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Villarreal v Elche — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG

0–0
2.30 – 0.22 xG
Shots
20 – 7
On target
6 – 1
Shots in box
16 – 1
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.03
Set-piece xG
0.39 – 0.06
Goals − xG
-2.30 – -0.22
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.31.92.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Villarreal 2.30 xGElche 0.22 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Alberto Moleiro 0' — Saved Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 2' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Tani Oluwaseyi 6' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Tani Oluwaseyi 7' — Saved Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 10' — Blocked Shot (0.39 xG, Open Play)Lucas Cepeda 17' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 29' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Gonzalo Villar 34' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Tani Oluwaseyi 34' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 39' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Direct Freekick)Logan Costa 40' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Santiago Comesaña 42' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Tani Oluwaseyi 42' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Alberto Moleiro 45' — Blocked Shot (0.17 xG, Open Play)Abiel Osorio 54' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 56' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 56' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 57' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 57' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Thomas Lemar 59' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Javier Morcillo 76' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Nathan Saliba 77' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Logan Costa 78' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Logan Costa 78' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Fernando Niño 87' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Tete Morente 89' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Gerard Moreno 95' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)
Villarreal attacking right Elche attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Villarreal Alberto Moleiro 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Sergi Cardona
2' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Juan Foyth
6' Villarreal Tani Oluwaseyi 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Cardona
7' Villarreal Tani Oluwaseyi 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
10' Villarreal Alberto Moleiro 0.39 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alexander Freeman
17' Elche Lucas Cepeda 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Gonzalo Villar
29' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alberto Moleiro
34' Elche Gonzalo Villar 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Thomas Lemar
34' Villarreal Tani Oluwaseyi 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ayoze Pérez
39' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.08 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot —
40' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.06 From Corner — Missed Shot Alberto Moleiro
42' Villarreal Santiago Comesaña 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Alberto Moleiro
42' Villarreal Tani Oluwaseyi 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
45' Villarreal Alberto Moleiro 0.17 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Cardona
54' Elche Abiel Osorio 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
56' Villarreal Alberto Moleiro 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ilias Akhomach
56' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Santiago Comesaña
57' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
57' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot —
59' Elche Thomas Lemar 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lucas Cepeda
76' Elche Javier Morcillo 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
77' Villarreal Nathan Saliba 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ayoze Pérez
78' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.03 From Corner — Blocked Shot Alberto Moleiro
78' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.08 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
87' Elche Fernando Niño 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Federico Redondo
89' Elche Tete Morente 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot German Valera
95' Villarreal Gerard Moreno 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Nizar El Jmili

Players

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Alberto Moleiro FW 90 0 0 4 4 1.12 0.22 1.35
Logan Costa DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.18 0.00 0.57
Sergi Cardona DL 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.68 0.71
Péter Gulácsi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.49
Juan Foyth DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.69
Alexander Freeman DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.39 1.18
Ayoze Pérez FW 85 0 0 2 2 0.16 0.10 0.62
Ilias Akhomach MR 76 0 0 4 1 0.19 0.12 0.25
Tani Oluwaseyi ML 67 0 0 4 0 0.52 0.00 0.50
Santiago Comesaña MC 67 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.04 0.63
Carlos Macià MC 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Nathan Saliba Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.08
Georges Mikautadze Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Pape Alassane Gueye Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gerard Moreno Sub 14 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Nizar El Jmili Sub 5 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05

Elche

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gonzalo Villar MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.02 0.12
Javier Morcillo DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.13
Matías Dituro GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Victor Chust DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Roy Revivo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
German Valera DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.10
Buba Sangaré DR 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Thomas Lemar ML 66 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.10 0.12
Lucas Cepeda MR 66 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.14
Abiel Osorio FW 66 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Federico Redondo Sub 63 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.12
Marc Aguado MC 27 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fernando Niño Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Tete Morente Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Martim Neto Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rubén Sánchez Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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