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals	41.4%	40.5%	28.4%	1.43×	2.47
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals	24.3%	23.8%	34.2%	0.70×	4.21
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals	17.0%	18.6%	8.0%	2.32×	5.38
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	2.5%	3.01×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half	56.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half	43.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (away no bet)	65.4%	66.3%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.6%	33.7%	33.4%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals	52.9%	52.8%	56.9%	0.93×	1.89
Juan Pablo II odd goals	47.1%	47.2%	43.1%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.0%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
UTC to score 2+ in a row	39.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row	31.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
UTC to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.7%	—	—	17.52

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC corners (+3.5)	92.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
UTC corners (+2.5)	87.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
UTC corners (+1.5)	81.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5)	69.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5)	59.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
UTC corners (-1.5)	51.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5)	48.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
UTC corners (-2.5)	40.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
UTC corners (-3.5)	30.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5)	18.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5)	12.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5)	7.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	31.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.6%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
1-0	7.8%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.48
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.48
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.48
2-2	6.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.48
3-1	5.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.48
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.46
0-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.46
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.49
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.47
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.48
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.47
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.48
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.47
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.49
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.48
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.48
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.49
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC leading at HT (DNB)	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB)	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC or Juan Pablo II (12)	76.8%	75.5%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
UTC or draw (1X)	67.2%	69.6%	74.9%	0.93×	1.44
Juan Pablo II or draw (X2)	56.0%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC or draw at HT	74.8%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT	65.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
UTC or Juan Pablo II at HT	60.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC or draw (1UP)	67.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP)	56.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC or draw in 2nd half	69.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
UTC or Juan Pablo II in 2nd half	67.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half	63.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (DNB)	57.3%	58.3%	66.6%	0.87×	1.72
Juan Pablo II (DNB)	42.7%	41.7%	33.4%	1.25×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to score first	51.8%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Juan Pablo II to score first	43.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.3%	56.5%	53.8%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.7%	43.5%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.7%	47.0%	42.7%	1.10×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	29.8%	33.6%	37.6%	0.89×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.4%	80.0%	85.6%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.6%	20.0%	14.4%	1.39×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.9%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.5%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	7.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.3%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	39.7%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.9%	42.1%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.5%	30.8%	26.9%	1.14×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.8%	20.2%	27.5%	0.74×	4.95
7+ goals	3.8%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.41

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1	34.4%	33.8%	37.6%	0.90×	2.96
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2	24.3%	22.4%	20.5%	1.09×	4.46
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0	24.3%	22.4%	34.2%	0.66×	4.46
Juan Pablo II to score 3+	17.0%	19.6%	8.0%	2.45×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to score exactly 1	31.4%	32.6%	32.9%	0.99×	3.06
UTC to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
UTC to score 3+	23.6%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
UTC to score exactly 0	18.8%	18.9%	19.8%	0.95×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.32
UTC leading at HT	34.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Juan Pablo II leading at HT	25.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC -1: 2	56.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
UTC -1: 1	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
UTC -1: X	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:1)	56.0%	55.8%	50.0%	1.12×	1.79
UTC (0:1)	22.7%	24.3%	24.7%	0.98×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	21.2%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:2)	77.3%	79.4%	75.3%	1.06×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.2%	11.0%	13.5%	0.82×	9.12
UTC (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	11.5%	0.68×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:3)	90.4%	92.6%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.18
UTC (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.41
UTC (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.57

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (1:0)	67.2%	69.9%	74.9%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.0%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
Juan Pablo II (1:0)	14.8%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (2:0)	85.2%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.4%	6.5%	5.6%	1.15×	15.46
Juan Pablo II (2:0)	5.4%	6.4%	2.2%	2.96×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to concede	75.7%	75.9%	65.8%	1.15×	1.32
UTC clean sheet	24.3%	24.1%	34.2%	0.70×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC clean sheet in 1st half	56.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
UTC to concede in 1st half	43.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC over 2.5 corners	86.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
UTC over 3.5 corners	74.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
UTC under 6.5 corners	65.3%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
UTC over 4.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
UTC under 5.5 corners	52.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
UTC over 5.5 corners	47.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
UTC under 4.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
UTC over 6.5 corners	34.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
UTC under 3.5 corners	25.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
UTC under 2.5 corners	13.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 3.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
UTC over 0.5 goals	81.2%	82.1%	80.2%	1.02×	1.22
UTC under 2.5 goals	76.4%	77.7%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
UTC under 1.5 goals	50.1%	53.2%	52.5%	1.01×	1.88
UTC over 1.5 goals	49.9%	46.8%	47.5%	0.99×	2.14
UTC over 2.5 goals	23.6%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
UTC under 0.5 goals	18.8%	17.9%	19.8%	0.90×	5.59
UTC over 3.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 1.5 in 1st half	83.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
UTC under 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
UTC over 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
UTC over 1.5 in 1st half	16.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (home no bet)	58.5%	56.7%	50.0%	1.13×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.5%	43.3%	50.0%	0.87×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC even goals	51.8%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
UTC odd goals	48.2%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	19.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	15.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	7.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.31
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC at HT / UTC at FT	26.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / UTC at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
UTC at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Juan Pablo II at HT / UTC at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
UTC at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to score last	51.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Juan Pablo II to score last	43.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
UTC to lead by 1 at any time	61.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time	51.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
UTC to lead by 2 at any time	30.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time	21.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
UTC to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC most corners	62.5%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Juan Pablo II most corners	27.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.3%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.7%	78.6%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.4%	59.2%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.8%	59.2%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.3%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.9%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	37.1%	1.06×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.0%	39.1%	41.1%	0.95×	2.56
4-6 goals	33.5%	35.4%	26.9%	1.31×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.0%	30.2%	23.5%	1.29×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.2%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
7+ goals	3.8%	2.6%	1.8%	1.40×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC never behind	43.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Juan Pablo II never behind	34.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.5%	92.2%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.2%	82.4%	72.5%	1.14×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	80.0%	82.4%	85.6%	0.96×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	62.7%	61.8%	71.5%	0.86×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.7%	58.9%	51.3%	1.15×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	40.3%	41.1%	48.7%	0.84×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	37.3%	38.2%	28.5%	1.34×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	20.0%	17.6%	14.4%	1.23×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	17.6%	27.5%	0.64×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.5%	7.8%	0.58×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.6%	86.8%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.0%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.8%	75.9%	83.3%	0.91×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.0%	51.8%	63.1%	0.82×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.0%	48.2%	36.9%	1.30×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.2%	24.1%	16.7%	1.44×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.0%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.4%	13.2%	5.8%	2.28×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.8%	1.9%	1.47×	36.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.0%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.4%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.0%	11.1%	—	—	9.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
UTC not to score in both halves	68.4%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
UTC to score in both halves	31.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.3%	60.2%	53.8%	1.12×	1.66
Only UTC scores	19.9%	16.1%	26.5%	0.61×	6.21
Only Juan Pablo II scores	14.4%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.14
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.80

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.5%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	14.5%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	10.7%	12.1%	9.3%	1.30×	8.28
6 or more goals	9.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.4%	7.8%	0.56×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.7%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves	92.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
UTC not to win both halves	87.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
UTC to win both halves	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Juan Pablo II to win both halves	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to win either half	58.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Juan Pablo II to win neither half	51.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Juan Pablo II to win either half	48.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
UTC to win neither half	41.4%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil	85.6%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
UTC not to win to nil	80.1%	83.0%	73.5%	1.13×	1.21
UTC to win to nil	19.9%	17.0%	26.5%	0.64×	5.88
Juan Pablo II to win to nil	14.4%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.2%	24.2%	25.1%	0.96×	4.14
UTC by 1	21.2%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Juan Pablo II by 1	18.0%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.91
UTC by 2	13.2%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.47
Juan Pablo II by 2	9.4%	7.3%	5.6%	1.29×	13.77
UTC by 3+	9.6%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.77
Juan Pablo II by 3+	5.4%	7.3%	2.2%	3.32×	13.79