VVV-Venlo v FC Eindhoven — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

VVV-Venlo

19:00 UTC

FC Eindhoven

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 488h before kick-off

VVV-Venlo win

53.5%

model 53.0%

Draw

23.2%

model 22.7%

FC Eindhoven win

23.2%

model 24.3%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
1-0 10.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 8.8%
0-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.9%	Under 2.5	45.1%
BTTS yes	55.3%	BTTS no	44.7%
VVV-Venlo 1+	82.9%	VVV-Venlo 2+	52.6%
FC Eindhoven 1+	67.1%	FC Eindhoven 2+	30.6%

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.1% fair odds 1.61

moderate signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

VVV-Venlo not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

VVV-Venlo carry the stronger rating, 1459 Elo against 1368.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

VVV-Venlo have an estimated 53.5% win probability, against 23.2% for FC Eindhoven and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.76 for VVV-Venlo and 1.11 for FC Eindhoven.

Why VVV-Venlo

VVV-Venlo carry the stronger rating, 1459 Elo against 1368. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Eindhoven can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Eindhoven.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for VVV-Venlo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

VVV-Venlo: 46% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Eindhoven: 47% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

VVV-Venlo are the model's most likely outcome at 53.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532324	1.76–1.11	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552223	1.83–1.09	1-1 10%	56%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win	55.0%	51.6%	44.5%	1.16×	1.94
FC Eindhoven to win	22.9%	24.5%	33.5%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	22.2%	24.5%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo & not both score	28.6%	25.2%	22.6%	1.11×	3.97
VVV-Venlo & both teams score	26.4%	25.2%	22.0%	1.14×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	11.8%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
FC Eindhoven & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	14.0%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.0%	8.3%	4.8%	1.74×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo & over 1.5	44.7%	40.3%	37.0%	1.09×	2.48
VVV-Venlo & over 2.5	35.7%	34.9%	30.8%	1.13×	2.87
VVV-Venlo & under 3.5	34.6%	30.8%	25.7%	1.20×	3.25
VVV-Venlo & over 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.63
VVV-Venlo & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	13.8%	1.31×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	27.4%	0.66×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
VVV-Venlo & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.79
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	4.8%	1.65×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (1UP)	68.9%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	41.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (2UP)	55.0%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	22.9%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win 2nd half	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	32.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	22.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.0%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.0%	13.0%	—	—	7.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (+2.5)	85.7%	88.5%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
VVV-Venlo (+0.5)	77.1%	78.5%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
FC Eindhoven (+1.5)	69.0%	68.7%	75.6%	0.91×	1.46
VVV-Venlo (-0.5)	55.0%	52.4%	44.5%	1.18×	1.91
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	45.0%	47.6%	55.5%	0.86×	2.10
VVV-Venlo (-1.5)	31.0%	31.3%	24.4%	1.28×	3.19
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	22.9%	21.5%	33.5%	0.64×	4.65
VVV-Venlo (-2.5)	14.3%	11.5%	11.8%	0.98×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	83.9%	81.5%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	16.1%	18.5%	18.7%	0.99×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	54.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	45.6%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	64.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	35.3%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	77.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	70.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	61.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	55.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	44.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	38.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	30.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	22.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	70.3%	71.8%	58.0%	1.24×	1.39
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	66.4%	68.0%	72.7%	0.93×	1.47
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	33.6%	32.0%	27.3%	1.17×	3.12
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	29.7%	28.2%	42.0%	0.67×	3.55
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	18.6%	0.41×	13.05
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven scores equally in both	43.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
FC Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (away no bet)	71.3%	68.4%	66.8%	1.02×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.7%	31.6%	33.2%	0.95×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	55.7%	56.9%	57.0%	1.00×	1.76
FC Eindhoven odd goals	44.3%	43.1%	43.0%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.6%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
VVV-Venlo to score 2+ in a row	46.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	20.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
VVV-Venlo to score 3+ in a row	19.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	4.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo corners (+3.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
VVV-Venlo corners (+2.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
VVV-Venlo corners (+1.5)	78.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	51.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
VVV-Venlo corners (-1.5)	48.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
VVV-Venlo corners (-2.5)	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
VVV-Venlo corners (-3.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	21.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.6%	1.51×	8.72
1-1	10.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
2-0	9.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
0-0	5.0%	7.4%	4.8%	1.54×	13.51
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.51
3-1	6.0%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	2.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
Any other score	4.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (2nd half DNB)	66.0%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
FC Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo leading at HT (DNB)	68.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	31.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or FC Eindhoven (12)	77.8%	75.5%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
VVV-Venlo or draw (1X)	77.1%	75.5%	66.5%	1.14×	1.32
FC Eindhoven or draw (X2)	45.0%	48.4%	55.5%	0.87×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw at HT	81.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
VVV-Venlo or FC Eindhoven at HT	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw (1UP)	77.1%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	45.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw in 2nd half	77.2%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
VVV-Venlo or FC Eindhoven in 2nd half	67.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (DNB)	70.6%	71.4%	57.0%	1.25×	1.40
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	29.4%	28.6%	43.0%	0.67×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score first	59.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
FC Eindhoven to score first	35.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	5.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.3%	55.0%	58.8%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.7%	45.0%	41.2%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.9%	41.6%	49.5%	0.84×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.8%	34.6%	28.3%	1.22×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	10.9%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.8%	82.7%	79.0%	1.05×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.2%	17.3%	21.0%	0.83×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.1%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.8%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.2%	16.7%	—	—	6.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	42.6%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.0%	47.2%	41.0%	1.15×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.5%	30.7%	37.6%	0.82×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.6%	22.9%	18.4%	1.24×	4.36
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.27

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	30.8%	1.16×	2.78
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	33.6%	33.8%	27.3%	1.24×	2.96
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	20.0%	19.6%	23.6%	0.83×	5.12
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	9.8%	8.6%	18.6%	0.46×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 1	29.4%	26.6%	30.2%	0.88×	3.77
VVV-Venlo to score 3+	27.7%	26.6%	25.6%	1.04×	3.77
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.6%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 0	16.1%	18.8%	18.7%	1.01×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo leading at HT	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Draw at HT	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	18.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo -1: 2	45.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
VVV-Venlo -1: 1	31.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
VVV-Venlo -1: X	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	45.0%	46.0%	55.5%	0.83×	2.17
VVV-Venlo (0:1)	31.0%	30.1%	24.4%	1.23×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	24.0%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	69.0%	72.3%	75.6%	0.96×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.7%	15.2%	12.8%	1.19×	6.56
VVV-Venlo (0:2)	14.3%	11.0%	11.8%	0.93×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	85.7%	90.6%	88.2%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.8%	5.8%	5.7%	1.03×	17.22
VVV-Venlo (0:3)	5.4%	5.8%	6.3%	0.92×	17.27

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	94.6%	94.6%	93.7%	1.01×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.7%	1.2%	4.3%	0.29×	81.49
VVV-Venlo (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (1:0)	77.1%	78.6%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.4%	12.7%	18.2%	0.70×	7.86
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	8.4%	6.9%	15.5%	0.45×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (2:0)	91.6%	94.0%	84.5%	1.11×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.0%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.67
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to concede	66.4%	66.7%	72.7%	0.92×	1.50
VVV-Venlo clean sheet	33.6%	33.3%	27.3%	1.22×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
VVV-Venlo to concede in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 2nd half	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
VVV-Venlo to concede in 2nd half	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
VVV-Venlo over 4.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
VVV-Venlo under 6.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
VVV-Venlo over 5.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
VVV-Venlo under 5.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
VVV-Venlo over 6.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
VVV-Venlo under 4.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 goals	88.7%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 goals	83.9%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 goals	72.3%	74.2%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 goals	54.5%	53.2%	51.2%	1.04×	1.88
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 goals	45.5%	46.8%	48.8%	0.96×	2.14
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 goals	27.7%	25.8%	25.6%	1.01×	3.88
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 goals	16.1%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.62
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 goals	11.3%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 1st half	81.4%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 1st half	54.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 1st half	45.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 1st half	18.6%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo scores more in 2nd half	40.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
VVV-Venlo scores equally in both	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
VVV-Venlo scores more in 1st half	27.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (home no bet)	50.8%	51.4%	60.3%	0.85×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.2%	48.6%	39.7%	1.22×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo even goals	51.3%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
VVV-Venlo odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	12.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	10.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	34.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
VVV-Venlo at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
FC Eindhoven at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
VVV-Venlo at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score last	59.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Eindhoven to score last	35.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	5.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
VVV-Venlo to lead by 1 at any time	68.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
VVV-Venlo to lead by 2 at any time	37.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
VVV-Venlo to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	13.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	61.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo most corners	59.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
FC Eindhoven most corners	30.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.5%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.3%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.5%	63.3%	54.7%	1.16×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.9%	53.2%	59.3%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.2%	48.4%	53.6%	0.90×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.0%	48.4%	41.0%	1.18×	2.07
1-2 goals	39.2%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.5%	35.2%	37.6%	0.94×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.8%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.2%	14.8%	18.2%	0.81×	6.75
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo never behind	53.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Eindhoven never behind	26.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.9%	82.3%	78.7%	1.05×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.4%	77.3%	81.6%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.6%	66.3%	59.3%	1.12×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.8%	58.6%	62.4%	0.94×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.2%	41.4%	37.6%	1.10×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.4%	33.7%	40.7%	0.83×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.6%	22.7%	18.4%	1.23×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	17.1%	17.7%	21.3%	0.83×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	4.8%	1.61×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.9%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.6%	92.4%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.6%	75.9%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.1%	72.4%	77.2%	0.94×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.0%	55.8%	48.0%	1.16×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.0%	44.2%	52.0%	0.85×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.9%	27.6%	22.8%	1.21×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.4%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.4%	7.6%	10.2%	0.74×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.1%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.6%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.87
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
VVV-Venlo not to score in both halves	64.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
VVV-Venlo to score in both halves	35.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.3%	58.5%	58.8%	0.99×	1.71
Only VVV-Venlo scores	28.6%	26.1%	22.6%	1.15×	3.84
Only FC Eindhoven scores	11.0%	11.0%	14.0%	0.79×	9.07
Neither team scores	5.0%	7.1%	4.8%	1.49×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.7%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.5%	17.5%	13.8%	1.27×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.6%	12.4%	0.61×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.6%	7.6%	9.0%	0.85×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.0%	7.6%	4.8%	1.59×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	21.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	12.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.4%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
VVV-Venlo not to win both halves	82.0%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
VVV-Venlo to win both halves	18.0%	16.6%	—	—	6.03
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.46

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win either half	67.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	62.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
FC Eindhoven to win either half	37.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
VVV-Venlo to win neither half	32.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	89.0%	88.1%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
VVV-Venlo not to win to nil	71.4%	75.3%	77.4%	0.97×	1.33
VVV-Venlo to win to nil	28.6%	24.7%	22.6%	1.09×	4.05
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	11.0%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo by 1	24.0%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
Draw	22.2%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
VVV-Venlo by 2	16.7%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.87
FC Eindhoven by 1	14.4%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.50
VVV-Venlo by 3+	14.3%	11.8%	11.8%	1.00×	8.50
FC Eindhoven by 2	6.0%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.92
FC Eindhoven by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.90