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VfB Stuttgart v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 23 November 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

2–0
2.06 – 0.65 xG
Shots
15 – 9
On target
4 – 2
Shots in box
12 – 4
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.14 – 0.03
Goals − xG
-0.09 – -0.65
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.82.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Chris Führich 52' — goalJustin Diehl 77' — goal
VfB Stuttgart 2.09 xGBochum 0.65 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Joshua Vagnoman 7' — Missed Shot (0.39 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 13' — Blocked Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Julian Chabot 16' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Maximilian Wittek 25' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Enzo Millot 33' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Chris Führich 36' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Ermedin Demirovic 47' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Matús Bero 52' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Chris Führich 52' — Goal (0.01 xG, Open Play)Enzo Millot 55' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Moritz Broschinski 56' — Missed Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Enzo Millot 58' — Missed Shot (0.46 xG, Open Play)Joshua Vagnoman 61' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 76' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Justin Diehl 77' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Justin Diehl 80' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Dani de Wit 86' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ermedin Demirovic 90' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Fabian Rieder 90' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Joshua Vagnoman 90' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 91' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Tim Oermann 93' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Justin Diehl 93' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)
VfB Stuttgart attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' VfB Stuttgart Joshua Vagnoman 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Chris Führich
13' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.33 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Philipp Hofmann
16' VfB Stuttgart Julian Chabot 0.06 Set Piece — Shot On Post Maximilian Mittelstädt
25' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
33' VfB Stuttgart Enzo Millot 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Anthony Rouault
36' VfB Stuttgart Chris Führich 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
47' VfB Stuttgart Ermedin Demirovic 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Joshua Vagnoman
48' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
52' Bochum Matús Bero 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
52' VfB Stuttgart Chris Führich 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Goal Leonidas Stergiou
55' VfB Stuttgart Enzo Millot 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
56' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.15 Open Play — Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
58' VfB Stuttgart Enzo Millot 0.46 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Chris Führich
61' VfB Stuttgart Joshua Vagnoman 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ermedin Demirovic
76' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
77' VfB Stuttgart Justin Diehl 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Goal Fabian Rieder
80' VfB Stuttgart Justin Diehl 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
86' Bochum Dani de Wit 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
90' VfB Stuttgart Ermedin Demirovic 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
90' VfB Stuttgart Fabian Rieder 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
90' VfB Stuttgart Joshua Vagnoman 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Justin Diehl
91' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
93' Bochum Tim Oermann 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
93' VfB Stuttgart Justin Diehl 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Anthony Rouault

Players

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Joshua Vagnoman MR 90 0 0 3 1 0.57 0.11 0.69
Ermedin Demirovic FW 90 0 0 2 1 0.16 0.06 1.09
Anthony Rouault DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 1.56
Atakan Karazor MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Alexander Nübel GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.37
Maximilian Mittelstädt DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.96
Julian Chabot DC 86 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.96
Leonidas Stergiou DR 85 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.87
Enzo Millot MC 77 0 0 3 0 0.49 0.00 0.98
Chris Führich ML 77 1 0 2 2 0.07 0.85 0.98
Nick Woltemade FW 57 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Angelo Stiller Sub 33 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.64
Justin Diehl Sub 13 1 0 3 1 0.58 0.12 0.70
Fabian Rieder Sub 13 0 1 1 1 0.14 0.35 0.50
Anrie Chase Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ramon Hendriks Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.06
Maximilian Wittek DC 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.17 0.17
Tim Oermann DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.00
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.37 0.33
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Broschinski FW 87 0 0 3 0 0.51 0.00 0.53
Felix Passlack DR 79 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Anthony Losilla MC 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Gerrit Holtmann DL 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Dani de Wit Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Bernardo Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Koji Miyoshi Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Lukas Daschner Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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