V-Varen Nagasaki v Kawasaki Frontale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

V-Varen Nagasaki

10:00 UTC

Kawasaki Frontale

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 743h before kick-off

V-Varen Nagasaki win

36.3%

model 35.3%

Draw

22.0%

model 24.5%

Kawasaki Frontale win

41.7%

model 40.2%

362242

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.5%
0-1 8.9%
1-2 8.7%
1-0 8.3%
2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.8%	Under 2.5	46.2%
BTTS yes	57.0%	BTTS no	43.0%
V-Varen Nagasaki 1+	74.4%	V-Varen Nagasaki 2+	39.5%
Kawasaki Frontale 1+	77.0%	Kawasaki Frontale 2+	43.2%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 44%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kawasaki Frontale (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 82%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kawasaki Frontale carry the stronger rating, 1519 Elo against 1462.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kawasaki Frontale have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for V-Varen Nagasaki and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.47 for Kawasaki Frontale.

Why V-Varen Nagasaki

Nothing in the data singles out V-Varen Nagasaki.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.36 to 1.47. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kawasaki Frontale can win

Kawasaki Frontale carry the stronger rating, 1519 Elo against 1462.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for V-Varen Nagasaki, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kawasaki Frontale, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

V-Varen Nagasaki: 43% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kawasaki Frontale: 48% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kawasaki Frontale are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352540	1.36–1.47	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342441	1.34–1.50	1-1 11%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to win	41.3%	42.9%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
V-Varen Nagasaki to win	34.2%	30.4%	43.0%	0.71×	3.29
Draw	24.5%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Kawasaki Frontale & not both score	20.6%	21.8%	17.8%	1.22×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
V-Varen Nagasaki & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
V-Varen Nagasaki & not both score	16.7%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	7.0%	1.18×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale & over 1.5	32.3%	30.7%	21.3%	1.45×	3.25
Kawasaki Frontale & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 1.5	26.1%	26.1%	30.3%	0.86×	3.84
Kawasaki Frontale & over 2.5	25.8%	26.1%	17.8%	1.46×	3.84
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	33.1%	0.65×	4.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Kawasaki Frontale & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Kawasaki Frontale & over 3.5	13.7%	12.8%	7.8%	1.64×	7.79
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 3.5	10.6%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Kawasaki Frontale & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (1UP)	58.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
V-Varen Nagasaki (1UP)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (2UP)	41.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
V-Varen Nagasaki (2UP)	34.2%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to win 2nd half	36.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	34.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
V-Varen Nagasaki to win 2nd half	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Kawasaki Frontale (+1.5)	84.9%	82.6%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Kawasaki Frontale (+0.5)	65.8%	68.7%	57.0%	1.20×	1.46
V-Varen Nagasaki (+0.5)	58.7%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75
Kawasaki Frontale (-0.5)	41.3%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
V-Varen Nagasaki (-0.5)	34.2%	31.3%	43.0%	0.73×	3.19
V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)	15.1%	17.4%	18.1%	0.96×	5.74
V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede	73.8%	76.7%	75.3%	1.02×	1.30
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet	26.2%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 1st half	43.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to concede in 2nd half	53.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet in 2nd half	46.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 corners	81.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Kawasaki Frontale under 6.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 corners	66.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Kawasaki Frontale under 5.5 corners	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kawasaki Frontale over 4.5 corners	50.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Kawasaki Frontale under 4.5 corners	49.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Kawasaki Frontale over 5.5 corners	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 corners	33.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Kawasaki Frontale over 6.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 corners	18.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Kawasaki Frontale under 2.5 goals	80.9%	81.5%	87.8%	0.93×	1.23
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 goals	77.7%	76.3%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 goals	55.8%	59.4%	68.3%	0.87×	1.68
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 goals	44.2%	40.6%	31.7%	1.28×	2.46
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 goals	22.3%	23.7%	31.9%	0.75×	4.21
Kawasaki Frontale over 2.5 goals	19.1%	18.5%	12.2%	1.52×	5.40
Kawasaki Frontale over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	4.1%	1.88×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Kawasaki Frontale under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Kawasaki Frontale over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Kawasaki Frontale over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.46

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Kawasaki Frontale scores equally in both	36.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Kawasaki Frontale scores more in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (away no bet)	58.3%	57.4%	62.2%	0.92×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.7%	42.6%	37.8%	1.13×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale even goals	52.5%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Kawasaki Frontale odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.0%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Kawasaki Frontale to score 2+ in a row	35.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 2+ in a row	29.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.96

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+2.5)	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+3.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kawasaki Frontale corners (+1.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+2.5)	72.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+1.5)	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-1.5)	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-2.5)	28.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-1.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Kawasaki Frontale corners (-3.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-2.5)	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	22.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	64.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 9.5 corners	41.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
0-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-0	8.1%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (2nd half DNB)	55.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
V-Varen Nagasaki (2nd half DNB)	44.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT (DNB)	51.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT (DNB)	48.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki or Kawasaki Frontale (12)	75.5%	75.5%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (X2)	65.8%	69.6%	57.0%	1.22×	1.44
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (1X)	58.7%	57.1%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw at HT	71.9%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw at HT	70.4%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki or Kawasaki Frontale at HT	57.6%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw (1UP)	65.8%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (1UP)	58.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
V-Varen Nagasaki or Kawasaki Frontale in 2nd half	65.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw in 2nd half	63.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (DNB)	54.7%	51.0%	42.0%	1.21×	1.96
V-Varen Nagasaki (DNB)	45.3%	49.0%	58.0%	0.85×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score first	49.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
V-Varen Nagasaki to score first	44.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.1%	55.0%	50.5%	1.09×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.9%	45.0%	49.5%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.6%	44.3%	37.2%	1.19×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	34.5%	34.5%	40.2%	0.86×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.9%	82.6%	86.3%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.1%	17.4%	13.8%	1.27×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	6.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.6%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.1%	26.6%	20.9%	1.27×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.7%	22.9%	29.5%	0.78×	4.36
7+ goals	2.6%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.27

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 1	33.5%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	19.7%	1.39×	3.65
Kawasaki Frontale to score exactly 0	22.3%	22.3%	31.9%	0.70×	4.49
Kawasaki Frontale to score 3+	19.1%	19.6%	12.2%	1.61×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.5%	36.3%	0.98×	2.81
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 0	26.2%	26.5%	24.7%	1.08×	3.77
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 2	23.5%	23.3%	24.5%	0.95×	4.29
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+	15.2%	18.7%	14.8%	1.26×	5.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.4%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Kawasaki Frontale leading at HT	29.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT	28.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale -1: 1	58.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Kawasaki Frontale -1: X	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kawasaki Frontale -1: 2	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:1)	65.8%	65.2%	57.0%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.61
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:1)	15.1%	17.8%	18.1%	0.98×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:2)	84.9%	83.0%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	13.02
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	42.06
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	2.2%	1.08×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	82.04
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.13

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (1:0)	58.7%	58.4%	68.9%	0.85×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.3%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61
Kawasaki Frontale (1:0)	20.0%	21.7%	11.9%	1.82×	4.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (2:0)	80.0%	80.6%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.2%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.73
Kawasaki Frontale (2:0)	7.8%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede	77.7%	76.1%	68.1%	1.12×	1.32
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet	22.3%	23.9%	31.9%	0.75×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 1st half	45.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 2nd half	59.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 2nd half	40.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 6.5 corners	83.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
V-Varen Nagasaki under 5.5 corners	73.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
V-Varen Nagasaki under 4.5 corners	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
V-Varen Nagasaki over 4.5 corners	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
V-Varen Nagasaki over 5.5 corners	27.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
V-Varen Nagasaki over 6.5 corners	16.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 goals	95.3%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 goals	84.8%	82.2%	85.2%	0.97×	1.22
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 goals	73.8%	74.3%	75.3%	0.99×	1.35
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 goals	61.2%	63.6%	60.8%	1.05×	1.57
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 goals	38.8%	36.4%	39.2%	0.93×	2.75
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 goals	26.2%	25.7%	24.7%	1.04×	3.88
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 goals	15.2%	17.8%	14.8%	1.20×	5.63
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 goals	4.7%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	9.8%	—	—	10.21

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki scores equally in both	39.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
V-Varen Nagasaki scores more in 2nd half	36.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
V-Varen Nagasaki scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale (home no bet)	62.8%	60.0%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.2%	40.0%	45.6%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki even goals	53.4%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
V-Varen Nagasaki odd goals	46.6%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.8%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	17.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.92
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.15

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT	22.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	12.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Kawasaki Frontale at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Kawasaki Frontale at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to score last	49.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki to score last	44.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 1 at any time	58.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 1 at any time	52.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 2 at any time	26.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Kawasaki Frontale to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.97

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale most corners	50.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
V-Varen Nagasaki most corners	37.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.6%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.7%	72.4%	68.0%	1.06×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.4%	72.3%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.7%	63.3%	69.7%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.4%	53.2%	44.1%	1.21×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.2%	48.5%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.6%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.4%	43.6%	46.6%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.2%	39.2%	35.3%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.1%	30.2%	20.9%	1.44×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.8%	24.5%	18.0%	1.36×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.3%	14.8%	8.9%	1.66×	6.75
7+ goals	2.6%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale never behind	42.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
V-Varen Nagasaki never behind	36.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.1%	82.3%	88.6%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.3%	70.5%	1.10×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.3%	66.3%	76.6%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.0%	52.5%	46.6%	1.13×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.0%	47.5%	53.4%	0.89×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.7%	33.7%	23.4%	1.44×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.7%	29.5%	0.77×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	15.9%	17.7%	11.4%	1.55×	5.66
Over 5.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	5.6%	1.37×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.5%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.1%	81.1%	87.0%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.4%	72.4%	61.2%	1.18×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.2%	55.8%	69.5%	0.80×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.8%	44.2%	30.5%	1.45×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.6%	27.6%	38.8%	0.71×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.9%	18.9%	13.0%	1.46×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.5%	7.6%	6.0%	1.27×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to score in both halves	76.6%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Kawasaki Frontale not to score in both halves	73.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Kawasaki Frontale to score in both halves	26.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
V-Varen Nagasaki to score in both halves	23.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.1%	58.7%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Only Kawasaki Frontale scores	20.6%	22.3%	17.8%	1.25×	4.49
Only V-Varen Nagasaki scores	16.7%	16.0%	25.0%	0.64×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.1%	7.0%	1.01×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.3%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.1%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.8%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.9%	7.6%	5.6%	1.35×	13.15
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.0%	1.08×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.8%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	18.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win both halves	91.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Kawasaki Frontale not to win both halves	89.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Kawasaki Frontale to win both halves	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
V-Varen Nagasaki to win both halves	8.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.01

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kawasaki Frontale to win either half	55.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
V-Varen Nagasaki to win neither half	51.0%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
V-Varen Nagasaki to win either half	49.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Kawasaki Frontale to win neither half	44.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win to nil	83.3%	83.1%	75.0%	1.11×	1.20
Kawasaki Frontale not to win to nil	79.4%	78.1%	82.2%	0.95×	1.28
Kawasaki Frontale to win to nil	20.6%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.57
V-Varen Nagasaki to win to nil	16.7%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.5%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Kawasaki Frontale by 1	21.3%	24.1%	19.4%	1.24×	4.15
V-Varen Nagasaki by 1	19.1%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Kawasaki Frontale by 2	12.2%	11.8%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
V-Varen Nagasaki by 2	9.8%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.90
Kawasaki Frontale by 3+	7.8%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.90
V-Varen Nagasaki by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.92