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Venezia v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–1
1.55 – 2.63 xG
Shots
12 – 14
On target
6 – 7
Shots in box
6 – 11
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
0.54 – 0.27
Goals − xG
+0.45 – -1.70
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Francesco Zampano 37' — goalMarin Sverko 66' — goalLeonardo Pavoletti 75' — goal
Venezia 1.55 xGCagliari 2.70 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Francesco Zampano 4' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Busio 4' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Gaetano 19' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 20' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Magnus Kofod Andersen 23' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yerry Mina 30' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Ndary Adopo 31' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Francesco Zampano 37' — Goal (0.54 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Gaetano 42' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nadir Zortea 43' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jay Idzes 46' — Missed Shot (0.54 xG, Set Piece)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 48' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Magnus Kofod Andersen 54' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gaetano Oristanio 56' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 59' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 63' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Gaetano 64' — Missed Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Marin Sverko 66' — Goal (0.13 xG, Open Play)Leonardo Pavoletti 75' — Goal (0.63 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 80' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Gianluca Lapadula 80' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Lapadula 80' — Saved Shot (0.65 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Lapadula 86' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Lapadula 87' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Mattia Felici 92' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 94' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)
Venezia attacking right Cagliari attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Venezia Francesco Zampano 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Magnus Kofod Andersen
4' Venezia Gianluca Busio 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
19' Cagliari Gianluca Gaetano 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Gabriele Zappa
20' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
23' Venezia Magnus Kofod Andersen 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
30' Cagliari Yerry Mina 0.08 Set Piece Saved Shot Tommaso Augello
31' Cagliari Ndary Adopo 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
37' Venezia Francesco Zampano 0.54 Open Play Right Foot Goal Gaetano Oristanio
42' Cagliari Gianluca Gaetano 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
43' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
46' Venezia Jay Idzes 0.54 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
48' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gaetano Oristanio
54' Venezia Magnus Kofod Andersen 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gianluca Busio
56' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Francesco Zampano
59' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
63' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Francesco Zampano
64' Cagliari Gianluca Gaetano 0.55 Open Play Missed Shot Nadir Zortea
66' Venezia Marin Sverko 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Goal
75' Cagliari Leonardo Pavoletti 0.63 Open Play Goal Tommaso Augello
80' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Gianluca Lapadula
80' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mateusz Wieteska
80' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.65 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
86' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Razvan Marin
87' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
92' Cagliari Mattia Felici 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Leonardo Pavoletti
94' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.10 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gabriele Zappa DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.10 0.10
Ndary Adopo MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.55
Alen Sherri GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.63
Antoine Makoumbou MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.06
Tommaso Augello DML 90 0 1 0 5 0.00 0.81 1.09
Yerry Mina DC 73 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.00
Roberto Piccoli FW 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Gaetano AMC 66 0 0 3 0 0.67 0.00 0.67
Nadir Zortea DMR 66 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.55 0.59
Alessandro Deiola MC 54 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Lapadula Sub 36 0 0 4 1 0.83 0.02 0.80
Mattia Felici Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.29 0.00 0.29
Razvan Marin Sub 24 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.15
Leonardo Pavoletti Sub 17 1 0 1 1 0.63 0.29 0.96
Mateusz Wieteska Sub 17 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.12

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Francesco Zampano DMR 90 1 0 2 2 0.56 0.16 0.72
Jay Idzes DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.54 0.00 0.00
Marin Sverko DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.68
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.10
Gianluca Busio AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.02 0.18
Giorgio Altare DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mikael Ellertsson DML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Joel Pohjanpalo FW 85 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.15
Gaetano Oristanio AMC 85 0 1 1 2 0.05 0.57 0.62
Magnus Kofod Andersen MC 71 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.02 0.07
Domen Crnigoj Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
John Yeboah Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christian Gytkjær Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Joël Schingtienne Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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