VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

VfB Stuttgart

14:30 UTC

Werder Bremen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 340h before kick-off

VfB Stuttgart win

64.4%

model 66.5%

Draw

17.9%

model 18.1%

Werder Bremen win

17.7%

model 15.4%

641818

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
2-0 9.0%
1-1 8.1%
3-1 7.6%
1-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.9%	Under 2.5	33.1%
BTTS yes	59.5%	BTTS no	40.5%
VfB Stuttgart 1+	90.8%	VfB Stuttgart 2+	68.7%
Werder Bremen 1+	65.5%	Werder Bremen 2+	28.8%

Expected goals 2.38 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

96/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

VfB Stuttgart (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 42%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Werder Bremen not to score in both halves

Score both halves · usually 72%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

VfB Stuttgart carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1461.

Risk factors

Werder Bremen have scored 2.20 a match from 1.25 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

VfB Stuttgart have an estimated 64.4% win probability, against 17.9% for the draw and 17.7% for Werder Bremen. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.38 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.06 for Werder Bremen.

Why VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1461.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Werder Bremen can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. Away from home Werder Bremen average 1.08 xG a match. They have had 21 days' rest to VfB Stuttgart's 15.

Key players

VfB Stuttgart's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Deniz Undav (0.62), Ermedin Demirovic (0.46), Chris Führich (0.32). Werder Bremen's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Niclas Füllkrug (0.55), Romano Schmid (0.43), Jens Stage (0.30).

Availability

1 of VfB Stuttgart's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of VfB Stuttgart's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Werder Bremen's top three contributors did not start their last match. 55% of Werder Bremen's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

VfB Stuttgart: 60% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.47 xG a match from set pieces. Werder Bremen: 47% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.38 xG a match from set pieces. VfB Stuttgart's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

VfB Stuttgart are the model's most likely outcome at 64.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 96/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

VfB Stuttgart are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.7 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWDLWLLWLL last 10 scored 18 from 22.3 xG conceded 19 from 24.7 xG

Werder Bremen have scored 14 from 12.6 expected and conceded 19 from 20.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLLLLWDWDD last 10 scored 14 from 12.6 xG conceded 19 from 20.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	671815	2.38–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	631919	2.33–1.21	2-1 10%	69%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to win	68.5%	64.9%	42.0%	1.54×	1.54
Draw	17.3%	19.4%	24.7%	0.79×	5.16
Werder Bremen to win	14.2%	13.5%	33.5%	0.40×	7.40

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart & both teams score	36.3%	33.3%	22.3%	1.49×	3.00
VfB Stuttgart & not both score	32.2%	29.6%	19.9%	1.49×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	19.0%	0.70×	7.53
Werder Bremen & both teams score	8.7%	8.3%	18.5%	0.45×	12.01
Werder Bremen & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	15.1%	0.55×	12.02
Draw & not both score	3.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart & over 1.5	61.1%	54.6%	35.7%	1.53×	1.83
VfB Stuttgart & over 2.5	52.1%	48.8%	29.9%	1.63×	2.05
VfB Stuttgart & over 3.5	35.1%	34.9%	20.3%	1.72×	2.87
VfB Stuttgart & under 3.5	33.4%	30.8%	21.8%	1.41×	3.25
VfB Stuttgart & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	12.3%	1.47×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.3%	12.8%	19.0%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Werder Bremen & over 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	27.7%	0.46×	7.79
Werder Bremen & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	23.5%	0.34×	12.63
Werder Bremen & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	19.4%	0.41×	12.63
VfB Stuttgart & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.63
Werder Bremen & under 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	10.2%	0.47×	20.81
Werder Bremen & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	14.2%	0.34×	20.81
Werder Bremen & under 1.5	3.1%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (1UP)	80.1%	87.1%	60.2%	1.45×	1.15
Werder Bremen (1UP)	33.9%	33.1%	52.2%	0.63×	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (2UP)	68.5%	68.5%	45.4%	1.51×	1.46
Werder Bremen (2UP)	14.2%	14.3%	36.5%	0.39×	7.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to win 2nd half	55.6%	61.4%	37.4%	1.64×	1.63
2nd half drawn	26.9%	25.9%	33.5%	0.77×	3.87
Werder Bremen to win 2nd half	17.5%	18.1%	29.2%	0.62×	5.51

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	86.9%	79.3%	1.10×	1.15
Werder Bremen under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	52.3%	43.4%	1.21×	1.91
Werder Bremen over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	47.7%	56.6%	0.84×	2.10
Werder Bremen over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	13.1%	20.7%	0.64×	7.62

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	75.4%	63.2%	1.19×	1.33
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	57.9%	74.4%	0.78×	1.73
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	42.1%	25.6%	1.64×	2.38
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	24.6%	36.8%	0.67×	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (+0.5)	85.8%	88.5%	66.5%	1.33×	1.13
Werder Bremen (+2.5)	73.3%	73.7%	88.0%	0.84×	1.36
VfB Stuttgart (-0.5)	68.5%	68.7%	42.0%	1.64×	1.46
Werder Bremen (+1.5)	53.4%	52.4%	75.5%	0.69×	1.91
VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	46.6%	47.6%	24.5%	1.94×	2.10
Werder Bremen (+0.5)	31.5%	31.3%	58.0%	0.54×	3.19
VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	26.7%	26.3%	12.0%	2.20×	3.80
Werder Bremen (-0.5)	14.2%	11.5%	33.5%	0.34×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to concede	91.5%	91.8%	79.2%	1.16×	1.09
Werder Bremen clean sheet	8.5%	8.2%	20.8%	0.39×	12.22

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to concede in 1st half	64.0%	65.0%	51.9%	1.25×	1.54
Werder Bremen clean sheet in 1st half	36.0%	35.0%	48.1%	0.73×	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to concede in 2nd half	76.4%	75.6%	63.2%	1.20×	1.32
Werder Bremen clean sheet in 2nd half	23.6%	24.4%	36.8%	0.66×	4.10

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 6.5 corners	87.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Werder Bremen under 5.5 corners	79.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Werder Bremen over 2.5 corners	68.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Werder Bremen under 4.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Werder Bremen over 3.5 corners	50.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Werder Bremen under 3.5 corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Werder Bremen over 4.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Werder Bremen under 2.5 corners	31.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Werder Bremen over 5.5 corners	20.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Werder Bremen over 6.5 corners	12.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.5%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Werder Bremen under 2.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	79.1%	1.17×	1.08
Werder Bremen under 1.5 goals	71.9%	71.9%	57.1%	1.26×	1.39
Werder Bremen over 0.5 goals	64.8%	63.2%	74.4%	0.85×	1.58
Werder Bremen under 0.5 goals	35.2%	36.8%	25.6%	1.44×	2.72
Werder Bremen over 1.5 goals	28.1%	28.1%	42.9%	0.66×	3.56
Werder Bremen over 2.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	20.9%	0.37×	13.04
Werder Bremen over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.5%	7.3%	0.34×	39.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.1%	85.8%	1.10×	1.06
Werder Bremen under 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	69.8%	54.3%	1.28×	1.43
Werder Bremen over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	30.2%	45.7%	0.66×	3.31
Werder Bremen over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.9%	14.2%	0.42×	16.93

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen scores equally in both	44.5%	43.8%	39.5%	1.11×	2.29
Werder Bremen scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.4%	36.5%	1.02×	2.68
Werder Bremen scores more in 1st half	17.5%	17.7%	24.1%	0.74×	5.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (away no bet)	79.8%	73.7%	63.0%	1.17×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	20.2%	26.3%	37.0%	0.71×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen even goals	56.2%	56.9%	53.5%	1.06×	1.76
Werder Bremen odd goals	43.8%	43.1%	46.5%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.7%	76.9%	75.2%	1.02×	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.3%	23.1%	24.9%	0.93×	4.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.8%	72.5%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.2%	27.5%	27.7%	0.99×	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.9%	72.0%	66.5%	1.08×	1.39
VfB Stuttgart to score 2+ in a row	62.6%	60.1%	42.5%	1.41×	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	36.6%	36.6%	29.3%	1.25×	2.73
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+ in a row	33.4%	29.2%	17.8%	1.64×	3.42
Werder Bremen to score 2+ in a row	17.7%	16.3%	34.4%	0.47×	6.15
Werder Bremen to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	2.6%	12.4%	0.21×	38.52

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart corners (+3.5)	95.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
VfB Stuttgart corners (+2.5)	93.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
VfB Stuttgart corners (+1.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
VfB Stuttgart corners (-1.5)	65.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
VfB Stuttgart corners (-2.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Werder Bremen corners (+3.5)	54.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
VfB Stuttgart corners (-3.5)	45.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Werder Bremen corners (+2.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Werder Bremen corners (+1.5)	34.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Werder Bremen corners (-1.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Werder Bremen corners (-2.5)	7.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Werder Bremen corners (-3.5)	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.42

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	40.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	68.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	60.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	49.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	40.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	40.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	32.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.8%	11.5%	5.8%	1.97×	8.72
2-0	9.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.51
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.50
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-1	7.7%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
3-0	7.5%	7.4%	2.7%	2.75×	13.51
3-1	7.8%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.51
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.29
4-1	4.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.29
0-0	3.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.30
0-1	3.1%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.30
0-2	1.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.32
1-2	4.0%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.30
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.32
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.32
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.32
4-0	4.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.29
4-2	2.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.30
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.82×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (2nd half DNB)	76.1%	79.6%	56.2%	1.42×	1.26
Werder Bremen (2nd half DNB)	23.9%	20.4%	43.8%	0.47×	4.90

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart leading at HT (DNB)	79.8%	75.8%	55.6%	1.36×	1.32
Werder Bremen leading at HT (DNB)	20.2%	24.2%	44.4%	0.55×	4.12

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X)	85.8%	86.5%	66.5%	1.30×	1.16
VfB Stuttgart or Werder Bremen (12)	82.7%	80.6%	75.3%	1.07×	1.24
Werder Bremen or draw (X2)	31.5%	35.1%	58.0%	0.61×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw at HT	86.9%	87.7%	70.7%	1.24×	1.14
VfB Stuttgart or Werder Bremen at HT	64.8%	61.4%	65.9%	0.93×	1.63
Werder Bremen or draw at HT	48.3%	52.4%	63.3%	0.83×	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1UP)	85.8%	91.7%	73.8%	1.24×	1.09
Werder Bremen or draw (1UP)	33.9%	39.3%	64.7%	0.61×	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart or draw in 2nd half	82.5%	81.9%	70.8%	1.16×	1.22
VfB Stuttgart or Werder Bremen in 2nd half	73.1%	74.1%	66.5%	1.12×	1.35
Werder Bremen or draw in 2nd half	44.4%	38.6%	62.6%	0.62×	2.59

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.6%	50.2%	54.0%	0.93×	1.99
Neither half drawn	47.4%	49.8%	46.0%	1.08×	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (DNB)	82.8%	80.3%	55.6%	1.44×	1.25
Werder Bremen (DNB)	17.2%	19.7%	44.4%	0.44×	5.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score first	68.2%	69.5%	51.2%	1.36×	1.44
Werder Bremen to score first	28.9%	28.1%	43.1%	0.65×	3.56
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	5.8%	0.73×	23.47

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.4%	55.0%	59.5%	0.92×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.6%	45.0%	40.5%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.7%	47.2%	50.2%	0.94×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	24.2%	27.8%	28.0%	0.99×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	16.5%	21.5%	12.7%	1.69×	4.64
Both score & under 2.5	7.7%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.2%	82.6%	79.2%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.8%	17.4%	20.8%	0.84×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.3%	65.5%	65.0%	1.01×	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.7%	34.5%	35.0%	0.98×	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.1%	54.6%	51.2%	1.07×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	30.3%	26.9%	28.3%	0.95×	3.71
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	13.9%	0.77×	9.31
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.8%	6.9%	0.99×	14.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.3%	83.2%	79.3%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.7%	16.8%	20.7%	0.81×	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.1%	66.0%	67.5%	0.98×	1.52
A half without a goal	33.9%	34.0%	32.5%	1.05×	2.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	40.0%	42.1%	39.8%	1.06×	2.38
2-3 goals	40.0%	35.2%	38.3%	0.92×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.5%	16.9%	17.9%	0.94×	5.91
7+ goals	6.6%	7.6%	4.3%	1.75×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	31.7%	1.13×	2.78
Werder Bremen to score exactly 0	35.2%	35.9%	25.6%	1.41×	2.78
Werder Bremen to score exactly 2	19.2%	19.6%	22.1%	0.89×	5.11
Werder Bremen to score 3+	8.9%	8.6%	20.9%	0.41×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+	44.8%	35.4%	27.5%	1.29×	2.83
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	23.3%	1.14×	3.77
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 1	20.9%	23.3%	28.7%	0.81×	4.29
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 0	8.5%	10.3%	20.8%	0.50×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart leading at HT	51.7%	47.6%	36.7%	1.30×	2.10
Draw at HT	35.2%	38.6%	34.1%	1.13×	2.59
Werder Bremen leading at HT	13.1%	12.3%	29.3%	0.42×	8.16

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart -1: 1	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VfB Stuttgart -1: 2	31.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
VfB Stuttgart -1: X	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:1)	46.6%	46.1%	24.5%	1.88×	2.17
Werder Bremen (0:1)	31.5%	30.1%	58.0%	0.52×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	17.6%	1.37×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (0:2)	53.4%	58.1%	75.5%	0.77×	1.72
VfB Stuttgart (0:2)	26.7%	24.0%	12.0%	2.01×	4.16
Draw (0:2)	19.9%	15.3%	12.7%	1.21×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (0:3)	73.3%	77.7%	88.0%	0.88×	1.29
Draw (0:3)	13.7%	10.0%	4.9%	2.02×	10.03
VfB Stuttgart (0:3)	12.9%	10.0%	7.2%	1.39×	10.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (0:4)	87.1%	91.9%	92.8%	0.99×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.6%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.61
VfB Stuttgart (0:4)	5.4%	4.6%	2.4%	1.92×	21.80

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (1:0)	85.8%	86.0%	66.5%	1.29×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	16.7%	0.41×	14.46
Werder Bremen (1:0)	4.9%	3.3%	16.9%	0.20×	30.34

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (2:0)	95.1%	96.8%	83.1%	1.16×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	9.9%	0.23×	43.61
Werder Bremen (2:0)	1.3%	2.3%	7.2%	0.32×	43.75

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.3%	50.5%	47.5%	1.06×	1.98
1st half highest scoring	24.8%	24.5%	25.9%	0.95×	4.08
Halves equal	20.8%	24.4%	26.8%	0.91×	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede	64.8%	63.7%	74.4%	0.86×	1.57
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet	35.2%	36.3%	25.6%	1.42×	2.76

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet in 1st half	69.3%	70.2%	54.3%	1.29×	1.43
VfB Stuttgart to concede in 1st half	30.7%	29.8%	45.7%	0.65×	3.35

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet in 2nd half	50.7%	52.5%	43.4%	1.21×	1.91
VfB Stuttgart to concede in 2nd half	49.3%	47.6%	56.6%	0.84×	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 corners	93.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
VfB Stuttgart over 3.5 corners	85.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
VfB Stuttgart over 4.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
VfB Stuttgart over 5.5 corners	64.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
VfB Stuttgart over 6.5 corners	52.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
VfB Stuttgart under 6.5 corners	47.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
VfB Stuttgart under 5.5 corners	35.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
VfB Stuttgart under 4.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
VfB Stuttgart under 3.5 corners	14.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
VfB Stuttgart under 2.5 corners	6.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 goals	91.5%	92.2%	79.2%	1.16×	1.08
VfB Stuttgart under 3.5 goals	76.5%	77.7%	88.3%	0.88×	1.29
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals	70.6%	74.2%	50.7%	1.46×	1.35
VfB Stuttgart under 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	72.5%	0.81×	1.71
VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	27.5%	1.51×	2.41
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 goals	29.4%	25.8%	49.3%	0.52×	3.88
VfB Stuttgart over 3.5 goals	23.5%	22.3%	11.7%	1.91×	4.49
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	20.8%	0.37×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	79.2%	80.5%	0.98×	1.26
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	64.8%	51.9%	1.25×	1.54
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	35.2%	48.1%	0.73×	2.84
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	20.8%	19.5%	1.07×	4.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart scores more in 2nd half	46.8%	47.1%	38.2%	1.23×	2.12
VfB Stuttgart scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.7%	25.2%	1.10×	3.61
VfB Stuttgart scores equally in both	26.5%	27.7%	36.8%	0.75×	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.9%	51.4%	42.4%	1.21×	1.95
Werder Bremen (home no bet)	45.1%	48.6%	57.6%	0.84×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart even goals	50.4%	50.7%	52.8%	0.96×	1.97
VfB Stuttgart odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	47.2%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	25.5%	28.2%	19.2%	1.47×	3.55
HT 0-0	24.9%	24.4%	23.1%	1.06×	4.10
HT 2-0	13.0%	11.0%	9.4%	1.16×	9.11
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	9.9%	0.70×	14.44
HT 0-1	9.1%	6.9%	16.6%	0.42×	14.44
Any other HT score	9.0%	6.9%	6.9%	1.01×	14.45
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.4%	4.2%	0.57×	41.98
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.18
HT 0-2	1.7%	2.4%	7.2%	0.33×	42.19
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	1.3%	1.76×	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	45.6%	46.7%	28.1%	1.66×	2.14
Draw at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	19.6%	16.8%	10.9%	1.53×	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.5%	6.0%	13.6%	0.44×	16.55
Werder Bremen at HT / Werder Bremen at FT	6.5%	6.0%	20.4%	0.30×	16.64
Draw at HT / Werder Bremen at FT	6.2%	6.0%	9.9%	0.61×	16.65
VfB Stuttgart at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.63
Werder Bremen at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	3.3%	3.5%	3.3%	1.06×	28.67
Werder Bremen at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.67
VfB Stuttgart at HT / Werder Bremen at FT	1.6%	3.5%	3.6%	0.97×	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score last	68.1%	70.4%	50.0%	1.41×	1.42
Werder Bremen to score last	28.9%	27.8%	44.3%	0.63×	3.60
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	5.8%	0.73×	23.47

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.7%	94.2%	1.02×	1.05
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 1 at any time	80.1%	87.2%	60.2%	1.45×	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.3%	61.4%	55.7%	1.10×	1.63
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 2 at any time	54.0%	50.9%	32.9%	1.54×	1.97
Werder Bremen to lead by 1 at any time	33.9%	29.9%	52.2%	0.57×	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.9%	29.9%	25.4%	1.17×	3.35
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 3 at any time	30.6%	29.8%	15.7%	1.89×	3.36
Werder Bremen to lead by 2 at any time	9.7%	6.8%	23.5%	0.29×	14.81
Werder Bremen to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	1.6%	9.9%	0.16×	62.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart most corners	74.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Werder Bremen most corners	17.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	7.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.7%	83.4%	83.0%	1.01×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.0%	78.7%	77.9%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.4%	68.8%	71.9%	0.96×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.6%	63.3%	58.6%	1.08×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.9%	59.1%	59.8%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.2%	51.6%	1.03×	1.88
1-3 goals	50.4%	53.2%	50.4%	1.06×	1.88
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	40.5%	1.08×	2.30
4-6 goals	40.0%	43.6%	39.8%	1.10×	2.30
2-3 goals	40.0%	39.2%	38.3%	1.02×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.2%	35.2%	32.7%	1.08×	2.84
1-2 goals	28.9%	30.2%	31.5%	0.96×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.1%	24.5%	18.2%	1.34×	4.09
7+ goals	6.6%	8.9%	4.3%	2.05×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart never behind	63.1%	68.3%	47.8%	1.43×	1.47
Werder Bremen never behind	16.9%	18.3%	39.8%	0.46×	5.46

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	45.7%	1.11×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	54.3%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.6%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.4%	47.5%	1.02×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	51.9%	53.0%	0.98×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.1%	47.0%	1.02×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	82.1%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.1%	66.3%	62.8%	1.06×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	56.1%	0.94×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	43.9%	1.08×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	31.9%	33.7%	37.2%	0.91×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	22.4%	1.23×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	11.4%	1.09×	8.06
Under 1.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	17.9%	0.69×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.9%	92.4%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.5%	81.1%	77.8%	1.04×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.4%	81.1%	87.2%	0.93×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	65.9%	67.4%	71.4%	0.94×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.4%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.6%	44.2%	45.9%	0.96×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	34.1%	32.6%	28.6%	1.14×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.5%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.6%	18.9%	12.8%	1.48×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.1%	7.6%	4.7%	1.63×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.6%	85.8%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	78.2%	76.9%	1.02×	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.6%	63.9%	58.5%	1.09×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.4%	36.1%	41.5%	0.87×	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	21.8%	23.1%	0.94×	4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.4%	14.2%	15.4%	0.92×	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.5%	84.7%	1.01×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.3%	61.8%	72.9%	0.85×	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	61.7%	55.7%	1.11×	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	38.3%	44.3%	0.86×	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.7%	38.2%	27.1%	1.41×	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.5%	15.3%	0.95×	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen not to score in both halves	84.9%	84.4%	72.2%	1.17×	1.19
VfB Stuttgart not to score in both halves	51.1%	55.2%	64.1%	0.86×	1.81
VfB Stuttgart to score in both halves	48.9%	44.8%	35.9%	1.25×	2.23
Werder Bremen to score in both halves	15.1%	15.6%	27.8%	0.56×	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.4%	58.7%	59.5%	0.99×	1.71
Only VfB Stuttgart scores	32.2%	33.3%	19.9%	1.67×	3.00
Only Werder Bremen scores	5.5%	7.1%	15.1%	0.47×	14.06
Neither team scores	3.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.73

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	19.0%	1.19×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	21.7%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.4%	17.5%	19.4%	0.90×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.4%	12.1%	11.4%	1.07×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	13.3%	12.1%	11.2%	1.08×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.5%	12.1%	12.3%	0.99×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.6%	35.9%	35.6%	1.01×	2.79
No goals in 1st half	24.9%	21.5%	23.1%	0.93×	4.65
2 goals in 1st half	24.1%	21.5%	26.2%	0.82×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.4%	15.6%	15.4%	1.01×	6.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.6%	58.8%	55.7%	1.06×	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.4%	29.1%	29.2%	1.00×	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	12.0%	14.3%	15.3%	0.93×	7.01

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	90.9%	1.07×	1.03
VfB Stuttgart not to win both halves	71.3%	72.5%	84.0%	0.86×	1.38
VfB Stuttgart to win both halves	28.7%	27.5%	16.0%	1.72×	3.63
Werder Bremen to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	9.1%	0.31×	35.86

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to win either half	78.5%	80.0%	58.1%	1.38×	1.25
Werder Bremen to win neither half	71.7%	73.0%	50.6%	1.44×	1.37
Werder Bremen to win either half	28.3%	27.0%	49.4%	0.55×	3.70
VfB Stuttgart to win neither half	21.5%	20.0%	41.9%	0.48×	4.99

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen not to win to nil	94.5%	92.1%	84.9%	1.09×	1.09
VfB Stuttgart not to win to nil	67.8%	69.7%	80.1%	0.87×	1.44
VfB Stuttgart to win to nil	32.2%	30.3%	19.9%	1.53×	3.30
Werder Bremen to win to nil	5.5%	7.9%	15.1%	0.52×	12.70

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart by 3+	26.7%	27.9%	12.0%	2.33×	3.59
VfB Stuttgart by 1	21.9%	24.1%	17.6%	1.37×	4.15
VfB Stuttgart by 2	19.9%	17.1%	12.7%	1.34×	5.86
Draw	17.3%	17.0%	24.7%	0.69×	5.87
Werder Bremen by 1	9.3%	7.2%	16.7%	0.43×	13.90
Werder Bremen by 2	3.6%	2.7%	9.9%	0.28×	36.79
Werder Bremen by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	7.2%	0.38×	36.86