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Valencia v Osasuna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

0–0
1.18 – 0.38 xG
Shots
10 – 9
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
8 – 5
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.18 – 0.15
Goals − xG
-1.18 – -0.38
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.71.01.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Valencia 1.18 xGOsasuna 0.38 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Lucas Torró 1' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Jesús Vázquez 4' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Pepelu 5' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Rubén Peña 41' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)André Almeida 43' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Luis Rioja 44' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Lucas Torró 45' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dani Gómez 46' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Pablo Ibáñez 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Cristhian Mosquera 52' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Dani Gómez 58' — Saved Shot (0.60 xG, Open Play)César Tárrega 59' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Rubén Peña 67' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Abel Bretones 68' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Rubén García 70' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Ante Budimir 83' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Ante Budimir 84' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Fran Pérez 88' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Dimitri Foulquier 90' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)
Valencia attacking right Osasuna attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Osasuna Lucas Torró 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Jon Moncayola
4' Valencia Jesús Vázquez 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot André Almeida
5' Valencia Pepelu 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
41' Osasuna Rubén Peña 0.08 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Jon Moncayola
43' Valencia André Almeida 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luis Rioja
44' Valencia Luis Rioja 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot
45' Osasuna Lucas Torró 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Raul García
46' Valencia Dani Gómez 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Thierry Correia
48' Osasuna Pablo Ibáñez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Rubén Peña
52' Valencia Cristhian Mosquera 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Luis Rioja
58' Valencia Dani Gómez 0.60 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot André Almeida
59' Valencia César Tárrega 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Pepelu
67' Osasuna Rubén Peña 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot
68' Osasuna Abel Bretones 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
70' Osasuna Rubén García 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jesús Areso
83' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Rubén García
84' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.09 Open Play Missed Shot Moi Gómez
88' Valencia Fran Pérez 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot César Tárrega
90' Valencia Dimitri Foulquier 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Hugo Duro

Players

Osasuna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Lucas Torró MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.03
Abel Bretones DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.10
Sergio Herrera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Enzo Boyomo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Jesús Areso DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.09
Moi Gómez FWL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.12
Jorge Herrando DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Rubén Peña FWR 79 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.03 0.03
Raul García FW 65 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Aimar Oroz MC 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Moncayola MC 48 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.00
Pablo Ibáñez Sub 42 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Ante Budimir Sub 25 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.09
Rubén García Sub 25 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.02 0.16
Bryan Zaragoza Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Valencia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jesús Vázquez DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.21
Cristhian Mosquera DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.92
Pepelu MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.02 0.84
César Tárrega DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.92
Luis Rioja ML 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.17 0.18
Giorgi Mamardashvili GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Dani Gómez FW 87 0 0 2 0 0.74 0.00 0.74
Diego López MR 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.81
Thierry Correia DR 76 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.81
André Almeida FW 64 0 0 1 2 0.11 0.68 0.92
Enzo Barrenechea MC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Fran Pérez Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.00
Javier Guerra Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dimitri Foulquier Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Hugo Duro Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Sergi Canos Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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