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Villarreal v Alaves — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 9 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

3–0
1.44 – 0.61 xG
Shots
13 – 9
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
9 – 6
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.90 – 0.06
Goals − xG
+1.55 – -0.61
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.21.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Ilias Akhomach 37' — goalDaniel Parejo 80' — goalSantiago Comesaña 89' — goal
Villarreal 1.45 xGAlaves 0.61 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Sergi Cardona 7' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Sergi Cardona 9' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jon Guridi 10' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Abderrahmane Rebbach 22' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Kike García 24' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 25' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 37' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 44' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Nahuel Tenaglia 47' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Adrián Pica 50' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Pape Alassane Gueye 60' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 65' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 65' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 69' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Carlos Vicente 74' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Daniel Parejo 80' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Thierno Barry 83' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 83' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Santiago Comesaña 89' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Antonio Blanco 91' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Carlos Martín 94' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Manuel Sánchez 94' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)
Villarreal attacking right Alaves attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.10 From Corner Missed Shot Álex Baena
9' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Álex Baena
10' Alaves Jon Guridi 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Carlos Vicente
22' Alaves Abderrahmane Rebbach 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Carlos Vicente
24' Alaves Kike García 0.37 Open Play Saved Shot
25' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
37' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Goal Nicolas Pepe
44' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Daniel Parejo
47' Alaves Nahuel Tenaglia 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ander Guevara
50' Alaves Adrián Pica 0.04 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
60' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Yeremi Pino
65' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
65' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pape Alassane Gueye
69' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Cardona
74' Alaves Carlos Vicente 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kike García
80' Villarreal Daniel Parejo 0.74 Right Foot Goal
83' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
83' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
89' Villarreal Santiago Comesaña 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Goal Juan Bernat
91' Alaves Antonio Blanco 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Joan Jordán
94' Alaves Carlos Martín 0.01 Open Play Blocked Shot Antonio Blanco
94' Alaves Manuel Sánchez 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot

Players

Alaves

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Adrián Pica DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.08
Manuel Sánchez DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Nahuel Tenaglia DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.40
Antonio Blanco MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.01 0.08
Antonio Sivera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abdelkabir Abqar DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Carlos Vicente FWR 83 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.09 0.14
Kike García FW 82 0 0 1 1 0.37 0.04 0.41
Jon Guridi MC 74 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.09
Ander Guevara MC 74 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Abderrahmane Rebbach FWL 58 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Carlos Martín Sub 32 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Stoichkov Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Joan Jordán Sub 16 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.02
Antonio Martínez Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tomás Conechny Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Daniel Parejo MC 90 1 0 1 1 0.74 0.02 0.12
Sergi Cardona DL 90 0 0 2 1 0.14 0.08 0.13
Ayoze Pérez FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.10
Álex Baena ML 90 0 0 2 2 0.07 0.14 0.19
Raúl Albiol DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Diego Conde GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Logan Costa DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pape Alassane Gueye MC 79 0 0 3 1 0.17 0.03 0.24
Nicolas Pepe FW 79 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.10
Pau Navarro Sub 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ilias Akhomach MR 52 1 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Yeremi Pino Sub 38 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Kiko Femenía DR 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Santiago Comesaña Sub 11 1 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Thierno Barry Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.17
Juan Bernat Sub 1 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.12
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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