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Venezia v Parma Calcio 1913 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 9 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–2
1.30 – 0.95 xG
Shots
12 – 10
On target
6 – 3
Shots in box
7 – 5
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.22 – 0.04
Goals − xG
-0.33 – +1.01
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 4' — goalEmanuele Valeri 16' — goalAnge-Yoan Bonny 67' — goal
Venezia 1.33 xGParma Calcio 1913 0.99 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 4' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Gaetano Oristanio 6' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 7' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Antoine Hainaut 8' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Emanuele Valeri 16' — Goal (0.03 xG, From Corner)Gianluca Busio 22' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Adrian Benedyczak 26' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ridgeciano Haps 34' — Saved Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)Simon Sohm 35' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alfred Duncan 38' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Joel Pohjanpalo 45' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 51' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Mihai Valentin Mihaila 53' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Charpentier 55' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Matteo Cancellieri 60' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 67' — Goal (0.64 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 67' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Francesco Zampano 67' — Saved Shot (0.58 xG, Open Play)Gaetano Oristanio 67' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 85' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Christian Gytkjær 87' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Christian Gytkjær 90' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)
Venezia attacking right Parma Calcio 1913 attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Goal Gaetano Oristanio
6' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
7' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mihai Valentin Mihaila
8' Parma Calcio 1913 Antoine Hainaut 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
16' Parma Calcio 1913 Emanuele Valeri 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Goal Dennis Man
22' Venezia Gianluca Busio 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gaetano Oristanio
26' Parma Calcio 1913 Adrian Benedyczak 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
34' Venezia Ridgeciano Haps 0.26 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alfred Duncan
35' Parma Calcio 1913 Simon Sohm 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
38' Venezia Alfred Duncan 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
45' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.03 Open Play Saved Shot Antonio Candela
51' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gaetano Oristanio
53' Parma Calcio 1913 Mihai Valentin Mihaila 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
55' Parma Calcio 1913 Gabriel Charpentier 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
60' Parma Calcio 1913 Matteo Cancellieri 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Gabriel Charpentier
67' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.64 Open Play Right Foot Goal
67' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Simon Sohm
67' Venezia Francesco Zampano 0.58 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
67' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ridgeciano Haps
85' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.06 From Corner Saved Shot Magnus Kofod Andersen
87' Venezia Christian Gytkjær 0.08 From Corner Saved Shot Franco Ezequiel Carboni
90' Venezia Christian Gytkjær 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Parma Calcio 1913

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Matteo Cancellieri FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.11
Emanuele Valeri DL 90 1 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.00
Simon Sohm DMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.07 0.17
Antoine Hainaut DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Zion Suzuki GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Enrico Del Prato DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dennis Man AMC 74 0 1 2 1 0.10 0.03 0.10
Mihai Valentin Mihaila AMR 66 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.03 0.16
Giovanni Leoni DC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mandela Keita DMC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adrian Benedyczak AML 47 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Gabriel Charpentier Sub 43 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.06 0.12
Ange-Yoan Bonny Sub 24 1 0 1 0 0.64 0.00 0.64
Nahuel Estévez Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Botond Balogh Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Woyo Coulibaly Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Joel Pohjanpalo FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.14 0.00 0.13
Gaetano Oristanio AMC 90 0 1 2 3 0.06 0.19 0.24
Gianluca Busio AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.35
Jay Idzes DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Michael Svoboda DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Ridgeciano Haps DML 86 0 0 1 1 0.26 0.05 0.35
Antonio Candela DC 85 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.38
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 74 1 0 1 1 0.09 0.02 0.46
Alfred Duncan MC 65 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.26 0.30
Mikael Ellertsson DMR 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Francesco Zampano Sub 43 0 0 1 0 0.58 0.00 0.63
Magnus Kofod Andersen Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.05
John Yeboah Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Franco Ezequiel Carboni Sub 5 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.00
Christian Gytkjær Sub 4 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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