Woking v Kidderminster Harriers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-National League · 2627
ENG-National League results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.6%
- 0-1 11.8%
- 1-0 11.2%
- 0-0 8.8%
- 1-2 8.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 42.4% | Under 2.5 | 57.6% |
| BTTS yes | 47.8% | BTTS no | 52.2% |
| Woking 1+ | 68.5% | Woking 2+ | 32.1% |
| Kidderminster Harriers 1+ | 70.6% | Kidderminster Harriers 2+ | 34.6% |
Expected goals 1.15 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Kidderminster Harriers carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1486.
- Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Woking have only 1 matches on record.
- Kidderminster Harriers have only 1 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Kidderminster Harriers have an estimated 38.3% win probability, against 34.9% for Woking and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Woking and 1.22 for Kidderminster Harriers.
Why Woking
At home Woking average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.8%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.15 to 1.22.
Why Kidderminster Harriers can win
Kidderminster Harriers carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1486. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Woking, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kidderminster Harriers, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Woking: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kidderminster Harriers: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Kidderminster Harriers are the model's most likely outcome at 38.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.15–1.22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.14–1.30 | 1-1 12% | 44% | 49% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.