Virtus Entella v Modena — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Virtus Entella

20:00 UTC

Modena

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 297h before kick-off

Virtus Entella win

39.0%

model 37.9%

Draw

30.5%

model 31.7%

Modena win

30.5%

model 30.5%

393130

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.8%
0-0 12.0%
1-0 11.0%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.4%	Under 2.5	60.6%
BTTS yes	47.3%	BTTS no	52.7%
Virtus Entella 1+	70.1%	Virtus Entella 2+	34.0%
Modena 1+	65.3%	Modena 2+	28.5%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

47/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Modena (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Virtus Entella have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.5% for the draw and 30.5% for Modena. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Virtus Entella and 1.06 for Modena.

Why Virtus Entella

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.21 to 1.06. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Modena can win

Modena carry the stronger rating, 1499 Elo against 1412. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Modena, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Virtus Entella: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Modena: 47% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Virtus Entella are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Confidence 47/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	383230	1.21–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	303238	1.01–1.17	1-1 15%	37%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena to win	37.9%	36.4%	25.5%	1.42×	2.75
Draw	32.3%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29
Virtus Entella to win	29.9%	27.9%	42.7%	0.65×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena & not both score	23.5%	21.8%	13.3%	1.64×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Virtus Entella & not both score	18.1%	18.0%	23.9%	0.75×	5.56
Modena & both teams score	14.4%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.8%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Virtus Entella & both teams score	11.7%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena & under 3.5	30.2%	30.7%	19.9%	1.54×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	27.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Modena & over 1.5	26.3%	26.0%	18.8%	1.39×	3.84
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	31.9%	0.68×	4.63
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	31.8%	0.68×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Modena & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.55
Modena & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.55
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.8%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Modena & under 1.5	11.6%	12.8%	6.8%	1.87×	7.79
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.62
Modena & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (1UP)	52.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Virtus Entella (1UP)	45.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (2UP)	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Virtus Entella (2UP)	29.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Modena to win 2nd half	33.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Modena over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Modena under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Modena over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.5%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.5%	11.1%	—	—	8.99

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (+2.5)	96.6%	96.3%	93.3%	1.03×	1.04
Modena (+1.5)	88.2%	88.5%	80.3%	1.10×	1.13
Modena (+0.5)	70.1%	73.6%	57.3%	1.29×	1.36
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	62.1%	62.9%	74.5%	0.85×	1.59
Modena (-0.5)	37.9%	37.1%	25.5%	1.45×	2.70
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	29.9%	26.4%	42.7%	0.62×	3.79
Virtus Entella (-1.5)	11.8%	11.5%	19.7%	0.59×	8.67
Virtus Entella (-2.5)	3.4%	3.7%	6.7%	0.55×	27.12

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena to concede	63.7%	67.6%	77.7%	0.87×	1.48
Modena clean sheet	36.3%	32.4%	22.3%	1.45×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena clean sheet in 1st half	64.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Modena to concede in 1st half	35.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena clean sheet in 2nd half	56.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Modena to concede in 2nd half	43.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena under 6.5 corners	83.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Modena under 5.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Modena over 2.5 corners	73.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Modena under 4.5 corners	60.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Modena over 3.5 corners	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Modena under 3.5 corners	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Modena over 4.5 corners	39.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Modena under 2.5 corners	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Modena over 5.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Modena over 6.5 corners	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena under 3.5 goals	96.9%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Modena under 2.5 goals	88.5%	87.8%	90.8%	0.97×	1.14
Modena over 0.5 goals	69.1%	68.0%	67.1%	1.01×	1.47
Modena under 1.5 goals	67.2%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Modena over 1.5 goals	32.8%	32.0%	30.6%	1.04×	3.13
Modena under 0.5 goals	30.9%	32.0%	32.9%	0.97×	3.13
Modena over 2.5 goals	11.5%	12.2%	9.2%	1.32×	8.21
Modena over 3.5 goals	3.1%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena under 1.5 in 1st half	91.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Modena under 0.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Modena over 0.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Modena over 1.5 in 1st half	8.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.41

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena scores equally in both	42.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Modena scores more in 2nd half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Modena scores more in 1st half	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	51.9%	51.7%	42.7%	1.21×	1.94
Virtus Entella (away no bet)	48.1%	48.3%	57.3%	0.84×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena even goals	54.8%	52.6%	55.4%	0.95×	1.90
Modena odd goals	45.2%	47.4%	44.6%	1.06×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.6%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.72

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.3%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Modena to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Modena to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.14
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.35

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	89.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	83.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Modena corners (+3.5)	76.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	75.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Modena corners (+2.5)	67.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Modena corners (+1.5)	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Modena corners (-1.5)	24.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	23.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Modena corners (-2.5)	16.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Modena corners (-3.5)	10.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	25.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.9%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
0-0	12.8%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.71
0-1	11.6%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.71
1-0	9.8%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.51
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-2	7.7%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
1-2	7.8%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.31
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (2nd half DNB)	56.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Virtus Entella (2nd half DNB)	43.4%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena leading at HT (DNB)	52.3%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	47.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena or draw (X2)	70.1%	72.1%	57.3%	1.26×	1.39
Virtus Entella or Modena (12)	67.7%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Virtus Entella or draw (1X)	62.1%	63.7%	74.5%	0.85×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena or draw at HT	76.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	73.7%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella or Modena at HT	50.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena or draw (1UP)	70.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	62.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena or draw in 2nd half	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	66.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Virtus Entella or Modena in 2nd half	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (DNB)	55.9%	58.1%	37.4%	1.55×	1.72
Virtus Entella (DNB)	44.1%	41.9%	62.6%	0.67×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena to score first	46.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Virtus Entella to score first	40.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	12.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.05

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.4%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.6%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.7%	44.3%	37.9%	1.17×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.7%	34.6%	39.4%	0.88×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.9%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	6.7%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.2%	89.0%	86.1%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.8%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	2.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.60

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	43.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	34.2%	30.8%	26.8%	1.15×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.1%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.94
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.49

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Modena to score exactly 0	30.9%	33.8%	32.9%	1.03×	2.96
Modena to score exactly 2	21.3%	22.3%	21.5%	1.03×	4.49
Modena to score 3+	11.5%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	35.9%	0.99×	2.81
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	36.3%	35.5%	22.3%	1.59×	2.81
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	18.7%	18.8%	25.9%	0.73×	5.32
Virtus Entella to score 3+	8.3%	10.4%	16.2%	0.64×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Modena leading at HT	26.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Virtus Entella leading at HT	24.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena -1: 1	62.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Modena -1: X	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Modena -1: 2	16.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (0:1)	70.1%	70.9%	57.3%	1.24×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61
Virtus Entella (0:1)	11.8%	13.7%	19.7%	0.70×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (0:2)	88.2%	87.1%	80.3%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	13.1%	0.59×	13.05
Virtus Entella (0:2)	3.4%	3.7%	6.7%	0.56×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (0:3)	96.6%	96.6%	93.3%	1.04×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	42.03
Virtus Entella (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.83
Virtus Entella (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (1:0)	62.1%	65.3%	74.5%	0.88×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	15.7%	1.38×	4.61
Modena (1:0)	16.7%	17.1%	10.0%	1.72×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (2:0)	83.3%	84.6%	90.0%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.3%	10.3%	6.5%	1.59×	9.73
Modena (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	3.6%	1.77×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Halves equal	30.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	69.1%	66.7%	67.1%	0.99×	1.50
Virtus Entella clean sheet	30.9%	33.3%	32.9%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	62.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	37.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede in 2nd half	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 2nd half	49.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	83.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	71.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	54.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	45.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	28.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	16.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	98.0%	96.4%	95.9%	1.01×	1.04
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	91.7%	92.2%	83.8%	1.10×	1.09
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	73.1%	74.2%	58.0%	1.28×	1.35
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	63.7%	63.6%	77.7%	0.82×	1.57
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	36.3%	36.4%	22.3%	1.63×	2.75
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	26.9%	25.8%	42.0%	0.61×	3.88
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	16.2%	0.48×	12.83
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	2.0%	3.6%	4.1%	0.88×	27.60

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	5.2%	—	—	19.17

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella scores equally in both	46.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
Virtus Entella scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Virtus Entella scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.0%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena (home no bet)	54.0%	51.5%	44.5%	1.16×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.0%	48.5%	55.5%	0.87×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	56.6%	55.3%	50.9%	1.09×	1.81
Virtus Entella odd goals	43.4%	44.7%	49.1%	0.91×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 0-1	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-0	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Modena at HT / Modena at FT	20.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Modena at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Modena at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Virtus Entella at HT / Modena at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Modena at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena to score last	46.8%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Virtus Entella to score last	40.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goal scored	12.8%	9.4%	—	—	10.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.2%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Modena to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	45.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Modena to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	15.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Modena to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella most corners	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Modena most corners	34.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	82.1%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.4%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.1%	68.8%	72.0%	0.96×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.4%	63.3%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.7%	59.1%	64.4%	0.92×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.8%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.7%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.0%	35.2%	44.0%	0.80×	2.84
3-4 goals	30.3%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.1%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.4%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.4%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Modena never behind	42.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Virtus Entella never behind	34.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.2%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.8%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.2%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.2%	82.3%	75.2%	1.09×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.8%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	62.6%	61.7%	52.4%	1.18×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.4%	38.3%	47.6%	0.80×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.2%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	17.8%	17.7%	24.8%	0.71×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.8%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.0%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.9%	75.9%	67.9%	1.12×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.2%	51.9%	64.0%	0.81×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.8%	48.1%	36.0%	1.34×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.1%	24.1%	32.1%	0.75×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.0%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.1%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.7%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.9%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Modena not to score in both halves	81.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Modena to score in both halves	18.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.35
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.6%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Only Modena scores	23.5%	22.3%	13.3%	1.67×	4.49
Only Virtus Entella scores	18.1%	16.0%	23.9%	0.67×	6.23
Neither team scores	12.8%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.4%	22.6%	17.8%	1.27×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.6%	17.5%	22.9%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.8%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.7%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.7%	4.5%	5.4%	0.84×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.2%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	28.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	93.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Modena not to win both halves	91.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Modena to win both halves	9.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.01
Virtus Entella to win both halves	6.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.20

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to win neither half	56.9%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Modena to win either half	50.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Modena to win neither half	49.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Virtus Entella to win either half	43.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	81.9%	83.1%	76.1%	1.09×	1.20
Modena not to win to nil	76.5%	78.1%	86.7%	0.90×	1.28
Modena to win to nil	23.5%	21.9%	13.3%	1.64×	4.57
Virtus Entella to win to nil	18.1%	16.9%	23.9%	0.71×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.3%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
Modena by 1	21.1%	24.1%	15.7%	1.54×	4.15
Virtus Entella by 1	18.1%	17.0%	23.2%	0.74×	5.87
Modena by 2	11.3%	11.8%	6.5%	1.82×	8.51
Virtus Entella by 2	8.4%	7.2%	13.1%	0.55×	13.91
Modena by 3+	5.5%	7.2%	3.6%	1.99×	13.92
Virtus Entella by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.87