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Volos NFC v Panathinaikos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Volos NFC win
22.5%
model 21.1%
Draw
29.2%
model 31.0%
Panathinaikos win
48.3%
model 48.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.6%
  2. 0-0 11.6%
  3. 0-1 11.5%
  4. 0-2 10.0%
  5. 1-2 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.542.1% Under 2.557.9%
BTTS yes47.9% BTTS no52.1%
Volos NFC 1+59.5% Volos NFC 2+22.9%
Panathinaikos 1+76.8% Panathinaikos 2+42.9%

Expected goals 0.90 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
74/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
91%
★ Best pick
Draw (away no bet)
Away no bet · usually 38%
59.7% fair odds 1.67
strong signal · 395 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Volos NFC not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1656 Elo against 1340.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Panathinaikos have an estimated 48.3% win probability, against 29.2% for the draw and 22.5% for Volos NFC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.90 for Volos NFC and 1.46 for Panathinaikos.

Why Volos NFC

Nothing in the data singles out Volos NFC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Panathinaikos can win

Panathinaikos carry the stronger rating, 1656 Elo against 1340.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Volos NFC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Panathinaikos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Volos NFC: 47% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Panathinaikos: 46% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Panathinaikos are the model's most likely outcome at 48.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 74/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

No channel's listings name this match. That is the guide being silent rather than the match being off — most listings say "Live: Premier League" or the name of a studio show, not who is playing. Open the 333 sports channels →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.90–1.46 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.77–1.66 1-1 13% 44% 45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos to win 56.6% 54.0% 33.8% 1.60× 1.85
Draw 28.3% 27.9% 25.0% 1.12× 3.58
Volos NFC to win 15.1% 19.4% 41.4% 0.47× 5.17
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos & not both score 35.6% 33.3% 19.7% 1.69× 3.01
Panathinaikos & both teams score 21.0% 21.8% 14.3% 1.52× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 17.4% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.57
Draw & not both score 10.9% 13.3% 8.4% 1.58× 7.54
Volos NFC & not both score 8.2% 8.3% 24.0% 0.35× 12.01
Volos NFC & both teams score 6.9% 8.3% 17.6% 0.47× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos & over 1.5 43.9% 40.3% 24.4% 1.65× 2.48
Panathinaikos & under 3.5 40.9% 40.2% 26.8% 1.50× 2.49
Panathinaikos & over 2.5 31.7% 30.8% 18.4% 1.67× 3.25
Panathinaikos & under 2.5 24.9% 21.6% 15.6% 1.39× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 24.1% 21.6% 21.3% 1.01× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 24.1% 21.6% 21.3% 1.01× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 17.4% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Panathinaikos & over 3.5 15.7% 18.0% 7.2% 2.51× 5.56
Volos NFC & under 3.5 12.4% 12.8% 29.7% 0.43× 7.79
Panathinaikos & under 1.5 12.7% 12.8% 9.6% 1.33× 7.79
Volos NFC & over 1.5 10.3% 12.8% 32.4% 0.40× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 10.9% 12.8% 8.4% 1.53× 7.79
Volos NFC & over 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 26.4% 0.30× 12.63
Volos NFC & under 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 15.2% 0.52× 12.63
Volos NFC & under 1.5 4.8% 4.8% 9.2% 0.52× 20.81
Draw & over 2.5 4.1% 4.8% 3.9% 1.23× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.1% 4.8% 3.9% 1.23× 20.81
Volos NFC & over 3.5 2.7% 4.8% 11.9% 0.40× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (1UP) 68.4% 70.2% — — 1.43
Volos NFC (1UP) 31.1% 32.7% — — 3.06
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (2UP) 56.6% 55.0% — — 1.82
Volos NFC (2UP) 15.1% 17.0% — — 5.88
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos to win 2nd half 47.9% 45.9% — — 2.18
2nd half drawn 36.9% 36.1% — — 2.77
Volos NFC to win 2nd half 15.2% 17.9% — — 5.59
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 2nd half 73.8% 75.4% — — 1.33
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 2nd half 63.0% 60.1% — — 1.66
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.0% 39.9% — — 2.51
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 2nd half 26.2% 24.6% — — 4.06
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC under 1.5 in 2nd half 92.9% 94.3% — — 1.06
Volos NFC under 0.5 in 2nd half 64.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Volos NFC over 0.5 in 2nd half 35.3% 36.7% — — 2.73
Volos NFC over 1.5 in 2nd half 7.1% 5.7% — — 17.64
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (+2.5) 98.9% 96.3% 89.3% 1.08× 1.04
Panathinaikos (+1.5) 95.0% 96.3% 78.9% 1.22× 1.04
Panathinaikos (+0.5) 84.9% 82.5% 58.6% 1.41× 1.21
Panathinaikos (-0.5) 56.6% 57.0% 33.8% 1.69× 1.75
Volos NFC (+0.5) 43.4% 43.0% 66.2% 0.65× 2.33
Volos NFC (-0.5) 15.1% 17.5% 41.4% 0.42× 5.73
Volos NFC (-1.5) 5.0% 3.7% 21.1% 0.18× 26.98
Volos NFC (-2.5) 1.1% 3.7% 10.7% 0.34× 27.23
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos to concede 53.5% 56.0% 72.1% 0.78× 1.79
Panathinaikos clean sheet 46.5% 44.0% 27.9% 1.58× 2.27
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 1st half 72.0% 77.3% — — 1.29
Panathinaikos to concede in 1st half 28.0% 22.7% — — 4.40
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos clean sheet in 2nd half 64.7% 61.9% — — 1.62
Panathinaikos to concede in 2nd half 35.3% 38.1% — — 2.62
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos under 6.5 corners 86.1% 85.2% — — 1.17
Panathinaikos under 5.5 corners 76.8% 76.0% — — 1.32
Panathinaikos over 2.5 corners 71.0% 71.6% — — 1.40
Panathinaikos under 4.5 corners 63.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Panathinaikos over 3.5 corners 53.1% 53.1% — — 1.89
Panathinaikos under 3.5 corners 46.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners 36.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Panathinaikos under 2.5 corners 29.0% 28.4% — — 3.52
Panathinaikos over 5.5 corners 23.2% 24.0% — — 4.17
Panathinaikos over 6.5 corners 13.9% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos under 3.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 96.7% 0.95× 1.08
Panathinaikos over 0.5 goals 80.9% 81.4% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
Panathinaikos under 2.5 goals 76.9% 76.3% 89.8% 0.85× 1.31
Panathinaikos under 1.5 goals 50.7% 53.5% 67.4% 0.79× 1.87
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals 49.3% 46.5% 32.6% 1.43× 2.15
Panathinaikos over 2.5 goals 23.1% 23.7% 10.2% 2.32× 4.21
Panathinaikos under 0.5 goals 19.1% 18.6% 32.2% 0.58× 5.39
Panathinaikos over 3.5 goals 8.7% 7.7% 3.3% 2.34× 13.04
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos under 1.5 in 1st half 85.7% 89.2% — — 1.12
Panathinaikos under 0.5 in 1st half 51.6% 55.4% — — 1.80
Panathinaikos over 0.5 in 1st half 48.4% 44.6% — — 2.24
Panathinaikos over 1.5 in 1st half 14.3% 10.8% — — 9.28
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos scores more in 2nd half 42.3% 43.4% — — 2.30
Panathinaikos scores equally in both 33.9% 33.7% — — 2.97
Panathinaikos scores more in 1st half 23.8% 22.0% — — 4.54
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 65.2% 66.3% 37.7% 1.76× 1.51
Volos NFC (away no bet) 34.8% 33.7% 62.3% 0.54× 2.97
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos even goals 51.8% 52.6% 56.8% 0.93× 1.90
Panathinaikos odd goals 48.2% 47.4% 43.2% 1.10× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.1% 88.1% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.9% 11.9% — — 8.37
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 58.0% 60.4% — — 1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals 42.0% 39.6% — — 2.53
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.3% 51.0% — — 1.96
Panathinaikos to score 2+ in a row 43.4% 38.8% — — 2.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.8% 16.3% — — 6.13
Panathinaikos to score 3+ in a row 17.7% 16.3% — — 6.15
Volos NFC to score 2+ in a row 12.4% 12.0% — — 8.30
Volos NFC to score 3+ in a row 2.2% 2.5% — — 39.38
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC corners (+3.5) 89.0% 84.5% — — 1.18
Volos NFC corners (+2.5) 82.5% 79.8% — — 1.25
Panathinaikos corners (+3.5) 80.5% 79.8% — — 1.25
Volos NFC corners (+1.5) 73.8% 70.8% — — 1.41
Panathinaikos corners (+2.5) 71.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Panathinaikos corners (+1.5) 60.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Volos NFC corners (-1.5) 39.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Volos NFC corners (-2.5) 28.4% 29.3% — — 3.42
Panathinaikos corners (-1.5) 26.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Volos NFC corners (-3.5) 19.5% 20.2% — — 4.94
Panathinaikos corners (-2.5) 17.5% 20.2% — — 4.94
Panathinaikos corners (-3.5) 11.0% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 52.6% 45.3% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 28.2% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 19.1% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 86.9% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 80.9% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 73.1% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 63.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 59.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 52.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 47.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 40.9% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 36.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 26.9% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 19.1% 19.3% — — 5.17
Over 12.5 corners 13.1% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.3% 11.5% 13.1% 0.87× 8.72
0-1 12.7% 11.5% 9.6% 1.19× 8.72
0-2 12.2% 11.5% 6.1% 1.87× 8.72
0-0 10.9% 11.5% 8.4% 1.36× 8.72
1-2 9.3% 7.4% 8.6% 0.86× 13.50
0-3 6.7% 7.4% 3.1% 2.41× 13.51
1-3 5.1% 7.4% 2.0% 3.61× 13.51
1-0 4.8% 1.7% 9.2% 0.19× 58.29
0-4 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.09× 58.30
1-4 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.31
2-0 2.6% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.30
2-1 4.3% 1.7% 8.6% 0.20× 58.29
2-2 3.6% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
2-3 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.31
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.6% 2.79× 58.31
3-0 0.7% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.32
3-1 1.1% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.31
3-2 0.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.18× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.37× 58.32
4-0 0.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.93× 58.32
4-1 0.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.32
4-2 0.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.20× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.37× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 8.37× 58.32
Any other score 2.8% 1.7% 2.5% 0.70× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (2nd half DNB) 75.9% 79.2% — — 1.26
Volos NFC (2nd half DNB) 24.1% 20.8% — — 4.80
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos leading at HT (DNB) 70.8% 73.6% — — 1.36
Volos NFC leading at HT (DNB) 29.2% 26.4% — — 3.79
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (X2) 84.9% 80.6% 58.6% 1.38× 1.24
Volos NFC or Panathinaikos (12) 71.8% 72.1% 75.0% 0.96× 1.39
Volos NFC or draw (1X) 43.4% 46.0% 66.2% 0.70× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos or draw at HT 84.3% 84.4% — — 1.19
Volos NFC or draw at HT 62.0% 61.6% — — 1.62
Volos NFC or Panathinaikos at HT 53.7% 47.9% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos or draw (1UP) 84.9% 88.8% — — 1.13
Volos NFC or draw (1UP) 43.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos or draw in 2nd half 84.8% 82.1% — — 1.22
Volos NFC or Panathinaikos in 2nd half 63.1% 63.9% — — 1.57
Volos NFC or draw in 2nd half 52.1% 54.1% — — 1.85
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.0% 61.5% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 36.0% 38.5% — — 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (DNB) 78.9% 74.8% 45.0% 1.66× 1.34
Volos NFC (DNB) 21.1% 25.2% 55.0% 0.46× 3.97
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos to score first 60.9% 64.4% — — 1.55
Volos NFC to score first 28.2% 28.0% — — 3.58
No goal scored 10.9% 9.5% — — 10.52
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 54.8% 51.3% 51.6% 0.99× 1.95
Both teams to score 45.2% 48.7% 48.4% 1.01× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 43.2% 41.6% 38.7% 1.07× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 32.0% 34.5% 35.5% 0.97× 2.90
Both score & under 2.5 13.3% 12.4% 13.1% 0.94× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 11.6% 12.4% 13.1% 0.94× 8.10
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 91.2% 89.0% 88.9% 1.00× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 8.8% 11.0% 11.1% 1.00× 9.08
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 77.1% 74.3% — — 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 22.9% 25.7% — — 3.89
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 66.2% 63.1% — — 1.59
Both score 2nd half only 19.9% 15.2% — — 6.60
Both score 1st half only 10.9% 10.7% — — 9.39
Both score in both halves 3.0% 4.9% — — 20.42
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.1% 85.1% — — 1.18
Both teams to score by HT 13.9% 14.9% — — 6.73
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 51.2% 52.6% — — 1.90
A goal in each half 48.8% 47.4% — — 2.11
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 49.0% 47.2% 50.8% 0.93× 2.12
0-1 goals 28.4% 26.6% 26.8% 0.99× 3.76
4-6 goals 21.3% 22.9% 21.7% 1.05× 4.37
7+ goals 1.2% 1.8% 1.0% 1.79× 54.38
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos to score exactly 1 31.6% 33.8% 35.5% 0.95× 2.96
Panathinaikos to score exactly 2 26.2% 27.4% 22.5% 1.21× 3.66
Panathinaikos to score 3+ 23.1% 22.3% 10.2% 2.18× 4.48
Panathinaikos to score exactly 0 19.1% 19.6% 32.2% 0.61× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC to score exactly 0 46.5% 37.4% 27.9% 1.34× 2.68
Volos NFC to score exactly 1 35.6% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Volos NFC to score exactly 2 13.6% 14.3% 20.7% 0.69× 6.98
Volos NFC to score 3+ 4.3% 6.2% 18.2% 0.34× 16.11
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.3% 52.1% — — 1.92
Panathinaikos leading at HT 38.0% 38.4% — — 2.60
Volos NFC leading at HT 15.7% 15.6% — — 6.41
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos -1: 1 43.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Panathinaikos -1: 2 32.4% 30.1% — — 3.33
Panathinaikos -1: X 24.2% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (0:1) 84.9% 78.2% 58.6% 1.33× 1.28
Draw (0:1) 10.1% 13.7% 20.5% 0.67× 7.31
Volos NFC (0:1) 5.0% 5.8% 21.1% 0.27× 17.26
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (0:2) 95.0% 94.1% 78.9% 1.19× 1.06
Draw (0:2) 3.9% 3.8% 10.7% 0.35× 26.64
Volos NFC (0:2) 1.1% 3.7% 10.7% 0.35× 26.80
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (0:3) 98.9% 96.6% 89.3% 1.08× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 0.9% 2.4% 8.0% 0.30× 42.15
Volos NFC (0:3) 0.2% 2.4% 2.9% 0.83× 42.18
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (0:4) 99.8% 98.1% 97.1% 1.01× 1.02
Volos NFC (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% 0.99× 82.10
Draw (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.8% 0.66× 82.09
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC (1:0) 43.4% 43.4% 66.2% 0.66× 2.31
Panathinaikos (1:0) 32.4% 30.1% 13.9% 2.16× 3.32
Draw (1:0) 24.2% 21.7% 20.1% 1.08× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC (2:0) 67.6% 70.9% 86.1% 0.82× 1.41
Draw (2:0) 18.2% 15.8% 8.4% 1.89× 6.31
Panathinaikos (2:0) 14.2% 10.3% 5.7% 1.80× 9.70
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.5% 48.7% — — 2.05
Halves equal 29.7% 26.3% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 24.8% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC to concede 80.9% 80.8% 67.8% 1.19× 1.24
Volos NFC clean sheet 19.1% 19.2% 32.2% 0.60× 5.21
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC clean sheet in 1st half 51.6% 55.4% — — 1.80
Volos NFC to concede in 1st half 48.4% 44.6% — — 2.24
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC to concede in 2nd half 63.0% 59.9% — — 1.67
Volos NFC clean sheet in 2nd half 37.0% 40.1% — — 2.49
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC under 6.5 corners 78.8% 76.5% — — 1.31
Volos NFC over 2.5 corners 78.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Volos NFC under 5.5 corners 67.6% 66.7% — — 1.50
Volos NFC over 3.5 corners 62.9% 62.3% — — 1.61
Volos NFC under 4.5 corners 53.3% 52.6% — — 1.90
Volos NFC over 4.5 corners 46.7% 47.4% — — 2.11
Volos NFC under 3.5 corners 37.1% 37.7% — — 2.65
Volos NFC over 5.5 corners 32.4% 33.3% — — 3.01
Volos NFC under 2.5 corners 21.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Volos NFC over 6.5 corners 21.2% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC under 3.5 goals 99.2% 96.4% 94.3% 1.02× 1.04
Volos NFC under 2.5 goals 95.7% 96.4% 81.8% 1.18× 1.04
Volos NFC under 1.5 goals 82.1% 82.2% 61.3% 1.34× 1.22
Volos NFC over 0.5 goals 53.5% 53.2% 72.1% 0.74× 1.88
Volos NFC under 0.5 goals 46.5% 46.8% 27.9% 1.68× 2.14
Volos NFC over 1.5 goals 17.9% 17.8% 38.7% 0.46× 5.62
Volos NFC over 2.5 goals 4.3% 3.6% 18.2% 0.20× 27.47
Volos NFC over 3.5 goals 0.8% 3.6% 5.7% 0.63× 27.62
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC under 1.5 in 1st half 95.6% 96.5% — — 1.04
Volos NFC under 0.5 in 1st half 72.0% 79.0% — — 1.27
Volos NFC over 0.5 in 1st half 28.0% 21.0% — — 4.77
Volos NFC over 1.5 in 1st half 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.80
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC scores equally in both 53.5% 58.3% — — 1.72
Volos NFC scores more in 2nd half 27.2% 27.8% — — 3.60
Volos NFC scores more in 1st half 19.4% 16.1% — — 6.22
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos (home no bet) 66.7% 64.2% 57.5% 1.12× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 33.3% 35.8% 42.5% 0.84× 2.79
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC even goals 60.8% 55.9% 52.9% 1.06× 1.79
Volos NFC odd goals 39.2% 44.1% 47.1% 0.94× 2.27
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.5% 39.4% — — 2.54
HT 0-1 24.2% 24.5% — — 4.09
HT 1-0 11.9% 11.0% — — 9.08
HT 1-1 8.4% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 0-2 8.1% 6.9% — — 14.47
Any other HT score 3.4% 2.4% — — 42.06
HT 1-2 2.7% 2.4% — — 42.10
HT 2-0 2.0% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT 2-1 1.3% 2.4% — — 42.19
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.4% — — 42.25
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos at HT / Panathinaikos at FT 32.9% 32.2% — — 3.10
Draw at HT / Panathinaikos at FT 21.0% 21.8% — — 4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.2% 16.7% — — 5.97
Volos NFC at HT / Volos NFC at FT 8.1% 6.0% — — 16.60
Draw at HT / Volos NFC at FT 6.1% 6.0% — — 16.66
Volos NFC at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.59
Panathinaikos at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.5% — — 28.61
Volos NFC at HT / Panathinaikos at FT 2.7% 3.5% — — 28.66
Panathinaikos at HT / Volos NFC at FT 0.9% 3.5% — — 28.73
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos to score last 61.3% 62.1% — — 1.61
Volos NFC to score last 27.8% 27.6% — — 3.62
No goal scored 10.9% 8.9% — — 11.23
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.1% 91.5% — — 1.09
Panathinaikos to lead by 1 at any time 68.4% 69.4% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 45.4% 44.5% — — 2.25
Panathinaikos to lead by 2 at any time 37.5% 34.7% — — 2.89
Volos NFC to lead by 1 at any time 31.1% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.7% 15.0% — — 6.69
Panathinaikos to lead by 3 at any time 16.1% 14.9% — — 6.70
Volos NFC to lead by 2 at any time 8.0% 6.7% — — 14.88
Volos NFC to lead by 3 at any time 1.6% 1.6% — — 63.12
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC most corners 51.2% 51.7% — — 1.94
Panathinaikos most corners 36.9% 39.3% — — 2.55
Corners level 11.9% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.4% 87.4% 88.5% 0.99× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.3% 78.7% 80.1% 0.98× 1.27
2-6 goals 70.4% 72.4% 72.3% 1.00× 1.38
2-5 goals 67.9% 68.8% 70.1% 0.98× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.6% 68.8% 69.3% 0.99× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.8% 63.3% 61.7% 1.03× 1.58
2-3 goals 49.0% 48.5% 50.8% 0.95× 2.06
1-2 goals 45.6% 48.5% 43.4% 1.12× 2.06
3-6 goals 42.3% 43.6% 47.5% 0.92× 2.30
3-5 goals 39.9% 39.2% 45.3% 0.87× 2.55
3-4 goals 33.7% 35.2% 36.9% 0.96× 2.84
4-6 goals 21.3% 24.5% 21.7% 1.13× 4.09
4-5 goals 18.9% 18.8% 19.5% 0.97× 5.31
5-6 goals 8.6% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.26
7+ goals 1.2% 2.6% 1.0% 2.49× 39.17
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Panathinaikos never behind 58.0% 62.6% — — 1.60
Volos NFC never behind 20.7% 24.4% — — 4.09
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.6% 50.9% 53.7% 0.95× 1.96
Even number of goals 54.4% 49.1% 46.3% 1.06× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.6% 57.7% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 42.4% 42.3% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.2% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.8% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.3% 95.4% 96.7% 0.99× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 90.2% 92.3% 88.3% 1.04× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 89.1% 87.6% 91.6% 0.96× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 77.5% 77.3% 77.5% 1.00× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 71.6% 72.5% 73.2% 0.99× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 56.5% 58.6% 51.6% 1.14× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 43.5% 41.4% 48.4% 0.86× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 28.4% 27.5% 26.8% 1.03× 3.63
Over 3.5 goals 22.5% 22.7% 22.5% 1.01× 4.41
Under 0.5 goals 10.9% 12.4% 8.4% 1.48× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 9.8% 7.7% 11.7% 0.66× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 3.7% 4.6% 3.3% 1.40× 21.86
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.8% 97.2% 99.0% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.1% 97.2% 96.4% 1.01× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.7% 86.7% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 71.5% 72.4% 69.6% 1.04× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 60.5% 61.9% 64.3% 0.96× 1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 39.5% 38.1% 35.7% 1.07× 2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 28.5% 27.6% 30.4% 0.91× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.3% 13.3% 13.1% 1.01× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.9% 2.8% 3.6% 0.79× 35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.2% 2.8% 1.0% 2.68× 35.62
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.1% 92.6% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.6% 71.9% — — 1.39
Over 0.5 in 1st half 62.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.4% 28.1% — — 3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.9% 7.4% — — 13.51
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.7% 83.2% — — 1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.4% 79.3% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.5% 54.9% — — 1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.5% 45.1% — — 2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.6% 20.7% — — 4.83
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.4% 16.8% — — 5.95
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC not to score in both halves 90.1% 89.8% — — 1.11
Panathinaikos not to score in both halves 69.5% 70.0% — — 1.43
Panathinaikos to score in both halves 30.5% 30.0% — — 3.33
Volos NFC to score in both halves 9.9% 10.2% — — 9.85
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 45.2% 50.7% 48.4% 1.05× 1.97
Only Panathinaikos scores 35.6% 39.9% 19.7% 2.03× 2.51
Neither team scores 10.9% 11.0% 8.4% 1.31× 9.07
Only Volos NFC scores 8.2% 7.1% 24.0% 0.30× 14.03
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.0% 24.9% 25.0% 1.00× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 17.5% 17.5% 18.6% 0.94× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 12.7% 12.1% 11.1% 1.10× 8.24
Exactly 0 goals 10.9% 12.1% 8.4% 1.44× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 6.2% 7.6% 8.6% 0.88× 13.14
6 or more goals 3.7% 4.5% 3.3% 1.36× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 37.5% 37.4% — — 2.67
1 goal in 1st half 36.1% 37.4% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 18.6% 15.7% — — 6.38
3+ goals in 1st half 7.9% 7.4% — — 13.51
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.5% 45.3% — — 2.21
1 goal in 2nd half 32.9% 33.8% — — 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 24.6% 22.9% — — 4.37
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC not to win both halves 97.5% 97.2% — — 1.03
Panathinaikos not to win both halves 81.4% 83.8% — — 1.19
Panathinaikos to win both halves 18.6% 16.2% — — 6.18
Volos NFC to win both halves 2.5% 2.8% — — 35.72
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC to win neither half 71.7% 73.0% — — 1.37
Panathinaikos to win either half 67.3% 67.8% — — 1.48
Panathinaikos to win neither half 32.7% 32.2% — — 3.10
Volos NFC to win either half 28.3% 27.0% — — 3.70
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Volos NFC not to win to nil 91.8% 92.1% 76.0% 1.21× 1.09
Panathinaikos not to win to nil 64.4% 66.6% 80.3% 0.83× 1.50
Panathinaikos to win to nil 35.6% 33.4% 19.7% 1.70× 3.00
Volos NFC to win to nil 8.2% 7.9% 24.0% 0.33× 12.64
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.3% 27.9% 25.0% 1.12× 3.59
Panathinaikos by 1 24.2% 24.1% 20.1% 1.20× 4.15
Panathinaikos by 2 18.2% 17.1% 8.4% 2.03× 5.87
Panathinaikos by 3+ 14.2% 11.8% 5.7% 2.05× 8.50
Volos NFC by 1 10.1% 11.7% 20.5% 0.57× 8.51
Volos NFC by 2 3.9% 2.7% 10.7% 0.26× 36.78
Volos NFC by 3+ 1.1% 2.7% 10.7% 0.25× 36.87
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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