Vanspor v Ankara Keçiörengücü — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · TUR-1. Lig · 2627
TUR-1. Lig
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.2%
- 1-2 9.5%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 0-2 8.5%
- 0-0 7.8%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 52.4% | Under 2.5 | 47.6% |
| BTTS yes | 56.1% | BTTS no | 43.9% |
| Vanspor 1+ | 67.5% | Vanspor 2+ | 31.0% |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü 1+ | 80.8% | Ankara Keçiörengücü 2+ | 49.0% |
Expected goals 1.12 – 1.65. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
- Away from home Ankara Keçiörengücü average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Vanspor have only 0 matches on record.
- Ankara Keçiörengücü have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Ankara Keçiörengücü have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 27.5% for the draw and 23.9% for Vanspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for Vanspor and 1.65 for Ankara Keçiörengücü.
Why Vanspor
At home Vanspor average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Ankara Keçiörengücü's 7.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.5%.
Why Ankara Keçiörengücü can win
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Ankara Keçiörengücü average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Vanspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Ankara Keçiörengücü, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Vanspor: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Ankara Keçiörengücü: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Ankara Keçiörengücü are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.12–1.65 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.09–1.65 | 1-1 13% | 51% | 55% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win | 48.0% | 48.0% | 32.0% | 1.50× | 2.08 |
| Draw | 27.6% | 27.1% | 23.0% | 1.18× | 3.69 |
| Vanspor to win | 24.4% | 23.6% | 45.5% | 0.52× | 4.23 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & not both score | 24.6% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 1.38× | 4.61 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & both teams score | 23.3% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 1.30× | 4.61 |
| Draw & both teams score | 19.8% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 1.12× | 5.52 |
| Vanspor & both teams score | 13.0% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 0.69× | 7.88 |
| Vanspor & not both score | 11.4% | 12.7% | 27.5% | 0.46× | 7.88 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 1.06× | 13.08 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & over 1.5 | 39.3% | 36.6% | 26.6% | 1.38× | 2.74 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & under 3.5 | 31.4% | 31.8% | 19.8% | 1.60× | 3.15 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & over 2.5 | 30.8% | 31.8% | 23.9% | 1.33× | 3.15 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 21.0% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 1.13× | 4.58 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 21.0% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 1.13× | 4.58 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 19.8% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 1.09× | 5.64 |
| Vanspor & over 1.5 | 19.0% | 17.7% | 37.4% | 0.47× | 5.64 |
| Vanspor & under 3.5 | 17.4% | 17.7% | 25.2% | 0.70× | 5.64 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & under 2.5 | 17.2% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 2.07× | 5.64 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & over 3.5 | 16.6% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 1.41× | 5.64 |
| Vanspor & over 2.5 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 30.2% | 0.59× | 5.64 |
| Vanspor & under 2.5 | 9.4% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 0.48× | 13.20 |
| Vanspor & over 3.5 | 7.0% | 7.6% | 20.7% | 0.37× | 13.21 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 1.05× | 13.21 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.87× | 13.21 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.87× | 13.21 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü & under 1.5 | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.29× | 13.20 |
| Vanspor & under 1.5 | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 0.88× | 13.21 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (1UP) | 63.6% | 65.2% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Vanspor (1UP) | 43.1% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.36 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (2UP) | 48.0% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Vanspor (2UP) | 24.4% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.35 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win 2nd half | 42.2% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.42 |
| 2nd half drawn | 35.2% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Vanspor to win 2nd half | 22.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 1.5 in 2nd half | 74.0% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 0.5 in 2nd half | 62.8% | 60.7% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 0.5 in 2nd half | 37.2% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 1.5 in 2nd half | 26.0% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor under 1.5 in 2nd half | 86.4% | 86.4% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Vanspor under 0.5 in 2nd half | 52.7% | 54.2% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Vanspor over 0.5 in 2nd half | 47.3% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Vanspor over 1.5 in 2nd half | 13.6% | 13.6% | — | — | 7.33 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (+2.5) | 96.9% | 96.6% | 82.9% | 1.17× | 1.04 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (+1.5) | 89.9% | 87.4% | 69.8% | 1.25× | 1.14 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (+0.5) | 75.6% | 78.0% | 54.5% | 1.43× | 1.28 |
| Vanspor (+0.5) | 52.0% | 51.8% | 68.0% | 0.76× | 1.93 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (-0.5) | 48.0% | 48.2% | 32.0% | 1.51× | 2.07 |
| Vanspor (-0.5) | 24.4% | 22.0% | 45.5% | 0.48× | 4.55 |
| Vanspor (-1.5) | 10.1% | 12.6% | 30.2% | 0.42× | 7.95 |
| Vanspor (-2.5) | 3.1% | 3.4% | 17.1% | 0.20× | 29.64 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to concede | 67.5% | 71.2% | 77.5% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet | 32.5% | 28.8% | 22.5% | 1.28× | 3.48 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet in 1st half | 61.7% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to concede in 1st half | 38.3% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.68 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü clean sheet in 2nd half | 52.7% | 54.5% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to concede in 2nd half | 47.3% | 45.5% | — | — | 2.20 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 3.5 goals | 91.5% | 92.2% | 92.3% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 0.5 goals | 80.8% | 82.5% | 65.8% | 1.25× | 1.21 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 2.5 goals | 77.1% | 76.4% | 81.5% | 0.94× | 1.31 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 1.5 goals | 51.0% | 52.9% | 67.1% | 0.79× | 1.89 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 1.5 goals | 49.0% | 47.1% | 32.9% | 1.43× | 2.13 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 2.5 goals | 22.9% | 23.6% | 18.5% | 1.28× | 4.23 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 0.5 goals | 19.2% | 17.5% | 34.2% | 0.51× | 5.71 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 3.5 goals | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 1.02× | 12.74 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.8% | 87.0% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü under 0.5 in 1st half | 51.7% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 0.5 in 1st half | 48.3% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.2% | 13.0% | — | — | 7.68 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü scores more in 2nd half | 42.3% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü scores equally in both | 34.0% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü scores more in 1st half | 23.7% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.25 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 53.1% | 52.4% | 33.6% | 1.56× | 1.91 |
| Vanspor (away no bet) | 46.9% | 47.6% | 66.4% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü even goals | 51.9% | 53.6% | 54.5% | 0.98× | 1.87 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü odd goals | 48.1% | 46.4% | 45.5% | 1.02× | 2.16 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 84.7% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 15.3% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.70 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 65.6% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 34.4% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 57.1% | 58.5% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score 2+ in a row | 40.8% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Vanspor to score 2+ in a row | 22.5% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 21.0% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score 3+ in a row | 15.6% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.89 |
| Vanspor to score 3+ in a row | 5.7% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 0.89× | 8.91 |
| 0-0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.45 |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.27× | 13.45 |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 2.36× | 13.45 |
| 1-0 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 0.87× | 13.45 |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.45 |
| 1-3 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.06× | 13.45 |
| 2-1 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.18× | 13.45 |
| 2-2 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.06× | 13.45 |
| 0-3 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 0.35× | 58.34 |
| 0-4 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.34 |
| 1-4 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.34 |
| 2-0 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 7.7% | 0.22× | 58.34 |
| 2-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.76× | 58.34 |
| 2-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 58.34 |
| 3-0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.34 |
| 3-1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 0.35× | 58.34 |
| 3-2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 58.34 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 58.35 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.35 |
| 4-0 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 0.32× | 58.35 |
| 4-1 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.35 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.95× | 58.35 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.35 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.80× | 58.35 |
| Any other score | 3.2% | 1.7% | 7.2% | 0.24× | 58.34 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (2nd half DNB) | 65.2% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Vanspor (2nd half DNB) | 34.8% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü leading at HT (DNB) | 60.0% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Vanspor leading at HT (DNB) | 40.0% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw (X2) | 75.6% | 76.4% | 54.5% | 1.40× | 1.31 |
| Vanspor or Ankara Keçiörengücü (12) | 72.4% | 72.9% | 77.0% | 0.95× | 1.37 |
| Vanspor or draw (1X) | 52.0% | 52.0% | 68.0% | 0.76× | 1.92 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw at HT | 77.4% | 76.8% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Vanspor or draw at HT | 66.1% | 67.1% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Vanspor or Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT | 56.6% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw (1UP) | 75.6% | 82.5% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Vanspor or draw (1UP) | 52.0% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü or draw in 2nd half | 77.4% | 76.4% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Vanspor or Ankara Keçiörengücü in 2nd half | 64.8% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Vanspor or draw in 2nd half | 57.8% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.6% | 60.4% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Neither half drawn | 38.4% | 39.6% | — | — | 2.53 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (DNB) | 66.3% | 67.2% | 41.3% | 1.63× | 1.49 |
| Vanspor (DNB) | 33.7% | 32.8% | 58.7% | 0.56× | 3.05 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score first | 54.8% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Vanspor to score first | 37.4% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| No goal scored | 7.8% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.64 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56.1% | 55.3% | 50.5% | 1.10× | 1.81 |
| Not both teams to score | 43.9% | 44.7% | 49.6% | 0.90× | 2.24 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.9% | 41.6% | 38.3% | 1.09× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 34.4% | 34.0% | 30.6% | 1.11× | 2.94 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 0.94× | 8.41 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.5% | 8.4% | 19.4% | 0.44× | 11.85 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.8% | 83.0% | 90.1% | 0.92× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.2% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 1.71× | 5.90 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 69.7% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 30.3% | 30.5% | — | — | 3.27 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 56.5% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.8% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.3% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.41 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.5% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.56 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.2% | 82.6% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.8% | 17.4% | — | — | 5.76 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 55.5% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 44.5% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.8% | 46.5% | 43.2% | 1.08× | 2.15 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.9% | 27.0% | 32.9% | 0.82× | 3.70 |
| 0-1 goals | 22.0% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 1.13× | 4.26 |
| 7+ goals | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 0.50× | 49.74 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score exactly 1 | 31.7% | 32.3% | 33.3% | 0.97× | 3.09 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score exactly 2 | 26.1% | 27.4% | 14.9% | 1.84× | 3.65 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score 3+ | 22.9% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 1.26× | 4.30 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score exactly 0 | 19.2% | 18.2% | 34.2% | 0.53× | 5.49 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor to score exactly 1 | 36.5% | 36.6% | 33.8% | 1.08× | 2.73 |
| Vanspor to score exactly 0 | 32.5% | 32.2% | 22.5% | 1.43× | 3.10 |
| Vanspor to score exactly 2 | 20.5% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 1.21× | 4.38 |
| Vanspor to score 3+ | 10.5% | 13.3% | 25.7% | 0.52× | 7.54 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.4% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü leading at HT | 33.9% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| Vanspor leading at HT | 22.6% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.31 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü -1: 1 | 52.0% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü -1: 2 | 26.3% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.74 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü -1: X | 21.7% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.29 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:1) | 75.6% | 76.8% | 54.5% | 1.41× | 1.30 |
| Draw (0:1) | 14.3% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 0.83× | 7.62 |
| Vanspor (0:1) | 10.1% | 13.1% | 30.2% | 0.43× | 7.63 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:2) | 89.9% | 86.8% | 69.8% | 1.24× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.0% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 0.57× | 12.97 |
| Vanspor (0:2) | 3.1% | 3.5% | 17.1% | 0.21× | 28.49 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:3) | 96.9% | 96.7% | 82.9% | 1.17× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.3% | 2.6% | 8.1% | 0.31× | 39.17 |
| Vanspor (0:3) | 0.8% | 2.6% | 9.5% | 0.27× | 39.20 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (0:4) | 99.3% | 97.8% | 90.5% | 1.08× | 1.02 |
| Vanspor (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 0.35× | 70.77 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.6% | 1.4% | 5.9% | 0.24× | 70.75 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor (1:0) | 52.0% | 52.4% | 68.0% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (1:0) | 26.3% | 25.1% | 17.1% | 1.47× | 3.98 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.7% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 1.44× | 4.53 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor (2:0) | 73.7% | 74.8% | 82.9% | 0.90× | 1.34 |
| Draw (2:0) | 15.1% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 2.24× | 6.62 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (2:0) | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 1.07× | 8.65 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 47.4% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Halves equal | 26.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.7% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor to concede | 80.8% | 82.7% | 65.8% | 1.26× | 1.21 |
| Vanspor clean sheet | 19.2% | 17.3% | 34.2% | 0.50× | 5.79 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor clean sheet in 1st half | 51.7% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Vanspor to concede in 1st half | 48.3% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor to concede in 2nd half | 62.8% | 60.3% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Vanspor clean sheet in 2nd half | 37.2% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor under 3.5 goals | 97.2% | 96.6% | 84.2% | 1.15× | 1.04 |
| Vanspor under 2.5 goals | 89.5% | 87.3% | 74.3% | 1.17× | 1.15 |
| Vanspor under 1.5 goals | 69.0% | 68.3% | 55.9% | 1.22× | 1.46 |
| Vanspor over 0.5 goals | 67.5% | 68.3% | 77.5% | 0.88× | 1.46 |
| Vanspor under 0.5 goals | 32.5% | 31.7% | 22.5% | 1.41× | 3.15 |
| Vanspor over 1.5 goals | 31.0% | 31.7% | 44.1% | 0.72× | 3.15 |
| Vanspor over 2.5 goals | 10.5% | 12.7% | 25.7% | 0.49× | 7.88 |
| Vanspor over 3.5 goals | 2.8% | 3.4% | 15.8% | 0.22× | 29.42 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.5% | 93.3% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Vanspor under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.7% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Vanspor over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.3% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| Vanspor over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.5% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.00 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor scores equally in both | 43.4% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| Vanspor scores more in 2nd half | 33.4% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Vanspor scores more in 1st half | 23.2% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.31 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü (home no bet) | 63.5% | 60.2% | 58.2% | 1.04× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 36.5% | 39.8% | 41.8% | 0.95× | 2.52 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor even goals | 55.3% | 55.6% | 53.6% | 1.04× | 1.80 |
| Vanspor odd goals | 44.7% | 44.4% | 46.4% | 0.96× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.2% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.11 |
| HT 0-1 | 20.8% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.45 |
| HT 1-0 | 15.1% | 19.8% | — | — | 5.04 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.4% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.9% | 8.0% | — | — | 12.55 |
| Any other HT score | 4.2% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.39 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.7% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.41 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.4% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.43 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.47 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 40.55 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT / Ankara Keçiörengücü at FT | 27.4% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Draw at HT / Ankara Keçiörengücü at FT | 17.4% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.0% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
| Vanspor at HT / Vanspor at FT | 13.8% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
| Draw at HT / Vanspor at FT | 9.0% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.44 |
| Vanspor at HT / Draw at FT | 5.6% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.50 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.50 |
| Vanspor at HT / Ankara Keçiörengücü at FT | 3.2% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.55 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü at HT / Vanspor at FT | 1.6% | 3.6% | — | — | 27.59 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score last | 54.9% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Vanspor to score last | 37.2% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
| No goal scored | 7.8% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.64 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.2% | 93.6% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to lead by 1 at any time | 63.6% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 47.9% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Vanspor to lead by 1 at any time | 43.1% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to lead by 2 at any time | 32.8% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.16 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.8% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.68 |
| Vanspor to lead by 2 at any time | 15.3% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.69 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to lead by 3 at any time | 13.5% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.05 |
| Vanspor to lead by 3 at any time | 4.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 37.85 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.9% | 87.1% | 85.1% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 77.4% | 77.9% | 73.4% | 1.06× | 1.28 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.7% | 77.9% | 75.7% | 1.03× | 1.28 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.7% | 72.2% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| 2-4 goals | 63.2% | 62.7% | 59.9% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.0% | 62.7% | 56.8% | 1.10× | 1.60 |
| 3-6 goals | 50.1% | 52.9% | 53.6% | 0.99× | 1.89 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.8% | 47.4% | 43.2% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| 3-5 goals | 46.1% | 47.4% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| 1-2 goals | 39.8% | 39.0% | 36.0% | 1.08× | 2.56 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.6% | 39.0% | 37.8% | 1.03× | 2.56 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.9% | 28.5% | 32.9% | 0.87× | 3.51 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.9% | 23.7% | 28.8% | 0.82× | 4.22 |
| 5-6 goals | 12.5% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 0.83× | 7.42 |
| 7+ goals | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 0.56× | 44.25 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü never behind | 49.0% | 54.6% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Vanspor never behind | 28.6% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 53.4% | 50.1% | 50.0% | 1.00× | 2.00 |
| Odd number of goals | 46.6% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 1.00× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.6% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.4% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.0% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.0% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.3% | 92.8% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85.2% | 87.8% | 80.2% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.0% | 77.0% | 79.3% | 0.97× | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69.8% | 67.7% | 63.5% | 1.07× | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% | 51.8% | 57.2% | 0.91× | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47.6% | 48.2% | 42.8% | 1.13× | 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.2% | 32.3% | 36.5% | 0.89× | 3.09 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.0% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 1.11× | 4.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14.8% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 0.61× | 8.21 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 1.07× | 12.91 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.96× | 12.91 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.6% | 97.3% | 95.8% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.2% | 92.0% | 90.8% | 1.01× | 1.09 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 82.5% | 81.5% | 76.2% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 70.4% | 72.1% | 73.4% | 0.98× | 1.39 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 61.2% | 62.3% | 54.0% | 1.15× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 38.8% | 37.7% | 46.0% | 0.82× | 2.65 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 29.6% | 27.9% | 26.6% | 1.05× | 3.58 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 17.5% | 18.5% | 23.8% | 0.78× | 5.40 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 0.87× | 12.51 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 0.64× | 36.70 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.2% | 88.4% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 68.1% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.8% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.2% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.9% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.8% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.64 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 79.9% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 77.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 49.0% | 50.5% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.0% | 49.5% | — | — | 2.02 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 22.4% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 20.1% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.01 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor not to score in both halves | 81.9% | 81.2% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü not to score in both halves | 69.7% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to score in both halves | 30.3% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.16 |
| Vanspor to score in both halves | 18.1% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 56.1% | 57.8% | 50.5% | 1.15× | 1.73 |
| Only Ankara Keçiörengücü scores | 24.6% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 1.37× | 4.64 |
| Only Vanspor scores | 11.4% | 11.2% | 27.5% | 0.41× | 8.94 |
| Neither team scores | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 0.98× | 14.09 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.6% | 25.0% | 22.5% | 1.11× | 4.00 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.2% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 1.05× | 4.49 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.4% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 1.03× | 5.68 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 14.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 0.88× | 8.14 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 0.64× | 12.88 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 1.08× | 12.88 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 0.96× | 12.89 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.9% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| No goals in 1st half | 32.2% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 21.1% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.64 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 10.8% | 11.4% | — | — | 8.81 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 49.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.9% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 20.1% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.88 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor not to win both halves | 94.7% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü not to win both halves | 85.4% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win both halves | 14.6% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.15 |
| Vanspor to win both halves | 5.3% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.61 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win either half | 61.5% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Vanspor to win neither half | 60.1% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Vanspor to win either half | 39.9% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win neither half | 38.5% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor not to win to nil | 88.6% | 87.9% | 72.5% | 1.21× | 1.14 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü not to win to nil | 75.4% | 78.4% | 84.2% | 0.93× | 1.28 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü to win to nil | 24.6% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 1.37× | 4.63 |
| Vanspor to win to nil | 11.4% | 12.1% | 27.5% | 0.44× | 8.24 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% | 27.3% | 23.0% | 1.19× | 3.66 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü by 1 | 21.7% | 23.4% | 15.3% | 1.53× | 4.27 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü by 2 | 15.1% | 17.2% | 6.8% | 2.55× | 5.80 |
| Vanspor by 1 | 14.3% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 0.75× | 8.44 |
| Ankara Keçiörengücü by 3+ | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.10× | 8.45 |
| Vanspor by 2 | 7.0% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 0.54× | 13.77 |
| Vanspor by 3+ | 3.1% | 3.0% | 17.1% | 0.17× | 33.46 |