VVV-Venlo v Jong PSV — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 6 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.VVV-Venlo win
41.0%
Draw
23.9%
Jong PSV win
35.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.53–1.39 | 1-1 11% | 56% | 58% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to win | 41.0% | 43.0% | 44.4% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Jong PSV to win | 35.1% | 36.3% | 33.4% | 1.09× | 2.76 |
| Draw | 23.9% | 24.5% | 22.3% | 1.10× | 4.08 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo & both teams score | 21.2% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 1.01× | 4.58 |
| VVV-Venlo & not both score | 19.8% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 0.79× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.9% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 1.02× | 5.58 |
| Jong PSV & both teams score | 18.4% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.58 |
| Jong PSV & not both score | 16.7% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 1.29× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.0% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.73× | 11.95 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo & over 1.5 | 32.4% | 30.8% | 36.8% | 0.84× | 3.24 |
| Jong PSV & over 1.5 | 27.2% | 26.0% | 27.2% | 0.96× | 3.84 |
| VVV-Venlo & under 3.5 | 26.8% | 26.0% | 25.8% | 1.01× | 3.84 |
| VVV-Venlo & over 2.5 | 26.1% | 26.0% | 30.6% | 0.85× | 3.84 |
| Jong PSV & under 3.5 | 23.6% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 1.09× | 4.63 |
| Jong PSV & over 2.5 | 22.0% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 0.92× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.9% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 1.02× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 1.26× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 1.26× | 5.56 |
| VVV-Venlo & under 2.5 | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 0.93× | 7.76 |
| VVV-Venlo & over 3.5 | 14.1% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 0.69× | 7.76 |
| Jong PSV & under 2.5 | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 1.30× | 7.76 |
| Jong PSV & over 3.5 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 0.94× | 7.76 |
| VVV-Venlo & under 1.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 1.03× | 12.65 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.97× | 12.65 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.97× | 12.65 |
| Jong PSV & under 1.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.25× | 12.65 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.63× | 12.65 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (1UP) | 58.1% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Jong PSV (1UP) | 53.1% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (2UP) | 41.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Jong PSV (2UP) | 35.1% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to win 2nd half | 34.1% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.7% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Jong PSV to win 2nd half | 32.2% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV under 1.5 in 2nd half | 79.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Jong PSV over 0.5 in 2nd half | 56.6% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Jong PSV under 0.5 in 2nd half | 43.4% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.24 |
| Jong PSV over 1.5 in 2nd half | 20.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 2nd half | 78.4% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 2nd half | 58.1% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.70 |
| VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 2nd half | 41.9% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 2nd half | 21.6% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV (+2.5) | 92.2% | 92.1% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| Jong PSV (+1.5) | 80.1% | 82.4% | 75.6% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| VVV-Venlo (+0.5) | 64.9% | 62.9% | 66.6% | 0.94× | 1.59 |
| Jong PSV (+0.5) | 59.0% | 57.0% | 55.6% | 1.03× | 1.75 |
| VVV-Venlo (-0.5) | 41.0% | 43.0% | 44.4% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Jong PSV (-0.5) | 35.1% | 37.1% | 33.4% | 1.11× | 2.70 |
| VVV-Venlo (-1.5) | 19.9% | 17.6% | 24.4% | 0.72× | 5.70 |
| VVV-Venlo (-2.5) | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 0.67× | 12.59 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV to concede | 78.2% | 78.9% | 81.4% | 0.97× | 1.27 |
| Jong PSV clean sheet | 21.8% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 1.13× | 4.75 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV to concede in 1st half | 48.1% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Jong PSV clean sheet in 1st half | 51.9% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV to concede in 2nd half | 58.1% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Jong PSV clean sheet in 2nd half | 41.9% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.42 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV over 2.5 corners | 83.8% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Jong PSV under 6.5 corners | 73.1% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Jong PSV over 3.5 corners | 69.9% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Jong PSV under 5.5 corners | 60.6% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Jong PSV over 4.5 corners | 54.3% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Jong PSV under 4.5 corners | 45.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Jong PSV over 5.5 corners | 39.4% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Jong PSV under 3.5 corners | 30.1% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Jong PSV over 6.5 corners | 26.9% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Jong PSV under 2.5 corners | 16.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV under 3.5 goals | 94.7% | 92.3% | 93.1% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Jong PSV under 2.5 goals | 83.5% | 81.4% | 81.5% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| Jong PSV over 0.5 goals | 75.2% | 76.2% | 72.5% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| Jong PSV under 1.5 goals | 59.4% | 59.4% | 58.2% | 1.02× | 1.68 |
| Jong PSV over 1.5 goals | 40.6% | 40.6% | 41.8% | 0.97× | 2.47 |
| Jong PSV under 0.5 goals | 24.8% | 23.8% | 27.5% | 0.86× | 4.20 |
| Jong PSV over 2.5 goals | 16.5% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 1.01× | 5.37 |
| Jong PSV over 3.5 goals | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 1.10× | 13.03 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.2% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Jong PSV under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.3% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Jong PSV over 0.5 in 1st half | 42.7% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Jong PSV over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.8% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV scores more in 2nd half | 39.4% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Jong PSV scores equally in both | 37.8% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Jong PSV scores more in 1st half | 22.7% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.46 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (away no bet) | 63.2% | 62.0% | 66.5% | 0.93× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 36.8% | 38.0% | 33.5% | 1.14× | 2.63 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV even goals | 53.1% | 52.8% | 57.1% | 0.93× | 1.89 |
| Jong PSV odd goals | 46.9% | 47.2% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 82.6% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 17.4% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 67.5% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 32.5% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 59.0% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| VVV-Venlo to score 2+ in a row | 35.6% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Jong PSV to score 2+ in a row | 31.0% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.44 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 21.4% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.14 |
| VVV-Venlo to score 3+ in a row | 12.2% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.24 |
| Jong PSV to score 3+ in a row | 9.6% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.56 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo corners (+3.5) | 86.9% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| VVV-Venlo corners (+2.5) | 80.5% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Jong PSV corners (+3.5) | 76.2% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| VVV-Venlo corners (+1.5) | 72.5% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Jong PSV corners (+2.5) | 67.6% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Jong PSV corners (+1.5) | 57.8% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| VVV-Venlo corners (-1.5) | 42.2% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| VVV-Venlo corners (-2.5) | 32.4% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Jong PSV corners (-1.5) | 27.5% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| VVV-Venlo corners (-3.5) | 23.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Jong PSV corners (-2.5) | 19.5% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Jong PSV corners (-3.5) | 13.1% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 41.5% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.3% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 0-8 corners | 28.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 80.6% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 71.8% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 67.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61.8% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 58.5% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 51.5% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 48.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 41.5% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 38.2% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 32.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 28.2% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.65 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 19.4% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 1.20× | 8.74 |
| 1-0 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.50 |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.92× | 13.50 |
| 0-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.50 |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.00× | 13.50 |
| 0-0 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.53× | 13.50 |
| 0-2 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.99× | 13.50 |
| 2-0 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.50 |
| 2-2 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.11× | 13.50 |
| 0-3 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.66× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.38× | 58.31 |
| 1-3 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.30 |
| 1-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.77× | 58.31 |
| 2-3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.30 |
| 2-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.30 |
| 3-1 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.29 |
| 3-2 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 0.41× | 58.30 |
| 3-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.38× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.26× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.46× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.82× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.30 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (2nd half DNB) | 51.4% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Jong PSV (2nd half DNB) | 48.6% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo leading at HT (DNB) | 55.3% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Jong PSV leading at HT (DNB) | 44.7% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo or Jong PSV (12) | 76.1% | 75.5% | 77.7% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| VVV-Venlo or draw (1X) | 64.9% | 63.7% | 66.6% | 0.96× | 1.57 |
| Jong PSV or draw (X2) | 59.0% | 57.0% | 55.6% | 1.03× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo or draw at HT | 73.9% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Jong PSV or draw at HT | 67.6% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| VVV-Venlo or Jong PSV at HT | 58.5% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo or draw (1UP) | 64.9% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Jong PSV or draw (1UP) | 59.0% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo or draw in 2nd half | 67.8% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| VVV-Venlo or Jong PSV in 2nd half | 66.3% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Jong PSV or draw in 2nd half | 65.9% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.6% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 38.4% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (DNB) | 53.9% | 50.9% | 57.1% | 0.89× | 1.96 |
| Jong PSV (DNB) | 46.1% | 49.1% | 42.9% | 1.14× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to score first | 49.6% | 45.7% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Jong PSV to score first | 45.3% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
| No goal scored | 5.0% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.47 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 58.4% | 54.9% | 58.7% | 0.94× | 1.82 |
| Not both teams to score | 41.6% | 45.1% | 41.3% | 1.09× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 47.3% | 44.2% | 49.3% | 0.90× | 2.26 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 33.1% | 34.4% | 28.4% | 1.21× | 2.91 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 1.29× | 8.12 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 0.64× | 11.99 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 81.7% | 82.8% | 79.0% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 18.3% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 0.82× | 5.83 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 67.2% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 32.8% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 53.5% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 26.0% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.31 |
| Both score in both halves | 6.8% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.80 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 79.5% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 20.5% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.41 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 57.3% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 42.7% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.0% | 47.3% | 41.1% | 1.15× | 2.12 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.5% | 30.7% | 37.3% | 0.82× | 3.26 |
| 0-1 goals | 21.5% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 1.23× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 0.57× | 54.59 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV to score exactly 1 | 34.6% | 33.8% | 30.8% | 1.10× | 2.96 |
| Jong PSV to score exactly 0 | 24.8% | 22.4% | 27.5% | 0.81× | 4.47 |
| Jong PSV to score exactly 2 | 24.1% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 0.95× | 4.47 |
| Jong PSV to score 3+ | 16.5% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 1.06× | 5.10 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to score exactly 1 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 30.4% | 1.07× | 3.07 |
| VVV-Venlo to score exactly 2 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 25.8% | 1.03× | 3.78 |
| VVV-Venlo to score exactly 0 | 21.8% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 1.25× | 4.31 |
| VVV-Venlo to score 3+ | 19.7% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 0.74× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.5% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.32 |
| VVV-Venlo leading at HT | 32.4% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Jong PSV leading at HT | 26.1% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo -1: 2 | 59.0% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| VVV-Venlo -1: X | 21.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| VVV-Venlo -1: 1 | 19.9% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.73 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV (0:1) | 59.0% | 55.8% | 55.6% | 1.00× | 1.79 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.1% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 1.21× | 4.12 |
| VVV-Venlo (0:1) | 19.9% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 0.73× | 5.62 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV (0:2) | 80.1% | 82.9% | 75.6% | 1.10× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 0.86× | 9.17 |
| VVV-Venlo (0:2) | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 0.65× | 12.97 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV (0:3) | 92.2% | 92.6% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.01× | 17.32 |
| VVV-Venlo (0:3) | 2.5% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 0.38× | 42.12 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV (0:4) | 97.5% | 98.1% | 93.7% | 1.05× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 0.28× | 83.54 |
| VVV-Venlo (0:4) | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.57× | 83.67 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (1:0) | 64.9% | 65.2% | 66.6% | 0.98× | 1.53 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.3% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 0.94× | 5.88 |
| Jong PSV (1:0) | 15.8% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 1.10× | 5.89 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo (2:0) | 84.2% | 84.6% | 84.6% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 1.18× | 9.64 |
| Jong PSV (2:0) | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 0.96× | 15.52 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.2% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 23.3% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to concede | 75.2% | 76.0% | 72.5% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| VVV-Venlo clean sheet | 24.8% | 24.0% | 27.5% | 0.87× | 4.17 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 1st half | 57.3% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| VVV-Venlo to concede in 1st half | 42.7% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to concede in 2nd half | 56.6% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 2nd half | 43.4% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo over 2.5 corners | 89.2% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| VVV-Venlo over 3.5 corners | 78.4% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| VVV-Venlo over 4.5 corners | 65.0% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| VVV-Venlo under 6.5 corners | 62.5% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| VVV-Venlo over 5.5 corners | 50.8% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| VVV-Venlo under 5.5 corners | 49.2% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| VVV-Venlo over 6.5 corners | 37.5% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| VVV-Venlo under 4.5 corners | 35.0% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| VVV-Venlo under 3.5 corners | 21.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| VVV-Venlo under 2.5 corners | 10.8% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.32 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo under 3.5 goals | 93.1% | 92.2% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| VVV-Venlo under 2.5 goals | 80.3% | 82.1% | 74.6% | 1.10× | 1.22 |
| VVV-Venlo over 0.5 goals | 78.2% | 77.7% | 81.4% | 0.96× | 1.29 |
| VVV-Venlo under 1.5 goals | 55.0% | 53.2% | 48.9% | 1.09× | 1.88 |
| VVV-Venlo over 1.5 goals | 45.0% | 46.8% | 51.1% | 0.92× | 2.14 |
| VVV-Venlo under 0.5 goals | 21.8% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 1.20× | 4.49 |
| VVV-Venlo over 2.5 goals | 19.7% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 0.70× | 5.58 |
| VVV-Venlo over 3.5 goals | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.88 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.9% | 89.7% | — | — | 1.12 |
| VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 1st half | 48.1% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 1st half | 51.9% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.1% | 10.3% | — | — | 9.72 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo scores more in 2nd half | 38.2% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| VVV-Venlo scores equally in both | 36.1% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| VVV-Venlo scores more in 1st half | 25.8% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV (home no bet) | 59.5% | 56.7% | 59.9% | 0.95× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.5% | 43.3% | 40.1% | 1.08× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo even goals | 52.4% | 50.6% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| VVV-Venlo odd goals | 47.6% | 49.4% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.7% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.6% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.6% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.8% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| Any other HT score | 4.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.36 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.37 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.44 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.63 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT | 24.2% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Jong PSV at HT / Jong PSV at FT | 18.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT | 14.3% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Jong PSV at FT | 13.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| VVV-Venlo at HT / Draw at FT | 5.5% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| Jong PSV at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.73 |
| VVV-Venlo at HT / Jong PSV at FT | 2.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Jong PSV at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT | 2.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to score last | 49.6% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Jong PSV to score last | 45.3% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
| No goal scored | 5.0% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.47 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.0% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| VVV-Venlo to lead by 1 at any time | 58.1% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Jong PSV to lead by 1 at any time | 53.1% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 48.9% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| VVV-Venlo to lead by 2 at any time | 26.8% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Jong PSV to lead by 2 at any time | 22.4% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.7% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| VVV-Venlo to lead by 3 at any time | 10.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.60 |
| Jong PSV to lead by 3 at any time | 7.7% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.09 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo most corners | 52.7% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Jong PSV most corners | 36.9% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Corners level | 10.3% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.60 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.4% | 87.4% | 86.2% | 1.01× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 77.9% | 78.6% | 74.1% | 1.06× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.5% | 78.6% | 78.3% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.9% | 72.4% | 72.5% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 61.5% | 63.4% | 54.8% | 1.16× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.3% | 63.4% | 60.3% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 52.9% | 53.1% | 59.1% | 0.90× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 48.2% | 48.6% | 53.2% | 0.91× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.0% | 48.6% | 41.1% | 1.18× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 39.2% | 39.2% | 33.1% | 1.18× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.7% | 39.2% | 41.1% | 0.95× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.5% | 35.3% | 37.3% | 0.95× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 25.9% | 30.3% | 31.5% | 0.96× | 3.30 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.2% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 0.82× | 6.73 |
| 7+ goals | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 0.79× | 39.11 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo never behind | 41.8% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Jong PSV never behind | 36.8% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.4% | 50.9% | 49.6% | 1.02× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.6% | 49.2% | 50.4% | 0.98× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.3% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.7% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.4% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.6% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.0% | 92.2% | 95.2% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.2% | 90.9% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82.9% | 82.3% | 78.8% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% | 77.4% | 81.4% | 0.95× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66.6% | 66.2% | 59.6% | 1.11× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.8% | 58.7% | 62.2% | 0.94× | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.2% | 41.3% | 37.8% | 1.09× | 2.42 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.4% | 33.8% | 40.4% | 0.83× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21.5% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 1.22× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17.1% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 0.83× | 5.65 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 0.86× | 12.87 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.60× | 12.88 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.9% | 97.2% | 96.6% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.6% | 92.4% | 89.7% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 79.6% | 75.9% | 73.7% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 72.1% | 72.5% | 77.0% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 56.9% | 55.6% | 48.3% | 1.15× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 43.1% | 44.4% | 51.7% | 0.86× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 27.9% | 27.5% | 23.0% | 1.19× | 3.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 20.4% | 24.1% | 26.3% | 0.92× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 0.74× | 13.15 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.81× | 35.83 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.7% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.3% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 65.9% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 34.1% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.7% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.3% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.10 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.0% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 75.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 50.7% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 49.3% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 24.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.1% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.80 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV not to score in both halves | 75.8% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| VVV-Venlo not to score in both halves | 72.1% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| VVV-Venlo to score in both halves | 27.9% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Jong PSV to score in both halves | 24.2% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 58.4% | 58.5% | 58.7% | 1.00× | 1.71 |
| Only VVV-Venlo scores | 19.8% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 0.70× | 6.23 |
| Only Jong PSV scores | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 1.15× | 6.24 |
| Neither team scores | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.48× | 13.93 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 22.6% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 1.17× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 1.03× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.5% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 1.26× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.3% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 0.62× | 13.07 |
| 6 or more goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 0.84× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.58× | 13.09 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.2% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| No goals in 1st half | 29.7% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.50 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 21.8% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 12.3% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 50.7% | 51.3% | — | — | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.2% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.1% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.80 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV not to win both halves | 91.6% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.06 |
| VVV-Venlo not to win both halves | 89.0% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| VVV-Venlo to win both halves | 11.0% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
| Jong PSV to win both halves | 8.4% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.53 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV-Venlo to win either half | 55.5% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Jong PSV to win neither half | 50.0% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Jong PSV to win either half | 50.0% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| VVV-Venlo to win neither half | 44.5% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV not to win to nil | 83.3% | 83.1% | 86.1% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| VVV-Venlo not to win to nil | 80.2% | 83.1% | 77.2% | 1.08× | 1.20 |
| VVV-Venlo to win to nil | 19.8% | 16.9% | 22.8% | 0.74× | 5.90 |
| Jong PSV to win to nil | 16.7% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 1.22× | 5.91 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 1.08× | 4.14 |
| VVV-Venlo by 1 | 21.1% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 1.20× | 4.14 |
| Jong PSV by 1 | 19.3% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 0.94× | 5.91 |
| VVV-Venlo by 2 | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 0.93× | 8.49 |
| Jong PSV by 2 | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 1.34× | 8.50 |
| VVV-Venlo by 3+ | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 0.61× | 13.81 |
| Jong PSV by 3+ | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 1.08× | 13.82 |