Vitória v Fluminense FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 November 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Vitória

20:00 UTC

Fluminense FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 273h before kick-off

Vitória win

27.9%

model 28.5%

Draw

28.0%

model 29.1%

Fluminense FC win

44.1%

model 42.3%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
0-1 10.5%
0-0 9.6%
1-2 8.8%
0-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.0%	Under 2.5	55.0%
BTTS yes	50.9%	BTTS no	49.1%
Vitória 1+	66.4%	Vitória 2+	29.8%
Fluminense FC 1+	74.9%	Fluminense FC 2+	40.2%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Fluminense FC (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 33%

60.9% fair odds 1.64

strong signal · 349 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Vitória not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 72%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Fluminense FC carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1477.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Fluminense FC have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 27.9% for Vitória. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.09 for Vitória and 1.38 for Fluminense FC.

Why Vitória

Nothing in the data singles out Vitória.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Fluminense FC can win

Fluminense FC carry the stronger rating, 1632 Elo against 1477. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Vitória, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fluminense FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Vitória: 43% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fluminense FC: 60% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Fluminense FC are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292942	1.09–1.38	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	273142	0.97–1.27	1-1 14%	39%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to win	42.0%	42.9%	24.0%	1.79×	2.33
Draw	30.8%	30.4%	27.3%	1.11×	3.29
Vitória to win	27.2%	27.9%	48.9%	0.57×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC & not both score	26.0%	25.2%	13.8%	1.82×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	20.8%	0.86×	5.56
Vitória & not both score	16.3%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.57
Fluminense FC & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	10.3%	1.74×	5.57
Draw & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	6.7%	1.99×	7.54
Vitória & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	21.0%	0.63×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC & under 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	18.6%	1.66×	3.25
Fluminense FC & over 1.5	29.7%	26.1%	17.1%	1.52×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.1%	26.1%	20.2%	1.29×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.1%	26.1%	20.2%	1.29×	3.84
Vitória & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	36.8%	0.59×	4.63
Fluminense FC & over 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	13.2%	1.64×	4.63
Fluminense FC & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	11.0%	1.97×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	20.8%	0.87×	5.56
Vitória & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	36.7%	0.49×	5.56
Vitória & under 2.5	14.2%	12.8%	21.6%	0.59×	7.79
Vitória & over 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	27.5%	0.47×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	6.7%	1.93×	7.79
Fluminense FC & under 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	7.0%	1.84×	7.79
Vitória & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	12.4%	0.64×	12.63
Fluminense FC & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	5.6%	1.43×	12.63
Vitória & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (1UP)	56.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Vitória (1UP)	42.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (2UP)	42.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Vitória (2UP)	27.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Fluminense FC to win 2nd half	36.2%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Vitória to win 2nd half	23.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Fluminense FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Fluminense FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Fluminense FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Vitória under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Vitória over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Vitória over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	11.4%	—	—	8.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (+2.5)	97.2%	96.3%	90.8%	1.06×	1.04
Fluminense FC (+1.5)	89.7%	88.5%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Fluminense FC (+0.5)	72.8%	73.7%	51.1%	1.44×	1.36
Vitória (+0.5)	58.0%	57.0%	76.0%	0.75×	1.75
Fluminense FC (-0.5)	42.0%	43.0%	24.0%	1.79×	2.33
Vitória (-0.5)	27.2%	26.3%	48.9%	0.54×	3.80
Vitória (-1.5)	10.3%	11.5%	23.2%	0.50×	8.68
Vitória (-2.5)	2.8%	3.7%	9.2%	0.40×	27.13

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to concede	62.2%	67.6%	79.7%	0.85×	1.48
Fluminense FC clean sheet	37.8%	32.4%	20.3%	1.60×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC clean sheet in 1st half	65.8%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Fluminense FC to concede in 1st half	34.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC clean sheet in 2nd half	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fluminense FC to concede in 2nd half	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 6.5 corners	78.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Fluminense FC over 2.5 corners	74.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fluminense FC under 5.5 corners	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Fluminense FC over 3.5 corners	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fluminense FC under 4.5 corners	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fluminense FC over 4.5 corners	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Fluminense FC under 3.5 corners	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Fluminense FC over 5.5 corners	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Fluminense FC under 2.5 corners	25.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Fluminense FC over 6.5 corners	21.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 3.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	97.9%	1.00×	1.03
Fluminense FC under 2.5 goals	86.4%	87.8%	90.8%	0.97×	1.14
Fluminense FC over 0.5 goals	71.9%	71.9%	65.4%	1.10×	1.39
Fluminense FC under 1.5 goals	63.8%	63.2%	71.9%	0.88×	1.58
Fluminense FC over 1.5 goals	36.2%	36.8%	28.1%	1.31×	2.72
Fluminense FC under 0.5 goals	28.1%	28.1%	34.6%	0.81×	3.56
Fluminense FC over 2.5 goals	13.6%	12.2%	9.2%	1.33×	8.20
Fluminense FC over 3.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	2.1%	1.22×	39.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Fluminense FC under 0.5 in 1st half	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Fluminense FC over 0.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Fluminense FC over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC scores equally in both	40.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Fluminense FC scores more in 2nd half	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Fluminense FC scores more in 1st half	22.1%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.0%	51.7%	35.8%	1.44×	1.93
Vitória (away no bet)	47.0%	48.3%	64.2%	0.75×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC even goals	54.0%	52.6%	54.9%	0.96×	1.90
Fluminense FC odd goals	46.0%	47.4%	45.1%	1.05×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	8.2%	—	—	12.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Fluminense FC to score 2+ in a row	30.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Vitória to score 2+ in a row	19.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Fluminense FC to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.81
Vitória to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.6%	—	—	37.97

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória corners (+3.5)	84.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Fluminense FC corners (+3.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Vitória corners (+2.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fluminense FC corners (+2.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Vitória corners (+1.5)	69.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Fluminense FC corners (+1.5)	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Vitória corners (-1.5)	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fluminense FC corners (-1.5)	30.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Vitória corners (-2.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fluminense FC corners (-2.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Vitória corners (-3.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Fluminense FC corners (-3.5)	15.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	45.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.3%	11.5%	13.7%	0.84×	8.72
0-0	11.8%	11.5%	6.7%	1.72×	8.72
0-1	12.3%	11.5%	7.0%	1.64×	8.72
0-2	8.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	12.4%	0.60×	13.51
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
2-0	5.0%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
0-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.31
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.31
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.80×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (2nd half DNB)	60.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Vitória (2nd half DNB)	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC leading at HT (DNB)	56.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Vitória leading at HT (DNB)	44.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw (X2)	72.8%	72.1%	51.1%	1.41×	1.39
Vitória or Fluminense FC (12)	69.2%	69.6%	72.7%	0.96×	1.44
Vitória or draw (1X)	58.0%	57.1%	76.0%	0.75×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw at HT	77.5%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Vitória or draw at HT	71.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Vitória or Fluminense FC at HT	51.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw (1UP)	72.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Vitória or draw (1UP)	58.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw in 2nd half	76.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Vitória or draw in 2nd half	63.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Vitória or Fluminense FC in 2nd half	59.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	31.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (DNB)	60.6%	62.7%	32.9%	1.90×	1.60
Vitória (DNB)	39.4%	37.3%	67.1%	0.56×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score first	49.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Vitória to score first	38.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	11.8%	9.8%	—	—	10.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.1%	51.3%	48.3%	1.06×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.9%	48.7%	51.7%	0.94×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.8%	44.3%	38.9%	1.14×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.6%	34.5%	38.3%	0.90×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	14.3%	12.4%	13.7%	0.91×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.3%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.8%	89.0%	87.1%	1.02×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.2%	11.0%	12.9%	0.86×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.9%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.0%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.9%	47.2%	49.7%	0.95×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.3%	30.7%	25.7%	1.20×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.1%	20.2%	24.3%	0.83×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	0.6%	2.89×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.9%	37.5%	0.96×	2.78
Fluminense FC to score exactly 0	28.1%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Fluminense FC to score exactly 2	22.6%	22.3%	19.0%	1.17×	4.49
Fluminense FC to score 3+	13.6%	12.9%	9.2%	1.40×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória to score exactly 0	37.8%	35.6%	20.3%	1.75×	2.81
Vitória to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	34.3%	1.04×	2.81
Vitória to score exactly 2	17.9%	18.8%	27.1%	0.69×	5.33
Vitória to score 3+	7.5%	10.3%	18.6%	0.55×	9.71

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Fluminense FC leading at HT	28.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Vitória leading at HT	22.5%	20.7%	—	—	4.82

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC -1: 1	58.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Fluminense FC -1: X	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Fluminense FC -1: 2	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:1)	72.8%	71.1%	51.1%	1.39×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.0%	17.8%	25.9%	0.69×	5.61
Vitória (0:1)	10.3%	13.7%	23.2%	0.59×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:2)	89.7%	87.1%	76.8%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	14.1%	0.54×	13.04
Vitória (0:2)	2.8%	3.7%	9.2%	0.41×	26.71

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:3)	97.2%	96.6%	90.8%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	42.11
Vitória (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.7%	0.88×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	82.05
Vitória (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória (1:0)	58.0%	58.4%	76.0%	0.77×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	22.5%	21.7%	14.6%	1.49×	4.61
Fluminense FC (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	9.5%	1.80×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória (2:0)	80.5%	84.6%	90.5%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.7%	10.3%	6.2%	1.66×	9.72
Fluminense FC (2:0)	6.8%	6.4%	3.5%	1.82×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Halves equal	29.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória to concede	71.9%	73.2%	65.4%	1.12×	1.37
Vitória clean sheet	28.1%	26.8%	34.6%	0.78×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória clean sheet in 1st half	60.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Vitória to concede in 1st half	39.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória to concede in 2nd half	53.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Vitória clean sheet in 2nd half	46.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Vitória under 6.5 corners	73.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Vitória over 3.5 corners	65.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Vitória under 5.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Vitória over 4.5 corners	50.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Vitória under 4.5 corners	49.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Vitória over 5.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Vitória under 3.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Vitória over 6.5 corners	26.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Vitória under 2.5 corners	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Vitória under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.2%	81.4%	1.13×	1.08
Vitória under 1.5 goals	74.6%	74.3%	54.4%	1.36×	1.35
Vitória over 0.5 goals	62.2%	63.6%	79.7%	0.80×	1.57
Vitória under 0.5 goals	37.8%	36.4%	20.3%	1.79×	2.75
Vitória over 1.5 goals	25.4%	25.7%	45.6%	0.57×	3.89
Vitória over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	18.6%	0.42×	12.88
Vitória over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	5.7%	0.63×	27.59

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória under 1.5 in 1st half	93.3%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Vitória under 0.5 in 1st half	65.8%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Vitória over 0.5 in 1st half	34.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Vitória over 1.5 in 1st half	6.7%	5.2%	—	—	19.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória scores equally in both	47.1%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Vitória scores more in 2nd half	31.1%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Vitória scores more in 1st half	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (home no bet)	57.7%	56.4%	46.7%	1.21×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.3%	43.6%	53.3%	0.82×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória even goals	57.1%	55.3%	51.6%	1.07×	1.81
Vitória odd goals	42.9%	44.7%	48.4%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.8%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
HT 0-1	19.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-0	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	22.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	17.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Vitória at HT / Vitória at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Vitória at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Vitória at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Fluminense FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Vitória at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
Fluminense FC at HT / Vitória at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score last	50.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Vitória to score last	38.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	11.8%	9.2%	—	—	10.93

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.2%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Fluminense FC to lead by 1 at any time	56.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Vitória to lead by 1 at any time	42.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Fluminense FC to lead by 2 at any time	24.3%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Vitória to lead by 2 at any time	14.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Fluminense FC to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Vitória to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória most corners	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Fluminense FC most corners	40.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	88.7%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.4%	81.7%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.3%	68.8%	68.7%	1.00×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.9%	68.8%	73.8%	0.93×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.1%	63.3%	69.7%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.1%	62.7%	0.94×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.3%	48.5%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.9%	48.5%	49.7%	0.98×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.0%	39.2%	47.1%	0.83×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.2%	39.2%	43.0%	0.91×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.1%	35.2%	36.0%	0.98×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	24.3%	0.78×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.2%	18.8%	20.2%	0.93×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.9%	8.9%	11.3%	0.79×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	0.6%	4.02×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC never behind	45.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Vitória never behind	32.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.9%	49.2%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.1%	50.8%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	88.3%	1.05×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	93.3%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	75.2%	1.09×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.7%	66.3%	74.3%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	52.4%	1.18×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	47.6%	0.80×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.3%	33.7%	25.7%	1.31×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	24.8%	0.72×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	6.7%	1.86×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	11.7%	0.66×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	94.9%	1.02×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.3%	92.4%	86.5%	1.07×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.4%	75.9%	67.9%	1.12×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.9%	51.9%	64.9%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.1%	48.1%	35.1%	1.37×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.6%	24.1%	32.1%	0.75×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.7%	7.6%	13.5%	0.56×	13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.1%	0.55×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	0.7%	4.24×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.8%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória not to score in both halves	85.4%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Fluminense FC not to score in both halves	78.8%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Fluminense FC to score in both halves	21.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
Vitória to score in both halves	14.6%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.9%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Only Fluminense FC scores	26.0%	26.0%	13.8%	1.88×	3.84
Only Vitória scores	16.3%	16.0%	28.1%	0.57×	6.24
Neither team scores	11.8%	11.0%	6.7%	1.65×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.9%	24.9%	26.8%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.4%	22.6%	19.2%	1.18×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.8%	12.1%	6.7%	1.82×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	11.2%	12.1%	13.2%	0.92×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	4.8%	0.94×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 2nd half	34.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	27.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória not to win both halves	94.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Fluminense FC not to win both halves	89.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Fluminense FC to win both halves	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Vitória to win both halves	5.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória to win neither half	59.4%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Fluminense FC to win either half	54.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Fluminense FC to win neither half	45.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Vitória to win either half	40.6%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória not to win to nil	83.7%	83.1%	71.9%	1.16×	1.20
Fluminense FC not to win to nil	74.0%	75.4%	86.2%	0.87×	1.33
Fluminense FC to win to nil	26.0%	24.6%	13.8%	1.78×	4.06
Vitória to win to nil	16.3%	16.9%	28.1%	0.60×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.8%	27.6%	27.3%	1.01×	3.62
Fluminense FC by 1	22.5%	24.1%	14.6%	1.65×	4.15
Vitória by 1	17.0%	17.0%	25.9%	0.66×	5.87
Fluminense FC by 2	12.7%	11.8%	6.2%	1.90×	8.51
Vitória by 2	7.4%	7.2%	14.1%	0.51×	13.91
Fluminense FC by 3+	6.8%	7.2%	3.5%	2.06×	13.91
Vitória by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	9.2%	0.30×	36.82