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Villarreal v Barcelona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–5
2.40 – 4.19 xG
Shots
13 – 17
On target
4 – 9
Shots in box
11 – 14
xG per shot
0.18 – 0.26
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 1.72
Goals − xG
-1.40 – +0.64
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.22.43.74.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Robert Lewandowski 19' — goalRobert Lewandowski 34' — goalAyoze Pérez 37' — goalPablo Torre 57' — goalRaphinha 74' — goalRaphinha 82' — goal
Villarreal 2.40 xGBarcelona 4.36 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Raphinha 4' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 5' — Missed Shot (0.22 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 12' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 12' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Lamine Yamal 16' — Shot On Post (0.03 xG, Open Play)Raphinha 16' — Blocked Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Pedri 17' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Robert Lewandowski 19' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Daniel Parejo 23' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Robert Lewandowski 28' — Saved Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Sergi Cardona 31' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Eric Garcia 34' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Eric Garcia 34' — Saved Shot (0.24 xG, From Corner)Robert Lewandowski 34' — Goal (0.66 xG, From Corner)Ayoze Pérez 37' — Goal (0.50 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 42' — Saved Shot (0.53 xG, Open Play)Logan Costa 48' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Ayoze Pérez 49' — Missed Shot (0.48 xG, Open Play)Yeremi Pino 49' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 50' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yeremi Pino 51' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, From Corner)Pablo Torre 57' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jules Koundé 60' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Raphinha 62' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Raphinha 66' — Saved Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Robert Lewandowski 66' — Shot On Post (0.74 xG, )Lamine Yamal 72' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Raphinha 74' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Raphinha 82' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 92' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)
Villarreal attacking right Barcelona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Barcelona Raphinha 0.09 Open Play Saved Shot Pedri
5' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.22 Open Play Missed Shot Ayoze Pérez
12' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Yeremi Pino
12' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
16' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Pedri
16' Barcelona Raphinha 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
17' Barcelona Pedri 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Iñigo Martínez
19' Barcelona Robert Lewandowski 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Goal Pablo Torre
23' Villarreal Daniel Parejo 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yeremi Pino
28' Barcelona Robert Lewandowski 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jules Koundé
31' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
34' Barcelona Eric Garcia 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Pablo Torre
34' Barcelona Eric Garcia 0.24 From Corner Saved Shot Lamine Yamal
34' Barcelona Robert Lewandowski 0.66 From Corner Right Foot Goal
37' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Goal Nicolas Pepe
42' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.53 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ayoze Pérez
48' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.10 From Corner Missed Shot Álex Baena
49' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.48 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
49' Villarreal Yeremi Pino 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nicolas Pepe
50' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Yeremi Pino
51' Villarreal Yeremi Pino 0.06 From Corner Shot On Post Nicolas Pepe
57' Barcelona Pablo Torre 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Goal Pedri
60' Barcelona Jules Koundé 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Raphinha
62' Barcelona Raphinha 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jules Koundé
66' Barcelona Raphinha 0.40 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lamine Yamal
66' Barcelona Robert Lewandowski 0.74 Right Foot Shot On Post
72' Barcelona Lamine Yamal 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Raphinha
74' Barcelona Raphinha 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Goal Pau Victor
82' Barcelona Raphinha 0.44 Open Play Left Foot Goal Lamine Yamal
92' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ilias Akhomach

Players

Barcelona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Robert Lewandowski FW 90 2 0 4 0 2.27 0.00 1.08
Raphinha FWL 90 2 0 6 2 1.54 0.17 2.15
Eric Garcia MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.26 0.00 0.96
Lamine Yamal FWR 90 0 1 2 3 0.15 1.08 1.97
Jules Koundé DR 90 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.48 1.53
Gerard Martín DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.15
Iñigo Martínez DC 86 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.98
Pedri MC 64 0 1 1 3 0.06 0.15 1.02
Pablo Torre MC 64 1 1 1 2 0.04 0.45 0.48
Sergi Domínguez DC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.02
Marc-André ter Stegen GK 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.96
Iñaki Peña Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pau Cubarsí Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Pau Victor Sub 26 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.11
Marc Casadó Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Hector Fort Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ayoze Pérez FW 90 1 0 2 2 0.98 0.75 1.73
Logan Costa DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.00
Sergi Cardona DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.63
Diego Conde GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eric Bailly DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kiko Femenía DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Nicolas Pepe FW 83 0 1 4 3 0.89 0.63 1.47
Álex Baena ML 83 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.10 0.77
Santiago Comesaña MC 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.22
Daniel Parejo MC 75 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Yeremi Pino MR 68 0 0 2 3 0.13 0.22 0.29
Thierno Barry Sub 22 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.11
Pape Alassane Gueye Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ilias Akhomach Sub 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.11
Ramón Terrats Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Denis Suárez Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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