Vancouver Whitecaps v Austin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Vancouver Whitecaps

22:30 UTC

Austin

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 135h before kick-off

Vancouver Whitecaps win

76.0%

model 77.2%

Draw

17.5%

model 15.0%

Austin win

6.4%

model 7.7%

76186

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (59 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.4%
3-0 10.7%
1-0 9.3%
2-1 8.8%
3-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.8%	Under 2.5	36.2%
BTTS yes	47.3%	BTTS no	52.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps 1+	92.4%	Vancouver Whitecaps 2+	72.8%
Austin 1+	50.8%	Austin 2+	15.9%

Expected goals 2.58 – 0.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Vancouver Whitecaps (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1040 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 394 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1428.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Vancouver Whitecaps have an estimated 76.0% win probability, against 17.5% for the draw and 6.4% for Austin. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.58 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.71 for Austin.

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1428. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Austin can win

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Vancouver Whitecaps, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Austin, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Vancouver Whitecaps: 61% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Austin: 52% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's most likely outcome at 76.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.4%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	77158	2.58–0.71	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	78148	2.66–0.74	2-0 12%	66%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to win	77.2%	82.7%	45.4%	1.82×	1.21
Draw	15.0%	19.0%	24.9%	0.77×	5.25
Austin to win	7.7%	7.0%	29.9%	0.23×	14.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps & not both score	45.1%	51.7%	21.1%	2.45×	1.93
Vancouver Whitecaps & both teams score	32.1%	32.7%	24.4%	1.34×	3.06
Draw & both teams score	11.0%	12.1%	19.1%	0.63×	8.24
Austin & both teams score	4.2%	3.7%	17.8%	0.21×	27.13
Draw & not both score	4.0%	3.7%	5.8%	0.63×	27.17
Austin & not both score	3.6%	3.7%	12.3%	0.30×	27.32

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps & over 1.5	67.9%	66.8%	37.1%	1.80×	1.50
Vancouver Whitecaps & over 2.5	55.4%	55.9%	30.9%	1.81×	1.79
Vancouver Whitecaps & under 3.5	41.3%	43.9%	28.3%	1.55×	2.28
Vancouver Whitecaps & over 3.5	36.0%	37.5%	17.2%	2.18×	2.67
Vancouver Whitecaps & under 2.5	21.8%	21.5%	14.5%	1.48×	4.65
Draw & under 2.5	11.2%	12.7%	16.0%	0.79×	7.87
Draw & under 3.5	11.2%	12.7%	16.0%	0.79×	7.87
Draw & over 1.5	11.0%	12.7%	19.1%	0.66×	7.87
Vancouver Whitecaps & under 1.5	9.4%	7.5%	8.4%	0.89×	13.40
Austin & under 3.5	6.0%	7.5%	18.8%	0.40×	13.42
Austin & over 1.5	5.4%	7.5%	23.5%	0.32×	13.42
Austin & over 2.5	4.4%	4.6%	20.3%	0.23×	21.92
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.6%	8.9%	0.51×	21.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.6%	8.9%	0.51×	21.94
Austin & under 2.5	3.3%	4.6%	9.7%	0.47×	21.97
Austin & under 1.5	2.4%	4.5%	6.5%	0.70×	22.01
Austin & over 3.5	1.8%	4.5%	11.2%	0.40×	22.03

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (1UP)	84.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Austin (1UP)	23.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (2UP)	77.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Austin (2UP)	7.7%	8.1%	—	—	12.38

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to win 2nd half	63.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
2nd half drawn	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Austin to win 2nd half	10.5%	10.3%	—	—	9.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (+0.5)	92.3%	92.3%	70.1%	1.32×	1.08
Vancouver Whitecaps (-0.5)	77.2%	78.6%	45.4%	1.73×	1.27
Austin (+2.5)	66.1%	68.9%	89.5%	0.77×	1.45
Vancouver Whitecaps (-1.5)	55.9%	57.1%	23.3%	2.45×	1.75
Austin (+1.5)	44.1%	42.9%	76.7%	0.56×	2.33
Vancouver Whitecaps (-2.5)	34.0%	31.1%	10.5%	2.95×	3.22
Austin (+0.5)	22.8%	21.4%	54.6%	0.39×	4.66
Austin (-0.5)	7.7%	7.7%	29.9%	0.26×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede	92.4%	92.4%	82.0%	1.13×	1.08
Austin clean sheet	7.6%	7.6%	18.0%	0.42×	13.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede in 1st half	67.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Austin clean sheet in 1st half	33.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 6.5 corners	93.6%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Austin under 5.5 corners	87.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Austin under 4.5 corners	77.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Austin under 3.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Austin over 2.5 corners	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Austin under 2.5 corners	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Austin over 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Austin over 4.5 corners	22.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Austin over 5.5 corners	12.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Austin over 6.5 corners	6.4%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.4%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Austin under 2.5 goals	96.5%	97.3%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
Austin under 1.5 goals	84.1%	82.3%	61.3%	1.34×	1.22
Austin over 0.5 goals	50.8%	51.8%	73.2%	0.71×	1.93
Austin under 0.5 goals	49.2%	48.2%	26.8%	1.80×	2.08
Austin over 1.5 goals	15.9%	17.7%	38.7%	0.46×	5.65
Austin over 2.5 goals	3.5%	2.7%	16.7%	0.16×	37.20
Austin over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.6%	6.1%	0.43×	37.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 1st half	96.7%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Austin under 0.5 in 1st half	75.3%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Austin over 0.5 in 1st half	24.7%	21.3%	—	—	4.71
Austin over 1.5 in 1st half	3.3%	3.8%	—	—	26.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (away no bet)	83.7%	85.1%	64.6%	1.32×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	16.3%	14.9%	35.4%	0.42×	6.71

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin even goals	62.1%	64.5%	53.6%	1.20×	1.55
Austin odd goals	37.9%	35.5%	46.4%	0.77×	2.82

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.9%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Vancouver Whitecaps to score 2+ in a row	67.2%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.1%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Vancouver Whitecaps to score 3+ in a row	39.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Austin to score 2+ in a row	9.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.55
Austin to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	3.3%	—	—	30.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (+3.5)	97.6%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (+2.5)	95.6%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (+1.5)	92.2%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (-1.5)	71.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (-2.5)	62.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (-3.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Austin corners (+3.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Austin corners (+2.5)	37.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Austin corners (+1.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Austin corners (-1.5)	7.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Austin corners (-2.5)	4.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.61
Austin corners (-3.5)	2.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.68

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	72.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	25.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	12.4%	11.6%	6.3%	1.84×	8.63
Any other score	11.9%	11.6%	4.7%	2.47×	8.63
3-0	10.7%	11.6%	4.1%	2.81×	8.64
1-0	9.4%	7.3%	8.4%	0.87×	13.74
2-1	8.8%	7.3%	9.9%	0.74×	13.74
3-1	7.6%	7.3%	4.9%	1.48×	13.74
1-1	7.1%	7.3%	10.3%	0.71×	13.75
4-0	6.9%	7.3%	1.3%	5.77×	13.75
0-0	4.0%	1.8%	5.8%	0.31×	55.41
4-1	4.9%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	55.39
1-2	2.4%	1.8%	7.4%	0.24×	55.45
2-2	3.1%	1.8%	6.1%	0.30×	55.43
3-2	2.7%	1.8%	3.6%	0.51×	55.44
0-1	2.4%	1.8%	6.5%	0.28×	55.45
4-2	1.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	55.47
0-2	0.9%	1.8%	3.3%	0.54×	55.49
0-3	0.2%	1.8%	1.8%	0.98×	55.50
0-4	0.0%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.51
1-3	0.6%	1.8%	3.4%	0.52×	55.49
1-4	0.1%	1.8%	1.4%	1.31×	55.51
2-3	0.7%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	55.49
2-4	0.1%	1.8%	1.7%	1.05×	55.51
3-3	0.6%	1.8%	2.6%	0.68×	55.49
3-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.7%	2.62×	55.51
4-3	0.4%	1.8%	0.8%	2.25×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.5%	3.93×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps leading at HT (DNB)	85.9%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Austin leading at HT (DNB)	14.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.43

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw (1X)	92.3%	93.0%	70.1%	1.33×	1.08
Vancouver Whitecaps or Austin (12)	85.0%	81.0%	75.1%	1.08×	1.24
Austin or draw (X2)	22.8%	17.3%	54.6%	0.32×	5.79

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw at HT	90.6%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Vancouver Whitecaps or Austin at HT	66.6%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Austin or draw at HT	42.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw (1UP)	92.3%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
Austin or draw (1UP)	23.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw in 2nd half	89.5%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Vancouver Whitecaps or Austin in 2nd half	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Austin or draw in 2nd half	36.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	50.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Neither half drawn	49.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (DNB)	90.9%	93.9%	60.3%	1.56×	1.07
Austin (DNB)	9.1%	6.1%	39.7%	0.15×	16.47

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to score first	75.2%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Austin to score first	20.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
No goal scored	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	24.80

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.7%	52.9%	38.9%	1.36×	1.89
Both teams to score	47.3%	47.1%	61.1%	0.77×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.1%	42.2%	50.9%	0.83×	2.37
Not both score & under 2.5	29.1%	31.6%	29.9%	1.06×	3.17
Not both score & over 2.5	23.6%	25.6%	9.2%	2.79×	3.91
Both score & under 2.5	7.1%	8.7%	10.3%	0.84×	11.49

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.4%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.6%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.2%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.8%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	22.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Both score 1st half only	12.2%	11.6%	—	—	8.65
Both score in both halves	4.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
A half without a goal	36.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.2%	42.5%	1.02×	2.32
4-6 goals	36.7%	35.3%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
0-1 goals	15.8%	20.6%	20.5%	1.01×	4.85
7+ goals	4.9%	2.0%	4.1%	0.48×	50.32

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score exactly 0	49.2%	45.1%	26.8%	1.68×	2.22
Austin to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.3%	34.6%	0.96×	3.00
Austin to score exactly 2	12.4%	13.4%	22.1%	0.61×	7.46
Austin to score 3+	3.5%	4.1%	16.7%	0.25×	24.35

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to score 3+	47.5%	45.7%	25.2%	1.81×	2.19
Vancouver Whitecaps to score exactly 2	25.3%	27.0%	26.0%	1.04×	3.70
Vancouver Whitecaps to score exactly 1	19.6%	18.6%	31.0%	0.60×	5.39
Vancouver Whitecaps to score exactly 0	7.6%	8.0%	18.0%	0.44×	12.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps leading at HT	57.1%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Draw at HT	33.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Austin leading at HT	9.4%	8.6%	—	—	11.59

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps -1: 1	55.9%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Vancouver Whitecaps -1: 2	22.8%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Vancouver Whitecaps -1: X	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:1)	55.9%	55.2%	23.3%	2.37×	1.81
Austin (0:1)	22.8%	24.4%	54.6%	0.45×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	21.3%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:2)	44.1%	43.6%	76.7%	0.57×	2.29
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:2)	34.0%	29.9%	10.5%	2.83×	3.35
Draw (0:2)	22.0%	21.6%	12.8%	1.68×	4.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:3)	66.1%	68.9%	89.5%	0.77×	1.45
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:3)	17.4%	17.5%	4.0%	4.37×	5.70
Draw (0:3)	16.5%	17.3%	6.6%	2.61×	5.77

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:4)	82.6%	85.3%	96.0%	0.89×	1.17
Draw (0:4)	9.8%	7.4%	2.1%	3.57×	13.58
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:4)	7.6%	7.2%	2.1%	3.48×	13.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (1:0)	92.3%	92.2%	70.1%	1.32×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.7%	8.5%	16.8%	0.50×	11.78
Austin (1:0)	2.1%	2.8%	13.2%	0.22×	35.26

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (2:0)	97.9%	97.5%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.7%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	37.40
Austin (2:0)	0.4%	2.7%	4.6%	0.58×	37.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	22.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to concede	50.8%	53.0%	73.2%	0.72×	1.89
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet	49.2%	47.0%	26.8%	1.75×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet in 1st half	75.3%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Vancouver Whitecaps to concede in 1st half	24.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps over 2.5 corners	92.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Vancouver Whitecaps over 3.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Vancouver Whitecaps over 4.5 corners	74.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Vancouver Whitecaps over 5.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Vancouver Whitecaps over 6.5 corners	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Vancouver Whitecaps under 6.5 corners	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Vancouver Whitecaps under 5.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Vancouver Whitecaps under 4.5 corners	25.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Vancouver Whitecaps under 3.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.27
Vancouver Whitecaps under 2.5 corners	7.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.1%	82.0%	1.12×	1.09
Vancouver Whitecaps under 3.5 goals	74.2%	72.8%	90.6%	0.80×	1.37
Vancouver Whitecaps over 1.5 goals	72.8%	72.7%	51.1%	1.42×	1.38
Vancouver Whitecaps under 2.5 goals	52.5%	52.7%	74.8%	0.71×	1.90
Vancouver Whitecaps over 2.5 goals	47.5%	47.3%	25.2%	1.88×	2.12
Vancouver Whitecaps under 1.5 goals	27.3%	27.3%	48.9%	0.56×	3.67
Vancouver Whitecaps over 3.5 goals	25.8%	27.2%	9.4%	2.90×	3.68
Vancouver Whitecaps under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps under 1.5 in 1st half	69.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Vancouver Whitecaps over 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Vancouver Whitecaps under 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Vancouver Whitecaps over 1.5 in 1st half	30.4%	30.7%	—	—	3.25

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.0%	68.1%	45.4%	1.50×	1.47
Austin (home no bet)	34.0%	31.9%	54.6%	0.58×	3.14

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps even goals	50.3%	50.2%	51.0%	0.99×	1.99
Vancouver Whitecaps odd goals	49.7%	49.8%	49.0%	1.02×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
HT 0-0	24.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 2-0	15.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
Any other HT score	10.4%	11.2%	—	—	8.96
HT 1-1	7.9%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
HT 0-1	7.0%	7.7%	—	—	13.01
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.75
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.94
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.94
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.97

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps at HT / Vancouver Whitecaps at FT	53.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Draw at HT / Vancouver Whitecaps at FT	21.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.17
Austin at HT / Austin at FT	3.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.36
Draw at HT / Austin at FT	3.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.37
Vancouver Whitecaps at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.38
Austin at HT / Vancouver Whitecaps at FT	2.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.39
Austin at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Vancouver Whitecaps at HT / Austin at FT	0.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.48

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to score last	75.3%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Austin to score last	20.7%	19.8%	—	—	5.05
No goal scored	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	24.80

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Vancouver Whitecaps to lead by 1 at any time	84.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	65.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Vancouver Whitecaps to lead by 2 at any time	61.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	37.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Vancouver Whitecaps to lead by 3 at any time	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Austin to lead by 1 at any time	23.3%	19.8%	—	—	5.05
Austin to lead by 2 at any time	4.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.74
Austin to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps most corners	80.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Austin most corners	12.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Corners level	6.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	81.6%	83.2%	0.98×	1.23
2-6 goals	79.3%	78.9%	75.5%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.8%	73.6%	68.5%	1.08×	1.36
1-4 goals	72.6%	73.6%	73.1%	1.01×	1.36
2-4 goals	60.8%	62.3%	58.4%	1.07×	1.61
3-6 goals	58.8%	58.8%	55.9%	1.05×	1.70
1-3 goals	54.4%	52.4%	57.2%	0.92×	1.91
3-5 goals	52.3%	52.3%	48.9%	1.07×	1.91
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.7%	38.8%	33.1%	1.17×	2.58
1-2 goals	32.2%	34.1%	34.4%	0.99×	2.93
4-5 goals	30.1%	34.1%	26.1%	1.30×	2.94
5-6 goals	18.5%	18.1%	17.2%	1.06×	5.52
7+ goals	4.9%	2.1%	4.1%	0.50×	48.43

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps never behind	72.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Austin never behind	11.0%	9.2%	—	—	10.88

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.1%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.9%	49.8%	1.00×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.6%	94.2%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.6%	88.8%	88.9%	1.00×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	84.2%	81.0%	79.5%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	76.6%	78.2%	78.8%	0.99×	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	63.7%	61.6%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.4%	57.8%	62.9%	0.92×	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	41.6%	42.2%	37.1%	1.14×	2.37
Under 2.5 goals	36.3%	38.4%	40.1%	0.96×	2.60
Over 4.5 goals	23.4%	21.8%	21.2%	1.03×	4.59
Under 1.5 goals	15.8%	19.0%	20.5%	0.93×	5.27
Over 5.5 goals	11.5%	11.2%	11.1%	1.01×	8.91
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.75×	22.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.7%	92.8%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.0%	88.1%	87.6%	1.01×	1.14
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.2%	80.6%	74.5%	1.08×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.4%	72.1%	74.8%	0.96×	1.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.4%	53.1%	48.1%	1.11×	1.88
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.6%	46.9%	51.9%	0.90×	2.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.6%	27.9%	25.2%	1.11×	3.58
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.8%	19.4%	25.5%	0.76×	5.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.0%	11.9%	12.4%	0.96×	8.39
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.3%	7.2%	4.4%	1.63×	13.84

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.6%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.4%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.6%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.5%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.5%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	23.8%	—	—	4.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to score in both halves	91.4%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Vancouver Whitecaps to score in both halves	51.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Vancouver Whitecaps not to score in both halves	48.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Austin to score in both halves	8.6%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.3%	49.5%	61.1%	0.81×	2.02
Only Vancouver Whitecaps scores	45.1%	49.4%	21.1%	2.34×	2.03
Neither team scores	4.0%	3.9%	5.8%	0.67×	25.61
Only Austin scores	3.6%	3.9%	12.3%	0.32×	25.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	21.5%	22.9%	0.94×	4.64
Exactly 2 goals	20.5%	21.5%	19.7%	1.09×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	18.2%	18.6%	16.0%	1.16×	5.38
Exactly 5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	10.2%	1.21×	8.09
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.09
6 or more goals	11.5%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.10
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.75×	22.88

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 2nd half	15.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.48

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win both halves	99.0%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Vancouver Whitecaps not to win both halves	63.8%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Vancouver Whitecaps to win both halves	36.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Austin to win both halves	1.0%	3.3%	—	—	30.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to win either half	84.2%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Austin to win neither half	81.1%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Austin to win either half	18.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Vancouver Whitecaps to win neither half	15.8%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win to nil	96.4%	96.3%	87.7%	1.10×	1.04
Vancouver Whitecaps not to win to nil	54.9%	52.2%	78.9%	0.66×	1.92
Vancouver Whitecaps to win to nil	45.1%	47.8%	21.1%	2.27×	2.09
Austin to win to nil	3.6%	3.7%	12.3%	0.30×	27.05

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps by 3+	34.0%	27.7%	10.5%	2.63×	3.61
Vancouver Whitecaps by 2	22.0%	23.7%	12.8%	1.85×	4.21
Vancouver Whitecaps by 1	21.3%	23.7%	22.2%	1.07×	4.21
Draw	15.0%	16.9%	24.9%	0.68×	5.90
Austin by 1	5.7%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	14.14
Austin by 2	1.7%	2.8%	8.7%	0.32×	35.54
Austin by 3+	0.4%	2.8%	4.6%	0.61×	35.73