Wolfsberger v SK Sturm Graz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Wolfsberger

13:30 UTC

SK Sturm Graz

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 123h before kick-off

Wolfsberger win

29.4%

model 30.3%

Draw

27.4%

model 27.3%

SK Sturm Graz win

43.2%

model 42.3%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.9%
1-2 9.1%
0-1 7.8%
2-1 7.5%
0-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.1%	Under 2.5	45.9%
BTTS yes	58.4%	BTTS no	41.6%
Wolfsberger 1+	72.4%	Wolfsberger 2+	36.9%
SK Sturm Graz 1+	78.9%	SK Sturm Graz 2+	46.1%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.56. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

89%

★ Best pick

SK Sturm Graz or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 57%

70.6% fair odds 1.42

moderate signal · 967 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.3% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1272 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

SK Sturm Graz carry the stronger rating, 1620 Elo against 1471.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

SK Sturm Graz have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Wolfsberger and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Wolfsberger and 1.56 for SK Sturm Graz.

Why Wolfsberger

Nothing in the data singles out Wolfsberger.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why SK Sturm Graz can win

SK Sturm Graz carry the stronger rating, 1620 Elo against 1471.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Wolfsberger, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for SK Sturm Graz, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wolfsberger: 40% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. SK Sturm Graz: 55% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

SK Sturm Graz are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302742	1.29–1.56	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	392931	1.37–1.20	1-1 14%	47%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger to win	39.3%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.75
SK Sturm Graz to win	31.5%	30.4%	31.4%	0.97×	3.29
Draw	29.2%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger & not both score	21.0%	21.8%	22.6%	0.97×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.2%	21.8%	18.3%	1.19×	4.59
Wolfsberger & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.56
SK Sturm Graz & not both score	16.4%	18.0%	14.7%	1.22×	5.57
SK Sturm Graz & both teams score	15.1%	18.0%	16.9%	1.07×	5.57
Draw & not both score	9.0%	8.3%	7.4%	1.13×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger & over 1.5	30.2%	30.7%	34.7%	0.89×	3.25
Wolfsberger & under 3.5	28.1%	26.1%	30.4%	0.86×	3.84
SK Sturm Graz & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	25.4%	0.85×	4.63
Wolfsberger & over 2.5	23.0%	21.6%	27.6%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.0%	21.6%	19.7%	1.10×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.0%	21.6%	19.7%	1.10×	4.63
SK Sturm Graz & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	22.1%	0.98×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.2%	21.6%	18.3%	1.18×	4.63
SK Sturm Graz & over 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Wolfsberger & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
SK Sturm Graz & under 2.5	13.4%	12.8%	11.6%	1.10×	7.79
Wolfsberger & over 3.5	11.2%	12.8%	13.3%	0.96×	7.79
Wolfsberger & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	9.0%	0.88×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	7.4%	1.08×	12.63
SK Sturm Graz & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
SK Sturm Graz & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (1UP)	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
SK Sturm Graz (1UP)	48.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (2UP)	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
SK Sturm Graz (2UP)	31.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Wolfsberger to win 2nd half	32.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
SK Sturm Graz to win 2nd half	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
SK Sturm Graz over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
SK Sturm Graz under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
SK Sturm Graz over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Wolfsberger over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Wolfsberger under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Wolfsberger over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz (+2.5)	93.1%	92.1%	90.7%	1.02×	1.09
SK Sturm Graz (+1.5)	81.1%	82.6%	77.0%	1.07×	1.21
Wolfsberger (+0.5)	68.5%	68.7%	68.6%	1.00×	1.46
SK Sturm Graz (+0.5)	60.7%	62.9%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
Wolfsberger (-0.5)	39.3%	37.1%	43.5%	0.85×	2.70
SK Sturm Graz (-0.5)	31.5%	31.3%	31.4%	1.00×	3.19
Wolfsberger (-1.5)	18.9%	17.4%	23.0%	0.76×	5.74
Wolfsberger (-2.5)	6.9%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz to concede	74.5%	76.7%	78.1%	0.98×	1.30
SK Sturm Graz clean sheet	25.5%	23.3%	21.9%	1.07×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz clean sheet in 1st half	55.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
SK Sturm Graz to concede in 1st half	44.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz to concede in 2nd half	54.1%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
SK Sturm Graz clean sheet in 2nd half	45.9%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz over 2.5 corners	87.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
SK Sturm Graz over 3.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
SK Sturm Graz over 4.5 corners	63.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
SK Sturm Graz under 6.5 corners	62.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
SK Sturm Graz over 5.5 corners	50.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
SK Sturm Graz under 5.5 corners	49.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
SK Sturm Graz over 6.5 corners	37.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
SK Sturm Graz under 4.5 corners	36.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
SK Sturm Graz under 3.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
SK Sturm Graz under 2.5 corners	12.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
SK Sturm Graz under 2.5 goals	87.9%	87.8%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
SK Sturm Graz over 0.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	70.3%	0.97×	1.47
SK Sturm Graz under 1.5 goals	66.2%	68.0%	64.8%	1.05×	1.47
SK Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals	33.8%	32.0%	35.2%	0.91×	3.13
SK Sturm Graz under 0.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	29.7%	1.08×	3.13
SK Sturm Graz over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.2%	13.1%	0.93×	8.20
SK Sturm Graz over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	3.1%	0.81×	39.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
SK Sturm Graz under 0.5 in 1st half	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
SK Sturm Graz over 0.5 in 1st half	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
SK Sturm Graz over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.39

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz scores equally in both	41.4%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
SK Sturm Graz scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
SK Sturm Graz scores more in 1st half	21.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (away no bet)	57.4%	57.3%	63.1%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.6%	42.7%	36.9%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz even goals	54.5%	52.7%	53.4%	0.99×	1.90
SK Sturm Graz odd goals	45.5%	47.3%	46.6%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Wolfsberger to score 2+ in a row	31.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
SK Sturm Graz to score 2+ in a row	26.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Wolfsberger to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
SK Sturm Graz to score 3+ in a row	7.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz corners (+3.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
SK Sturm Graz corners (+2.5)	82.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
SK Sturm Graz corners (+1.5)	74.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Wolfsberger corners (+3.5)	73.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Wolfsberger corners (+2.5)	64.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Wolfsberger corners (+1.5)	54.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
SK Sturm Graz corners (-1.5)	45.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
SK Sturm Graz corners (-2.5)	35.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
SK Sturm Graz corners (-3.5)	27.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Wolfsberger corners (-1.5)	25.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Wolfsberger corners (-2.5)	17.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Wolfsberger corners (-3.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	67.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	23.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.71
0-0	9.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.51
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.51
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.5%	0.71×	13.51
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	7.8%	0.94×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.51
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	5.7%	1.30×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	5.5%	1.35×	13.51
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	58.32
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.80×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	58.32
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.30
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.80×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.22×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.22×	58.32
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (2nd half DNB)	52.8%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
SK Sturm Graz (2nd half DNB)	47.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger leading at HT (DNB)	56.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
SK Sturm Graz leading at HT (DNB)	43.5%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger or SK Sturm Graz (12)	70.8%	72.1%	74.6%	0.97×	1.39
Wolfsberger or draw (1X)	68.5%	69.6%	68.6%	1.01×	1.44
SK Sturm Graz or draw (X2)	60.7%	63.6%	56.5%	1.13×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger or draw at HT	76.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
SK Sturm Graz or draw at HT	69.1%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Wolfsberger or SK Sturm Graz at HT	54.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger or draw (1UP)	68.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
SK Sturm Graz or draw (1UP)	60.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger or draw in 2nd half	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
SK Sturm Graz or draw in 2nd half	67.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Wolfsberger or SK Sturm Graz in 2nd half	62.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (DNB)	55.5%	58.0%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72
SK Sturm Graz (DNB)	44.5%	42.0%	41.9%	1.00×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger to score first	48.4%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
SK Sturm Graz to score first	42.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	9.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.5%	51.3%	55.8%	0.92×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.5%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.5%	38.5%	43.5%	0.89×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	38.6%	38.5%	34.7%	1.11×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.4%	12.6%	0.98×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	9.7%	0.85×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.6%	85.6%	86.9%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.4%	14.4%	13.1%	1.10×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.7%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.2%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.19

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.8%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.2%	49.9%	0.95×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.0%	26.6%	22.1%	1.20×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.1%	22.9%	26.6%	0.86×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	1.9%	0.97×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	35.4%	1.01×	2.79
SK Sturm Graz to score exactly 0	30.1%	33.8%	29.7%	1.14×	2.96
SK Sturm Graz to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.3%	22.3%	1.00×	4.49
SK Sturm Graz to score 3+	12.1%	12.9%	13.1%	0.99×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.6%	34.9%	0.93×	3.07
Wolfsberger to score exactly 0	25.5%	26.6%	21.9%	1.22×	3.77
Wolfsberger to score exactly 2	23.8%	23.3%	25.4%	0.92×	4.29
Wolfsberger to score 3+	15.9%	18.8%	18.3%	1.03×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.2%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Wolfsberger leading at HT	30.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
SK Sturm Graz leading at HT	23.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger -1: 2	60.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Wolfsberger -1: X	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Wolfsberger -1: 1	18.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz (0:1)	60.7%	61.4%	56.5%	1.09×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.2%	20.7%	1.17×	4.13
Wolfsberger (0:1)	18.9%	17.8%	23.0%	0.77×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz (0:2)	81.1%	82.9%	77.0%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	14.0%	0.78×	9.10
Wolfsberger (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz (0:3)	93.1%	92.7%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	6.2%	0.39×	41.93
Wolfsberger (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	3.3%	0.72×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.7%	0.74×	81.80
Wolfsberger (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.9%	0.64×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (1:0)	68.5%	70.2%	68.6%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	16.4%	1.04×	5.85
SK Sturm Graz (1:0)	13.7%	12.7%	15.2%	0.84×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger (2:0)	86.3%	88.5%	84.8%	1.04×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.3%	6.4%	10.2%	0.63×	15.64
SK Sturm Graz (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	5.2%	0.44×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger to concede	69.9%	66.7%	70.3%	0.95×	1.50
Wolfsberger clean sheet	30.1%	33.3%	29.7%	1.12×	3.01

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger clean sheet in 1st half	61.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Wolfsberger to concede in 1st half	38.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger to concede in 2nd half	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Wolfsberger clean sheet in 2nd half	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger over 2.5 corners	79.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Wolfsberger under 6.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Wolfsberger under 5.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Wolfsberger over 3.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Wolfsberger under 4.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Wolfsberger over 4.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Wolfsberger under 3.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Wolfsberger over 5.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Wolfsberger over 6.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Wolfsberger under 2.5 corners	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger under 3.5 goals	95.0%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Wolfsberger under 2.5 goals	84.1%	82.2%	81.7%	1.01×	1.22
Wolfsberger over 0.5 goals	74.5%	74.2%	78.1%	0.95×	1.35
Wolfsberger under 1.5 goals	60.3%	63.6%	56.5%	1.12×	1.57
Wolfsberger over 1.5 goals	39.7%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.75
Wolfsberger under 0.5 goals	25.5%	25.8%	21.9%	1.18×	3.88
Wolfsberger over 2.5 goals	15.9%	17.8%	18.3%	0.97×	5.62
Wolfsberger over 3.5 goals	5.0%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger under 1.5 in 1st half	88.2%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Wolfsberger under 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Wolfsberger over 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Wolfsberger over 1.5 in 1st half	11.8%	9.9%	—	—	10.12

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger scores equally in both	38.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Wolfsberger scores more in 2nd half	36.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Wolfsberger scores more in 1st half	24.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz (home no bet)	51.9%	51.4%	55.2%	0.93×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.1%	48.6%	44.8%	1.08×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger even goals	53.2%	50.8%	52.0%	0.98×	1.97
Wolfsberger odd goals	46.8%	49.2%	48.0%	1.03×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.6%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	20.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	16.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger at HT / Wolfsberger at FT	23.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
SK Sturm Graz at HT / SK Sturm Graz at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Wolfsberger at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / SK Sturm Graz at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Wolfsberger at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
SK Sturm Graz at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Wolfsberger at HT / SK Sturm Graz at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
SK Sturm Graz at HT / Wolfsberger at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger to score last	48.5%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
SK Sturm Graz to score last	42.5%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	9.0%	7.6%	—	—	13.12

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.0%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Wolfsberger to lead by 1 at any time	55.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
SK Sturm Graz to lead by 1 at any time	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Wolfsberger to lead by 2 at any time	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
SK Sturm Graz to lead by 2 at any time	19.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Wolfsberger to lead by 3 at any time	8.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
SK Sturm Graz to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz most corners	55.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Wolfsberger most corners	34.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	86.2%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.7%	79.3%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.4%	72.3%	76.2%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.4%	68.8%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.2%	68.8%	64.6%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.3%	64.6%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.4%	49.9%	0.97×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.8%	48.4%	51.3%	0.94×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.6%	43.6%	39.9%	1.09×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.7%	43.6%	46.6%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.6%	39.2%	39.7%	0.99×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.1%	24.5%	26.6%	0.92×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.1%	24.4%	21.9%	1.12×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.2%	14.8%	11.9%	1.25×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	1.9%	1.34×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Wolfsberger never behind	42.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
SK Sturm Graz never behind	35.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.9%	47.7%	1.07×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.1%	52.3%	0.94×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	93.3%	1.02×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.0%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	86.5%	1.01×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.3%	72.5%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	77.9%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.6%	52.5%	47.0%	1.12×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.4%	47.5%	53.0%	0.90×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.0%	27.5%	22.1%	1.25×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.7%	27.5%	28.3%	0.97×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	9.0%	7.7%	7.4%	1.05×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	6.7%	0.69×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.0%	92.4%	92.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.3%	86.7%	84.1%	1.03×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.1%	67.5%	62.5%	1.08×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.6%	61.9%	70.6%	0.88×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.4%	38.1%	29.4%	1.29×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.9%	32.5%	37.5%	0.87×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.7%	13.3%	15.9%	0.84×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.0%	7.6%	7.1%	1.06×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	2.0%	1.41×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.66

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz not to score in both halves	80.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Wolfsberger not to score in both halves	75.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Wolfsberger to score in both halves	24.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
SK Sturm Graz to score in both halves	19.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.5%	53.8%	55.8%	0.96×	1.86
Only Wolfsberger scores	21.0%	22.2%	22.6%	0.99×	4.50
Only SK Sturm Graz scores	16.4%	16.0%	14.7%	1.09×	6.24
Neither team scores	9.0%	7.1%	7.4%	0.97×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	24.9%	25.2%	0.99×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	24.9%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.9%	17.5%	15.0%	1.17×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.9%	12.1%	15.0%	0.81×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.03×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	6.7%	0.67×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	9.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz not to win both halves	92.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Wolfsberger not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Wolfsberger to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
SK Sturm Graz to win both halves	7.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz to win neither half	53.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Wolfsberger to win either half	53.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Wolfsberger to win neither half	46.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
SK Sturm Graz to win either half	46.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
SK Sturm Graz not to win to nil	83.6%	83.1%	85.3%	0.97×	1.20
Wolfsberger not to win to nil	79.0%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Wolfsberger to win to nil	21.0%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
SK Sturm Graz to win to nil	16.4%	16.9%	14.7%	1.15×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.2%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Wolfsberger by 1	20.4%	24.1%	20.7%	1.17×	4.15
SK Sturm Graz by 1	17.8%	17.1%	16.4%	1.04×	5.87
Wolfsberger by 2	12.0%	11.8%	14.0%	0.84×	8.51
SK Sturm Graz by 2	9.3%	7.2%	10.2%	0.70×	13.90
Wolfsberger by 3+	6.9%	7.2%	9.3%	0.78×	13.91
SK Sturm Graz by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	5.2%	0.52×	36.83