Werder Bremen v Borussia M.Gladbach — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Werder Bremen

14:30 UTC

Borussia M.Gladbach

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 915h before kick-off

Werder Bremen win

41.7%

model 40.2%

Draw

22.0%

model 23.6%

Borussia M.Gladbach win

36.3%

model 36.2%

422236

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 6.9%
2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.0%	Under 2.5	39.0%
BTTS yes	62.9%	BTTS no	37.1%
Werder Bremen 1+	80.3%	Werder Bremen 2+	48.2%
Borussia M.Gladbach 1+	78.3%	Borussia M.Gladbach 2+	45.2%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.53. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

90/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Under 1.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 59%

68.2% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 1613 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Borussia M.Gladbach not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Werder Bremen carry the stronger rating, 1461 Elo against 1404.
Werder Bremen have created 1.25 xG a match over their last five while Borussia M.Gladbach have allowed 2.27.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
At home Werder Bremen average 1.43 xG a match.

Risk factors

Werder Bremen have scored 2.20 a match from 1.25 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Werder Bremen have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Borussia M.Gladbach and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Werder Bremen and 1.53 for Borussia M.Gladbach.

Why Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen carry the stronger rating, 1461 Elo against 1404. Werder Bremen have created 1.25 xG a match over their last five while Borussia M.Gladbach have allowed 2.27. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. At home Werder Bremen average 1.43 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.62 to 1.53. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Borussia M.Gladbach can win

Borussia M.Gladbach have created 1.43 xG a match over their last five while Werder Bremen have allowed 2.02. Away from home Borussia M.Gladbach average 0.81 xG a match.

Key players

Werder Bremen's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Niclas Füllkrug (0.55), Romano Schmid (0.44), Jens Stage (0.30). Borussia M.Gladbach's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Haris Tabakovic (0.45), Tim Kleindienst (0.38), Franck Honorat (0.26).

Availability

2 of Werder Bremen's top three contributors did not start their last match. 55% of Werder Bremen's last eleven are new to the club this window. 2 of Borussia M.Gladbach's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Werder Bremen: 47% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.38 xG a match from set pieces. Borussia M.Gladbach: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.45 xG a match from set pieces. Werder Bremen's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Werder Bremen are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 90/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Werder Bremen have scored 14 from 12.6 expected and conceded 19 from 20.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLLLLWDWDD last 10 scored 14 from 12.6 xG conceded 19 from 20.2 xG

Borussia M.Gladbach have scored 14 from 14.3 expected and conceded 23 from 22.7 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DWLWLLLLLL last 10 scored 14 from 14.3 xG conceded 23 from 22.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402436	1.62–1.53	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462331	1.77–1.44	1-1 10%	62%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to win	45.0%	47.3%	42.1%	1.13×	2.11
Borussia M.Gladbach to win	29.7%	27.9%	33.4%	0.84×	3.58
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	24.7%	1.13×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen & not both score	23.8%	21.8%	19.9%	1.10×	4.58
Werder Bremen & both teams score	21.2%	21.8%	22.3%	0.98×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	19.0%	0.95×	5.57
Borussia M.Gladbach & not both score	15.1%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.57
Borussia M.Gladbach & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	18.4%	0.72×	7.53
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.3%	5.8%	1.43×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen & over 1.5	34.9%	30.8%	35.8%	0.86×	3.25
Werder Bremen & under 3.5	30.9%	30.8%	21.9%	1.41×	3.25
Werder Bremen & over 2.5	27.2%	26.1%	29.9%	0.87×	3.84
Borussia M.Gladbach & over 1.5	21.8%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.63
Borussia M.Gladbach & under 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	19.0%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Werder Bremen & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	12.3%	1.47×	5.56
Borussia M.Gladbach & over 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Werder Bremen & over 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.79
Borussia M.Gladbach & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
Werder Bremen & under 1.5	10.1%	12.8%	6.4%	1.99×	7.79
Borussia M.Gladbach & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.0%	1.32×	12.63
Borussia M.Gladbach & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (1UP)	60.6%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.59
Borussia M.Gladbach (1UP)	47.3%	43.9%	52.2%	0.84×	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (2UP)	45.0%	49.9%	45.4%	1.10×	2.00
Borussia M.Gladbach (2UP)	29.7%	25.4%	36.4%	0.70×	3.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to win 2nd half	39.3%	36.2%	37.5%	0.97×	2.76
2nd half drawn	35.1%	36.1%	33.6%	1.07×	2.77
Borussia M.Gladbach to win 2nd half	25.5%	25.7%	29.1%	0.88×	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.4%	86.7%	79.5%	1.09×	1.15
Borussia M.Gladbach under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.0%	52.5%	43.5%	1.21×	1.90
Borussia M.Gladbach over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.0%	47.5%	56.5%	0.84×	2.11
Borussia M.Gladbach over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.6%	13.3%	20.5%	0.65×	7.51

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	75.4%	74.4%	1.01×	1.33
Werder Bremen over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	58.1%	63.1%	0.92×	1.72
Werder Bremen under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	41.9%	36.9%	1.14×	2.39
Werder Bremen over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	24.6%	25.6%	0.96×	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (+2.5)	91.0%	92.1%	88.0%	1.05×	1.09
Borussia M.Gladbach (+1.5)	77.5%	78.5%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
Werder Bremen (+0.5)	70.3%	73.6%	66.6%	1.11×	1.36
Borussia M.Gladbach (+0.5)	55.0%	52.4%	57.9%	0.90×	1.91
Werder Bremen (-0.5)	45.0%	47.6%	42.1%	1.13×	2.10
Borussia M.Gladbach (-0.5)	29.7%	26.4%	33.4%	0.79×	3.79
Werder Bremen (-1.5)	22.5%	21.5%	24.6%	0.88×	4.65
Werder Bremen (-2.5)	9.0%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach to concede	78.3%	78.8%	79.2%	0.99×	1.27
Borussia M.Gladbach clean sheet	21.7%	21.2%	20.8%	1.02×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach clean sheet in 1st half	54.2%	50.6%	48.1%	1.05×	1.98
Borussia M.Gladbach to concede in 1st half	45.8%	49.4%	51.9%	0.95×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach to concede in 2nd half	59.9%	57.5%	63.1%	0.91×	1.74
Borussia M.Gladbach clean sheet in 2nd half	40.1%	42.5%	36.9%	1.15×	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Borussia M.Gladbach under 6.5 corners	77.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Borussia M.Gladbach under 5.5 corners	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Borussia M.Gladbach over 3.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Borussia M.Gladbach under 4.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Borussia M.Gladbach over 4.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Borussia M.Gladbach under 3.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Borussia M.Gladbach over 5.5 corners	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Borussia M.Gladbach over 6.5 corners	22.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Borussia M.Gladbach under 2.5 corners	20.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach under 3.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Borussia M.Gladbach under 2.5 goals	88.2%	87.8%	79.2%	1.11×	1.14
Borussia M.Gladbach over 0.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	74.4%	0.91×	1.47
Borussia M.Gladbach under 1.5 goals	66.6%	68.0%	57.2%	1.19×	1.47
Borussia M.Gladbach over 1.5 goals	33.4%	32.0%	42.8%	0.75×	3.12
Borussia M.Gladbach under 0.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	25.6%	1.25×	3.13
Borussia M.Gladbach over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.2%	20.8%	0.59×	8.20
Borussia M.Gladbach over 3.5 goals	3.3%	2.5%	7.3%	0.34×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach under 1.5 in 1st half	90.4%	93.8%	85.8%	1.09×	1.07
Borussia M.Gladbach under 0.5 in 1st half	59.6%	62.1%	54.4%	1.14×	1.61
Borussia M.Gladbach over 0.5 in 1st half	40.4%	37.9%	45.6%	0.83×	2.64
Borussia M.Gladbach over 1.5 in 1st half	9.6%	6.2%	14.2%	0.43×	16.19

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach scores equally in both	42.0%	43.4%	39.6%	1.10×	2.30
Borussia M.Gladbach scores more in 2nd half	33.9%	33.7%	36.4%	0.92×	2.97
Borussia M.Gladbach scores more in 1st half	24.1%	22.0%	24.1%	0.91×	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (away no bet)	64.0%	62.0%	63.0%	0.98×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.0%	38.0%	37.0%	1.03×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach even goals	54.6%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Borussia M.Gladbach odd goals	45.4%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.3%	87.8%	75.3%	1.17×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.7%	12.2%	24.7%	0.49×	8.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.6%	57.9%	72.3%	0.80×	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.4%	42.1%	27.7%	1.52×	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.5%	55.1%	66.4%	0.83×	1.82
Werder Bremen to score 2+ in a row	36.8%	36.6%	42.6%	0.86×	2.73
Borussia M.Gladbach to score 2+ in a row	25.0%	19.7%	34.3%	0.57×	5.08
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.5%	16.3%	29.2%	0.56×	6.13
Werder Bremen to score 3+ in a row	13.0%	12.1%	17.8%	0.68×	8.29
Borussia M.Gladbach to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.6%	12.3%	0.45×	18.01

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen corners (+3.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Werder Bremen corners (+2.5)	80.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Borussia M.Gladbach corners (+3.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Werder Bremen corners (+1.5)	72.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Borussia M.Gladbach corners (+2.5)	69.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Borussia M.Gladbach corners (+1.5)	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Werder Bremen corners (-1.5)	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Werder Bremen corners (-2.5)	30.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Borussia M.Gladbach corners (-1.5)	28.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Werder Bremen corners (-3.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Borussia M.Gladbach corners (-2.5)	19.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Borussia M.Gladbach corners (-3.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	9.4%	1.22×	8.72
1-0	10.1%	11.5%	6.4%	1.78×	8.73
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.50
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.51
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.50
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.50
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.31
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.32
3-0	3.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.30
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.29
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.64×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	3.82×	58.32
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (2nd half DNB)	60.6%	62.4%	56.3%	1.11×	1.60
Borussia M.Gladbach (2nd half DNB)	39.4%	37.6%	43.7%	0.86×	2.66

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen leading at HT (DNB)	55.4%	57.1%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75
Borussia M.Gladbach leading at HT (DNB)	44.6%	42.9%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen or Borussia M.Gladbach (12)	74.7%	72.1%	75.3%	0.96×	1.39
Werder Bremen or draw (1X)	70.3%	72.1%	66.6%	1.08×	1.39
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw (X2)	55.0%	52.7%	57.9%	0.91×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen or draw at HT	74.7%	75.2%	70.6%	1.06×	1.33
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw at HT	68.6%	66.7%	63.3%	1.05×	1.50
Werder Bremen or Borussia M.Gladbach at HT	56.6%	57.1%	66.0%	0.87×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen or draw (1UP)	70.3%	79.5%	73.8%	1.08×	1.26
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw (1UP)	55.0%	58.9%	64.6%	0.91×	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen or draw in 2nd half	74.5%	74.3%	70.9%	1.05×	1.35
Werder Bremen or Borussia M.Gladbach in 2nd half	64.9%	63.9%	66.4%	0.96×	1.56
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw in 2nd half	60.7%	63.8%	62.5%	1.02×	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.3%	61.5%	54.0%	1.14×	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.7%	38.5%	46.0%	0.84×	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (DNB)	60.3%	62.7%	55.8%	1.12×	1.60
Borussia M.Gladbach (DNB)	39.7%	37.3%	44.2%	0.84×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to score first	52.5%	53.3%	51.1%	1.04×	1.87
Borussia M.Gladbach to score first	40.9%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.40
No goal scored	6.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.5%	51.3%	59.4%	0.86×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.5%	48.7%	40.6%	1.20×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.5%	41.6%	50.2%	0.83×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	36.9%	38.4%	28.0%	1.37×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	9.4%	1.31×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	12.7%	0.65×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.9%	82.6%	79.3%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.1%	17.4%	20.7%	0.84×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.7%	73.7%	65.1%	1.13×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.3%	26.3%	34.9%	0.75×	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.6%	60.0%	51.3%	1.17×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.9%	21.1%	28.3%	0.75×	4.73
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.7%	13.9%	0.77×	9.35
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.8%	6.7%	1.00×	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.5%	83.2%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.5%	16.8%	20.5%	0.82×	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.9%	52.8%	67.5%	0.78×	1.90
A half without a goal	46.1%	47.2%	32.5%	1.45×	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	38.3%	1.23×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.8%	26.6%	39.7%	0.67×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.6%	22.9%	18.0%	1.28×	4.36
7+ goals	2.1%	1.8%	4.3%	0.42×	54.29

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	31.7%	1.13×	2.78
Borussia M.Gladbach to score exactly 0	30.4%	33.8%	25.6%	1.32×	2.96
Borussia M.Gladbach to score exactly 2	21.6%	22.3%	22.2%	1.01×	4.49
Borussia M.Gladbach to score 3+	11.9%	12.9%	20.8%	0.62×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.6%	28.7%	1.13×	3.07
Werder Bremen to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.5%	23.2%	1.14×	3.77
Werder Bremen to score exactly 0	21.7%	23.3%	20.8%	1.12×	4.29
Werder Bremen to score 3+	19.8%	18.8%	27.5%	0.68×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.4%	42.9%	34.0%	1.26×	2.33
Werder Bremen leading at HT	31.4%	33.3%	36.7%	0.91×	3.00
Borussia M.Gladbach leading at HT	25.3%	24.8%	29.4%	0.84×	4.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen -1: 2	55.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Werder Bremen -1: 1	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Werder Bremen -1: X	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:1)	55.0%	51.3%	57.9%	0.89×	1.95
Werder Bremen (0:1)	22.5%	24.2%	24.6%	0.99×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	24.2%	17.7%	1.37×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:2)	77.5%	79.4%	75.4%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.6%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.09
Werder Bremen (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:3)	91.0%	92.7%	88.0%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	4.9%	1.17×	17.23
Werder Bremen (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	7.2%	0.33×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	92.8%	1.06×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	4.9%	0.25×	81.87
Werder Bremen (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.01

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (1:0)	70.3%	72.4%	66.6%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.5%	17.1%	16.6%	1.03×	5.85
Borussia M.Gladbach (1:0)	12.1%	12.7%	16.9%	0.75×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen (2:0)	87.9%	88.5%	83.1%	1.07×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.4%	9.9%	0.65×	15.68
Borussia M.Gladbach (2:0)	3.9%	2.3%	7.2%	0.32×	43.59

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.8%	47.4%	1.03×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	25.9%	1.01×	3.81
Halves equal	25.0%	24.4%	26.8%	0.91×	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to concede	69.6%	66.7%	74.4%	0.90×	1.50
Werder Bremen clean sheet	30.4%	33.3%	25.6%	1.30×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen clean sheet in 1st half	59.6%	62.1%	54.4%	1.14×	1.61
Werder Bremen to concede in 1st half	40.4%	37.9%	45.6%	0.83×	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen clean sheet in 2nd half	51.0%	52.7%	43.5%	1.21×	1.90
Werder Bremen to concede in 2nd half	49.0%	47.3%	56.5%	0.84×	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen over 2.5 corners	84.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Werder Bremen over 3.5 corners	72.1%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Werder Bremen under 6.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Werder Bremen over 4.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Werder Bremen under 5.5 corners	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Werder Bremen over 5.5 corners	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Werder Bremen under 4.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Werder Bremen over 6.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Werder Bremen under 3.5 corners	27.9%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Werder Bremen under 2.5 corners	15.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	88.3%	1.04×	1.08
Werder Bremen under 2.5 goals	80.2%	82.2%	72.5%	1.13×	1.22
Werder Bremen over 0.5 goals	78.3%	77.7%	79.2%	0.98×	1.29
Werder Bremen under 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
Werder Bremen over 1.5 goals	45.1%	46.8%	50.6%	0.92×	2.14
Werder Bremen under 0.5 goals	21.7%	22.3%	20.8%	1.07×	4.49
Werder Bremen over 2.5 goals	19.8%	17.8%	27.5%	0.65×	5.62
Werder Bremen over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	11.7%	0.66×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen under 1.5 in 1st half	87.4%	90.2%	80.5%	1.12×	1.11
Werder Bremen under 0.5 in 1st half	54.2%	50.4%	48.1%	1.05×	1.98
Werder Bremen over 0.5 in 1st half	45.8%	49.6%	51.9%	0.96×	2.02
Werder Bremen over 1.5 in 1st half	12.6%	9.8%	19.5%	0.50×	10.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen scores more in 2nd half	40.9%	42.0%	38.2%	1.10×	2.38
Werder Bremen scores equally in both	35.7%	37.9%	36.7%	1.03×	2.64
Werder Bremen scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.2%	25.2%	0.84×	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (home no bet)	54.0%	51.4%	57.5%	0.89×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	46.0%	48.6%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen even goals	52.4%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Werder Bremen odd goals	47.6%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.3%	33.4%	23.1%	1.45×	3.00
HT 1-0	19.8%	18.6%	19.2%	0.97×	5.37
HT 0-1	16.7%	18.6%	16.6%	1.12×	5.39
HT 1-1	10.2%	11.0%	9.7%	1.13×	9.09
HT 2-0	6.1%	6.9%	9.4%	0.73×	14.51
HT 0-2	4.3%	2.4%	7.2%	0.33×	42.00
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.4%	6.9%	0.35×	42.02
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	4.2%	0.57×	42.07
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.11
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	1.3%	1.76×	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen at HT / Werder Bremen at FT	25.0%	21.9%	28.2%	0.78×	4.57
Draw at HT / Werder Bremen at FT	17.1%	16.7%	10.9%	1.53×	5.98
Borussia M.Gladbach at HT / Borussia M.Gladbach at FT	16.9%	16.7%	20.4%	0.82×	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.7%	13.6%	1.22×	5.99
Draw at HT / Borussia M.Gladbach at FT	11.1%	12.6%	9.7%	1.30×	7.92
Borussia M.Gladbach at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	6.0%	1.00×	16.68
Werder Bremen at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.60
Borussia M.Gladbach at HT / Werder Bremen at FT	3.0%	3.5%	3.3%	1.06×	28.66
Werder Bremen at HT / Borussia M.Gladbach at FT	1.7%	3.5%	3.6%	0.97×	28.70

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to score last	52.5%	52.1%	49.9%	1.04×	1.92
Borussia M.Gladbach to score last	40.9%	39.9%	44.4%	0.90×	2.50
No goal scored	6.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.7%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Werder Bremen to lead by 1 at any time	60.6%	61.3%	60.1%	1.02×	1.63
Borussia M.Gladbach to lead by 1 at any time	47.3%	44.6%	52.2%	0.85×	2.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.3%	44.5%	55.6%	0.80×	2.25
Werder Bremen to lead by 2 at any time	28.9%	25.6%	33.0%	0.77×	3.91
Borussia M.Gladbach to lead by 2 at any time	17.6%	15.0%	23.4%	0.64×	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	25.5%	0.59×	6.70
Werder Bremen to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	15.7%	0.66×	9.59
Borussia M.Gladbach to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.7%	9.9%	0.67×	15.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen most corners	51.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Borussia M.Gladbach most corners	37.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	82.9%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.3%	72.4%	77.8%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.6%	68.8%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.4%	63.3%	50.4%	1.26×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	59.9%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.9%	48.5%	58.5%	0.83×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.5%	38.3%	1.26×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.2%	48.5%	51.5%	0.94×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.3%	43.6%	31.6%	1.38×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.1%	39.2%	40.6%	0.97×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.8%	30.2%	39.7%	0.76×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.2%	24.5%	32.6%	0.75×	4.08
5-6 goals	11.8%	14.8%	18.1%	0.82×	6.75
7+ goals	2.1%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen never behind	46.1%	56.5%	47.8%	1.18×	1.77
Borussia M.Gladbach never behind	32.8%	36.2%	39.9%	0.91×	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	45.7%	1.12×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	54.3%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.6%	52.5%	1.10×	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.8%	42.4%	47.5%	0.89×	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	53.1%	0.98×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	46.9%	1.03×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	88.6%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.0%	87.6%	77.7%	1.13×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	82.0%	0.94×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.0%	72.5%	56.1%	1.29×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.1%	52.5%	62.7%	0.84×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.0%	47.5%	37.3%	1.27×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.0%	27.5%	43.9%	0.63×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	18.0%	1.26×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.0%	12.4%	22.3%	0.56×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	11.4%	0.68×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.8%	97.2%	95.3%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.7%	92.4%	87.2%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.6%	81.1%	71.6%	1.13×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.5%	67.4%	77.7%	0.87×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.8%	61.9%	45.9%	1.35×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.2%	38.1%	54.1%	0.70×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.5%	32.6%	22.3%	1.46×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.4%	18.9%	28.4%	0.66×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.3%	7.6%	12.8%	0.59×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.2%	2.8%	4.7%	0.60×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.2%	84.6%	1.06×	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.5%	58.6%	1.17×	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.7%	68.4%	76.9%	0.89×	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.6%	23.1%	1.37×	3.17
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.5%	41.4%	0.76×	3.17
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.8%	15.4%	0.70×	9.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.4%	84.7%	0.94×	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.4%	73.0%	1.09×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.9%	53.2%	44.4%	1.20×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.1%	46.8%	55.6%	0.84×	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.6%	27.0%	0.76×	4.86
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.6%	15.3%	1.35×	4.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.3%	72.3%	1.17×	1.19
Werder Bremen not to score in both halves	72.6%	73.9%	64.2%	1.15×	1.35
Werder Bremen to score in both halves	27.4%	26.1%	35.8%	0.73×	3.83
Borussia M.Gladbach to score in both halves	19.8%	15.7%	27.7%	0.57×	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.5%	53.9%	59.4%	0.91×	1.86
Only Werder Bremen scores	23.8%	22.3%	19.9%	1.12×	4.49
Only Borussia M.Gladbach scores	15.1%	16.0%	15.1%	1.06×	6.25
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.1%	5.8%	1.22×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.4%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	19.0%	1.19×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.0%	17.5%	12.3%	1.42×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.0%	17.5%	21.7%	0.80×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.2%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.8%	7.6%	11.4%	0.67×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.4%	35.7%	1.05×	2.67
No goals in 1st half	32.3%	35.8%	23.1%	1.55×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.6%	21.5%	26.1%	0.82×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	10.6%	10.7%	15.4%	0.69×	9.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.1%	45.1%	55.6%	0.81×	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.8%	29.2%	1.16×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.5%	22.7%	15.3%	1.48×	4.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach not to win both halves	93.5%	94.1%	90.9%	1.04×	1.06
Werder Bremen not to win both halves	87.7%	87.9%	84.0%	1.05×	1.14
Werder Bremen to win both halves	12.3%	12.1%	16.0%	0.76×	8.25
Borussia M.Gladbach to win both halves	6.5%	5.9%	9.1%	0.64×	17.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Werder Bremen to win either half	58.4%	59.1%	58.2%	1.02×	1.69
Borussia M.Gladbach to win neither half	55.7%	59.0%	50.7%	1.16×	1.70
Borussia M.Gladbach to win either half	44.3%	41.0%	49.3%	0.83×	2.44
Werder Bremen to win neither half	41.6%	40.9%	41.8%	0.98×	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach not to win to nil	84.9%	83.1%	84.9%	0.98×	1.20
Werder Bremen not to win to nil	76.2%	78.1%	80.1%	0.98×	1.28
Werder Bremen to win to nil	23.8%	21.9%	19.9%	1.10×	4.57
Borussia M.Gladbach to win to nil	15.1%	16.9%	15.1%	1.12×	5.93

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.9%	24.7%	1.13×	3.59
Werder Bremen by 1	22.5%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Borussia M.Gladbach by 1	17.5%	17.0%	16.6%	1.03×	5.87
Werder Bremen by 2	13.6%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
Werder Bremen by 3+	9.0%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.90
Borussia M.Gladbach by 2	8.3%	7.2%	9.9%	0.73×	13.90
Borussia M.Gladbach by 3+	3.9%	2.7%	7.2%	0.38×	36.78