V-Varen Nagasaki v Urawa Red Diamonds — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

V-Varen Nagasaki

05:30 UTC

Urawa Red Diamonds

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,339h before kick-off

V-Varen Nagasaki win

31.0%

model 34.3%

Draw

23.8%

model 24.2%

Urawa Red Diamonds win

45.2%

model 41.5%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
1-2 8.8%
0-1 8.7%
2-1 7.9%
1-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.2%	Under 2.5	44.8%
BTTS yes	58.0%	BTTS no	42.0%
V-Varen Nagasaki 1+	74.5%	V-Varen Nagasaki 2+	39.6%
Urawa Red Diamonds 1+	78.2%	Urawa Red Diamonds 2+	45.1%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 44%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Urawa Red Diamonds (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 82%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Urawa Red Diamonds carry the stronger rating, 1517 Elo against 1462.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Urawa Red Diamonds have an estimated 45.2% win probability, against 31.0% for V-Varen Nagasaki and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.52 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

Why V-Varen Nagasaki

Nothing in the data singles out V-Varen Nagasaki.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.37 to 1.52. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Urawa Red Diamonds can win

Urawa Red Diamonds carry the stronger rating, 1517 Elo against 1462.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for V-Varen Nagasaki, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Urawa Red Diamonds, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

V-Varen Nagasaki: 43% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Urawa Red Diamonds: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Urawa Red Diamonds are the model's most likely outcome at 45.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	342441	1.37–1.53	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342442	1.36–1.55	1-1 11%	56%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win	42.3%	42.9%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
V-Varen Nagasaki to win	33.6%	30.4%	43.0%	0.71×	3.29
Draw	24.1%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds & both teams score	21.8%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Urawa Red Diamonds & not both score	20.5%	21.8%	17.8%	1.22×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
V-Varen Nagasaki & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
V-Varen Nagasaki & not both score	16.0%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.3%	7.0%	1.18×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 1.5	33.6%	30.8%	21.3%	1.45×	3.25
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 3.5	27.6%	26.1%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 2.5	27.0%	26.1%	17.8%	1.46×	3.84
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 1.5	26.0%	26.1%	30.3%	0.86×	3.84
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	33.1%	0.65×	4.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	7.8%	1.64×	7.79
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 2.5	12.7%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
V-Varen Nagasaki & over 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
V-Varen Nagasaki & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (1UP)	59.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
V-Varen Nagasaki (1UP)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2UP)	42.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
V-Varen Nagasaki (2UP)	33.6%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 2nd half	37.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	33.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
V-Varen Nagasaki to win 2nd half	28.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.73

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Urawa Red Diamonds (+1.5)	85.1%	88.4%	81.9%	1.08×	1.13
Urawa Red Diamonds (+0.5)	66.4%	68.7%	57.0%	1.20×	1.46
V-Varen Nagasaki (+0.5)	57.7%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds (-0.5)	42.3%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
V-Varen Nagasaki (-0.5)	33.6%	31.3%	43.0%	0.73×	3.19
V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)	14.9%	11.6%	18.1%	0.64×	8.66
V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede	74.3%	76.8%	75.3%	1.02×	1.30
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet	25.7%	23.2%	24.7%	0.94×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet in 1st half	55.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede in 1st half	44.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede in 2nd half	53.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet in 2nd half	46.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 corners	81.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Urawa Red Diamonds under 6.5 corners	77.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 corners	65.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Urawa Red Diamonds under 5.5 corners	65.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Urawa Red Diamonds under 4.5 corners	50.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Urawa Red Diamonds over 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Urawa Red Diamonds over 5.5 corners	34.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 corners	34.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Urawa Red Diamonds over 6.5 corners	22.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 corners	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	87.8%	0.87×	1.31
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 goals	78.9%	76.3%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 goals	54.0%	53.5%	68.3%	0.78×	1.87
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 goals	46.0%	46.5%	31.7%	1.46×	2.15
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 goals	21.1%	23.7%	31.9%	0.74×	4.21
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	12.2%	1.95×	4.22
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	4.1%	1.89×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.22

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Urawa Red Diamonds scores equally in both	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Urawa Red Diamonds scores more in 1st half	23.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (away no bet)	58.3%	57.4%	62.2%	0.92×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.7%	42.6%	37.8%	1.13×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds even goals	52.2%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Urawa Red Diamonds odd goals	47.8%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.9%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 2+ in a row	36.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+ in a row	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.84

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+3.5)	84.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+3.5)	83.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+2.5)	77.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+2.5)	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (+1.5)	67.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+1.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-1.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-1.5)	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-2.5)	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-2.5)	22.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
V-Varen Nagasaki corners (-3.5)	16.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-3.5)	15.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	62.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
0-1	8.7%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	5.0%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.29
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	3.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2nd half DNB)	56.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
V-Varen Nagasaki (2nd half DNB)	43.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT (DNB)	52.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT (DNB)	48.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki or Urawa Red Diamonds (12)	75.9%	75.5%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (X2)	66.4%	69.6%	57.0%	1.22×	1.44
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (1X)	57.7%	57.1%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw at HT	72.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw at HT	69.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
V-Varen Nagasaki or Urawa Red Diamonds at HT	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (1UP)	66.4%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw (1UP)	57.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw in 2nd half	71.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
V-Varen Nagasaki or Urawa Red Diamonds in 2nd half	66.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw in 2nd half	62.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (DNB)	55.7%	58.0%	42.0%	1.38×	1.72
V-Varen Nagasaki (DNB)	44.3%	42.0%	58.0%	0.72×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score first	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
V-Varen Nagasaki to score first	44.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.3%	55.0%	50.5%	1.09×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.7%	45.0%	49.5%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.1%	44.3%	37.2%	1.19×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.1%	34.5%	40.2%	0.86×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.9%	82.6%	86.3%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.1%	17.4%	13.8%	1.27×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.4%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	25.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.6%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.4%	30.7%	20.9%	1.47×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.5%	22.9%	29.5%	0.78×	4.37
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 1	32.9%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	19.7%	1.39×	3.66
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 0	21.1%	22.3%	31.9%	0.70×	4.49
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+	20.5%	22.3%	12.2%	1.83×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 1	34.9%	32.6%	36.3%	0.90×	3.07
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 0	25.7%	26.5%	24.7%	1.08×	3.77
V-Varen Nagasaki to score exactly 2	23.7%	23.3%	24.5%	0.95×	4.29
V-Varen Nagasaki to score 3+	15.7%	18.8%	14.8%	1.26×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT	30.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at HT	27.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: 1	57.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: 2	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:1)	66.4%	65.2%	57.0%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.7%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.61
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:1)	14.9%	13.7%	18.1%	0.76×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:2)	85.1%	87.0%	81.9%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	13.02
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	42.04
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	2.2%	1.08×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.97
V-Varen Nagasaki (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (1:0)	57.7%	58.3%	68.9%	0.85×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.4%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61
Urawa Red Diamonds (1:0)	20.9%	21.7%	11.9%	1.83×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki (2:0)	79.1%	80.5%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.6%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.72
Urawa Red Diamonds (2:0)	8.4%	6.4%	5.9%	1.07×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede	78.9%	76.1%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet	21.1%	23.9%	31.9%	0.75×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 1st half	46.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki to concede in 2nd half	60.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet in 2nd half	39.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 corners	82.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
V-Varen Nagasaki under 6.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
V-Varen Nagasaki under 5.5 corners	63.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
V-Varen Nagasaki over 4.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
V-Varen Nagasaki under 4.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
V-Varen Nagasaki over 5.5 corners	36.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
V-Varen Nagasaki over 6.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 corners	18.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 3.5 goals	95.1%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
V-Varen Nagasaki under 2.5 goals	84.3%	82.2%	85.2%	0.97×	1.22
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 goals	74.3%	74.3%	75.3%	0.99×	1.35
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 goals	60.6%	63.6%	60.8%	1.05×	1.57
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 goals	39.4%	36.4%	39.2%	0.93×	2.75
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 goals	25.7%	25.7%	24.7%	1.04×	3.89
V-Varen Nagasaki over 2.5 goals	15.7%	17.8%	14.8%	1.20×	5.62
V-Varen Nagasaki over 3.5 goals	4.9%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki under 1.5 in 1st half	88.3%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
V-Varen Nagasaki under 0.5 in 1st half	55.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
V-Varen Nagasaki over 0.5 in 1st half	44.3%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
V-Varen Nagasaki over 1.5 in 1st half	11.7%	9.7%	—	—	10.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki scores equally in both	38.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
V-Varen Nagasaki scores more in 2nd half	36.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
V-Varen Nagasaki scores more in 1st half	24.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (home no bet)	63.7%	60.0%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.3%	40.0%	45.6%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki even goals	53.3%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
V-Varen Nagasaki odd goals	46.7%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.9%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
HT 0-1	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-0	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT	23.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
V-Varen Nagasaki at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / V-Varen Nagasaki at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score last	50.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
V-Varen Nagasaki to score last	44.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 1 at any time	59.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 1 at any time	51.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 2 at any time	27.9%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
V-Varen Nagasaki to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.93

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki most corners	45.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Urawa Red Diamonds most corners	43.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.8%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.6%	78.7%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.0%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.5%	63.3%	69.7%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.8%	53.2%	44.1%	1.21×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.2%	48.5%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.1%	39.2%	46.6%	0.84×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.2%	35.3%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.4%	35.2%	20.9%	1.68×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.8%	30.2%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.1%	14.8%	8.9%	1.66×	6.75
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds never behind	43.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
V-Varen Nagasaki never behind	35.6%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.0%	82.3%	88.6%	0.93×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.5%	77.3%	70.5%	1.10×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.7%	66.3%	76.6%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.7%	58.6%	46.6%	1.26×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.3%	41.4%	53.4%	0.77×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.3%	33.7%	23.4%	1.44×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.5%	22.7%	29.5%	0.77×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.0%	17.7%	11.4%	1.55×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	5.6%	1.37×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.9%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.7%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.7%	75.9%	87.0%	0.87×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.1%	72.4%	61.2%	1.18×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.1%	55.8%	69.5%	0.80×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.9%	44.2%	30.5%	1.45×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.9%	27.6%	38.8%	0.71×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.3%	24.1%	13.0%	1.86×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.3%	7.6%	6.0%	1.27×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.1%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.57

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to score in both halves	76.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.28
Urawa Red Diamonds not to score in both halves	71.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Urawa Red Diamonds to score in both halves	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
V-Varen Nagasaki to score in both halves	23.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.3%	58.6%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Only Urawa Red Diamonds scores	20.5%	22.2%	17.8%	1.25×	4.50
Only V-Varen Nagasaki scores	16.0%	16.0%	25.0%	0.64×	6.25
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.1%	7.0%	1.01×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.8%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.3%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.5%	7.6%	5.6%	1.35×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	7.0%	1.08×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	29.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Urawa Red Diamonds to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
V-Varen Nagasaki to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win either half	56.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
V-Varen Nagasaki to win neither half	51.3%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
V-Varen Nagasaki to win either half	48.7%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Urawa Red Diamonds to win neither half	43.5%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
V-Varen Nagasaki not to win to nil	84.0%	83.1%	75.0%	1.11×	1.20
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win to nil	79.5%	78.1%	82.2%	0.95×	1.28
Urawa Red Diamonds to win to nil	20.5%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.58
V-Varen Nagasaki to win to nil	16.0%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.1%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Urawa Red Diamonds by 1	21.4%	24.1%	19.4%	1.24×	4.15
V-Varen Nagasaki by 1	18.7%	17.0%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
Urawa Red Diamonds by 2	12.6%	11.8%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
V-Varen Nagasaki by 2	9.6%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.90
Urawa Red Diamonds by 3+	8.4%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.90
V-Varen Nagasaki by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.92