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Viking FK v Feyenoord Rotterdam — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 December 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Viking FK win
41.8%
model 43.0%
Draw
21.9%
model 20.8%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
36.3%
model 36.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-1 8.3%
  2. 1-1 8.3%
  3. 1-2 7.6%
  4. 2-2 7.1%
  5. 1-0 5.7%

Goals

Over 2.569.6% Under 2.530.4%
BTTS yes68.9% BTTS no31.1%
Viking FK 1+84.8% Viking FK 2+56.1%
Feyenoord Rotterdam 1+81.9% Feyenoord Rotterdam 2+51.0%

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
2-4 goals
Multi goal · usually 54%
58.5% fair odds 1.71
moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
83.7% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Viking FK carry the stronger rating, 1739 Elo against 1677.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Viking FK have an estimated 41.8% win probability, against 36.3% for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.88 for Viking FK and 1.71 for Feyenoord Rotterdam.

Why Viking FK

Viking FK carry the stronger rating, 1739 Elo against 1677. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.88 to 1.71. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why Feyenoord Rotterdam can win

Nothing in the data singles out Feyenoord Rotterdam.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Viking FK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Feyenoord Rotterdam, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Viking FK: 48% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 53% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Viking FK are the model's most likely outcome at 41.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 8.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.88–1.71 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.88–1.88 2-1 8% 72% 71%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to win 39.9% 36.4% 51.0% 0.71× 2.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 39.6% 36.4% 33.7% 1.08× 2.75
Draw 20.4% 24.4% 15.6% 1.57× 4.10
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK & both teams score 26.5% 25.2% 26.8% 0.94× 3.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam & both teams score 26.3% 25.2% 18.4% 1.37× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 18.6% 18.0% 10.7% 1.68× 5.57
Viking FK & not both score 13.5% 13.3% 24.5% 0.54× 7.53
Feyenoord Rotterdam & not both score 13.4% 13.3% 15.6% 0.85× 7.53
Draw & not both score 1.8% 4.8% 5.1% 0.95× 20.64
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK & over 1.5 35.1% 34.9% 42.9% 0.81× 2.87
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 1.5 34.8% 30.8% 28.1% 1.10× 3.25
Viking FK & over 2.5 30.9% 30.8% 36.7% 0.84× 3.25
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 2.5 30.7% 30.8% 23.7% 1.30× 3.25
Viking FK & over 3.5 20.6% 21.6% 24.5% 0.88× 4.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 3.5 20.4% 21.6% 14.8% 1.46× 4.63
Viking FK & under 3.5 19.4% 18.0% 26.8% 0.67× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.6% 18.0% 10.7% 1.68× 5.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 3.5 19.2% 18.0% 19.1% 0.94× 5.56
Draw & over 2.5 10.9% 12.8% 5.4% 2.40× 7.79
Draw & over 3.5 10.9% 12.8% 5.4% 2.40× 7.79
Viking FK & under 2.5 9.0% 7.9% 14.5% 0.54× 12.63
Draw & under 2.5 9.6% 7.9% 10.5% 0.76× 12.63
Draw & under 3.5 9.6% 7.9% 10.5% 0.76× 12.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 2.5 9.0% 7.9% 10.2% 0.78× 12.63
Viking FK & under 1.5 4.9% 4.8% 8.4% 0.57× 20.81
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 1.5 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 0.82× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 1.8% 4.8% 5.1% 0.94× 20.83
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (1UP) 60.7% 62.7% — — 1.59
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1UP) 60.4% 62.7% — — 1.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (2UP) 39.9% 37.6% — — 2.66
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2UP) 39.6% 37.6% — — 2.66
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 2nd half 36.9% 36.1% — — 2.77
Viking FK to win 2nd half 34.3% 34.3% — — 2.91
2nd half drawn 28.8% 25.8% — — 3.88
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 2nd half 69.0% 70.3% — — 1.42
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.5% 70.2% — — 1.43
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.5% 29.8% — — 3.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 2nd half 31.0% 29.7% — — 3.37
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK under 1.5 in 2nd half 70.9% 73.9% — — 1.35
Viking FK over 0.5 in 2nd half 65.8% 70.6% — — 1.42
Viking FK under 0.5 in 2nd half 34.2% 29.4% — — 3.40
Viking FK over 1.5 in 2nd half 29.1% 26.1% — — 3.83
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (+2.5) 90.6% 92.1% 81.6% 1.13× 1.09
Feyenoord Rotterdam (+1.5) 78.9% 78.5% 68.4% 1.15× 1.27
Viking FK (+0.5) 60.4% 62.9% 66.3% 0.95× 1.59
Feyenoord Rotterdam (+0.5) 60.1% 62.9% 49.0% 1.28× 1.59
Viking FK (-0.5) 39.9% 37.1% 51.0% 0.73× 2.70
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-0.5) 39.6% 37.1% 33.7% 1.10× 2.70
Viking FK (-1.5) 21.1% 21.5% 31.6% 0.68× 4.65
Viking FK (-2.5) 9.4% 7.9% 18.4% 0.43× 12.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede 84.8% 81.6% 79.6% 1.02× 1.23
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet 15.2% 18.4% 20.4% 0.90× 5.42
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 1st half 55.5% 56.9% — — 1.76
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 1st half 44.5% 43.1% — — 2.32
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 2nd half 65.8% 65.7% — — 1.52
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 2nd half 34.2% 34.3% — — 2.92
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 corners 78.8% 76.0% — — 1.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 6.5 corners 74.3% 71.6% — — 1.40
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 corners 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 5.5 corners 63.4% 61.8% — — 1.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 4.5 corners 50.1% 53.0% — — 1.89
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 4.5 corners 49.9% 47.0% — — 2.13
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 5.5 corners 36.6% 38.2% — — 2.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 corners 35.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 6.5 corners 25.7% 28.4% — — 3.52
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 corners 21.2% 24.0% — — 4.17
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 goals 87.9% 87.8% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 goals 84.7% 81.5% 70.7% 1.15× 1.23
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 goals 71.0% 71.9% 79.1% 0.91× 1.39
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 goals 55.9% 59.4% 40.1% 1.48× 1.68
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 goals 44.1% 40.6% 59.9% 0.68× 2.46
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 goals 29.0% 28.1% 20.9% 1.35× 3.55
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 goals 15.3% 18.5% 29.3% 0.63× 5.40
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 goals 12.1% 12.2% 7.7% 1.59× 8.20
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 1st half 82.7% 83.0% — — 1.21
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 1st half 52.8% 55.5% — — 1.80
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 1st half 47.2% 44.5% — — 2.25
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 1st half 17.3% 17.0% — — 5.87
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 2nd half 44.4% 43.5% — — 2.30
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores equally in both 31.3% 33.6% — — 2.98
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 1st half 24.4% 22.0% — — 4.54
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (away no bet) 66.2% 66.4% 76.6% 0.87× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 33.8% 33.6% 23.4% 1.44× 2.97
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam even goals 51.2% 52.6% 53.6% 0.98× 1.90
Feyenoord Rotterdam odd goals 48.8% 47.4% 46.4% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 70.2% 76.3% — — 1.31
Both halves over 1.5 goals 29.8% 23.7% — — 4.23
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 80.7% 78.2% — — 1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals 19.3% 21.8% — — 4.59
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 71.8% 72.0% — — 1.39
Viking FK to score 2+ in a row 43.1% 38.8% — — 2.58
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 2+ in a row 42.9% 38.8% — — 2.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row 31.3% 29.2% — — 3.43
Viking FK to score 3+ in a row 16.3% 16.2% — — 6.16
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 16.2% — — 6.16
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK corners (+3.5) 83.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+3.5) 77.5% 74.8% — — 1.34
Viking FK corners (+2.5) 77.0% 74.8% — — 1.34
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+2.5) 69.6% 65.9% — — 1.52
Viking FK corners (+1.5) 68.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+1.5) 60.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Viking FK corners (-1.5) 39.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-1.5) 31.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Viking FK corners (-2.5) 30.4% 34.1% — — 2.93
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-2.5) 23.0% 25.2% — — 3.97
Viking FK corners (-3.5) 22.5% 25.2% — — 3.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-3.5) 16.3% 20.2% — — 4.94
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 36.8% 34.0% — — 2.94
12+ corners 35.3% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 27.9% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 72.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 72.5% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 64.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 63.2% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 56.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 53.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 46.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 44.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 36.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 35.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 27.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 27.5% 27.5% — — 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 7.7% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.50
1-2 7.7% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.50
2-1 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 0.97× 13.50
2-2 7.3% 7.4% 3.8% 1.94× 13.51
Any other score 8.3% 7.4% 11.5% 0.65× 13.50
0-1 4.9% 1.7% 5.9% 0.29× 58.29
1-0 4.9% 1.7% 8.4% 0.20× 58.29
1-3 4.8% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.29
3-1 4.9% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.29
0-0 1.8% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.31
0-2 4.1% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.30
0-3 2.6% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.30
0-4 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.31
1-4 2.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.31
2-0 4.1% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.30
2-3 4.5% 1.7% 5.4% 0.32× 58.29
2-4 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.31
3-0 2.6% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.30
3-2 4.6% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.29
3-3 2.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.30
3-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.31
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.31
4-1 2.3% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
4-2 2.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.34× 58.31
4-3 1.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.31
4-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2nd half DNB) 51.8% 52.7% — — 1.90
Viking FK (2nd half DNB) 48.2% 47.3% — — 2.12
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK leading at HT (DNB) 52.7% 54.9% — — 1.82
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT (DNB) 47.3% 45.1% — — 2.22
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or Feyenoord Rotterdam (12) 79.6% 75.6% 84.4% 0.90× 1.32
Viking FK or draw (1X) 60.4% 63.6% 66.3% 0.96× 1.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (X2) 60.1% 63.6% 49.0% 1.30× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or draw at HT 69.6% 66.7% — — 1.50
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw at HT 66.1% 66.6% — — 1.50
Viking FK or Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT 64.3% 61.6% — — 1.62
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or draw (1UP) 60.7% 71.5% — — 1.40
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1UP) 60.4% 71.5% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or Feyenoord Rotterdam in 2nd half 71.2% 74.2% — — 1.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw in 2nd half 65.7% 65.7% — — 1.52
Viking FK or draw in 2nd half 63.1% 63.9% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 54.8% 50.2% — — 1.99
Neither half drawn 45.2% 49.8% — — 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (DNB) 50.2% 50.9% 60.2% 0.84× 1.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam (DNB) 49.8% 49.1% 39.8% 1.24× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to score first 49.2% 46.1% — — 2.17
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score first 49.0% 46.1% — — 2.17
No goal scored 1.8% 4.2% — — 23.64
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 71.3% 62.5% 55.4% 1.13× 1.60
Not both teams to score 28.7% 37.5% 44.6% 0.84× 2.66
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 63.6% 50.5% 50.0% 1.01× 1.98
Not both score & under 2.5 19.8% 21.6% 29.3% 0.74× 4.63
Not both score & over 2.5 8.9% 8.3% 15.6% 0.53× 12.06
Both score & under 2.5 7.7% 8.3% 5.6% 1.48× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 68.6% 71.5% 80.9% 0.88× 1.40
Both teams to score 2+ 31.4% 28.5% 19.1% 1.49× 3.51
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 55.7% 64.6% — — 1.55
Both teams to score in 2nd half 44.3% 35.4% — — 2.82
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 39.5% 45.0% — — 2.22
Both score 2nd half only 31.3% 27.0% — — 3.70
Both score 1st half only 16.2% 15.0% — — 6.68
Both score in both halves 13.0% 10.7% — — 9.35
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 70.8% 79.4% — — 1.26
Both teams to score by HT 29.2% 20.6% — — 4.86
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 70.0% 66.7% — — 1.50
A half without a goal 30.0% 33.3% — — 3.00
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 43.1% 42.1% 37.5% 1.12× 2.37
2-3 goals 36.6% 35.1% 37.2% 0.94× 2.85
0-1 goals 11.6% 16.9% 18.9% 0.89× 5.92
7+ goals 8.7% 7.6% 6.9% 1.11× 13.09
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ 29.0% 27.4% 20.9% 1.31× 3.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 1 28.7% 27.4% 30.9% 0.89× 3.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 2 27.0% 27.4% 19.4% 1.41× 3.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 0 15.3% 19.6% 29.3% 0.67× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to score 3+ 29.2% 26.6% 31.4% 0.85× 3.77
Viking FK to score exactly 1 28.6% 26.6% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Viking FK to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.5% 23.7% 1.12× 3.77
Viking FK to score exactly 0 15.2% 18.8% 20.4% 0.92× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 35.7% 38.4% — — 2.61
Viking FK leading at HT 33.9% 33.4% — — 3.00
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT 30.4% 33.3% — — 3.01
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK -1: 2 60.1% 62.5% — — 1.60
Viking FK -1: 1 21.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Viking FK -1: X 18.8% 17.5% — — 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:1) 60.1% 61.3% 49.0% 1.25× 1.63
Viking FK (0:1) 21.1% 24.2% 31.6% 0.77× 4.13
Draw (0:1) 18.8% 17.8% 19.6% 0.91× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:2) 78.9% 79.4% 68.4% 1.16× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 11.7% 11.0% 13.5% 0.81× 9.10
Viking FK (0:2) 9.4% 7.7% 18.4% 0.42× 13.02
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:3) 90.6% 92.7% 81.6% 1.14× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.9% 5.8% 8.9% 0.65× 17.23
Viking FK (0:3) 3.5% 2.4% 9.7% 0.25× 42.04
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:4) 96.5% 98.1% 90.3% 1.09× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.4% 1.2% 5.9% 0.21× 81.84
Viking FK (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.98
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (1:0) 60.4% 65.3% 66.3% 0.98× 1.53
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1:0) 20.9% 21.7% 17.1% 1.27× 4.61
Draw (1:0) 18.7% 17.1% 16.8% 1.02× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (2:0) 79.1% 80.5% 82.9% 0.97× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 11.6% 10.3% 7.9% 1.30× 9.72
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2:0) 9.2% 6.4% 9.4% 0.68× 15.67
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 52.7% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.6% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 19.7% 19.9% — — 5.02
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to concede 84.7% 80.9% 70.7% 1.15× 1.24
Viking FK clean sheet 15.3% 19.1% 29.3% 0.65× 5.25
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to concede in 1st half 52.8% 55.5% — — 1.80
Viking FK clean sheet in 1st half 47.2% 44.5% — — 2.25
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to concede in 2nd half 67.5% 67.2% — — 1.49
Viking FK clean sheet in 2nd half 32.5% 32.8% — — 3.05
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK over 2.5 corners 82.6% 81.0% — — 1.24
Viking FK over 3.5 corners 69.9% 66.7% — — 1.50
Viking FK under 6.5 corners 68.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Viking FK under 5.5 corners 57.1% 57.5% — — 1.74
Viking FK over 4.5 corners 56.1% 57.5% — — 1.74
Viking FK under 4.5 corners 43.9% 42.5% — — 2.35
Viking FK over 5.5 corners 42.9% 42.5% — — 2.35
Viking FK over 6.5 corners 31.5% 33.3% — — 3.01
Viking FK under 3.5 corners 30.1% 33.3% — — 3.01
Viking FK under 2.5 corners 17.4% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK under 3.5 goals 87.8% 87.3% 83.9% 1.04× 1.15
Viking FK over 0.5 goals 84.8% 82.2% 79.6% 1.03× 1.22
Viking FK under 2.5 goals 70.8% 74.2% 68.6% 1.08× 1.35
Viking FK over 1.5 goals 56.2% 58.6% 54.8% 1.07× 1.71
Viking FK under 1.5 goals 43.8% 41.4% 45.2% 0.92× 2.41
Viking FK over 2.5 goals 29.2% 25.8% 31.4% 0.82× 3.88
Viking FK under 0.5 goals 15.2% 17.8% 20.4% 0.87× 5.63
Viking FK over 3.5 goals 12.2% 12.7% 16.1% 0.79× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK under 1.5 in 1st half 80.5% 83.6% — — 1.20
Viking FK over 0.5 in 1st half 55.5% 56.6% — — 1.77
Viking FK under 0.5 in 1st half 44.5% 43.4% — — 2.31
Viking FK over 1.5 in 1st half 19.5% 16.4% — — 6.10
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK scores more in 2nd half 41.3% 42.0% — — 2.38
Viking FK scores equally in both 31.6% 32.9% — — 3.04
Viking FK scores more in 1st half 27.2% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (home no bet) 66.0% 64.1% 68.4% 0.94× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 34.0% 35.9% 31.6% 1.13× 2.79
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK even goals 51.2% 50.7% 53.3% 0.95× 1.97
Viking FK odd goals 48.8% 49.3% 46.7% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 20.9% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 1-0 17.1% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 0-1 15.8% 18.5% — — 5.39
HT 1-1 12.7% 11.0% — — 9.07
Any other HT score 8.7% 6.9% — — 14.46
HT 2-0 6.9% 6.9% — — 14.49
HT 0-2 5.9% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-1 5.2% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 1-2 4.8% 2.4% — — 41.97
HT 2-2 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK at HT / Viking FK at FT 24.3% 21.9% — — 4.58
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT 22.3% 21.8% — — 4.59
Draw at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT 13.5% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Viking FK at FT 12.5% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 9.7% 6.0% — — 16.55
Viking FK at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% — — 16.67
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% — — 28.58
Viking FK at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT 3.8% 3.5% — — 28.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Viking FK at FT 3.1% 3.5% — — 28.65
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to score last 49.2% 46.6% — — 2.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score last 49.0% 46.6% — — 2.15
No goal scored 1.8% 4.2% — — 23.64
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 98.2% 95.7% — — 1.05
Viking FK to lead by 1 at any time 60.7% 61.3% — — 1.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 1 at any time 60.4% 61.3% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 59.9% 55.0% — — 1.82
Viking FK to lead by 2 at any time 30.5% 29.8% — — 3.36
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 2 at any time 30.2% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 25.6% 25.5% — — 3.93
Viking FK to lead by 3 at any time 12.9% 10.5% — — 9.55
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 3 at any time 12.7% 10.5% — — 9.56
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK most corners 49.4% 47.0% — — 2.13
Feyenoord Rotterdam most corners 40.6% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 10.0% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 80.3% 83.4% 81.4% 1.03× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.7% 78.7% 74.5% 1.06× 1.27
2-5 goals 70.6% 72.4% 67.6% 1.07× 1.38
1-4 goals 65.7% 68.8% 67.3% 1.02× 1.45
3-6 goals 63.8% 63.3% 58.7% 1.08× 1.58
2-4 goals 56.0% 59.1% 53.6% 1.10× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.6% 53.2% 51.8% 1.03× 1.88
1-3 goals 46.3% 48.5% 51.0% 0.95× 2.06
4-6 goals 43.1% 43.6% 37.5% 1.16× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.0% 43.6% 37.8% 1.15× 2.30
2-3 goals 36.6% 39.2% 37.2% 1.05× 2.55
4-5 goals 34.0% 35.2% 30.6% 1.15× 2.84
1-2 goals 25.7% 30.2% 29.8% 1.01× 3.31
5-6 goals 23.7% 24.5% 21.2% 1.16× 4.08
7+ goals 8.7% 8.9% 6.9% 1.29× 11.26
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK never behind 37.7% 44.0% — — 2.27
Feyenoord Rotterdam never behind 37.5% 44.0% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.0% 50.9% 45.4% 1.12× 1.96
Odd number of goals 51.0% 49.1% 54.6% 0.90× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.0% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 48.0% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.3% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.7% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 98.2% 95.4% 94.9% 1.01× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 88.4% 87.6% 81.1% 1.08× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 82.2% 82.3% 86.2% 0.95× 1.22
Over 2.5 goals 72.4% 72.5% 65.3% 1.11× 1.38
Under 4.5 goals 67.6% 66.3% 72.2% 0.92× 1.51
Over 3.5 goals 51.8% 52.5% 44.1% 1.19× 1.91
Under 3.5 goals 48.2% 47.5% 55.9% 0.85× 2.11
Over 4.5 goals 32.4% 33.7% 27.8% 1.21× 2.97
Under 2.5 goals 27.6% 27.5% 34.7% 0.79× 3.63
Over 5.5 goals 17.8% 17.7% 13.8% 1.29× 5.65
Under 1.5 goals 11.6% 12.4% 18.9% 0.66× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 1.8% 4.6% 5.1% 0.90× 21.89
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 90.4% 92.4% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 86.2% 86.7% 77.6% 1.12× 1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 79.1% 75.9% 84.0% 0.90× 1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 65.3% 67.4% 56.0% 1.20× 1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 59.8% 55.8% 66.8% 0.84× 1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 40.2% 44.2% 33.2% 1.33× 2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 34.7% 32.6% 44.0% 0.74× 3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 20.9% 24.1% 16.0% 1.50× 4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 13.8% 13.3% 22.4% 0.59× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 9.6% 7.6% 7.4% 1.03× 13.14
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 79.4% 78.2% — — 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 79.1% 78.2% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 53.9% 55.4% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 1st half 46.1% 44.6% — — 2.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half 20.9% 21.8% — — 4.59
Over 2.5 in 1st half 20.6% 21.8% — — 4.59
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 89.1% 85.6% — — 1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 64.4% 61.7% — — 1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 62.3% 61.6% — — 1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 37.7% 38.4% — — 2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 35.6% 38.3% — — 2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 10.9% 14.4% — — 6.94
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to score in both halves 64.3% 63.8% — — 1.57
Viking FK not to score in both halves 63.5% 63.7% — — 1.57
Viking FK to score in both halves 36.5% 36.3% — — 2.76
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score in both halves 35.7% 36.2% — — 2.76
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 71.3% 66.0% 55.4% 1.19× 1.52
Only Viking FK scores 13.5% 11.0% 24.5% 0.45× 9.06
Only Feyenoord Rotterdam scores 13.4% 11.0% 15.6% 0.71× 9.06
Neither team scores 1.8% 4.6% 5.1% 0.90× 21.77
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 20.6% 22.6% 21.4% 1.05× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 19.4% 17.5% 16.6% 1.05× 5.73
6 or more goals 17.8% 17.5% 13.8% 1.27× 5.73
Exactly 2 goals 16.0% 17.5% 16.1% 1.09× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 14.6% 12.1% 14.3% 0.85× 8.24
Exactly 1 goals 9.7% 7.6% 14.0% 0.54× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 1.8% 4.5% 5.1% 0.87× 22.41
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 32.9% 35.9% — — 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 25.5% 28.2% — — 3.55
No goals in 1st half 20.9% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 20.6% 21.5% — — 4.65
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 64.4% 58.9% — — 1.70
1 goal in 2nd half 24.7% 22.9% — — 4.37
No goals in 2nd half 10.9% 14.2% — — 7.04
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win both halves 88.9% 87.9% — — 1.14
Viking FK not to win both halves 88.5% 87.9% — — 1.14
Viking FK to win both halves 11.5% 12.1% — — 8.27
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win both halves 11.1% 12.1% — — 8.28
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to win either half 56.7% 59.0% — — 1.69
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win either half 56.2% 59.0% — — 1.69
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win neither half 43.8% 41.0% — — 2.44
Viking FK to win neither half 43.4% 41.0% — — 2.44
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win to nil 86.6% 88.1% 84.4% 1.04× 1.14
Viking FK not to win to nil 86.5% 88.1% 75.5% 1.17× 1.14
Viking FK to win to nil 13.5% 11.9% 24.5% 0.49× 8.41
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win to nil 13.4% 11.9% 15.6% 0.76× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 20.4% 24.1% 15.6% 1.55× 4.15
Viking FK by 1 18.8% 17.1% 19.6% 0.87× 5.86
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 1 18.7% 17.1% 16.8% 1.01× 5.86
Viking FK by 2 11.7% 11.8% 13.5% 0.87× 8.51
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 2 11.6% 11.8% 7.9% 1.49× 8.51
Viking FK by 3+ 9.4% 7.2% 18.4% 0.39× 13.90
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 3+ 9.2% 7.2% 9.4% 0.76× 13.90
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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