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Vissel Kobe v Kashima Antlers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Vissel Kobe win
30.2%
model 34.7%
Draw
29.2%
model 25.9%
Kashima Antlers win
40.6%
model 39.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.3%
  2. 0-1 10.0%
  3. 1-0 9.2%
  4. 1-2 8.5%
  5. 2-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.549.0% Under 2.551.0%
BTTS yes53.3% BTTS no46.7%
Vissel Kobe 1+71.8% Vissel Kobe 2+36.1%
Kashima Antlers 1+74.5% Kashima Antlers 2+39.6%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 68%
73.6% fair odds 1.36
moderate signal · 2590 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1714 Elo against 1625.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashima Antlers have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.2% for Vissel Kobe and 29.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Vissel Kobe and 1.37 for Kashima Antlers.

Why Vissel Kobe

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.37. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kashima Antlers can win

Kashima Antlers carry the stronger rating, 1714 Elo against 1625. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Vissel Kobe, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kashima Antlers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Vissel Kobe: 51% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kashima Antlers: 63% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Kashima Antlers are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.27–1.37 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.21–1.15 1-1 13% 42% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe to win 37.5% 36.4% 42.9% 0.85× 2.75
Kashima Antlers to win 34.8% 30.4% 31.0% 0.98× 3.29
Draw 27.7% 27.9% 26.3% 1.06× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe & not both score 22.3% 21.9% 25.0% 0.88× 4.57
Kashima Antlers & not both score 20.6% 21.9% 17.7% 1.23× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 18.3% 17.9% 19.3% 0.93× 5.58
Vissel Kobe & both teams score 15.2% 17.9% 18.0% 0.99× 5.58
Kashima Antlers & both teams score 14.2% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.54
Draw & not both score 9.3% 8.4% 7.1% 1.18× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe & under 3.5 29.2% 26.0% 33.1% 0.79× 3.84
Kashima Antlers & under 3.5 27.3% 26.0% 23.4% 1.11× 3.84
Vissel Kobe & over 1.5 26.0% 26.0% 30.2% 0.86× 3.84
Kashima Antlers & over 1.5 23.8% 21.7% 21.2% 1.02× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 22.3% 21.7% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 22.3% 21.7% 20.4% 1.06× 4.62
Vissel Kobe & over 2.5 19.1% 18.0% 23.1% 0.78× 5.56
Vissel Kobe & under 2.5 18.5% 18.0% 19.9% 0.90× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.3% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.56
Kashima Antlers & over 2.5 17.5% 18.0% 17.9% 1.01× 5.56
Kashima Antlers & under 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 13.3% 1.35× 5.56
Vissel Kobe & under 1.5 11.6% 12.9% 12.8% 1.00× 7.77
Kashima Antlers & under 1.5 11.1% 12.9% 10.0% 1.29× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 9.3% 7.9% 7.1% 1.11× 12.69
Vissel Kobe & over 3.5 8.4% 7.9% 10.0% 0.79× 12.70
Kashima Antlers & over 3.5 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 1.02× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 5.3% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 5.3% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe (1UP) 52.4% 52.6% 1.90
Kashima Antlers (1UP) 50.0% 43.4% 2.30
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe (2UP) 37.5% 37.1% 2.69
Kashima Antlers (2UP) 34.8% 31.1% 3.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.6% 36.1% 2.77
Kashima Antlers to win 2nd half 30.8% 34.5% 2.90
Vissel Kobe to win 2nd half 30.6% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (+2.5) 94.7% 92.1% 93.8% 0.98× 1.09
Kashima Antlers (+1.5) 84.0% 82.4% 82.0% 1.01× 1.21
Vissel Kobe (+0.5) 65.2% 68.7% 69.0% 1.00× 1.46
Kashima Antlers (+0.5) 62.5% 62.9% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
Vissel Kobe (-0.5) 37.5% 37.1% 42.9% 0.87× 2.70
Kashima Antlers (-0.5) 34.8% 31.3% 31.0% 1.01× 3.20
Vissel Kobe (-1.5) 16.0% 17.6% 18.0% 0.97× 5.69
Vissel Kobe (-2.5) 5.3% 7.9% 6.2% 1.28× 12.65
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to concede 70.1% 76.4% 75.3% 1.01× 1.31
Kashima Antlers clean sheet 29.9% 23.6% 24.7% 0.96× 4.24
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers clean sheet in 1st half 59.5% 58.6% 1.71
Kashima Antlers to concede in 1st half 40.5% 41.4% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 6.5 corners 85.2% 85.2% 1.17
Kashima Antlers under 5.5 corners 75.1% 75.9% 1.32
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 corners 73.7% 71.6% 1.40
Kashima Antlers under 4.5 corners 61.2% 61.8% 1.62
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 corners 55.9% 57.1% 1.75
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 corners 44.1% 42.9% 2.33
Kashima Antlers over 4.5 corners 38.8% 38.2% 2.62
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 corners 26.3% 28.4% 3.52
Kashima Antlers over 5.5 corners 24.9% 24.1% 4.16
Kashima Antlers over 6.5 corners 14.8% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 3.5 goals 97.0% 97.5% 95.9% 1.02× 1.03
Kashima Antlers under 2.5 goals 89.0% 87.9% 87.8% 1.00× 1.14
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 goals 68.3% 68.0% 68.0% 1.00× 1.47
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 goals 68.1% 68.0% 68.2% 1.00× 1.47
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 goals 31.9% 32.0% 31.8% 1.01× 3.12
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 goals 31.7% 32.0% 32.0% 1.00× 3.12
Kashima Antlers over 2.5 goals 11.0% 12.1% 12.2% 0.99× 8.26
Kashima Antlers over 3.5 goals 3.0% 2.5% 4.1% 0.60× 40.72
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers under 1.5 in 1st half 92.2% 94.2% 1.06
Kashima Antlers under 0.5 in 1st half 63.1% 64.2% 1.56
Kashima Antlers over 0.5 in 1st half 36.9% 35.8% 2.79
Kashima Antlers over 1.5 in 1st half 7.8% 5.8% 17.14
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe (away no bet) 57.6% 57.5% 62.0% 0.93× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 42.4% 42.5% 38.0% 1.12× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers even goals 55.0% 56.9% 54.4% 1.04× 1.76
Kashima Antlers odd goals 45.0% 43.1% 45.6% 0.95× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.7% 87.8% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.3% 12.2% 8.22
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.3% 59.9% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.7% 40.1% 2.49
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 47.9% 45.9% 2.18
Vissel Kobe to score 2+ in a row 27.1% 25.0% 3.99
Kashima Antlers to score 2+ in a row 25.1% 25.0% 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.7% 12.2% 8.17
Vissel Kobe to score 3+ in a row 7.9% 5.7% 17.65
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ in a row 6.9% 5.6% 17.73
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe corners (+3.5) 92.5% 89.6% 1.12
Vissel Kobe corners (+2.5) 87.7% 84.5% 1.18
Vissel Kobe corners (+1.5) 81.0% 79.7% 1.25
Kashima Antlers corners (+3.5) 70.4% 70.7% 1.41
Kashima Antlers corners (+2.5) 60.3% 61.9% 1.62
Vissel Kobe corners (-1.5) 50.8% 52.5% 1.91
Kashima Antlers corners (+1.5) 49.2% 47.5% 2.10
Vissel Kobe corners (-2.5) 39.7% 38.1% 2.63
Vissel Kobe corners (-3.5) 29.6% 29.3% 3.42
Kashima Antlers corners (-1.5) 19.0% 20.3% 4.93
Kashima Antlers corners (-2.5) 12.3% 15.5% 6.46
Kashima Antlers corners (-3.5) 7.5% 10.4% 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 38.2% 33.7% 2.96
9-11 corners 31.2% 33.2% 3.01
12+ corners 30.6% 33.2% 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 77.5% 76.5% 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 72.4% 72.6% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 69.4% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 61.8% 63.4% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 59.8% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 50.8% 53.3% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 49.2% 46.7% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 40.2% 42.2% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 38.2% 36.6% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 30.6% 32.3% 3.10
Under 7.5 corners 27.6% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 22.5% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.0% 11.5% 13.4% 0.85× 8.73
1-0 11.6% 11.5% 12.8% 0.89× 8.73
0-1 11.1% 11.5% 10.0% 1.15× 8.73
0-0 9.3% 7.4% 7.1% 1.04× 13.48
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.48
2-0 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.48
2-1 7.9% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.48
0-2 6.3% 7.4% 3.5% 2.13× 13.48
0-3 2.4% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.48
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.49
1-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.47
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.16× 58.49
2-2 4.6% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.46
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.48
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.60× 58.49
3-0 2.8% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.47
3-1 3.2% 1.7% 3.0% 0.57× 58.47
3-2 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.48
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.16× 58.49
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 2.70× 58.49
4-0 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.35× 58.49
4-1 1.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.60× 58.48
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.49
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.49
Any other score 1.4% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe leading at HT (DNB) 53.8% 56.0% 1.79
Kashima Antlers leading at HT (DNB) 46.3% 44.0% 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe or Kashima Antlers (12) 72.3% 72.1% 73.7% 0.98× 1.39
Vissel Kobe or draw (1X) 65.2% 69.6% 69.0% 1.01× 1.44
Kashima Antlers or draw (X2) 62.5% 63.6% 57.1% 1.11× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe or draw at HT 75.5% 79.8% 1.25
Kashima Antlers or draw at HT 71.5% 74.3% 1.35
Vissel Kobe or Kashima Antlers at HT 53.0% 47.6% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe or draw (1UP) 65.2% 75.8% 1.32
Kashima Antlers or draw (1UP) 62.5% 71.7% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers or draw in 2nd half 69.4% 65.5% 1.53
Vissel Kobe or draw in 2nd half 69.2% 65.5% 1.53
Vissel Kobe or Kashima Antlers in 2nd half 61.4% 63.9% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.6% 69.4% 1.44
Neither half drawn 32.4% 30.6% 3.27
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe (DNB) 51.9% 50.9% 58.0% 0.88× 1.96
Kashima Antlers (DNB) 48.1% 49.1% 42.0% 1.17× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe to score first 46.4% 45.5% 2.20
Kashima Antlers to score first 44.3% 41.9% 2.39
No goal scored 9.3% 7.6% 13.19
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 52.3% 51.4% 49.5% 1.04× 1.95
Both teams to score 47.7% 48.6% 50.5% 0.96× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 45.1% 44.3% 40.0% 1.11× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 34.7% 34.3% 37.2% 0.92× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 13.0% 12.3% 13.4% 0.92× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 0.87× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.2% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.8% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 75.3% 75.0% 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.7% 25.0% 4.01
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 64.1% 66.6% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 21.0% 20.8% 4.82
Both score 1st half only 11.2% 10.7% 9.32
Both score in both halves 3.7% 5.0% 19.96
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.1% 85.7% 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 14.9% 14.3% 7.01
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 53.4% 53.5% 1.87
A goal in each half 46.6% 46.5% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.4% 47.2% 1.01× 2.11
0-1 goals 32.0% 30.7% 29.6% 1.04× 3.25
4-6 goals 20.2% 22.8% 21.0% 1.08× 4.39
7+ goals 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 0.72× 54.70
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 1 36.4% 36.0% 36.4% 0.99× 2.78
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 0 31.7% 33.8% 32.0% 1.06× 2.96
Kashima Antlers to score exactly 2 20.9% 22.4% 19.8% 1.13× 4.47
Kashima Antlers to score 3+ 11.0% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.6% 36.4% 0.98× 2.81
Vissel Kobe to score exactly 0 29.9% 26.5% 24.7% 1.08× 3.77
Vissel Kobe to score exactly 2 21.8% 23.2% 24.4% 0.95× 4.30
Vissel Kobe to score 3+ 12.2% 14.3% 14.9% 0.96× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.0% 52.4% 1.91
Vissel Kobe leading at HT 28.5% 25.7% 3.89
Kashima Antlers leading at HT 24.5% 20.2% 4.94
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe -1: 2 62.5% 62.5% 1.60
Vissel Kobe -1: X 21.6% 23.6% 4.24
Vissel Kobe -1: 1 16.0% 17.5% 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (0:1) 62.5% 61.4% 57.1% 1.08× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 21.6% 24.3% 25.0% 0.97× 4.12
Vissel Kobe (0:1) 16.0% 17.8% 18.0% 0.98× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (0:2) 84.0% 82.8% 82.0% 1.01× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 10.7% 11.0% 12.0% 0.91× 9.13
Vissel Kobe (0:2) 5.3% 7.7% 6.2% 1.25× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (0:3) 94.7% 92.6% 93.8% 0.99× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 3.9% 2.4% 4.3% 0.56× 42.09
Vissel Kobe (0:3) 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.15× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (0:4) 98.6% 98.1% 97.9% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 0.84× 83.55
Vissel Kobe (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 0.8% 1.51× 83.65
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe (1:0) 65.2% 69.9% 69.0% 1.01× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 20.6% 21.8% 19.3% 1.13× 4.60
Kashima Antlers (1:0) 14.2% 12.8% 11.9% 1.08× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe (2:0) 85.8% 88.4% 88.1% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.7% 6.5% 6.0% 1.08× 15.46
Kashima Antlers (2:0) 4.5% 2.3% 6.0% 0.38× 44.08
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.2% 48.1% 2.08
Halves equal 27.0% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.8% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe to concede 68.3% 66.6% 68.0% 0.98× 1.50
Vissel Kobe clean sheet 31.7% 33.4% 32.0% 1.05× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe clean sheet in 1st half 63.1% 64.2% 1.56
Vissel Kobe to concede in 1st half 36.9% 35.8% 2.80
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe over 2.5 corners 88.6% 86.3% 1.16
Vissel Kobe over 3.5 corners 77.4% 76.6% 1.31
Vissel Kobe under 6.5 corners 64.0% 62.3% 1.61
Vissel Kobe over 4.5 corners 63.7% 62.3% 1.61
Vissel Kobe under 5.5 corners 50.7% 52.8% 1.90
Vissel Kobe over 5.5 corners 49.3% 47.2% 2.12
Vissel Kobe under 4.5 corners 36.3% 37.7% 2.65
Vissel Kobe over 6.5 corners 36.0% 37.7% 2.65
Vissel Kobe under 3.5 corners 22.6% 23.4% 4.27
Vissel Kobe under 2.5 corners 11.4% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe under 3.5 goals 96.6% 96.4% 94.9% 1.02× 1.04
Vissel Kobe under 2.5 goals 87.8% 87.3% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Vissel Kobe over 0.5 goals 70.1% 74.2% 75.3% 0.98× 1.35
Vissel Kobe under 1.5 goals 66.0% 67.9% 60.9% 1.11× 1.47
Vissel Kobe over 1.5 goals 34.0% 32.1% 39.1% 0.82× 3.11
Vissel Kobe under 0.5 goals 29.9% 25.8% 24.7% 1.05× 3.87
Vissel Kobe over 2.5 goals 12.2% 12.7% 14.9% 0.86× 7.85
Vissel Kobe over 3.5 goals 3.4% 3.6% 5.1% 0.72× 27.46
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe under 1.5 in 1st half 90.4% 95.2% 1.05
Vissel Kobe under 0.5 in 1st half 59.5% 58.2% 1.72
Vissel Kobe over 0.5 in 1st half 40.5% 41.8% 2.39
Vissel Kobe over 1.5 in 1st half 9.6% 4.8% 20.94
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers (home no bet) 55.7% 56.7% 54.1% 1.05× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 44.3% 43.3% 45.9% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe even goals 54.5% 50.6% 52.4% 0.97× 1.97
Vissel Kobe odd goals 45.5% 49.4% 47.6% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.6% 38.6% 2.59
HT 1-0 19.5% 18.8% 5.33
HT 0-1 17.3% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 8.9% 7.1% 14.02
HT 2-0 5.1% 7.1% 14.08
HT 0-2 4.0% 2.3% 43.32
Any other HT score 2.7% 2.3% 43.41
HT 2-1 2.3% 2.3% 43.44
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.3% 43.46
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.3% 43.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe at HT / Vissel Kobe at FT 21.3% 21.8% 4.59
Kashima Antlers at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 18.2% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.0% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 14.6% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Vissel Kobe at FT 14.5% 12.7% 7.88
Vissel Kobe at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.73
Kashima Antlers at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% 28.79
Vissel Kobe at HT / Kashima Antlers at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.88
Kashima Antlers at HT / Vissel Kobe at FT 1.8% 3.5% 28.89
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe to score last 46.4% 46.7% 2.14
Kashima Antlers to score last 44.3% 40.1% 2.49
No goal scored 9.3% 7.6% 13.19
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.7% 92.5% 1.08
Vissel Kobe to lead by 1 at any time 52.4% 50.7% 1.97
Kashima Antlers to lead by 1 at any time 50.0% 44.1% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.8% 34.9% 2.86
Vissel Kobe to lead by 2 at any time 20.9% 19.6% 5.11
Kashima Antlers to lead by 2 at any time 19.0% 14.9% 6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.3% 10.5% 9.55
Vissel Kobe to lead by 3 at any time 6.6% 6.6% 15.10
Kashima Antlers to lead by 3 at any time 5.7% 6.6% 15.14
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe most corners 62.0% 60.5% 1.65
Kashima Antlers most corners 27.7% 31.0% 3.23
Corners level 10.3% 10.4% 9.62
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.4% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.6% 83.5% 81.8% 1.02× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.5% 69.0% 69.6% 0.99× 1.45
2-6 goals 67.0% 69.0% 68.0% 1.01× 1.45
2-5 goals 64.7% 63.4% 65.0% 0.98× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.0% 59.2% 59.3% 1.00× 1.69
1-2 goals 48.8% 48.7% 46.4% 1.05× 2.06
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.7% 47.2% 1.03× 2.06
3-6 goals 40.8% 43.6% 44.3% 0.98× 2.30
3-5 goals 38.6% 39.2% 41.3% 0.95× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.8% 35.4% 35.6% 0.99× 2.83
4-6 goals 20.2% 24.5% 21.0% 1.16× 4.09
4-5 goals 17.9% 18.6% 18.0% 1.03× 5.37
5-6 goals 8.0% 8.7% 8.9% 0.99× 11.44
7+ goals 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 1.01× 39.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Vissel Kobe never behind 40.7% 48.1% 2.08
Kashima Antlers never behind 38.3% 44.8% 2.23
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.9% 50.8% 53.2% 0.96× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.1% 49.2% 46.8% 1.05× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.0% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.0% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.1% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.9% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.7% 95.5% 94.5% 1.01× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.0% 92.3% 88.8% 1.04× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 90.7% 92.3% 92.9% 0.99× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 78.8% 77.4% 76.6% 1.01× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 68.0% 66.2% 70.4% 0.94× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 58.1% 58.8% 53.3% 1.10× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 41.9% 41.2% 46.7% 0.88× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 32.0% 33.8% 29.6% 1.14× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 21.2% 22.6% 23.4% 0.97× 4.42
Under 0.5 goals 9.3% 7.7% 7.1% 1.09× 12.91
Over 4.5 goals 9.0% 7.7% 11.2% 0.69× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 0.81× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.9% 97.2% 97.4% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.5% 97.2% 94.1% 1.03× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 89.7% 86.8% 87.2% 0.99× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.3% 72.6% 69.5% 1.04× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 56.7% 55.4% 61.2% 0.91× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 43.3% 44.6% 38.8% 1.15× 2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.7% 27.4% 30.5% 0.90× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.3% 13.2% 12.8% 1.03× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.5% 2.8% 5.9% 0.47× 36.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.06× 36.19
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.4% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.4% 71.3% 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 62.4% 63.6% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.6% 36.4% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.6% 28.7% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.6% 7.3% 13.68
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.9% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.8% 77.8% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.0% 61.5% 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 40.0% 38.5% 2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.2% 22.2% 4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.1% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers not to score in both halves 81.6% 84.3% 1.19
Vissel Kobe not to score in both halves 79.9% 78.3% 1.28
Vissel Kobe to score in both halves 20.1% 21.7% 4.62
Kashima Antlers to score in both halves 18.4% 15.7% 6.35
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.7% 50.5% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Only Vissel Kobe scores 22.3% 22.3% 25.0% 0.89× 4.48
Only Kashima Antlers scores 20.6% 22.3% 17.7% 1.26× 4.48
Neither team scores 9.3% 7.2% 7.1% 1.01× 13.89
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.2% 25.0% 23.9% 1.04× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 22.6% 22.6% 22.6% 1.00× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 20.7% 22.6% 23.4% 0.97× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 12.2% 12.1% 12.3% 0.98× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 9.3% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.08
Exactly 5 goals 5.7% 7.6% 5.9% 1.30× 13.09
6 or more goals 3.3% 4.4% 5.5% 0.80× 22.67
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 40.0% 40.1% 2.50
1 goal in 2nd half 34.8% 33.5% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 25.2% 29.7% 3.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers not to win both halves 92.5% 93.9% 1.06
Vissel Kobe not to win both halves 91.3% 93.9% 1.07
Vissel Kobe to win both halves 8.7% 6.1% 16.44
Kashima Antlers to win both halves 7.5% 6.1% 16.52
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers to win neither half 52.2% 55.0% 1.82
Vissel Kobe to win either half 50.4% 54.9% 1.82
Vissel Kobe to win neither half 49.6% 45.1% 2.22
Kashima Antlers to win either half 47.8% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kashima Antlers not to win to nil 79.4% 78.1% 82.3% 0.95× 1.28
Vissel Kobe not to win to nil 77.7% 78.1% 75.0% 1.04× 1.28
Vissel Kobe to win to nil 22.3% 22.0% 25.0% 0.88× 4.56
Kashima Antlers to win to nil 20.6% 21.9% 17.7% 1.24× 4.56
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.7% 27.9% 26.3% 1.06× 3.59
Vissel Kobe by 1 21.6% 24.1% 25.0% 0.97× 4.14
Kashima Antlers by 1 20.6% 24.1% 19.3% 1.25× 4.14
Vissel Kobe by 2 10.7% 11.8% 12.0% 0.98× 8.48
Kashima Antlers by 2 9.7% 7.3% 6.0% 1.21× 13.77
Vissel Kobe by 3+ 5.3% 7.3% 6.2% 1.18× 13.79
Kashima Antlers by 3+ 4.5% 2.7% 6.0% 0.45× 36.94
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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