VfL Osnabruck v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

VfL Osnabruck

18:00 UTC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 31h before kick-off

VfL Osnabruck win

38.6%

Draw

25.2%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win

36.2%

392536

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8.2%
1-0 7.2%
0-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.7%	Under 2.5	42.3%
BTTS yes	60.8%	BTTS no	39.2%
VfL Osnabruck 1+	78.3%	VfL Osnabruck 2+	45.2%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1+	77.1%	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2+	43.3%

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

20/100

Data quality

45/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

VfL Osnabruck carry the stronger rating, 1477 Elo against 1439.

Risk factors

Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
VfL Osnabruck have only 3 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

VfL Osnabruck have an estimated 38.6% win probability, against 36.2% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 25.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.53 for VfL Osnabruck and 1.47 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Why VfL Osnabruck

VfL Osnabruck carry the stronger rating, 1477 Elo against 1439.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 25.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.53 to 1.47. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why SpVgg Greuther Fürth can win

Nothing in the data singles out SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for VfL Osnabruck, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

VfL Osnabruck: 40% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 19.7 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 44% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. VfL Osnabruck's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

VfL Osnabruck are the model's most likely outcome at 38.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 20/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392536	1.53–1.47	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412534	1.58–1.42	1-1 12%	58%	61%
deep	412534	1.58–1.42	1-1 12%	58%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to win	40.8%	42.9%	43.2%	0.99×	2.33
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win	34.1%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	25.1%	27.9%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck & both teams score	22.1%	21.8%	22.3%	0.98×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.57
VfL Osnabruck & not both score	18.7%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.57
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & not both score	15.3%	18.0%	13.2%	1.37×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	6.3%	1.31×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck & over 1.5	33.4%	30.8%	34.5%	0.89×	3.25
VfL Osnabruck & over 2.5	27.2%	26.1%	28.0%	0.93×	3.84
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & over 1.5	27.4%	26.1%	25.7%	1.01×	3.84
VfL Osnabruck & under 3.5	25.7%	26.1%	28.0%	0.93×	3.84
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & over 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	22.0%	0.98×	4.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	20.9%	1.03×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	16.9%	1.07×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	16.9%	1.07×	5.56
VfL Osnabruck & over 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	15.3%	1.17×	5.56
VfL Osnabruck & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.79
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & under 2.5	11.7%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & over 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
VfL Osnabruck & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	8.8%	0.90×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.4%	1.46×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (1UP)	58.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1UP)	52.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (2UP)	40.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2UP)	34.1%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to win 2nd half	34.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2nd half drawn	33.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 2nd half	31.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
VfL Osnabruck over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
VfL Osnabruck under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
VfL Osnabruck over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (+2.5)	91.7%	92.1%	90.6%	1.02×	1.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (+1.5)	79.4%	78.5%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
VfL Osnabruck (+0.5)	65.9%	68.7%	69.0%	0.99×	1.46
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (+0.5)	59.2%	57.1%	56.8%	1.00×	1.75
VfL Osnabruck (-0.5)	40.8%	43.0%	43.2%	0.99×	2.33
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-0.5)	34.1%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
VfL Osnabruck (-1.5)	20.6%	21.5%	22.3%	0.96×	4.65
VfL Osnabruck (-2.5)	8.3%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to concede	79.3%	78.8%	80.7%	0.98×	1.27
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet	20.7%	21.2%	19.4%	1.10×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet in 1st half	50.8%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to concede in 1st half	49.2%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to concede in 2nd half	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet in 2nd half	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.4%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 2.5 goals	82.8%	81.5%	83.7%	0.97×	1.23
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 0.5 goals	75.9%	76.2%	72.8%	1.05×	1.31
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 1.5 goals	58.5%	59.4%	60.4%	0.98×	1.68
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 goals	41.5%	40.6%	39.6%	1.02×	2.46
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 0.5 goals	24.1%	23.8%	27.2%	0.87×	4.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 2.5 goals	17.2%	18.5%	16.3%	1.14×	5.39
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	5.4%	1.41×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 1.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 0.5 in 1st half	56.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 0.5 in 1st half	43.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.41

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores more in 2nd half	39.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores equally in both	37.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores more in 1st half	22.9%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (away no bet)	61.9%	61.9%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	38.1%	38.1%	37.6%	1.01×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth even goals	52.9%	52.6%	54.0%	0.97×	1.90
SpVgg Greuther Fürth odd goals	47.1%	47.4%	46.0%	1.03×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.5%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
VfL Osnabruck to score 2+ in a row	36.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 2+ in a row	31.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
VfL Osnabruck to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.76

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.6%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.50
0-1	6.7%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.50
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.50
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
0-2	5.0%	7.4%	3.9%	1.91×	13.51
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.51
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
1-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.29
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.31
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.53×	58.32
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (2nd half DNB)	51.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2nd half DNB)	48.1%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck leading at HT (DNB)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
SpVgg Greuther Fürth leading at HT (DNB)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (12)	74.9%	72.1%	74.0%	0.97×	1.39
VfL Osnabruck or draw (1X)	65.9%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (X2)	59.2%	57.1%	56.8%	1.01×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck or draw at HT	74.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw at HT	67.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
VfL Osnabruck or SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT	58.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck or draw (1UP)	65.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (1UP)	59.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck or draw in 2nd half	68.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
VfL Osnabruck or SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 2nd half	66.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw in 2nd half	65.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (DNB)	54.5%	51.0%	58.2%	0.88×	1.96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (DNB)	45.5%	49.0%	41.8%	1.17×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to score first	49.7%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score first	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.6%	56.6%	59.8%	0.95×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.4%	43.4%	40.2%	1.08×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.0%	44.4%	49.2%	0.90×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.8%	34.5%	30.5%	1.13×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.4%	10.7%	1.16×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	9.9%	0.84×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.6%	82.6%	80.5%	1.03×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.4%	17.4%	19.5%	0.89×	5.74

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.9%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	7.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.6%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.3%	47.2%	45.4%	1.04×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.9%	30.7%	30.5%	1.01×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.3%	20.3%	1.00×	4.94
7+ goals	3.3%	1.8%	4.2%	0.44×	54.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.8%	33.3%	1.02×	2.95
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.3%	23.5%	0.95×	4.48
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score exactly 0	24.1%	22.3%	27.2%	0.82×	4.48
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score 3+	17.2%	19.6%	16.3%	1.20×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to score exactly 1	32.6%	32.6%	31.7%	1.03×	3.07
VfL Osnabruck to score exactly 2	25.7%	26.5%	26.6%	1.00×	3.77
VfL Osnabruck to score 3+	21.0%	23.3%	22.6%	1.03×	4.29
VfL Osnabruck to score exactly 0	20.7%	23.3%	19.4%	1.20×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
VfL Osnabruck leading at HT	32.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth leading at HT	26.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck -1: 2	59.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
VfL Osnabruck -1: 1	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
VfL Osnabruck -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:1)	59.2%	55.9%	56.8%	0.98×	1.79
VfL Osnabruck (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	22.3%	1.09×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	21.1%	1.15×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:2)	79.4%	79.4%	77.7%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.10
VfL Osnabruck (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	9.4%	0.81×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:3)	91.7%	92.7%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	6.0%	0.96×	17.24
VfL Osnabruck (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	3.6%	0.67×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.0%	0.61×	81.88
VfL Osnabruck (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.7%	0.72×	82.02

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (1:0)	65.9%	70.1%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.85
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1:0)	15.9%	17.1%	13.2%	1.30×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck (2:0)	84.1%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.0%	10.3%	7.1%	1.44×	9.74
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	6.2%	1.03×	15.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to concede	75.9%	76.0%	72.8%	1.05×	1.32
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet	24.1%	24.0%	27.2%	0.88×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet in 1st half	56.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
VfL Osnabruck to concede in 1st half	43.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to concede in 2nd half	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet in 2nd half	42.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck under 3.5 goals	92.5%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
VfL Osnabruck over 0.5 goals	79.3%	77.7%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
VfL Osnabruck under 2.5 goals	79.0%	77.7%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
VfL Osnabruck under 1.5 goals	53.3%	53.2%	50.9%	1.05×	1.88
VfL Osnabruck over 1.5 goals	46.7%	46.8%	49.1%	0.95×	2.14
VfL Osnabruck over 2.5 goals	21.0%	22.3%	22.6%	0.98×	4.49
VfL Osnabruck under 0.5 goals	20.7%	22.3%	19.4%	1.15×	4.49
VfL Osnabruck over 3.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck under 1.5 in 1st half	85.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
VfL Osnabruck under 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
VfL Osnabruck over 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
VfL Osnabruck over 1.5 in 1st half	14.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck scores more in 2nd half	38.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
VfL Osnabruck scores equally in both	35.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
VfL Osnabruck scores more in 1st half	26.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home no bet)	57.5%	56.4%	54.3%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.5%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck even goals	52.1%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
VfL Osnabruck odd goals	47.9%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 2-0	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
Any other HT score	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck at HT / VfL Osnabruck at FT	24.3%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT / SpVgg Greuther Fürth at FT	18.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / VfL Osnabruck at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / SpVgg Greuther Fürth at FT	12.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
VfL Osnabruck at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
VfL Osnabruck at HT / SpVgg Greuther Fürth at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at HT / VfL Osnabruck at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.67

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to score last	49.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score last	44.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
VfL Osnabruck to lead by 1 at any time	58.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to lead by 1 at any time	52.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
VfL Osnabruck to lead by 2 at any time	27.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to lead by 2 at any time	22.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
VfL Osnabruck to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	84.7%	1.03×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.1%	78.7%	75.7%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.2%	78.7%	75.7%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	61.8%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.4%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.3%	53.2%	55.0%	0.97×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.2%	48.5%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.3%	48.5%	45.4%	1.07×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.2%	39.2%	41.0%	0.96×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.0%	39.2%	34.8%	1.13×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.9%	35.2%	30.5%	1.15×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.8%	30.2%	25.5%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.1%	18.8%	14.1%	1.34×	5.31
7+ goals	3.3%	2.6%	4.2%	0.61×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck never behind	41.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
SpVgg Greuther Fürth never behind	35.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.9%	50.6%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.1%	49.4%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.6%	82.3%	81.9%	1.00×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.3%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.8%	61.8%	65.5%	0.94×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	59.0%	0.99×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	41.0%	1.01×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.2%	38.3%	34.5%	1.11×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.7%	20.3%	0.87×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	18.4%	17.7%	18.1%	0.98×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.5%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.7%	92.4%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.9%	75.9%	78.3%	0.97×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.7%	72.4%	74.4%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.7%	51.9%	54.3%	0.96×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.3%	48.1%	45.7%	1.05×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.3%	27.6%	25.6%	1.08×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.1%	24.1%	21.7%	1.11×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.3%	7.6%	10.0%	0.76×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.5%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth not to score in both halves	75.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
VfL Osnabruck not to score in both halves	70.9%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
VfL Osnabruck to score in both halves	29.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score in both halves	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.6%	60.2%	59.8%	1.01×	1.66
Only VfL Osnabruck scores	18.7%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.24
Only SpVgg Greuther Fürth scores	15.3%	16.0%	13.2%	1.22×	6.25
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	6.3%	1.12×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.9%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.6%	0.92×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.8%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.1%	12.1%	14.1%	0.86×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.1%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.3%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	6.3%	1.20×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.9%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
2 goals in 1st half	22.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	13.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	17.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.08

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth not to win both halves	91.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
VfL Osnabruck not to win both halves	88.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
VfL Osnabruck to win both halves	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win both halves	8.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfL Osnabruck to win either half	55.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win neither half	50.4%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win either half	49.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
VfL Osnabruck to win neither half	44.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth not to win to nil	84.7%	83.1%	86.8%	0.96×	1.20
VfL Osnabruck not to win to nil	81.3%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
VfL Osnabruck to win to nil	18.7%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.92
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win to nil	15.3%	16.9%	13.2%	1.28×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.1%	27.9%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59
VfL Osnabruck by 1	20.2%	24.1%	21.1%	1.14×	4.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth by 1	18.2%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.87
VfL Osnabruck by 2	12.3%	11.8%	13.0%	0.90×	8.51
SpVgg Greuther Fürth by 2	10.0%	11.7%	7.1%	1.65×	8.51
VfL Osnabruck by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	9.4%	0.76×	13.90
SpVgg Greuther Fürth by 3+	5.8%	7.2%	6.2%	1.16×	13.91