betaider.com
Sign in

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Charlton Athletic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
58.0%
model 59.5%
Draw
23.0%
model 22.9%
Charlton Athletic win
19.0%
model 17.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.7%
  2. 2-1 9.9%
  3. 2-0 9.3%
  4. 1-0 7.7%
  5. 3-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.561.1% Under 2.538.9%
BTTS yes58.7% BTTS no41.3%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1+87.6% Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+61.7%
Charlton Athletic 1+65.7% Charlton Athletic 2+29.0%

Expected goals 2.09 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
45/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 41%
62.7% fair odds 1.60
strong signal · 918 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Charlton Athletic (0:3)
Handicap 0:3 · usually 92%
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Wolverhampton Wanderers have an estimated 58.0% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.0% for Charlton Athletic. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.08 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.07 for Charlton Athletic.

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers

Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Charlton Athletic can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Wolverhampton Wanderers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Adam Armstrong (0.34), Tolu Arokodare (0.24), Mateus Mané (0.19).

Availability

1 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for Charlton Athletic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 50% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.54 xG a match from set pieces. Charlton Athletic: 36% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Wolverhampton Wanderers's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Wolverhampton Wanderers are the model's most likely outcome at 58.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 45/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Wolverhampton Wanderers are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWDLLLDLDD last 10 scored 9 from 12.7 xG conceded 17 from 19.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.09–1.07 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.21–1.12 1-1 10% 65% 61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 61.0% 58.1% 43.4% 1.34× 1.72
Draw 21.8% 24.4% 27.6% 0.88× 4.09
Charlton Athletic to win 17.2% 19.4% 29.1% 0.67× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & both teams score 32.9% 29.6% 20.2% 1.46× 3.38
Wolverhampton Wanderers & not both score 28.1% 25.2% 23.3% 1.08× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 17.2% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.57
Charlton Athletic & both teams score 10.8% 13.3% 13.9% 0.95× 7.54
Charlton Athletic & not both score 6.3% 8.3% 15.2% 0.55× 12.02
Draw & not both score 4.7% 4.9% 7.3% 0.67× 20.56
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 1.5 54.1% 48.9% 32.5% 1.51× 2.04
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 2.5 45.3% 45.0% 26.4% 1.70× 2.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 3.5 31.9% 30.8% 32.4% 0.95× 3.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 3.5 29.1% 26.1% 11.1% 2.34× 3.84
Draw & over 1.5 17.2% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 2.5 15.7% 18.0% 17.1% 1.05× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 14.6% 12.8% 21.8% 0.59× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 14.6% 12.8% 21.8% 0.59× 7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 1.5 14.2% 12.8% 21.4% 0.60× 7.79
Charlton Athletic & over 2.5 12.0% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.79
Charlton Athletic & under 3.5 11.0% 12.8% 22.3% 0.57× 7.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 1.5 6.9% 7.9% 11.0% 0.72× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.2% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.2% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Charlton Athletic & over 3.5 6.2% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Charlton Athletic & under 2.5 5.2% 7.9% 12.9% 0.61× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.7% 4.8% 7.3% 0.66× 20.81
Charlton Athletic & under 1.5 3.0% 4.8% 7.7% 0.62× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1UP) 74.8% 75.7% — — 1.32
Charlton Athletic (1UP) 37.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2UP) 61.0% 68.2% — — 1.47
Charlton Athletic (2UP) 17.2% 17.2% — — 5.81
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 2nd half 50.2% 51.2% — — 1.95
2nd half drawn 30.4% 34.3% — — 2.92
Charlton Athletic to win 2nd half 19.5% 18.2% — — 5.49
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.4% 86.7% — — 1.15
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 2nd half 51.2% 52.5% — — 1.90
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 2nd half 48.8% 47.5% — — 2.11
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.6% 13.3% — — 7.51
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.6% 73.9% — — 1.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 2nd half 64.2% 63.3% — — 1.58
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 2nd half 35.8% 36.7% — — 2.73
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.4% 26.1% — — 3.83
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+0.5) 82.8% 82.5% 70.9% 1.16× 1.21
Charlton Athletic (+2.5) 79.3% 78.5% 91.9% 0.85× 1.27
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-0.5) 61.0% 62.9% 43.4% 1.45× 1.59
Charlton Athletic (+1.5) 60.7% 62.9% 80.7% 0.78× 1.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-1.5) 39.3% 37.1% 19.3% 1.92× 2.70
Charlton Athletic (+0.5) 39.0% 37.1% 56.6% 0.66× 2.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-2.5) 20.7% 21.5% 8.1% 2.66× 4.65
Charlton Athletic (-0.5) 17.2% 17.5% 29.1% 0.60× 5.73
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede 89.0% 86.3% 77.6% 1.11× 1.16
Charlton Athletic clean sheet 11.0% 13.7% 22.4% 0.61× 7.32
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede in 1st half 61.3% 65.1% — — 1.54
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 1st half 38.7% 34.9% — — 2.86
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to concede in 2nd half 71.6% 70.8% — — 1.41
Charlton Athletic clean sheet in 2nd half 28.4% 29.2% — — 3.42
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 6.5 corners 91.0% 89.9% — — 1.11
Charlton Athletic under 5.5 corners 84.6% 81.4% — — 1.23
Charlton Athletic under 4.5 corners 74.8% 71.6% — — 1.40
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 corners 60.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 corners 56.8% 57.2% — — 1.75
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 corners 43.2% 42.8% — — 2.33
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 corners 39.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
Charlton Athletic over 4.5 corners 25.2% 28.4% — — 3.52
Charlton Athletic over 5.5 corners 15.4% 18.6% — — 5.38
Charlton Athletic over 6.5 corners 9.0% 10.1% — — 9.89
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 3.5 goals 97.3% 97.5% 97.8% 1.00× 1.03
Charlton Athletic under 2.5 goals 89.7% 87.8% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 goals 69.3% 68.0% 70.0% 0.97× 1.47
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 goals 67.3% 68.0% 69.5% 0.98× 1.47
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 goals 32.7% 32.0% 30.5% 1.05× 3.12
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 goals 30.7% 32.0% 30.0% 1.07× 3.13
Charlton Athletic over 2.5 goals 10.3% 12.2% 9.4% 1.29× 8.21
Charlton Athletic over 3.5 goals 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 1.13× 39.89
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic under 1.5 in 1st half 92.5% 93.9% — — 1.07
Charlton Athletic under 0.5 in 1st half 64.0% 63.7% — — 1.57
Charlton Athletic over 0.5 in 1st half 36.0% 36.3% — — 2.75
Charlton Athletic over 1.5 in 1st half 7.5% 6.1% — — 16.39
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic scores equally in both 43.3% 43.4% — — 2.30
Charlton Athletic scores more in 2nd half 35.6% 37.3% — — 2.68
Charlton Athletic scores more in 1st half 21.1% 21.9% — — 4.56
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (away no bet) 73.6% 68.4% 61.1% 1.12× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 26.4% 31.6% 38.9% 0.81× 3.17
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic even goals 55.4% 56.9% 52.4% 1.09× 1.76
Charlton Athletic odd goals 44.6% 43.1% 47.6% 0.91× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 76.7% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 23.3% 18.7% — — 5.34
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 75.3% 72.3% — — 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 24.7% 27.7% — — 3.61
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 68.0% 62.4% — — 1.60
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2+ in a row 56.1% 55.1% — — 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 31.3% 29.2% — — 3.43
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ in a row 27.1% 25.2% — — 3.97
Charlton Athletic to score 2+ in a row 20.3% 19.6% — — 5.11
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ in a row 4.6% 2.6% — — 37.94
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+3.5) 91.8% 89.6% — — 1.12
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+2.5) 86.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+1.5) 79.4% 74.8% — — 1.34
Charlton Athletic corners (+3.5) 73.3% 70.7% — — 1.41
Charlton Athletic corners (+2.5) 63.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Charlton Athletic corners (+1.5) 52.8% 52.4% — — 1.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-1.5) 47.2% 47.6% — — 2.10
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-2.5) 36.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-3.5) 26.7% 29.3% — — 3.42
Charlton Athletic corners (-1.5) 20.6% 25.2% — — 3.97
Charlton Athletic corners (-2.5) 13.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
Charlton Athletic corners (-3.5) 8.2% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 60.7% 48.2% — — 2.07
9-11 corners 23.0% 25.7% — — 3.90
12+ corners 16.2% 22.6% — — 4.44
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 88.5% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 83.8% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 77.6% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 69.9% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 8.5 corners 60.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 7.5 corners 50.3% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 7.5 corners 49.7% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 8.5 corners 39.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 9.5 corners 30.1% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 10.5 corners 22.4% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 11.5 corners 16.2% 19.3% — — 5.18
Over 12.5 corners 11.5% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.9% 7.4% 14.5% 0.51× 13.50
2-0 8.8% 7.4% 6.1% 1.21× 13.50
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 11.5% 0.65× 13.50
1-0 6.9% 7.4% 11.0% 0.67× 13.51
3-1 7.2% 7.4% 4.3% 1.71× 13.51
Any other score 7.8% 7.4% 3.0% 2.49× 13.50
2-2 5.5% 7.4% 5.2% 1.43× 13.51
3-0 6.5% 7.4% 4.0% 1.85× 13.51
1-2 5.0% 1.7% 8.0% 0.21× 58.29
0-0 4.7% 1.7% 7.3% 0.23× 58.29
0-1 3.0% 1.7% 7.7% 0.22× 58.30
0-2 2.2% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.31
0-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.06× 58.31
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.04× 58.32
1-3 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
1-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.88× 58.32
2-3 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.31
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.3% 6.73× 58.32
3-2 4.0% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.30
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 2.02× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 6.73× 58.32
4-0 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.30
4-1 4.0% 1.7% 0.9% 2.02× 58.30
4-2 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.31
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.2% 10.09× 58.31
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 20.18× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2nd half DNB) 72.0% 71.1% — — 1.41
Charlton Athletic (2nd half DNB) 28.0% 28.9% — — 3.46
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT (DNB) 73.6% 74.1% — — 1.35
Charlton Athletic leading at HT (DNB) 26.4% 25.9% — — 3.85
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1X) 82.8% 80.6% 70.9% 1.14× 1.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Charlton Athletic (12) 78.2% 75.6% 72.4% 1.04× 1.32
Charlton Athletic or draw (X2) 39.0% 41.9% 56.6% 0.74× 2.39
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at HT 83.3% 84.3% — — 1.19
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Charlton Athletic at HT 63.2% 61.6% — — 1.62
Charlton Athletic or draw at HT 53.5% 47.9% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1UP) 82.8% 88.6% — — 1.13
Charlton Athletic or draw (1UP) 39.0% 41.3% — — 2.42
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw in 2nd half 80.5% 81.8% — — 1.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Charlton Athletic in 2nd half 69.6% 65.7% — — 1.52
Charlton Athletic or draw in 2nd half 49.8% 48.8% — — 2.05
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 54.8% 50.2% — — 1.99
Neither half drawn 45.2% 49.8% — — 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (DNB) 78.0% 74.8% 59.9% 1.25× 1.34
Charlton Athletic (DNB) 22.0% 25.2% 40.1% 0.63× 3.96
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score first 63.3% 64.6% — — 1.55
Charlton Athletic to score first 32.0% 27.4% — — 3.65
No goal scored 4.7% 4.3% — — 23.19
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 60.9% 56.6% 54.4% 1.04× 1.77
Not both teams to score 39.1% 43.4% 45.6% 0.95× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 51.0% 47.2% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 25.5% 33.3% 37.1% 0.90× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 13.5% 12.4% 8.6% 1.44× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.9% 8.3% 14.5% 0.57× 12.05
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.1% 82.6% 89.0% 0.93× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 19.9% 17.4% 11.0% 1.59× 5.73
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 64.7% 65.8% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 35.3% 34.2% — — 2.93
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 50.1% 54.7% — — 1.83
Both score 2nd half only 27.6% 27.4% — — 3.65
Both score 1st half only 14.5% 10.7% — — 9.33
Both score in both halves 7.7% 6.8% — — 14.68
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.7% 81.2% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 22.3% 18.8% — — 5.32
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 64.8% 59.9% — — 1.67
A half without a goal 35.2% 40.1% — — 2.49
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.0% 42.1% 50.5% 0.83× 2.37
4-6 goals 37.3% 35.1% 22.4% 1.57× 2.85
0-1 goals 14.5% 16.9% 25.9% 0.65× 5.91
7+ goals 5.2% 7.6% 1.4% 5.58× 13.18
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.9% 39.6% 0.91× 2.78
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 0 32.7% 33.8% 30.5% 1.11× 2.96
Charlton Athletic to score exactly 2 20.4% 22.3% 20.6% 1.08× 4.49
Charlton Athletic to score 3+ 10.3% 12.9% 9.4% 1.36× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ 37.9% 35.6% 16.1% 2.20× 2.81
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 2 26.8% 26.5% 24.6% 1.08× 3.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 1 24.3% 23.3% 37.0% 0.63× 4.29
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 0 11.0% 14.3% 22.4% 0.64× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT 46.5% 52.1% — — 1.92
Draw at HT 36.8% 38.4% — — 2.61
Charlton Athletic leading at HT 16.7% 15.7% — — 6.38
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 1 39.3% 37.4% — — 2.67
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 2 39.0% 37.4% — — 2.67
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: X 21.6% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:1) 39.3% 37.4% 19.3% 1.94× 2.68
Charlton Athletic (0:1) 39.0% 37.4% 56.6% 0.66× 2.68
Draw (0:1) 21.6% 24.2% 24.2% 1.00× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:2) 60.7% 67.0% 80.7% 0.83× 1.49
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:2) 20.7% 20.3% 8.1% 2.51× 4.93
Draw (0:2) 18.6% 15.3% 11.3% 1.35× 6.54
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:3) 79.3% 80.6% 91.9% 0.88× 1.24
Draw (0:3) 11.6% 9.9% 4.8% 2.09× 10.06
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:3) 9.2% 5.8% 3.4% 1.71× 17.18
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic (0:4) 90.8% 94.5% 96.6% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 5.7% 4.6% 2.4% 1.93× 21.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:4) 3.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.11× 81.72
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1:0) 82.8% 81.4% 70.9% 1.15× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 10.4% 12.7% 17.4% 0.73× 7.88
Charlton Athletic (1:0) 6.7% 6.9% 11.7% 0.59× 14.51
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2:0) 93.3% 94.0% 88.3% 1.06× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 4.8% 2.3% 8.6% 0.27× 43.53
Charlton Athletic (2:0) 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 0.71× 43.71
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.1% 48.8% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 27.2% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.7% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede 67.3% 66.7% 69.5% 0.96× 1.50
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet 32.7% 33.3% 30.5% 1.09× 3.00
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 1st half 64.0% 63.6% — — 1.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 1st half 36.0% 36.4% — — 2.75
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 2nd half 51.2% 52.7% — — 1.90
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 2nd half 48.8% 47.3% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 6.5 corners 76.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 corners 74.7% 71.9% — — 1.39
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 5.5 corners 66.6% 66.7% — — 1.50
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 corners 60.1% 62.2% — — 1.61
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 4.5 corners 54.2% 52.6% — — 1.90
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 4.5 corners 45.8% 47.4% — — 2.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 corners 39.9% 37.8% — — 2.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 5.5 corners 33.4% 33.3% — — 3.01
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 corners 25.3% 28.1% — — 3.55
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 6.5 corners 23.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 goals 89.0% 87.3% 77.6% 1.13× 1.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 goals 81.8% 82.2% 94.8% 0.87× 1.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 goals 64.7% 63.6% 40.6% 1.57× 1.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 goals 62.1% 63.6% 83.9% 0.76× 1.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 goals 37.9% 36.4% 16.1% 2.26× 2.75
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 goals 35.3% 36.4% 59.4% 0.61× 2.75
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 goals 18.2% 17.8% 5.2% 3.43× 5.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 goals 11.0% 12.7% 22.4% 0.57× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 1st half 75.5% 77.2% — — 1.30
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 1st half 61.3% 64.8% — — 1.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 1st half 38.7% 35.2% — — 2.84
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 1st half 24.5% 22.8% — — 4.39
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores more in 2nd half 43.4% 42.1% — — 2.38
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores equally in both 28.6% 27.8% — — 3.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores more in 1st half 28.0% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 56.0% 56.4% 48.7% 1.16× 1.77
Charlton Athletic (home no bet) 44.0% 43.6% 51.3% 0.85× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers even goals 50.6% 50.7% 50.5% 1.00× 1.97
Wolverhampton Wanderers odd goals 49.4% 49.3% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 24.9% 24.5% — — 4.09
HT 1-0 23.3% 24.4% — — 4.09
HT 2-0 11.2% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 0-1 10.9% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 10.7% 11.0% — — 9.09
Any other HT score 8.1% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 2-1 5.0% 2.4% — — 41.95
HT 0-2 2.5% 2.4% — — 42.12
HT 1-2 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.13
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 39.8% 42.0% — — 2.38
Draw at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 17.8% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.4% 12.6% — — 7.91
Charlton Athletic at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT 8.9% 6.0% — — 16.58
Draw at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT 6.6% 6.0% — — 16.64
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% — — 16.69
Charlton Athletic at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.60
Charlton Athletic at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 3.4% 3.5% — — 28.64
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Charlton Athletic at FT 1.7% 3.5% — — 28.70
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score last 63.5% 62.3% — — 1.60
Charlton Athletic to score last 31.9% 32.6% — — 3.07
No goal scored 4.7% 4.3% — — 23.19
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.3% 95.6% — — 1.05
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 1 at any time 74.8% 74.4% — — 1.34
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 58.7% 54.9% — — 1.82
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 2 at any time 47.0% 44.5% — — 2.25
Charlton Athletic to lead by 1 at any time 37.6% 34.7% — — 2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 27.5% 25.5% — — 3.92
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 3 at any time 24.4% 19.7% — — 5.08
Charlton Athletic to lead by 2 at any time 12.1% 10.5% — — 9.57
Charlton Athletic to lead by 3 at any time 3.2% 1.6% — — 61.61
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers most corners 58.9% 55.7% — — 1.80
Charlton Athletic most corners 30.0% 34.3% — — 2.92
Corners level 11.1% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.4% 83.4% 88.8% 0.94× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.3% 83.4% 72.8% 1.15× 1.20
2-5 goals 73.5% 72.4% 70.2% 1.03× 1.38
1-4 goals 71.2% 72.4% 83.3% 0.87× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.3% 63.3% 64.7% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 59.3% 59.1% 47.2% 1.25× 1.69
1-3 goals 52.9% 53.2% 69.1% 0.77× 1.88
3-5 goals 52.6% 53.2% 44.5% 1.19× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.0% 43.6% 50.5% 0.86× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 39.1% 1.12× 2.30
4-6 goals 37.3% 39.2% 22.4% 1.75× 2.55
1-2 goals 30.8% 35.2% 44.4% 0.79× 2.84
4-5 goals 30.5% 35.2% 19.8% 1.78× 2.84
5-6 goals 18.9% 18.8% 8.2% 2.31× 5.31
7+ goals 5.2% 8.9% 1.4% 6.52× 11.28
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers never behind 57.7% 62.6% — — 1.60
Charlton Athletic never behind 20.5% 24.4% — — 4.09
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.8% 50.9% 49.4% 1.03× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.2% 49.1% 50.6% 0.97× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.4% 51.7% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.6% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.8% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.2% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.3% 95.4% 92.7% 1.03× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 88.0% 87.6% 96.0% 0.91× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 85.5% 87.6% 74.1% 1.18× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 75.9% 77.3% 90.6% 0.85× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 64.5% 61.7% 48.4% 1.28× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 57.5% 58.6% 76.3% 0.77× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 42.5% 41.4% 23.7% 1.75× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 35.5% 38.3% 51.6% 0.74× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 24.1% 22.7% 9.4% 2.41× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 14.5% 12.4% 25.9% 0.48× 8.06
Over 5.5 goals 12.0% 12.4% 4.0% 3.11× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 4.7% 4.6% 7.3% 0.63× 21.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.4% 92.4% 98.6% 0.94× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 86.4% 86.7% 95.8% 0.91× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 81.6% 81.1% 65.1% 1.24× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 70.4% 72.4% 89.0% 0.81× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.5% 51.9% 31.5% 1.65× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.5% 48.1% 68.5% 0.70× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 29.6% 27.6% 11.0% 2.51× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 18.4% 18.9% 34.9% 0.54× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 13.6% 13.3% 4.2% 3.15× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.6% 7.6% 1.4% 5.44× 13.17
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.5% 85.8% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.1% 78.0% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 59.1% 63.7% — — 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 40.9% 36.3% — — 2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.9% 22.0% — — 4.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half 16.5% 14.2% — — 7.06
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.1% 85.4% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.6% 68.8% — — 1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 57.8% 54.9% — — 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 42.2% 45.1% — — 2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.9% 14.6% — — 6.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic not to score in both halves 82.4% 84.3% — — 1.19
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to score in both halves 56.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score in both halves 43.9% 42.1% — — 2.38
Charlton Athletic to score in both halves 17.6% 15.7% — — 6.39
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 60.9% 60.3% 54.4% 1.11× 1.66
Only Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 28.1% 26.0% 23.3% 1.12× 3.84
Only Charlton Athletic scores 6.3% 7.1% 15.2% 0.47× 14.05
Neither team scores 4.7% 4.6% 7.3% 0.63× 21.65
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 24.8% 0.91× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.0% 22.6% 25.7% 0.88× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 18.3% 17.5% 14.4% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 12.2% 12.1% 5.5% 2.20× 8.25
6 or more goals 12.0% 12.1% 4.0% 3.04× 8.25
Exactly 1 goals 9.8% 7.6% 18.7% 0.41× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 4.7% 4.5% 7.3% 0.61× 22.37
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.2% 35.9% — — 2.79
No goals in 1st half 24.9% 21.6% — — 4.64
2 goals in 1st half 24.3% 21.5% — — 4.64
3+ goals in 1st half 16.5% 15.6% — — 6.40
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 57.8% 54.2% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 27.3% 29.3% — — 3.42
No goals in 2nd half 14.9% 14.4% — — 6.93
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win both halves 96.7% 97.2% — — 1.03
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win both halves 76.4% 75.4% — — 1.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win both halves 23.6% 24.6% — — 4.06
Charlton Athletic to win both halves 3.3% 2.8% — — 35.40
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win either half 73.1% 73.1% — — 1.37
Charlton Athletic to win neither half 67.2% 67.8% — — 1.48
Charlton Athletic to win either half 32.8% 32.2% — — 3.10
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win neither half 26.9% 26.9% — — 3.71
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlton Athletic not to win to nil 93.7% 92.1% 84.8% 1.09× 1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win to nil 71.9% 75.3% 76.7% 0.98× 1.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win to nil 28.1% 24.7% 23.3% 1.06× 4.05
Charlton Athletic to win to nil 6.3% 7.9% 15.2% 0.52× 12.68
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 21.8% 24.1% 27.6% 0.87× 4.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 1 21.6% 24.1% 24.2% 1.00× 4.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 3+ 20.7% 24.1% 8.1% 2.99× 4.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 2 18.6% 17.1% 11.3% 1.51× 5.86
Charlton Athletic by 1 10.4% 11.8% 17.4% 0.67× 8.51
Charlton Athletic by 2 4.8% 2.7% 8.6% 0.32× 36.76
Charlton Athletic by 3+ 2.0% 2.7% 3.2% 0.84× 36.84
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide