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Veres Rivne v Kudrivka — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · UKR-Premier League · 2627

UKR-Premier League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Veres Rivne win
46.5%
model 45.7%
Draw
30.6%
model 32.9%
Kudrivka win
22.9%
model 21.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,536 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.7%
  2. 0-0 14.6%
  3. 1-0 14.1%
  4. 2-0 10.2%
  5. 2-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.534.2% Under 2.565.8%
BTTS yes41.5% BTTS no58.5%
Veres Rivne 1+72.0% Veres Rivne 2+36.4%
Kudrivka 1+54.9% Kudrivka 2+19.0%

Expected goals 1.27 – 0.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
20/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 33%
52.0% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 7148 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Veres Rivne or draw at HT
Double chance 1HT · usually 74%
83.9% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Veres Rivne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Kudrivka have allowed 1.35.
  • At home Veres Rivne average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Veres Rivne have only 0 matches on record.
  • Kudrivka have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Veres Rivne have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 30.6% for the draw and 22.9% for Kudrivka. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Veres Rivne and 0.80 for Kudrivka.

Why Veres Rivne

Veres Rivne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Kudrivka have allowed 1.35. At home Veres Rivne average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.6%. A combined 2.07 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Kudrivka can win

Kudrivka have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Veres Rivne have allowed 1.35. Away from home Kudrivka average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Veres Rivne, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kudrivka, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Veres Rivne: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kudrivka: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Veres Rivne are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.27–0.80 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.07–0.65 0-0 20% 25% 33%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to win 45.7% 48.0% 44.4% 1.08× 2.08
Draw 32.9% 31.5% 25.0% 1.26× 3.17
Kudrivka to win 21.4% 23.6% 30.6% 0.77× 4.23
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne & not both score 30.5% 30.8% 24.4% 1.26× 3.24
Draw & both teams score 18.4% 18.1% 17.7% 1.03× 5.52
Veres Rivne & both teams score 15.2% 18.1% 20.1% 0.90× 5.52
Draw & not both score 14.5% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.88
Kudrivka & not both score 13.4% 12.7% 16.0% 0.80× 7.88
Kudrivka & both teams score 7.9% 7.6% 14.6% 0.52× 13.08
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne & under 3.5 36.9% 36.6% 30.3% 1.21× 2.74
Veres Rivne & over 1.5 31.6% 31.8% 34.1% 0.93× 3.15
Draw & under 2.5 29.3% 26.4% 18.8% 1.41× 3.79
Draw & under 3.5 29.3% 26.4% 18.8% 1.41× 3.79
Veres Rivne & under 2.5 24.4% 21.8% 17.5% 1.25× 4.58
Veres Rivne & over 2.5 21.4% 21.8% 26.9% 0.81× 4.58
Draw & over 1.5 18.4% 17.7% 17.7% 1.00× 5.64
Kudrivka & under 3.5 18.3% 17.7% 21.6% 0.82× 5.64
Veres Rivne & under 1.5 14.1% 12.4% 10.4% 1.20× 8.05
Draw & under 1.5 14.5% 12.4% 7.3% 1.70× 8.05
Kudrivka & over 1.5 13.2% 12.4% 23.1% 0.54× 8.06
Kudrivka & under 2.5 12.1% 12.4% 12.2% 1.01× 8.06
Kudrivka & over 2.5 9.2% 7.6% 18.4% 0.41× 13.20
Veres Rivne & over 3.5 8.9% 7.6% 14.2% 0.53× 13.20
Kudrivka & under 1.5 8.1% 7.6% 7.5% 1.01× 13.21
Draw & over 2.5 3.6% 4.4% 6.2% 0.71× 22.79
Draw & over 3.5 3.6% 4.4% 6.2% 0.71× 22.79
Kudrivka & over 3.5 3.1% 4.4% 9.0% 0.49× 22.79
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (1UP) 58.2% 57.0% 59.8% 0.95× 1.76
Kudrivka (1UP) 36.1% 38.3% 50.4% 0.76× 2.61
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (2UP) 45.7% 51.8% 45.2% 1.14× 1.93
Kudrivka (2UP) 21.4% 22.8% 34.2% 0.67× 4.39
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 42.7% 41.4% 32.7% 1.27× 2.42
Veres Rivne to win 2nd half 36.5% 36.5% 37.7% 0.97× 2.74
Kudrivka to win 2nd half 20.8% 23.5% 29.7% 0.79× 4.25
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka under 1.5 in 2nd half 91.6% 90.6% 82.3% 1.10× 1.10
Kudrivka under 0.5 in 2nd half 62.0% 60.7% 46.6% 1.30× 1.65
Kudrivka over 0.5 in 2nd half 38.0% 39.3% 53.4% 0.74× 2.54
Kudrivka over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.4% 9.4% 17.7% 0.53× 10.59
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne under 1.5 in 2nd half 83.5% 79.1% 77.4% 1.02× 1.26
Veres Rivne over 0.5 in 2nd half 51.6% 54.1% 58.7% 0.92× 1.85
Veres Rivne under 0.5 in 2nd half 48.4% 45.9% 41.4% 1.11× 2.18
Veres Rivne over 1.5 in 2nd half 16.5% 20.9% 22.6% 0.92× 4.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka (+2.5) 92.2% 92.3% 90.1% 1.02× 1.08
Veres Rivne (+0.5) 78.6% 78.0% 69.4% 1.12× 1.28
Kudrivka (+1.5) 78.1% 78.0% 77.7% 1.00× 1.28
Kudrivka (+0.5) 54.3% 51.8% 55.6% 0.93× 1.93
Veres Rivne (-0.5) 45.7% 48.2% 44.4% 1.08× 2.08
Veres Rivne (-1.5) 21.9% 22.0% 22.3% 0.99× 4.55
Kudrivka (-0.5) 21.4% 22.0% 30.6% 0.72× 4.55
Veres Rivne (-2.5) 7.8% 7.7% 9.9% 0.78× 12.97
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka to concede 72.0% 75.6% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Kudrivka clean sheet 28.0% 24.4% 23.3% 1.05× 4.10
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka clean sheet in 1st half 57.8% 57.4% 51.8% 1.11× 1.74
Kudrivka to concede in 1st half 42.2% 42.6% 48.2% 0.88× 2.35
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka to concede in 2nd half 51.6% 54.5% 58.7% 0.93× 1.84
Kudrivka clean sheet in 2nd half 48.4% 45.5% 41.4% 1.10× 2.20
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka under 3.5 goals 99.1% 97.3% 95.7% 1.02× 1.03
Kudrivka under 2.5 goals 95.3% 97.3% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
Kudrivka under 1.5 goals 81.0% 82.5% 66.3% 1.24× 1.21
Kudrivka over 0.5 goals 54.9% 53.0% 68.3% 0.78× 1.89
Kudrivka under 0.5 goals 45.1% 47.0% 31.7% 1.48× 2.13
Kudrivka over 1.5 goals 19.0% 17.5% 33.7% 0.52× 5.71
Kudrivka over 2.5 goals 4.7% 2.7% 13.0% 0.21× 37.08
Kudrivka over 3.5 goals 0.9% 2.7% 4.3% 0.62× 37.16
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka under 1.5 in 1st half 95.9% 95.2% 89.4% 1.07× 1.05
Kudrivka under 0.5 in 1st half 72.7% 68.5% 59.0% 1.16× 1.46
Kudrivka over 0.5 in 1st half 27.3% 31.5% 41.0% 0.77× 3.18
Kudrivka over 1.5 in 1st half 4.1% 4.8% 10.6% 0.45× 20.93
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka scores equally in both 52.2% 48.1% 40.6% 1.19× 2.08
Kudrivka scores more in 2nd half 29.6% 27.4% 36.5% 0.75× 3.66
Kudrivka scores more in 1st half 18.2% 17.3% 22.9% 0.75× 5.80
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (away no bet) 58.1% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Draw (away no bet) 41.9% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka even goals 60.2% 60.6% 55.7% 1.09× 1.65
Kudrivka odd goals 39.8% 39.4% 44.3% 0.89× 2.54
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 92.7% 90.7% 82.7% 1.10× 1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals 7.3% 9.3% 17.3% 0.53× 10.81
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 50.9% 53.0% 33.8% 1.57× 1.89
Not both halves under 1.5 49.1% 47.0% 66.2% 0.71× 2.13
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 42.7% 42.7% 58.6% 0.73× 2.34
Veres Rivne to score 2+ in a row 31.1% 32.0% 36.9% 0.87× 3.13
Kudrivka to score 2+ in a row 14.3% 12.9% 28.6% 0.45× 7.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row 12.8% 12.9% 22.9% 0.56× 7.76
Veres Rivne to score 3+ in a row 10.1% 12.8% 14.2% 0.91× 7.80
Kudrivka to score 3+ in a row 2.8% 3.1% 9.1% 0.34× 32.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 14.5% 11.2% 7.3% 1.54× 8.91
1-0 14.1% 11.2% 10.4% 1.08× 8.91
1-1 14.7% 11.2% 11.5% 0.98× 8.91
2-0 10.2% 11.2% 7.2% 1.57× 8.91
0-1 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.45
2-1 8.2% 7.4% 8.8% 0.84× 13.45
1-2 5.1% 7.4% 7.0% 1.06× 13.45
0-2 4.0% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.34
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.35
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 58.35
1-3 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.34
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.69× 58.35
2-2 3.2% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.34
2-3 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.35
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 2.89× 58.35
3-0 4.3% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.34
3-1 3.5% 1.7% 4.2% 0.41× 58.34
3-2 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 0.66× 58.34
3-3 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 58.35
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.65× 58.35
4-0 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 0.98× 58.34
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.35
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.87× 58.35
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.62× 58.35
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 16.16× 58.35
Any other score 1.1% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.35
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (2nd half DNB) 63.7% 63.6% 55.9% 1.14× 1.57
Kudrivka (2nd half DNB) 36.3% 36.4% 44.1% 0.83× 2.75
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne leading at HT (DNB) 66.2% 71.3% 56.7% 1.26× 1.40
Kudrivka leading at HT (DNB) 33.8% 28.7% 43.3% 0.66× 3.48
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne or draw (1X) 78.6% 76.4% 69.4% 1.10× 1.31
Veres Rivne or Kudrivka (12) 67.1% 68.5% 75.0% 0.91× 1.46
Kudrivka or draw (X2) 54.3% 52.0% 55.6% 0.94× 1.92
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne or draw at HT 83.2% 83.9% 74.1% 1.13× 1.19
Kudrivka or draw at HT 67.2% 67.1% 66.2% 1.01× 1.49
Veres Rivne or Kudrivka at HT 49.6% 50.9% 59.7% 0.85× 1.96
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne or draw (1UP) 78.6% 82.7% 74.2% 1.12× 1.21
Kudrivka or draw (1UP) 54.3% 59.0% 63.9% 0.92× 1.69
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne or draw in 2nd half 79.2% 76.5% 70.3% 1.09× 1.31
Kudrivka or draw in 2nd half 63.5% 63.5% 62.3% 1.02× 1.57
Veres Rivne or Kudrivka in 2nd half 57.3% 58.6% 67.3% 0.87× 1.71
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 69.6% 65.3% 58.9% 1.11× 1.53
Neither half drawn 30.4% 34.7% 41.1% 0.84× 2.88
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (DNB) 68.1% 67.2% 59.2% 1.13× 1.49
Kudrivka (DNB) 31.9% 32.8% 40.8% 0.80× 3.05
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to score first 52.6% 52.3% 51.2% 1.02× 1.91
Kudrivka to score first 32.9% 31.7% 42.9% 0.74× 3.16
No goal scored 14.5% 7.2% 5.9% 1.21× 13.96
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 58.5% 55.4% 47.6% 1.16× 1.81
Both teams to score 41.5% 44.6% 52.4% 0.85× 2.24
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 51.0% 48.5% 37.1% 1.31× 2.06
Both score & over 2.5 26.8% 31.4% 40.9% 0.77× 3.18
Both score & under 2.5 14.7% 11.9% 11.5% 1.04× 8.41
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.4% 10.6% 0.80× 11.85
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.1% 89.9% 86.0% 1.05× 1.11
Both teams to score 2+ 6.9% 10.1% 14.0% 0.72× 9.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 79.7% 74.1% 70.2% 1.06× 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 20.3% 25.9% 29.8% 0.87× 3.86
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 70.1% 64.6% 57.8% 1.12× 1.55
Both score 2nd half only 18.0% 18.5% 23.8% 0.78× 5.42
Both score 1st half only 9.6% 7.0% 12.5% 0.56× 14.36
Both score in both halves 2.3% 4.8% 6.0% 0.80× 20.75
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 88.2% 84.7% 81.5% 1.04× 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 11.8% 15.3% 18.5% 0.83× 6.55
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 58.5% 57.4% 41.1% 1.40× 1.74
A goal in each half 41.5% 42.6% 58.9% 0.72× 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.6% 46.5% 45.4% 1.02× 2.15
0-1 goals 36.8% 35.3% 25.2% 1.40× 2.83
4-6 goals 15.0% 19.1% 27.0% 0.71× 5.25
7+ goals 0.5% 2.0% 2.4% 0.83× 49.80
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka to score exactly 0 45.1% 43.9% 31.7% 1.38× 2.28
Kudrivka to score exactly 1 35.9% 36.0% 34.6% 1.04× 2.78
Kudrivka to score exactly 2 14.3% 13.0% 20.8% 0.63× 7.68
Kudrivka to score 3+ 4.7% 4.2% 13.0% 0.32× 24.08
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to score exactly 1 35.6% 36.6% 33.1% 1.11× 2.73
Veres Rivne to score exactly 0 28.0% 26.4% 23.3% 1.14× 3.78
Veres Rivne to score exactly 2 22.7% 22.9% 24.0% 0.95× 4.38
Veres Rivne to score 3+ 13.7% 13.3% 19.7% 0.67× 7.53
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 50.4% 49.1% 40.3% 1.22× 2.04
Veres Rivne leading at HT 32.8% 32.9% 33.8% 0.97× 3.04
Kudrivka leading at HT 16.8% 16.1% 25.9% 0.62× 6.20
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne -1: 2 54.3% 51.9% 1.93
Veres Rivne -1: X 23.8% 23.3% 4.29
Veres Rivne -1: 1 21.9% 23.3% 4.29
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka (0:1) 54.3% 51.7% 55.6% 0.93× 1.93
Draw (0:1) 23.8% 23.6% 22.2% 1.06× 4.24
Veres Rivne (0:1) 21.9% 23.6% 22.3% 1.06× 4.24
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka (0:2) 78.1% 79.1% 77.7% 1.02× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.2% 11.4% 12.3% 0.92× 8.80
Veres Rivne (0:2) 7.8% 7.7% 9.9% 0.78× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka (0:3) 92.2% 92.5% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.6% 6.5% 5.9% 1.10× 15.41
Veres Rivne (0:3) 2.2% 2.6% 4.0% 0.63× 39.18
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka (0:4) 97.8% 97.7% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 0.56× 70.71
Veres Rivne (0:4) 0.5% 1.4% 1.5% 0.94× 70.75
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (1:0) 78.6% 76.9% 69.4% 1.11× 1.30
Draw (1:0) 14.2% 12.6% 17.0% 0.74× 7.97
Kudrivka (1:0) 7.2% 7.5% 13.6% 0.55× 13.40
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne (2:0) 92.8% 92.9% 86.4% 1.07× 1.08
Draw (2:0) 5.5% 6.6% 8.1% 0.81× 15.12
Kudrivka (2:0) 1.7% 2.8% 5.4% 0.51× 35.93
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 42.3% 48.6% 48.6% 1.00× 2.06
Halves equal 32.5% 27.4% 25.2% 1.09× 3.65
1st half highest scoring 25.2% 26.1% 26.3% 0.99× 3.83
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to concede 54.9% 53.8% 68.3% 0.79× 1.86
Veres Rivne clean sheet 45.1% 46.2% 31.7% 1.46× 2.16
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne clean sheet in 1st half 72.7% 68.0% 59.0% 1.15× 1.47
Veres Rivne to concede in 1st half 27.3% 32.0% 41.0% 0.78× 3.13
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne clean sheet in 2nd half 62.0% 60.3% 46.6% 1.29× 1.66
Veres Rivne to concede in 2nd half 38.0% 39.7% 53.4% 0.74× 2.52
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne under 3.5 goals 96.0% 96.6% 92.4% 1.05× 1.04
Veres Rivne under 2.5 goals 86.3% 87.3% 80.3% 1.09× 1.15
Veres Rivne over 0.5 goals 72.0% 73.1% 76.7% 0.95× 1.37
Veres Rivne under 1.5 goals 63.6% 62.4% 56.3% 1.11× 1.60
Veres Rivne over 1.5 goals 36.4% 37.6% 43.7% 0.86× 2.66
Veres Rivne under 0.5 goals 28.0% 26.9% 23.3% 1.16× 3.71
Veres Rivne over 2.5 goals 13.7% 12.7% 19.7% 0.64× 7.87
Veres Rivne over 3.5 goals 4.0% 3.4% 7.6% 0.45× 29.39
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne under 1.5 in 1st half 89.5% 87.8% 85.9% 1.02× 1.14
Veres Rivne under 0.5 in 1st half 57.8% 57.5% 51.8% 1.11× 1.74
Veres Rivne over 0.5 in 1st half 42.2% 42.5% 48.2% 0.88× 2.35
Veres Rivne over 1.5 in 1st half 10.5% 12.2% 14.1% 0.86× 8.18
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne scores equally in both 40.3% 41.6% 37.1% 1.12× 2.40
Veres Rivne scores more in 2nd half 35.4% 37.1% 38.0% 0.98× 2.70
Veres Rivne scores more in 1st half 24.3% 23.2% 24.9% 0.93× 4.31
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 60.6% 60.2% 44.9% 1.34× 1.66
Kudrivka (home no bet) 39.4% 39.8% 55.1% 0.72× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne even goals 53.9% 50.9% 52.8% 0.96× 1.96
Veres Rivne odd goals 46.1% 49.1% 47.2% 1.04× 2.04
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 42.4% 37.9% 29.3% 1.29× 2.64
HT 1-0 22.7% 22.5% 20.7% 1.09× 4.44
HT 0-1 13.1% 10.9% 16.3% 0.67× 9.15
HT 1-1 7.7% 8.0% 10.2% 0.78× 12.54
HT 2-0 6.3% 8.0% 7.1% 1.12× 12.56
HT 0-2 2.1% 2.5% 4.9% 0.51× 40.49
HT 2-1 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 0.75× 40.49
Any other HT score 2.2% 2.5% 4.7% 0.52× 40.48
HT 1-2 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% 0.89× 40.53
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.5% 0.9% 2.76× 40.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne at HT / Veres Rivne at FT 26.6% 25.1% 25.8% 0.97× 3.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 23.5% 21.0% 14.1% 1.48× 4.77
Draw at HT / Veres Rivne at FT 17.4% 17.3% 14.7% 1.18× 5.78
Kudrivka at HT / Kudrivka at FT 10.7% 12.0% 17.4% 0.69× 8.34
Draw at HT / Kudrivka at FT 9.5% 6.5% 11.6% 0.56× 15.43
Veres Rivne at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.4% 5.1% 1.25× 15.52
Kudrivka at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.6% 5.6% 0.65× 27.51
Kudrivka at HT / Veres Rivne at FT 1.7% 3.6% 2.9% 1.25× 27.59
Veres Rivne at HT / Kudrivka at FT 1.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.22× 27.60
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne to score last 52.8% 54.8% 51.4% 1.07× 1.82
Kudrivka to score last 32.7% 34.2% 42.7% 0.80× 2.92
No goal scored 14.5% 7.3% 5.9% 1.24× 13.63
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 85.5% 92.5% 94.1% 0.98× 1.08
Veres Rivne to lead by 1 at any time 58.2% 55.6% 59.8% 0.93× 1.80
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 36.4% 37.3% 48.2% 0.77× 2.68
Kudrivka to lead by 1 at any time 36.1% 37.3% 50.4% 0.74× 2.68
Veres Rivne to lead by 2 at any time 26.2% 25.0% 28.2% 0.88× 4.01
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 11.2% 11.0% 19.5% 0.57× 9.08
Kudrivka to lead by 2 at any time 10.3% 11.0% 20.3% 0.54× 9.09
Veres Rivne to lead by 3 at any time 9.0% 7.4% 12.1% 0.61× 13.43
Kudrivka to lead by 3 at any time 2.2% 2.6% 7.4% 0.35× 38.36
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.5% 82.1% 86.4% 0.95× 1.22
1-4 goals 79.5% 77.9% 78.0% 1.00× 1.28
1-3 goals 69.9% 68.2% 63.3% 1.08× 1.47
2-6 goals 62.7% 62.7% 72.4% 0.87× 1.60
2-5 goals 61.3% 62.7% 68.5% 0.92× 1.60
2-4 goals 57.3% 58.9% 60.1% 0.98× 1.70
1-2 goals 51.2% 52.9% 41.2% 1.28× 1.89
2-3 goals 47.6% 47.4% 45.4% 1.04× 2.11
3-6 goals 33.7% 34.7% 49.0% 0.71× 2.88
3-5 goals 32.3% 34.7% 45.1% 0.77× 2.88
3-4 goals 28.3% 28.5% 36.8% 0.78× 3.51
4-6 goals 15.0% 18.9% 27.0% 0.70× 5.30
4-5 goals 13.7% 13.5% 23.0% 0.59× 7.42
5-6 goals 5.4% 8.9% 12.3% 0.72× 11.22
7+ goals 0.5% 2.3% 2.4% 0.93× 44.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Veres Rivne never behind 49.4% 54.6% 49.6% 1.10× 1.83
Kudrivka never behind 27.3% 31.4% 40.2% 0.78× 3.19
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 54.7% 50.1% 49.8% 1.00× 2.00
Odd number of goals 45.3% 49.9% 50.2% 1.00× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 59.5% 55.1% 53.7% 1.03× 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 40.5% 44.9% 46.3% 0.97× 2.23
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.8% 51.3% 51.1% 1.00× 1.95
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.2% 48.7% 48.9% 1.00× 2.05
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.1% 96.0% 93.7% 1.03× 1.04
Under 4.5 goals 94.1% 92.3% 85.3% 1.08× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 85.5% 87.8% 92.7% 0.95× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 84.4% 81.6% 70.6% 1.16× 1.23
Under 2.5 goals 65.8% 67.7% 48.5% 1.39× 1.48
Over 1.5 goals 63.2% 62.0% 74.8% 0.83× 1.61
Under 1.5 goals 36.8% 38.0% 25.2% 1.51× 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 34.2% 32.3% 51.5% 0.63× 3.09
Over 3.5 goals 15.6% 18.4% 29.4% 0.63× 5.44
Under 0.5 goals 14.5% 12.2% 7.3% 1.67× 8.21
Over 4.5 goals 5.9% 7.7% 14.7% 0.53× 12.91
Over 5.5 goals 1.9% 4.0% 6.3% 0.63× 25.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.5% 97.3% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.0% 97.3% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 93.4% 92.0% 82.8% 1.11× 1.09
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 80.9% 81.5% 62.3% 1.31× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 51.8% 52.0% 32.9% 1.58× 1.92
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 48.2% 48.0% 67.1% 0.72× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 19.1% 18.5% 37.7% 0.49× 5.40
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 6.6% 8.0% 17.2% 0.46× 12.51
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.0% 2.7% 6.9% 0.39× 36.71
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.6% 2.7% 2.5% 1.08× 36.73
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 94.3% 91.9% 88.4% 1.04× 1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half 78.1% 78.0% 66.3% 1.18× 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 57.6% 59.7% 70.7% 0.84× 1.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half 42.4% 40.3% 29.3% 1.38× 2.48
Over 1.5 in 1st half 21.9% 22.0% 33.7% 0.65× 4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half 5.7% 8.1% 11.6% 0.70× 12.39
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 87.9% 85.2% 77.5% 1.10× 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 69.3% 67.0% 82.3% 0.81× 1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 65.5% 66.7% 50.2% 1.33× 1.50
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 34.5% 33.3% 49.8% 0.67× 3.00
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 30.7% 33.0% 17.7% 1.86× 3.03
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 12.1% 14.8% 22.5% 0.66× 6.75
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka not to score in both halves 89.6% 85.7% 77.6% 1.10× 1.17
Veres Rivne not to score in both halves 78.2% 75.8% 70.5% 1.08× 1.32
Veres Rivne to score in both halves 21.8% 24.2% 29.5% 0.82× 4.14
Kudrivka to score in both halves 10.4% 14.3% 22.4% 0.64× 6.98
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 41.5% 45.6% 52.4% 0.87× 2.19
Only Veres Rivne scores 30.5% 31.4% 24.4% 1.29× 3.18
Neither team scores 14.5% 11.2% 7.3% 1.53× 8.94
Only Kudrivka scores 13.4% 11.2% 16.0% 0.70× 8.94
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 29.0% 25.0% 23.3% 1.07× 4.00
Exactly 1 goals 22.3% 22.3% 17.9% 1.24× 4.49
Exactly 3 goals 18.7% 17.6% 22.1% 0.80× 5.68
Exactly 0 goals 14.5% 12.3% 7.3% 1.68× 8.14
Exactly 4 goals 9.7% 7.8% 14.7% 0.53× 12.88
Exactly 5 goals 4.0% 4.0% 8.4% 0.48× 24.73
6 or more goals 1.9% 4.0% 6.3% 0.64× 24.75
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 42.4% 37.9% 29.3% 1.29× 2.64
1 goal in 1st half 35.8% 36.9% 37.0% 1.00× 2.71
2 goals in 1st half 16.1% 18.8% 22.2% 0.85× 5.33
3+ goals in 1st half 5.7% 8.1% 11.6% 0.70× 12.39
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 34.8% 34.4% 32.5% 1.06× 2.91
2+ goals in 2nd half 34.5% 34.4% 49.8% 0.69× 2.91
No goals in 2nd half 30.7% 34.3% 17.7% 1.93× 2.92
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka not to win both halves 96.3% 97.3% 91.8% 1.06× 1.03
Veres Rivne not to win both halves 87.7% 87.8% 86.8% 1.01× 1.14
Veres Rivne to win both halves 12.3% 12.2% 13.2% 0.92× 8.20
Kudrivka to win both halves 3.7% 2.7% 8.2% 0.33× 36.82
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka to win neither half 66.1% 68.7% 52.6% 1.30× 1.46
Veres Rivne to win either half 57.0% 58.2% 58.3% 1.00× 1.72
Veres Rivne to win neither half 43.0% 41.8% 41.7% 1.00× 2.39
Kudrivka to win either half 33.9% 31.3% 47.4% 0.66× 3.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kudrivka not to win to nil 86.6% 87.9% 84.0% 1.05× 1.14
Veres Rivne not to win to nil 69.5% 69.5% 75.6% 0.92× 1.44
Veres Rivne to win to nil 30.5% 30.5% 24.4% 1.25× 3.28
Kudrivka to win to nil 13.4% 12.1% 16.0% 0.76× 8.24
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 32.9% 29.2% 25.0% 1.17× 3.42
Veres Rivne by 1 23.8% 23.4% 22.2% 1.06× 4.27
Kudrivka by 1 14.2% 11.8% 17.0% 0.70× 8.44
Veres Rivne by 2 14.2% 11.8% 12.3% 0.96× 8.44
Veres Rivne by 3+ 7.8% 7.3% 9.9% 0.73× 13.77
Kudrivka by 2 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 0.89× 13.77
Kudrivka by 3+ 1.7% 3.0% 5.4% 0.55× 33.47
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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