Watford v Blackburn Rovers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Watford

19:45 UTC

Blackburn Rovers

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 777h before kick-off

Watford win

39.0%

model 37.4%

Draw

30.5%

model 31.6%

Blackburn Rovers win

30.5%

model 31.0%

393130

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.8%
0-0 11.7%
1-0 10.7%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.1%	Under 2.5	59.9%
BTTS yes	47.9%	BTTS no	52.1%
Watford 1+	70.2%	Watford 2+	34.1%
Blackburn Rovers 1+	66.0%	Blackburn Rovers 2+	29.3%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Blackburn Rovers (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 81%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Watford.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Watford have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.5% for the draw and 30.5% for Blackburn Rovers. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Watford and 1.08 for Blackburn Rovers.

Why Watford

Nothing in the data singles out Watford.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.29 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.21 to 1.08. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Blackburn Rovers can win

Nothing in the data singles out Blackburn Rovers.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Watford, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Blackburn Rovers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Watford: 43% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Blackburn Rovers: 50% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Watford are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	373231	1.21–1.08	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	353431	1.03–0.95	0-0 16%	32%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford to win	34.9%	30.4%	43.4%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	34.3%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Blackburn Rovers to win	30.8%	30.4%	29.1%	1.05×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford & not both score	23.2%	21.8%	23.3%	0.94×	4.58
Blackburn Rovers & not both score	20.3%	21.8%	15.2%	1.43×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	7.3%	2.46×	5.57
Watford & both teams score	11.6%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
Blackburn Rovers & both teams score	10.4%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	30.7%	30.8%	21.8%	1.41×	3.25
Draw & under 3.5	30.7%	30.8%	21.8%	1.41×	3.25
Watford & under 3.5	29.4%	26.1%	32.4%	0.81×	3.84
Blackburn Rovers & under 3.5	26.2%	26.1%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
Watford & over 1.5	22.2%	21.6%	32.5%	0.67×	4.63
Watford & under 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Blackburn Rovers & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	21.4%	0.84×	5.56
Blackburn Rovers & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	7.3%	2.46×	5.56
Watford & over 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
Watford & under 1.5	12.6%	12.8%	11.0%	1.16×	7.79
Blackburn Rovers & over 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	16.2%	0.79×	7.79
Blackburn Rovers & under 1.5	11.6%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Watford & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Blackburn Rovers & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (1UP)	48.4%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Blackburn Rovers (1UP)	44.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (2UP)	34.9%	30.6%	—	—	3.26
Blackburn Rovers (2UP)	30.8%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Watford to win 2nd half	28.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Blackburn Rovers to win 2nd half	27.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.7%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.3%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Watford under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Watford over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Watford over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.7%	11.5%	—	—	8.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (+2.5)	95.9%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Blackburn Rovers (+1.5)	85.9%	88.5%	80.7%	1.10×	1.13
Watford (+0.5)	69.2%	68.7%	70.9%	0.97×	1.46
Blackburn Rovers (+0.5)	65.1%	68.6%	56.6%	1.21×	1.46
Watford (-0.5)	34.9%	31.4%	43.4%	0.72×	3.19
Blackburn Rovers (-0.5)	30.8%	31.3%	29.1%	1.08×	3.19
Watford (-1.5)	14.1%	11.5%	19.3%	0.60×	8.66
Watford (-2.5)	4.1%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to concede	64.1%	67.6%	77.6%	0.87×	1.48
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	35.9%	32.4%	22.4%	1.44×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 1st half	64.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 1st half	35.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet in 2nd half	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Blackburn Rovers to concede in 2nd half	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 corners	83.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 corners	72.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Blackburn Rovers under 6.5 corners	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Blackburn Rovers over 4.5 corners	59.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Blackburn Rovers under 5.5 corners	52.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Blackburn Rovers over 5.5 corners	47.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Blackburn Rovers under 4.5 corners	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Blackburn Rovers over 6.5 corners	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 corners	28.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 corners	16.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Blackburn Rovers under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	70.0%	1.09×	1.31
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 goals	61.2%	63.2%	69.5%	0.91×	1.58
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 goals	38.8%	36.8%	30.5%	1.21×	2.71
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	30.0%	0.79×	4.21
Blackburn Rovers over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	9.4%	0.81×	13.06
Blackburn Rovers over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	2.2%	1.13×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Blackburn Rovers under 0.5 in 1st half	68.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Blackburn Rovers over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Blackburn Rovers over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.90

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers scores equally in both	47.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Blackburn Rovers scores more in 1st half	19.7%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (away no bet)	50.4%	51.6%	61.1%	0.84×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	49.6%	48.4%	38.9%	1.24×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers even goals	57.5%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Blackburn Rovers odd goals	42.5%	43.1%	47.6%	0.90×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.7%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	46.3%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	39.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Watford to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Blackburn Rovers to score 2+ in a row	19.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Watford to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.09
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.6%	—	—	37.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford corners (+3.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Blackburn Rovers corners (+3.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Watford corners (+2.5)	71.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Blackburn Rovers corners (+2.5)	69.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Watford corners (+1.5)	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Blackburn Rovers corners (+1.5)	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Watford corners (-1.5)	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Blackburn Rovers corners (-1.5)	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Watford corners (-2.5)	30.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Blackburn Rovers corners (-2.5)	28.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Watford corners (-3.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Blackburn Rovers corners (-3.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	48.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
0-8 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	24.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	72.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	27.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	15.5%	13.8%	7.3%	1.89×	7.24
1-1	15.1%	13.8%	14.5%	0.95×	7.24
1-0	12.6%	11.5%	11.0%	1.04×	8.72
0-1	11.6%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.72
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.32
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.32
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (2nd half DNB)	50.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Blackburn Rovers (2nd half DNB)	49.1%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford leading at HT (DNB)	54.6%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT (DNB)	45.4%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford or draw (1X)	69.2%	69.6%	70.9%	0.98×	1.44
Watford or Blackburn Rovers (12)	65.7%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Blackburn Rovers or draw (X2)	65.1%	69.6%	56.6%	1.23×	1.44

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford or draw at HT	78.4%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Blackburn Rovers or draw at HT	73.9%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Watford or Blackburn Rovers at HT	47.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford or draw (1UP)	69.2%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Blackburn Rovers or draw (1UP)	65.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.31

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford or draw in 2nd half	72.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Blackburn Rovers or draw in 2nd half	71.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Watford or Blackburn Rovers in 2nd half	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	28.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (DNB)	53.1%	51.0%	59.9%	0.85×	1.96
Blackburn Rovers (DNB)	46.9%	49.0%	40.1%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford to score first	43.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
Blackburn Rovers to score first	40.6%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.1%	55.0%	45.6%	1.21×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.9%	45.0%	54.4%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.3%	47.3%	37.1%	1.27×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	25.7%	33.3%	39.9%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	15.1%	21.5%	14.5%	1.48×	4.65
Not both score & over 2.5	5.8%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.3%	89.0%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.7%	11.0%	11.0%	1.00×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.3%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.59
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A goal in each half	39.1%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	39.7%	35.2%	25.9%	1.36×	2.85
4-6 goals	13.4%	16.9%	22.4%	0.75×	5.91
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 0	38.8%	35.9%	30.5%	1.18×	2.78
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Blackburn Rovers to score exactly 2	17.4%	19.6%	20.6%	0.95×	5.11
Blackburn Rovers to score 3+	7.1%	8.5%	9.4%	0.91×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Watford to score exactly 0	35.9%	35.6%	22.4%	1.59×	2.81
Watford to score exactly 2	18.8%	18.8%	24.6%	0.76×	5.33
Watford to score 3+	8.5%	10.3%	16.1%	0.64×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Watford leading at HT	26.1%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Blackburn Rovers leading at HT	21.6%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford -1: 2	65.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Watford -1: X	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Watford -1: 1	14.1%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:1)	65.1%	65.2%	56.6%	1.15×	1.54
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.13
Watford (0:1)	14.1%	13.7%	19.3%	0.71×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:2)	85.9%	87.1%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	13.02
Watford (0:2)	4.1%	3.8%	8.1%	0.47×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:3)	95.9%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.07
Watford (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.02
Watford (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (1:0)	69.2%	70.2%	70.9%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.85
Blackburn Rovers (1:0)	11.7%	12.7%	11.7%	1.08×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford (2:0)	88.3%	88.5%	88.3%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.5%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.67
Blackburn Rovers (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Halves equal	32.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
1st half highest scoring	25.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford to concede	61.2%	63.6%	69.5%	0.92×	1.57
Watford clean sheet	38.8%	36.4%	30.5%	1.19×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford clean sheet in 1st half	68.5%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Watford to concede in 1st half	31.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford clean sheet in 2nd half	56.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Watford to concede in 2nd half	43.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Watford over 3.5 corners	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Watford under 6.5 corners	61.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Watford over 4.5 corners	61.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Watford under 5.5 corners	50.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Watford over 5.5 corners	49.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Watford under 4.5 corners	38.7%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Watford over 6.5 corners	38.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Watford under 3.5 corners	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Watford under 2.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford under 3.5 goals	97.9%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Watford under 2.5 goals	91.5%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.08
Watford under 1.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	59.4%	1.25×	1.35
Watford over 0.5 goals	64.1%	63.6%	77.6%	0.82×	1.57
Watford under 0.5 goals	35.9%	36.4%	22.4%	1.62×	2.75
Watford over 1.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	40.6%	0.63×	3.88
Watford over 2.5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.87
Watford over 3.5 goals	2.1%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford under 1.5 in 1st half	92.7%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Watford under 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Watford over 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Watford over 1.5 in 1st half	7.3%	5.3%	—	—	19.02

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford scores equally in both	45.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Watford scores more in 2nd half	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Watford scores more in 1st half	22.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.7%	51.4%	48.7%	1.05×	1.95
Blackburn Rovers (home no bet)	47.3%	48.6%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford even goals	56.4%	55.3%	50.5%	1.10×	1.81
Watford odd goals	43.6%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.3%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
HT 1-0	19.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Watford at HT / Watford at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Watford at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Watford at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Watford at HT / Blackburn Rovers at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Blackburn Rovers at HT / Watford at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford to score last	43.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
Blackburn Rovers to score last	40.5%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goal scored	15.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.83

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Watford to lead by 1 at any time	48.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 1 at any time	44.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	33.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Watford to lead by 2 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 2 at any time	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Watford to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	1.7%	—	—	59.94
Blackburn Rovers to lead by 3 at any time	3.9%	1.6%	—	—	60.89

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford most corners	47.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Blackburn Rovers most corners	44.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	8.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.9%	83.4%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.7%	72.4%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.8%	59.1%	72.8%	0.81×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.7%	59.1%	70.2%	0.84×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.2%	59.1%	64.7%	0.91×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.9%	53.2%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	31.2%	35.2%	47.2%	0.75×	2.84
3-5 goals	30.0%	35.2%	44.5%	0.79×	2.84
3-4 goals	26.6%	30.2%	39.1%	0.77×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.4%	14.8%	22.4%	0.66×	6.75
4-5 goals	12.2%	14.8%	19.8%	0.75×	6.75
5-6 goals	4.6%	2.6%	8.2%	0.31×	39.02
7+ goals	0.4%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Watford never behind	39.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Blackburn Rovers never behind	36.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.8%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	54.2%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	39.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.9%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.4%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	86.2%	87.6%	76.3%	1.15×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.5%	82.3%	92.7%	0.89×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	68.4%	66.3%	51.6%	1.29×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.3%	61.7%	74.1%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.7%	38.3%	25.9%	1.48×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	31.6%	33.7%	48.4%	0.70×	2.97
Under 0.5 goals	15.5%	17.7%	7.3%	2.42×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	23.7%	0.52×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.6%	4.6%	4.0%	1.14×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.4%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.5%	92.4%	89.0%	1.04×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.2%	81.1%	68.5%	1.18×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.7%	55.8%	34.9%	1.60×	1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.3%	44.2%	65.1%	0.68×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.8%	18.9%	31.5%	0.60×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.5%	7.6%	11.0%	0.69×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.6%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.0%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.9%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.97

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.9%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.92

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to score in both halves	86.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Watford not to score in both halves	84.2%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Watford to score in both halves	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
Blackburn Rovers to score in both halves	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.9%	46.5%	54.4%	0.86×	2.15
Only Watford scores	23.2%	22.3%	23.3%	0.96×	4.49
Only Blackburn Rovers scores	20.3%	22.2%	15.2%	1.46×	4.50
Neither team scores	15.5%	16.0%	7.3%	2.19×	6.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.7%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.2%	22.6%	18.7%	1.21×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	17.8%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	15.5%	17.5%	7.3%	2.39×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	8.8%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	5.5%	0.81×	22.39
6 or more goals	1.6%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	44.3%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	15.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
3+ goals in 1st half	5.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.97

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	32.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win both halves	93.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Watford not to win both halves	92.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Watford to win both halves	7.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.97
Blackburn Rovers to win both halves	6.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers to win neither half	57.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Watford to win neither half	53.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Watford to win either half	46.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Blackburn Rovers to win either half	42.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Blackburn Rovers not to win to nil	79.7%	78.2%	84.8%	0.92×	1.28
Watford not to win to nil	76.8%	78.1%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
Watford to win to nil	23.2%	21.9%	23.3%	0.94×	4.57
Blackburn Rovers to win to nil	20.3%	21.8%	15.2%	1.44×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	34.3%	27.7%	27.6%	1.00×	3.61
Watford by 1	20.8%	24.1%	24.2%	1.00×	4.15
Blackburn Rovers by 1	19.1%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.87
Watford by 2	10.0%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.90
Blackburn Rovers by 2	8.5%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.90
Watford by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.78
Blackburn Rovers by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.80