Virtus Entella v US Avellino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Virtus Entella

18:00 UTC

US Avellino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 31h before kick-off

Virtus Entella win

39.9%

model 39.5%

Draw

31.1%

model 30.9%

US Avellino win

29.0%

model 29.6%

403129

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.6%
0-0 11.1%
1-0 10.6%
0-1 8.7%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.7%	Under 2.5	58.3%
BTTS yes	49.0%	BTTS no	51.0%
Virtus Entella 1+	72.1%	Virtus Entella 2+	36.4%
US Avellino 1+	65.8%	US Avellino 2+	29.1%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

50/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

US Avellino (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Virtus Entella have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.1% for the draw and 29.0% for US Avellino. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Virtus Entella and 1.07 for US Avellino.

Why Virtus Entella

Nothing in the data singles out Virtus Entella.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.1%. A combined 2.35 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.07. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why US Avellino can win

US Avellino carry the stronger rating, 1455 Elo against 1412.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Virtus Entella, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for US Avellino, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Virtus Entella: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. US Avellino: 54% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Virtus Entella's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Virtus Entella are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 50/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	393130	1.28–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	363132	1.20–1.11	1-1 15%	41%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to win	36.4%	36.3%	42.7%	0.85×	2.75
US Avellino to win	32.3%	30.4%	25.5%	1.19×	3.29
Draw	31.4%	30.4%	31.9%	0.95×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella & not both score	21.4%	21.8%	23.9%	0.91×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
US Avellino & not both score	18.7%	18.0%	13.3%	1.35×	5.56
Virtus Entella & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
US Avellino & both teams score	13.5%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella & under 3.5	28.2%	26.1%	31.9%	0.82×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.3%	26.0%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.3%	26.0%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Virtus Entella & over 1.5	26.0%	26.0%	31.8%	0.82×	3.84
US Avellino & under 3.5	25.3%	26.0%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
US Avellino & over 1.5	22.8%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.55
Virtus Entella & over 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.55
Virtus Entella & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.55
US Avellino & over 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
US Avellino & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Virtus Entella & under 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
US Avellino & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.62
Virtus Entella & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
US Avellino & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (1UP)	51.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
US Avellino (1UP)	48.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (2UP)	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
US Avellino (2UP)	32.3%	30.3%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Virtus Entella to win 2nd half	30.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
US Avellino to win 2nd half	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
US Avellino under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
US Avellino over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
US Avellino over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	13.0%	—	—	7.70

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	11.5%	—	—	8.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	93.3%	0.99×	1.09
US Avellino (+1.5)	83.8%	82.6%	80.3%	1.03×	1.21
Virtus Entella (+0.5)	67.7%	68.7%	74.5%	0.92×	1.46
US Avellino (+0.5)	63.7%	63.0%	57.3%	1.10×	1.59
Virtus Entella (-0.5)	36.4%	37.0%	42.7%	0.87×	2.70
US Avellino (-0.5)	32.3%	31.3%	25.5%	1.23×	3.19
Virtus Entella (-1.5)	16.2%	17.4%	19.7%	0.89×	5.74
Virtus Entella (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	6.7%	1.17×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to concede	69.8%	72.4%	77.7%	0.93×	1.38
US Avellino clean sheet	30.2%	27.6%	22.3%	1.24×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
US Avellino to concede in 1st half	40.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino clean sheet in 2nd half	50.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
US Avellino to concede in 2nd half	49.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 6.5 corners	87.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
US Avellino under 5.5 corners	79.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
US Avellino over 2.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
US Avellino under 4.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
US Avellino over 3.5 corners	50.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
US Avellino under 3.5 corners	50.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
US Avellino over 4.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
US Avellino under 2.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
US Avellino over 5.5 corners	21.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
US Avellino over 6.5 corners	12.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
US Avellino under 2.5 goals	89.8%	87.8%	90.8%	0.97×	1.14
US Avellino under 1.5 goals	69.4%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
US Avellino over 0.5 goals	67.1%	68.0%	67.1%	1.01×	1.47
US Avellino under 0.5 goals	32.9%	32.0%	32.9%	0.97×	3.13
US Avellino over 1.5 goals	30.6%	32.0%	30.6%	1.04×	3.13
US Avellino over 2.5 goals	10.2%	12.2%	9.2%	1.32×	8.21
US Avellino over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	1.9%	1.34×	39.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino under 1.5 in 1st half	92.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
US Avellino under 0.5 in 1st half	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
US Avellino over 0.5 in 1st half	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
US Avellino over 1.5 in 1st half	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino scores equally in both	43.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
US Avellino scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
US Avellino scores more in 1st half	21.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (away no bet)	53.7%	51.7%	57.3%	0.90×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.3%	48.3%	42.7%	1.13×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino even goals	55.4%	56.9%	55.4%	1.03×	1.76
US Avellino odd goals	44.6%	43.1%	44.6%	0.97×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	8.8%	—	—	11.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.1%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.9%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Virtus Entella to score 2+ in a row	27.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
US Avellino to score 2+ in a row	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Virtus Entella to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.14
US Avellino to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella corners (+3.5)	92.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Virtus Entella corners (+2.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Virtus Entella corners (+1.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
US Avellino corners (+3.5)	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
US Avellino corners (+2.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
US Avellino corners (+1.5)	50.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Virtus Entella corners (-1.5)	49.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Virtus Entella corners (-2.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Virtus Entella corners (-3.5)	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
US Avellino corners (-1.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
US Avellino corners (-2.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
US Avellino corners (-3.5)	7.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.8%	11.5%	14.7%	0.78×	8.71
0-0	11.5%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
1-0	10.3%	11.5%	11.1%	1.04×	8.72
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.51
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.51
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.32
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.31
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	3.2%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.59×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.31
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.88×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.77×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (2nd half DNB)	50.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
US Avellino (2nd half DNB)	49.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella leading at HT (DNB)	54.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
US Avellino leading at HT (DNB)	45.5%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella or US Avellino (12)	68.6%	69.6%	68.1%	1.02×	1.44
Virtus Entella or draw (1X)	67.7%	69.6%	74.5%	0.94×	1.44
US Avellino or draw (X2)	63.7%	63.7%	57.3%	1.11×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella or draw at HT	76.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
US Avellino or draw at HT	71.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Virtus Entella or US Avellino at HT	51.9%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella or draw (1UP)	67.7%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
US Avellino or draw (1UP)	63.7%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
US Avellino or draw in 2nd half	69.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Virtus Entella or US Avellino in 2nd half	59.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (DNB)	53.0%	50.9%	62.6%	0.81×	1.96
US Avellino (DNB)	47.0%	49.1%	37.4%	1.31×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score first	45.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
US Avellino to score first	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	11.5%	9.6%	—	—	10.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.6%	51.3%	46.1%	1.11×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.4%	48.7%	53.9%	0.90×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.6%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	33.6%	34.6%	39.4%	0.88×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	14.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	7.0%	8.3%	8.3%	0.99×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.7%	85.6%	86.1%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.3%	14.4%	13.9%	1.03×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.4%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.45

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.3%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.7%	15.3%	—	—	6.53

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.2%	48.6%	0.97×	2.12
0-1 goals	31.3%	30.7%	26.8%	1.15×	3.26
4-6 goals	19.3%	20.2%	23.5%	0.86×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
US Avellino to score exactly 0	32.9%	33.8%	32.9%	1.03×	2.96
US Avellino to score exactly 2	20.4%	22.3%	21.5%	1.03×	4.49
US Avellino to score 3+	10.2%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.5%	35.9%	0.99×	2.81
Virtus Entella to score exactly 0	30.2%	32.6%	22.3%	1.46×	3.07
Virtus Entella to score exactly 2	21.6%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Virtus Entella to score 3+	12.0%	14.3%	16.2%	0.88×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.1%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Virtus Entella leading at HT	28.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
US Avellino leading at HT	23.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella -1: 2	63.7%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Virtus Entella -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Virtus Entella -1: 1	16.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:1)	63.7%	61.5%	57.3%	1.07×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	23.2%	1.05×	4.13
Virtus Entella (0:1)	16.2%	17.8%	19.7%	0.90×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:2)	83.8%	83.0%	80.3%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.8%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.11
Virtus Entella (0:2)	5.3%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	41.97
Virtus Entella (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	2.2%	1.06×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.89×	81.78
Virtus Entella (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.23×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (1:0)	67.7%	70.2%	74.5%	0.94×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.7%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.85
US Avellino (1:0)	13.6%	12.7%	10.0%	1.28×	7.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella (2:0)	86.4%	88.5%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.4%	6.4%	6.5%	0.99×	15.63
US Avellino (2:0)	4.2%	2.3%	3.6%	0.63×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Halves equal	29.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to concede	67.1%	66.7%	67.1%	0.99×	1.50
Virtus Entella clean sheet	32.9%	33.3%	32.9%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 1st half	64.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Virtus Entella to concede in 1st half	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella clean sheet in 2nd half	51.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Virtus Entella to concede in 2nd half	48.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella over 2.5 corners	84.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Virtus Entella over 3.5 corners	72.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Virtus Entella under 6.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Virtus Entella over 4.5 corners	57.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Virtus Entella under 5.5 corners	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Virtus Entella over 5.5 corners	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Virtus Entella under 4.5 corners	42.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Virtus Entella over 6.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Virtus Entella under 3.5 corners	27.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Virtus Entella under 2.5 corners	15.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	95.9%	1.01×	1.04
Virtus Entella under 2.5 goals	88.0%	87.3%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
Virtus Entella over 0.5 goals	69.8%	68.0%	77.7%	0.87×	1.47
Virtus Entella under 1.5 goals	66.4%	67.9%	58.0%	1.17×	1.47
Virtus Entella over 1.5 goals	33.6%	32.1%	42.0%	0.76×	3.12
Virtus Entella under 0.5 goals	30.2%	32.0%	22.3%	1.44×	3.12
Virtus Entella over 2.5 goals	12.0%	12.7%	16.2%	0.79×	7.86
Virtus Entella over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	4.1%	0.88×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Virtus Entella over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Virtus Entella over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	5.4%	—	—	18.54

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella scores equally in both	41.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Virtus Entella scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Virtus Entella scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino (home no bet)	50.7%	51.4%	44.5%	1.16×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.3%	48.6%	55.5%	0.88×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella even goals	54.6%	50.8%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
Virtus Entella odd goals	45.4%	49.2%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	16.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Virtus Entella at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	20.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
US Avellino at HT / US Avellino at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / US Avellino at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Virtus Entella at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
US Avellino at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Virtus Entella at HT / US Avellino at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
US Avellino at HT / Virtus Entella at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella to score last	45.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
US Avellino to score last	42.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.5%	9.0%	—	—	11.10

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.5%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Virtus Entella to lead by 1 at any time	51.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
US Avellino to lead by 1 at any time	48.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Virtus Entella to lead by 2 at any time	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
US Avellino to lead by 2 at any time	18.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Virtus Entella to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
US Avellino to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella most corners	61.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
US Avellino most corners	28.3%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.4%	82.1%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.3%	68.8%	66.3%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.7%	68.8%	72.0%	0.96×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.6%	68.8%	69.6%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.4%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.9%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.7%	39.2%	46.3%	0.85×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.6%	39.2%	44.0%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.2%	35.2%	38.7%	0.91×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.3%	18.8%	23.5%	0.80×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.2%	18.8%	21.2%	0.89×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.9%	7.7%	1.15×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.4%	1.86×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virtus Entella never behind	40.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
US Avellino never behind	36.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	96.3%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.8%	77.3%	75.2%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.7%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.4%	58.6%	52.4%	1.12×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.6%	41.4%	47.6%	0.87×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	31.3%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.2%	22.7%	24.8%	0.92×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	3.7%	1.23×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	96.1%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.4%	92.4%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.6%	72.4%	67.9%	1.07×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.5%	55.8%	64.0%	0.87×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.5%	44.2%	36.0%	1.23×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.4%	27.6%	32.1%	0.86×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.6%	7.6%	10.7%	0.71×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	3.9%	0.71×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	1.4%	2.00×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.7%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.93

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.6%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino not to score in both halves	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Virtus Entella not to score in both halves	80.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Virtus Entella to score in both halves	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
US Avellino to score in both halves	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.4%	50.7%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Only Virtus Entella scores	21.4%	22.2%	23.9%	0.93×	4.50
Only US Avellino scores	18.7%	16.0%	13.3%	1.20×	6.23
Neither team scores	11.5%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	24.9%	25.8%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.8%	17.5%	17.8%	0.98×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.4%	1.42×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.5%	3.7%	1.20×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	7.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.93

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goals in 2nd half	26.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino not to win both halves	92.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella not to win both halves	91.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Virtus Entella to win both halves	8.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.02
US Avellino to win both halves	7.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino to win neither half	54.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Virtus Entella to win neither half	50.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Virtus Entella to win either half	49.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
US Avellino to win either half	45.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
US Avellino not to win to nil	81.3%	83.1%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
Virtus Entella not to win to nil	78.6%	78.1%	76.1%	1.03×	1.28
Virtus Entella to win to nil	21.4%	21.9%	23.9%	0.91×	4.58
US Avellino to win to nil	18.7%	16.9%	13.3%	1.27×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.4%	27.7%	31.9%	0.87×	3.61
Virtus Entella by 1	20.2%	24.1%	23.2%	1.04×	4.15
US Avellino by 1	18.7%	17.0%	15.7%	1.09×	5.87
Virtus Entella by 2	10.8%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.51
US Avellino by 2	9.4%	7.2%	6.5%	1.11×	13.90
Virtus Entella by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	6.7%	1.07×	13.92
US Avellino by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	3.6%	0.75×	36.84